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Why Rick Santorum's once-generous lead in Wisconsin is eroding
Christian Science Monitor ^ | March 30, 2012 | Mark Guarino

Posted on 03/31/2012 12:43:50 PM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP

By the time Mitt Romney arrives in Wisconsin Friday – his first campaign stop in the state before its GOP primary on Tuesday – his challenger Rick Santorum will have already become a familiar face. Mr. Santorum has been in Wisconsin since last weekend and has dined, bowled, and played shuffleboard with residents in every pocket of the state. He’s even tossed a football at Lambeau Field, home of the Green Bay Packers.

Santorum’s once-generous lead in Wisconsin is eroding. In February, the former US senator polled at 34 percent among the state’s likely Republican voters, while Mr. Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, trailed far back at 18 percent, according to a Marquette University Law School poll.

Current Wisconsin polling shows Romney leading, 39 percent to Santorum’s 31 percent.

What happened? The easy answer is money. The Romney campaign is armed with seemingly unlimited campaign resources to flood local airwaves and phone banks, resulting in the candidate not necessarily having to step foot in the state until just before its voters head to the booths.

By early this week in Wisconsin, combined spending by the Romney campaign and Restore Our Future, a pro-Romney “super political-action committee,” totaled about $2 million in television advertising, much of it negative. By contrast, Santorum’s campaign had spent under $100,000 by last Sunday, according to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, and the Red White and Blue Fund, a super PAC backing Santorum, had spent about $300,000.

(Excerpt) Read more at csmonitor.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: emptyvest; friess4gope; friess4romney; kenyanbornmuzzie; mittromney; newtgingrich; nobody; nocandidate; noconservative; noideas; nomanager; noreagan; novision; ricksantorum; santorum4gope; santorum4obama; santorum4romney; stalkinghorse4romney; wisconsin
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To: BlackElk
"Protecting Muffy's trust fund will be the Mittsters' overriding priority."

Beats the hell out of what Bobo would do with a second term...

151 posted on 03/31/2012 6:31:40 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

Despite your warnings, Santorum could still force an oc if we support him. An open convention is our last shot at a decent candidate and we should do everything in our power to get there.


152 posted on 03/31/2012 6:38:53 PM PDT by Kenny
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To: BlackElk

I really think that the Obama administration is working to make sure that Romney secures the GOP nomination before the Supreme Court rules on Obamacare in June.

My guess is that Obama is going to offer to withdraw the federal mandateand substitute a call for state mandates, if the court will allow the rest of the law to stand.

A Romney advisor has said that their plan is claim that a court ruling against the federal mandate proves that Romney was right all along, that the state mandate is the only way to go.

It would be a win-win for Obamneycare, a real heads they win, tails we lose scenario.

The best thing that could possibly happen is to drag this primary out to the convention floor and force Romney to disown Romneycare or elect Rick Santorum.


153 posted on 03/31/2012 6:51:54 PM PDT by Eva
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To: BlackElk

I hate to say this,but Mitt Will get the nomination and he will lose the election because he cant compare or contrast against Ozero.

The people are wandering aimlessly.


154 posted on 03/31/2012 6:57:29 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; Wisconsinlady; ...

Wisconsin Presidential Prognostications

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.


155 posted on 03/31/2012 7:08:43 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: Eva

That is a very interesting and plausible theory.


156 posted on 03/31/2012 7:10:13 PM PDT by berdie
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To: altura

Ditto that.


157 posted on 03/31/2012 7:15:16 PM PDT by gogogodzilla (Live free or die!)
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To: mylife

I sadly must agree with you that Eddie Mitt Haskell will get the nomination and we will whipped in November. It would have happened with McCain, except for Sarah. She was probably a once in a life time phenomena. Won’t happen this time.


158 posted on 03/31/2012 7:23:56 PM PDT by berdie
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2865717/posts .--------- Santorum details new delegate math .------------------------ The Examiner ^ | 28 Mar 12 | Byron York Posted on Thursday, March 29, 2012 9:03:37 PM by xzins ------------------- As he struggles to keep up with frontrunner Mitt Romney and parries calls for him to drop out of the Republican presidential race, Rick Santorum has said in recent weeks that he has actually won more delegates than some media counts show. Those counts, Santorum says, are not taking into account Republican party rules, as well as the state-level meetings that actually determine how many delegates go to each candidate. ."Here's one of the things that I can tell you I didn't know," Santorum told a small group of reporters at a breakfast in Washington Monday. "Every single state is different. Every state. Every single state is different. It's different on how you get on the ballot. It's different on their structure, how they allocate delegates, whether they are bound, whether they are unbound, when they're committed, how long they committed, how they're selected. Our math is actually based on the reality of what's going on in the states." Now, the Santorum campaign is providing some numbers to flesh out the candidate's claims. In a long conversation Wednesday evening, John Yob, the campaign's national and state convention director, pointed out that many high-profile primaries have been little more than beauty contests, What accounts for the differences? First, the Santorum campaign believes that delegates from Florida and Arizona will ultimately be awarded proportionately, and not as winner-take-all contests. The AP account currently gives Romney all 50 Florida delegates and all 29 Arizona delegates. Santorum and Yob point to a recent article by Morton Blackwell, the longtime conservative activist and member of the Republican National Committee rules committee, suggesting that if the race is close, it is likely the party convention in Tampa this summer will award Florida and Arizona delegates proportionately. The second reason the Santorum campaign cites for its more favorable delegate total is party conventions now taking place in Washington State, Missouri, Iowa, and other states. etc. __________________________________ (((((((sorry - I beginner, promise wont do it again)
159 posted on 03/31/2012 8:14:49 PM PDT by PraiseTheLord
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To: berdie
That is a very interesting and plausible theory.

That's why we have to drag this primary out until the convention. It won't matter who wins the nomination after the convention because it will force Romney to the right on health care and it will prevent Obama from playing off of Romneycare until it is too late. Obama cannot call for the state mandate before Romney clinches the election because voters would turn to Santorum at the convention. No wants Romneycare, any more than we want Obamacare.

160 posted on 03/31/2012 9:13:23 PM PDT by Eva
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To: mylife
I hate to say this,but Mitt Will get the nomination and he will lose the election because he cant compare or contrast against Ozero.

Put Rubio on the ticket and its a slam dunk win.

161 posted on 03/31/2012 9:16:52 PM PDT by eddie willers
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To: BlackElk; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; ...

Thanks BlackElk.
I would not cast YOUR vote for crackpot Ron Paul, or leftist Jon Huntsman... Santorum is the closest thing to a viable non-Romney left. Paul is nuts. Gingrich now trails even Paul. We are down to Romney or Santorum.
I wholeheartedly agree with your remarks about RP. Huntsman is RP-lite.
162 posted on 03/31/2012 9:22:28 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (I come to bury Caesar, not to praise him)
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To: Eva

I’m all for going to a convention. Although I think it will result in a Romney nomination, your premise might mitigate things somewhat.

I think it is more than possible that Newt and Rick have joined forces behind the scenes to accomplish that goal. They have known each other a long time and have worked together before. I don’t think anything is transparent in politics.

I’ll very interested to see the ruling on ObamaCare. That could change the complexion of the whole thing.


163 posted on 03/31/2012 10:02:33 PM PDT by berdie
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To: mylife
I am not wandering aimlessly. I have drawn my line in the sand and recognized Romney as being on the wrong side. I will not join him there any more than I would join Obozo. The first step toward restoring the Republic has to be restoring the GOP. If we can't do that, we certainly cannot reclaim the nation with two-faced (twelve-faced???) serial lying, pro-babykilling, pro-gay, gun grabbing, medicine socializing trash like Romney. Clearly he lies every time his lips move. I don't like being lied to.

Call me eccentric but I far prefer candidates who say what they mean and mean what they say. If a candidate does not keep his word, he has nothing and he won't get my vote or that of anyone I can influence.

164 posted on 03/31/2012 10:03:18 PM PDT by BlackElk ( Dean of Discipline ,Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Burn 'em Bright!)
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To: Eva

I’m all for going to a convention. Although I think it will result in a Romney nomination, your premise might mitigate things somewhat.

I think it is more than possible that Newt and Rick have joined forces behind the scenes to accomplish that goal. They have known each other a long time and have worked together before. I don’t think anything is transparent in politics.

I’ll very interested to see the ruling on ObamaCare. That could change the complexion of the whole thing.


165 posted on 03/31/2012 10:04:20 PM PDT by berdie
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To: berdie

Dang it...I hate the echoes we have sometimes!


166 posted on 03/31/2012 10:06:46 PM PDT by berdie
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To: cripplecreek
Who are your first two in what order?

None of them are perfect. None are Sarah Palin. None are Ronaldus Maximus. They are/were more perfect but not perfect either.

167 posted on 03/31/2012 10:09:06 PM PDT by BlackElk ( Dean of Discipline ,Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Burn 'em Bright!)
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To: SunkenCiv
Thank you.

God bless you and yours.

168 posted on 03/31/2012 10:11:35 PM PDT by BlackElk ( Dean of Discipline ,Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Burn 'em Bright!)
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To: BlackElk

My pleasure.


169 posted on 03/31/2012 10:35:45 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (I come to bury Caesar, not to praise him)
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To: Eva
You are right generally and as to Obozo's desire to speed Romney's nomination. Good insight!

One thing that I have not researched is that, in the absence of a severability clause, specifically stating legislative intent in the bill, providing that the legislature wants a court to retain the rest of the entire act if it finds ANY specific provision of it invalid, courts normally feel compelled to reject the entire act because most legislation results from compromise to obtain votes. Obozocare originally had the Cornhusker kickback for Senator Ben Nelson's vote, a Florida sweetener for Senator William Nelson, (supposedly) concessions to Congressman Bart Stupak and other Democrats and many other deals before it passed so that it cold be read as Facelift Pelosi memorably put it. Probably no bill has had more special interest bribes in recent history. SCOTUS may prove me wrong but I think it will be all or nothing. My best guess is 6-3 to throw it out. The majority: Roberts, Scalia, Kennedy, Thomas, Alito, Breyer. Opinion of the Court will most likely be written by Kennedy to make sure the drama queen stays on the reservation. Next most likely is Breyer to buy or firm up his vote. I am betting on each one of that group to write a concurring opinion if he is not writing the opinion of the SCOTUS. My guess on Breyer is based on the fact that, whatever his drawbacks (and they are many), he is the sole liberal with functioning brain cells and some degreee of integrity and he displayed serious skepticism during oral argument. Scalia, Thomas and Alito are likely to be tough and, if, against likelihood, they lose, they will be colorfully abusive of the judges voting to uphold Obozocare. Varying minority opinions: Ginsburg, Sotomayor, Kagan. Ginsburg and Kagan will write seperate dissenting opinions to have history read what they write. Sotomayor will not embarrass herself except to concur with Ginsburg and Kagan because Scalia will ruthlessly punish her and her opinion in his opinion (as he used to do regularly with Sandra Day O'Connor) if she tries. Remember my breakdown when the decision is announced. I hope I am right.

Obozo would respond to being beaten in SCOTUS by the usual cloud of class warfare rhetoric and lies and by sending a symbolic new bill to Congress featuring single payer to replace the federal mandate and he will whip up his base over the claim that the GOP wants poor grannys to die in unspeakable pain and suffering along with newborns and other children and women and all poor folks, etc., etc., etc. After the ritual defeat of his new proposal he will work other left populist strategies to address the more affluent and less socialist parts of his base: The urban and suburban airhead voters.

Lay in a BIG supply of popcorn for the very last Monday (last in June or first in July) of the SCOTUS term for the greatest SCOTUS circus of the decade.

God bless you and yours!

170 posted on 03/31/2012 10:44:00 PM PDT by BlackElk ( Dean of Discipline ,Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Burn 'em Bright!)
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To: StAnDeliver

I won’t vote for either of them. There is no meaningful difference on issues that count.


171 posted on 03/31/2012 10:49:29 PM PDT by BlackElk ( Dean of Discipline ,Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Burn 'em Bright!)
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To: BlackElk

My choices were Michelle Bachmann, Herman Cain, and Rick Santorum.


172 posted on 04/01/2012 3:49:59 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: magritte

A lot of them are now Santorum guys.


173 posted on 04/01/2012 6:54:05 AM PDT by Raider Sam (They're on our left, right, front, and back. They aint gettin away this time!)
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To: newzjunkey

Thats because they were the ones jumping all over heartless.


174 posted on 04/01/2012 7:20:41 AM PDT by Raider Sam (They're on our left, right, front, and back. They aint gettin away this time!)
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To: BlackElk

My fear is that Obama will plead (or rather have the lawyer plead) to allow the rest of the law to stand on the condition that the federal mandate is replaced with a state mandate, by Congress.

I know that isn’t the way the court is supposed to work, but I’m betting that they try it.

Anyway, I really think that we have to delay the nomination of Romney until the convention to either push him to the right on RomneyCare, or nominate someone else.


175 posted on 04/01/2012 9:37:21 AM PDT by Eva
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To: BlackElk
Amen. People may soon see that both Parties are made up of elitists, at least at the top, and they really resent having to share their Earth with the likes of us. They are all eugenicists at heart whether they are willing to admit it, even to themselves, or not.

If only they could get us to voluntarily step into the Soylent Green machine like Edward G. Robinson, then they would not have to get all messy.

176 posted on 04/01/2012 11:42:34 AM PDT by itsahoot (Tag lines are a waste of bandwidth, as are most of my comments.)
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To: napscoordinator

“You didn’t vote for McCain in 2008.....are you voting for this dufus Romney in 2012??????”

Are you voting for the pseudo-Christian BO then? God save America.


177 posted on 04/01/2012 4:56:46 PM PDT by IWONDR
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To: BlackElk

Your post #143 is right on target. Thank you. Bob


178 posted on 04/02/2012 7:47:46 AM PDT by alstewartfan ( 27 of 36 Romney judicial appointments were DEMOCRATS!!!!!)
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To: Longbow1969

It may not be the smartest thing to talk about at this point in time in a political campaign (which he didn’t, actually, since the quote was from last year), but the wisdom of contraception is not “long ago settled”; it’s actually one of the chief factors killing off Western Civilization.

The West will have to face the issue at some point, or it will disappear. What will replace it will not be as accomodating to the mores of modern cosmopolitan culture. See: Iran.

I think the main reason Santorum is fading is that he just doesn’t have the money to compete.


179 posted on 04/02/2012 8:08:12 AM PDT by B Knotts (Just another Tenther)
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To: BlackElk

Agree on pretty much all your post. Santorum is not my first (or even second) choice, but he’s a heck of a lot better than Romney.


180 posted on 04/02/2012 8:12:09 AM PDT by B Knotts (Just another Tenther)
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