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Virginia Senate: Allen (R) 46%, Kaine (D) 44%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | March 21, 2012

Posted on 03/21/2012 3:07:02 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

The U.S. Senate race in Virginia remains a toss-up, with Republican George Allen ahead of Democrat Tim Kaine by just two points.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey finds Allen drawing 46% of the vote to Kaine’s 44%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; allen2012; kaine; polls; va2012

1 posted on 03/21/2012 3:07:08 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; BillyBoy; LdSentinal; AdvisorB

This one will likely be neck and neck until election day.


2 posted on 03/21/2012 3:08:39 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (A chameleon belongs in a pet store, not the White House)
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To: Clintonfatigued

That’s far too close for comfort! Factor in the ‘downdraft’ from a weak Republican at the top of the ticket, and it will likely pull Kaine over the top. (/puke)

Two years ago, I would have expected Allen to take this one big.


3 posted on 03/21/2012 3:17:43 PM PDT by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: Clintonfatigued

has George Allen won the nomination yet? I heard another Republican was up big against him but haven’t followed their local politics.


4 posted on 03/21/2012 3:21:18 PM PDT by BillyBoy (Illegals for Perry/Gingrich 2012 : Don't be "heartless"/ Be "humane")
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To: Clintonfatigued

Bad sign that so many Americans would even be a democrat with all the data available to expose what it is to be a democrat..

The same mystery is all the Americans that would be RINOs.. as well.. Its like the lessons learned during the “cold war” were erased.. All the information learned about communism in Russia and China and other places were erased.. magically..

History being re-written on this scale is NOT AN ACCIDENT..


5 posted on 03/21/2012 3:22:43 PM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole...)
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To: KoRn

I don’t see Kaine winning, despite Allen’s flaws as a candidate. At this stage, very few people in the Old Dominion are focused on this race. By late summer, with gas well over $4.00 a gallon throughout the state, all George has to do is keep linking Kaine to Obama and the economic misery that everyone will be feeling at that time. Under those conditions, there aren’t enough “blue” voters in the D.C. suburbs to put Tim over the top.


6 posted on 03/21/2012 3:24:39 PM PDT by ExNewsExSpook (uoted)
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To: ExNewsExSpook

One good test of Obama’s coattails or lack thereof will be whether Kaine wants Obama to be on the campaign trail with him. Nelson of FL avoided being on stage with Obama when he visited FL.


7 posted on 03/21/2012 3:27:26 PM PDT by kabar
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To: BillyBoy

I don’t know for sure, but I think they either dropped out or their campaigns haven’t gotten off the ground. In any event, Allen’s nomination is a foregone conclusion.


8 posted on 03/21/2012 3:27:33 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (A chameleon belongs in a pet store, not the White House)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Allen could improve his standing with the electorate by denouncing BIll Bolling for screwing up the Presidential Primary.


9 posted on 03/21/2012 3:28:12 PM PDT by muawiyah
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Comment #10 Removed by Moderator

To: Clintonfatigued

Allens probelm is he thinks there is only two cities in Virginia, washington and Richmond.


11 posted on 03/21/2012 3:28:56 PM PDT by org.whodat
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To: org.whodat

There’s also Norfolk.


12 posted on 03/21/2012 3:32:03 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (A chameleon belongs in a pet store, not the White House)
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To: ExNewsExSpook
"there aren’t enough “blue” voters in the D.C. suburbs to put Tim over the top."

I don't know.... A lot of 'funny' things tend to happen within a few of those precincts, very very late, on election night.

13 posted on 03/21/2012 3:32:05 PM PDT by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: Clintonfatigued

Per politics1.com, the following Republicans are running for U.S. Senate in Virginia:

George Allen (R) - Ex-US Senator, Ex-Governor & Ex-Congressman
E.W. Jackson Sr. (R) - Minister, Ex-Attorney, Tea Party Activist & USMC Veteran
Bob Marshall (R) - State Del., Research Consultant & ‘08 Candidate
David McCormick (R) - Attorney, Sunday School Teacher & GOP Activist
Jamie Radtke (R) - Tea Party Activist & Political Organizer

If Allen is polling so weakly, I have serious reservations of giving another shot after “macaca”. We don’t want a repeat of 2006. Someone like Bob Marshall may be a stronger candidate.


14 posted on 03/21/2012 3:36:21 PM PDT by BillyBoy (Illegals for Perry/Gingrich 2012 : Don't be "heartless"/ Be "humane")
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To: BillyBoy

Here ‘ya go .... Marshall could be a stronger contender than folks think.

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2012/01/marshall-says-h.php


15 posted on 03/21/2012 3:36:44 PM PDT by MissMagnolia (Being powerful is like being a lady. If you have to tell people you are, you aren't. (M.Thatcher))
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To: Clintonfatigued

Gooooo George Allen! Would love to have another Senator on our side of the aisle!


16 posted on 03/21/2012 3:51:08 PM PDT by LUV W (Obama's foot soldiers are repulsive human debris and the voting public is sick to death of them! *RL)
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To: BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; randita; Corin Stormhands

Bob Marshall, State Delegate, won the Manassas Tea Party straw poll by a wide margin.

I don’t think that means anything. Tim Kaine got 5% in the same poll.

The primary is June 12th.


17 posted on 03/21/2012 5:19:40 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: KoRn
A lot of 'funny' things tend to happen within a few of those precincts, very very late, on election night.

amen to that..when Richmond, Norfolk, Roanoke, penisula...etc.. are all in...Loudoun, Arlington, and Fairfax counties are "counting" well into the night...

18 posted on 03/21/2012 5:34:27 PM PDT by sternup
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To: Clintonfatigued

amazing that in this day and age and seeing the Dems lead for two years with all their power and seeing how their messiah has screwed this country up then it is stunning that there are still dumb foll out there who will still vote for the Dem party.

It goes to show that we really have too many stupid dumb thick ignorant people.


19 posted on 03/21/2012 6:00:20 PM PDT by manc (Marriage is between one man and one woman,It's not a conservative view but a true American view)
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To: manc

Yea, I’m losing hope in our once great country.


20 posted on 03/21/2012 6:21:38 PM PDT by stevio (God, guns, guts.)
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To: KoRn

Suspect if Romney is at the top of the ticket, lots of Democrats will be elected in November.


21 posted on 03/21/2012 7:30:03 PM PDT by Rational Thought
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To: Clintonfatigued

WHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO HOOOOOOOOO! Go Allen! always liked George Allen:) do hope he wins!


22 posted on 03/21/2012 7:34:48 PM PDT by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: ExNewsExSpook

>> there aren’t enough “blue” voters in the D.C. suburbs to put Tim over the top <<

Agreed. And I’d add at least three points:

1. The “purple” voters of Fairfax County went for the GOP in the last gubernatorial election, in 2009. No sign that they’ve developed a sudden love for the Dhims, and they still seem to like McDonnell. They are also exactly the kind of “moderates” and independents whom Romney will attract, thereby helping Allen.

2. Webb took many votes from these groups: the Vietnamese, the Navy/Marine Corp folks in Hampton Roads, and the “Scotch-Irish” of the Valley and SW Virginia. Kaine lacks the special appeal Webb had to these voters, and their return to the GOP will easily give Allen more than the 5000-or-so vote margin by which he lost in 2006.

3. The Washington Post will be so busy defending Obama that they won’t have the time or space to mount another “Maccaca” campaign againt Allen!


23 posted on 03/21/2012 7:47:13 PM PDT by Hawthorn
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To: BillyBoy

Jamie Radtke is the Tea Party alternative for VA. She appeared at our local Patriots meeting and opened the event by singing a beautiful rendition of “God Bless America.”


24 posted on 03/21/2012 8:09:22 PM PDT by ScottinVA (A single drop of American blood for muslims is one drop too many!)
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Quinnipiac poll of likely voters yesterday had Kaine up 47-44 and Obama ahead of Romney 50-42 or 49-43 with McDonnell as VP. Pretty depressing. I was never able to find the weight of the poll however.


25 posted on 03/21/2012 8:10:05 PM PDT by amishman
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To: BillyBoy
E.W. Jackson Sr. (R) - Minister, Ex-Attorney, Tea Party Activist & USMC Veteran

This one has my vote in the June primary. Jackson for Virginia

26 posted on 03/21/2012 8:34:36 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: ExNewsExSpook

We talked about this at church tonight. We all agreed that we would pay $4.00 a gallon to get rid of the socialist pig.


27 posted on 03/21/2012 10:11:33 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (God is watching America. He is judging America. He does not like what He is seeing.)
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To: HokieMom

The media would have a heart attack at a Conservative Rev. Jackson in the Senate.


28 posted on 03/21/2012 11:44:59 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj
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To: BillyBoy; Impy

Problem is that Marshall is pushing 70.


29 posted on 03/21/2012 11:47:09 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj
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To: amishman

That will never happen. Virginia going blue in 2008 was a fluke. The elections of 2009 and 2010 should have made that obvious.


30 posted on 03/22/2012 6:00:01 AM PDT by flintsilver7 (Honest reporting hasn't caught on in the United States.)
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To: RetiredArmy

Exactly what I said at church last night, too!
ANY sacrifice is worth it to get that POSEUR and his minions out of office...


31 posted on 03/22/2012 6:06:14 AM PDT by matginzac
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To: flintsilver7

Totally agree...
The most recent election is always the one to refer to, especially if conditions haven’t changed or have gotten worse.
All Allen (or whoever) needs to do is tie Kaine to O’bummer’s hip - which will be very easy - and it’s OVER.


32 posted on 03/22/2012 6:10:10 AM PDT by matginzac
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To: matginzac

The demographics of the elections changed drastically from 2008 to 2010. The shift from Democrat to Republican was something like 18% overall, which is enormous. Under McDonnell and the Republican house, Virginia has done very well. I know unemployment is below 6%, so that’s a fantastic sign compared to the rest of the country.

On RCP, there was an NBC/Marist poll from a few weeks ago that showed Kaine up by 9. The internals of the poll were fascinating - when you look at likely voters instead of just registered voters, there was an enormous shift towards conservative voters.

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/120304NBCMaristVirginiaMarch2012.pdf

If these numbers are indicative of what will happen in 2012, Obama might lose by 20. If that happens, there’s simply no way that Allen will lose.


33 posted on 03/22/2012 6:23:32 AM PDT by flintsilver7 (Honest reporting hasn't caught on in the United States.)
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To: flintsilver7

That’s what I had assumed until the last month. The left got all charged up with the ultrasound bill and the “war on women.” I would like to know the actual party breakdown of that Q poll. I looked all over their poll, but they never stated it. I know the last Rasmussen poll had an almost identical finding however. But, a lot can happen between now and November. Gas prices keep going up, the Ds will be in big trouble.


34 posted on 03/22/2012 7:44:37 AM PDT by amishman
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To: flintsilver7

And I think I misspoke on the Q poll being likely voters, I believe it was registered voters.


35 posted on 03/22/2012 7:49:24 AM PDT by amishman
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To: Clintonfatigued

What’s the trend on this poll?


36 posted on 03/22/2012 7:52:42 AM PDT by raulgomez05
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To: Clintonfatigued

Sorry Radtke is going to beat Allen in the Republican primary.


37 posted on 03/22/2012 7:53:46 AM PDT by central_va ( I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Sorry Radtke is going to beat Allen in the Republican primary.


38 posted on 03/22/2012 7:53:57 AM PDT by central_va ( I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

The media would have a heart attack at a Conservative Rev. Jackson in the Senate.

Wouldn't that be great!

39 posted on 03/22/2012 9:14:01 AM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: amishman

There is a Word document linked to at the end of the Quinnipiac page that says the party affiliation was 26 R, 31 D, 37 I, and 7 other. This doesn’t fit with Virginia in general.

Also, as specious and unfounded as the “war on women” mantra is, it will certainly be burned out by November. Besides, it is increasingly unlikely that Santorum will be the nominee, and a lot of this manufactured issue was tied to him.


40 posted on 03/22/2012 11:08:14 AM PDT by flintsilver7 (Honest reporting hasn't caught on in the United States.)
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To: raulgomez05

“What’s the trend on this poll?”

Not much change, they’ve been essentially even since announcing.


41 posted on 03/22/2012 2:49:00 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (A chameleon belongs in a pet store, not the White House)
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To: flintsilver7

“the Quinnipiac page that says the party affiliation was 26 R, 31 D, 37 I, and 7 other. This doesn’t fit with Virginia in general.”

pollaganda!

Allen is really up by 10.


42 posted on 03/22/2012 3:03:50 PM PDT by WOSG (Anyone But Obama)
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To: flintsilver7

Flint - thanks for this - it really is fascinating and tracks with what I suspected.
I half-heartedly support Allen - I wish we had someone new, fresh and solidly conservative - an easy win for Allen might make him “squishy” - but I’d take him over an Obambot like Kaine any day.
Never could figure out why Virginians voted for Kaine to begin with...carpetbagger, lib, non-catholic.


43 posted on 03/22/2012 3:21:18 PM PDT by matginzac
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To: Clintonfatigued

And today Ken Cuccinelli filed to run for Governor!


44 posted on 03/22/2012 8:17:23 PM PDT by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: hosepipe

Absolutely right. Echoes my daily outlook and frustration.


45 posted on 03/22/2012 9:41:59 PM PDT by patriot453
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