Skip to comments.Dick Morris: Obama is going to lose big
Posted on 04/05/2012 9:01:40 AM PDT by varmintman
Dick Morris' "Lunch" video this morning involves a claim that a realistic reading of today's polls indicate that Romney (or anybody else other than Rick Santorum more or less) will beat Obama very badly. The basic gist is that Obama needs to be over 50% among likely voters at this point to break even and the fact of his being no better than around 45 spells wipeout in November since the undecideds almost never break for an incumbent under such circumstances.
Morris notes that it's as if marriages were five year contracts with options to renew and somebody were to ask your husband or wife at year four if they were planning on renewing, and they said they'd have to think about it...
No, I really don’t think that. 0bama, inside 0bamas’ shoes, is a huge winner. He’s struck the mother lode. This guy who should be selling fake Rolexes at a downtown parking lot or spray painting his tag on your garage door ended up somehow as the most powerful man on earth. For him it’s like winning the lottery except with paid Secret Service protection and pension and $100K+++ speaking engagements for life. 0bama is no loser. We are.
I can’t for the life of me imagine how anyone with a brain could vote for him again, but that statement implies that lots of people have brains, yet we know that many do not, or at least do not vote that way.
He’s either going to squeak it out or get hammered, big time. But for me, and only for me, I have tried to eliminate the obsession over it. Because I find the image and prospect of his re-election it so upsetting, I can’t do that to myself any more.
It doesn’t matter who wins. The car is going 90 miles an hour down the side of a canyon. This result has been assured since 1913.
Saw Art Laffer speak at an event on Tuesday night and he predicted the very same thing. I hope they are right.
Like I said, my opinion is based solely on the quality of the incumbent, regardless of who is opposing him.
Now if it was Romney vs. Carter, then it would be a toss-up.
SUMMARY: Recent polls showing Ubama beating Romney are of registered voters, which are cheaper to run by inaccurate. Rasmussen’s latest likely-voters poll shows 7% undecided. Historically, undecideds in Presidential elections go to the challenger. This gives Romney 7% more votes, meaning Romney will beat Ubama 52%/48%.
Crap, if Morris says it’s true, expect just the opposite.
I remember when Clinton was up for re-election and Limbaugh told everyone we keep holding up all his scandals and all the dirt on him and his voters do not care. They just want a good economy. It was hard to believe but Rush was right. That is why you see Obama voters at all. He is Santa and they are happy to get the redistributed wealth. In fact, they have been taught they are entitled to it. The worse things get, the more they think they need the security blanket and they vote out of fear more than anything else. We just have to work hard to make sure there are more of us when it comes time to vote. The Marxists have infiltrated our schools, media and govt., and we have been taking a fly swat as the roaches run out from under the cupboard but they are still breeding in the walls. I know I will have an Irish Creme ready on election night just to help prevent a migraine like I got for 7 days the last election.
In 2008, he campaigned in the coal states saying he was going to shut them down. They voted for him anyway. In those states, party trumps jobs.
Will it be any different in 2012?
Hope you're right.
Romney will win handily because he has the resources and the experience to campaign against Obama.
A liberal Facebook friend (yes, unfortunately I have some) put up a condescending picture of Sarah Palin and caption. I posted "I Love Sarah Palin" and that was all.
Some chick I don't even know started in about how she was stupid, uninformed, etc.
I simply asked her "Why"
Her answer was she "knows all about Sarah Palin"...blah blah blah. She backpedaled a bit when she noticed I live in Alaska.
I told her to watch "The Undefeated" and get back to me. She said she has watched it and wasn't impressed.
If anybody can watch that video and not be impressed with the executive experience of Sarah Palin compared to Obama, Biden or McLame, then they are a non-thinking drone.
And, I highly doubt she watched it. If she hates Sarah Palin as much as she lets on, that would be like me watching a 90 minute Obama video...it just won't happen.
Just look at the hyper inflation that is beginning to surface, and the Fed cannot sweep the dirt under the rug any longer. Printing worthless paper and calling it legal tender, is no longer able to happen.
I don't think we can survive another 4 years of Obama.
I’ve talked to people who are a lot more experienced than I am with regard to election watching, and almost to a man, they de-nuance the whole stupid thing and refer to $4+ gas as the deciding item. I whine about what about this, what about that, they say none of that matters, what matters is the price of gas and whether they are at that moment of pulling the proverbial lever employed or see their prospects of same getting better a LOT better. I’m just reporting this, I’m a little more convinced that this is about all it will get down to, but not a full buyer as yet. I DO believe there is a more and more significant “anyone but 0bama” movement being nurtured.
Whatever is going to happen is going to happen. I’ll deal with the outcome when it’s time to deal with it. I’m not going to fret, I am not going to worry. I will try to educate and enlighten people to the danger we face, though and give them the truth as an alternative What they do with it or how they react is their issue, not mine. All I can do is pray for them at that point.
It’s sorta like having faith and evangelizing in the Lord’s name. That’ll probably raise some hackles :-)
Morris’ logic strikes me as perfectly sound, you might want to watch the video. You can be certain that no nation on Earth including ours would survive eight years of BO in the whitehouse, and we better be damned certain that doesn’t happen.
Yesterday, on the “O’Reilly Factor”. He said that McCain’s move to “suspend his campaign” and back out of the Friday debate was the best move he has made since picking Sarah Palin for his running mate. He said that the bailout legislation will pass, and succeed, and that McCain would be seen as a big hero. He also says the same thing on his website dickmorris.com
Morris obviously want’s McCain to win. That is not disputable, but he is also a very good predictor of political horseraces. This claim about McCain making a good move in backing out of the debate is a bold prediction and maybe a little hard for me to believe (though I am voting for McCain), but his predictions in the past have been pretty accurate...
...any thoughts on whether this prediction is accurate?
Sounds great to me!
Oh crap. We’re doomed.