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Ipsos: 85%-99% chance of Obama winning
Washington Examiner ^ | 040312 | Paul Bedard

Posted on 04/03/2012 1:43:21 PM PDT by Fred

Mitt Romney’s slow but seemingly successful trudge to the GOP nomination aside, President Obama is a virtual lock to win a second term, according to a blockbuster election analysis by Ipsos. The bottom line, said Ipsos’ polling director Clifford Young: If Obama’s weak approval rating stays at 47 percent, there is an 85 percent chance he wins reelection. Should it rise to 50 percent or better, which is the goal of the Obama-Biden campaign, he stands a 99 percent chance of winning.

“The Republican primaries are nothing more than an interesting side-show to an eventual Obama victory,” said Young, managing director of Ipsos Public Affairs’ U.S. polling. He tells Secrets: “Obama is the odds-on favorite barring some unforeseen random event. As such, we really should not be asking who will win the presidency but instead who will hold the House and Senate and will Obama be able to govern?”

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gingrich; obamney; romney; santorum
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To: svcw
You said, Wow, you really have not been paying attention to his words.

I have been paying attention to his words. I firmly believe that if elected Romney will issue a wavier to Obamacare for all 50 states and work for its repeal. I expect Romney will support measures to open federal lands for greater exploration of energy resources. I believe he will work to reduce taxes. I believe he will not make drastic cuts to defenese, including eliminating anti-missile defense. I expect him to reduce the size of the federal government and to reduce spending. He will support entitlement reform. He will not govern using czars and the EPA will be reined in.

I could go on and on about how a Romney or any Rep in the WH would be far different than the radical Marxist who is there now and who wants to transform America through class warfare and racial division. Four more years of community organizeer Obama will destroy this country. To say there is virtually no real difference between Obama and Romney is pure sophistry. I will support anybody but Obama given the stakes at hand.

51 posted on 04/04/2012 8:18:44 AM PDT by kabar
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To: kabar

Ok, you beleive what you want.
Romney is a fraud, what he says today has no baring on what he said yesterday or will say tomorrow.
We all have access to decades of his actions, words and governance, if you are choosing to beleive his current words over history, that is of course your right.
It is my right not to support another stink’n liberal.
Have a nice day.


52 posted on 04/04/2012 8:49:17 AM PDT by svcw (If one living cell on another planet is life, why isn't it life in the womb?)
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To: svcw

We will just agree to disagree. Have a swell day.


53 posted on 04/04/2012 9:20:50 AM PDT by kabar
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To: Signalman

At this time in 1980, Reagan was 20 points behind Carter.

Romney is no Reagan. Romney will lose and lose big.


54 posted on 04/04/2012 7:24:00 PM PDT by napscoordinator (A moral principled Christian with character is the frontrunner! Congrats Santorum!)
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To: Fred
Always remember “Ipsos” means "Democrat scumbag" in some foreign language.
55 posted on 04/05/2012 4:26:10 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Fred
One other point: where are all the scared to death Freepers who agree with this prediction? You say Obama is a dog with no chance to win and get flamed here so where are the “See I told you so!” Freepers?
56 posted on 04/05/2012 4:29:12 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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