Skip to comments.Battle for White House (RCP Electoral Map: 0bama 227 - Romney 170, or why RINOs Lose)
Posted on 04/15/2012 11:26:42 AM PDT by mojito
227 Obama - Toss Ups 141 - Romney 170
270 Electoral Votes Needed To Win
Click Link to View Map
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
RINOs don't win.
I am no RINO fan, but looking at the map, tell me what Obamastates light blue and Dark blue would change with a RINO, no matter who is running those states are always going to be in that category at this point. I do believe a couple gray states could lean pink with a stronger conservative candidate, but possibly not. The demographics are what they are right now. I actually think Wisconsin could trend back to a Republican candidate. I will hold my nose and vote for Romney since it would be far better for the country to have anyone but Obama in the white house the next four years. The other thing to remember is, if Romney can pull out a win, that should gaurantee a House and Senate majority was well, for that reason alone you should stand behind the Republican candidate.
I find it hard to believe that AZ and MO would go for Obama this time around when they didn’t in 2008.
The Peoples Republic of CA tips the scales to Soetoro. Pretty much a toss up for the mushy 141. Two Liberals running against each other.
It’s hard for me to see Florida as a toss up. Or Arizona.
The demographics show that liberals are leaving Cal. and the Northeast for the sunbelt. They bring their voting habits with them. Other than maybe N.C. I do not see one toss up where a more conservative challenger would have a better chance than Romney. I also think Mo and Ar are likely Romney wins. Romney needs 100 EVs from the tossups.What conservative would have a less challenging time getting them. And don’t believe the poll numbers about %ages of conservatives and libs. A great many self identify as conservatives but they’re actually slightly right of center moderrates.
The commie “media” in Arizona has been working hard to put the illegal aliens in charge here. We’ve been flooded with commie libs who are hell bent on turning this state blue.
He’s being called a Republican in Name Only but maybe he’s
more of a Conservative in Name Only. The vast majority of people voting for him are registered Republicans. Maybe
some unenrolleds, taking a GOP ballot. People aren’t
crazy about him but the fact is that when presented with
alternatives to the Right like Newt and Rick, in many
cases they did not get the vote of Republicans. Maybe the party has drifted left. Again, conservative were offered as alternatives.
They did not win favor from Republicans. Maybe next time...
(Maybe it needs to be a shorter campaign season..maybe the likes of Rove engineered a long slog of
a campaign to get an establishment guy in...whatever.)
Wasn’t CA suppose to fall into the ocean?
The basic megatrend is that with 40 years of wide-open population transfers from the third world, the demographics are getting tougher and tougher for the GOP nationwide.
California used to reliably send GOP senators to DC and give its electoral votes to GOP presidential candidates. Es impossible ahora.
You do realize there are other maps and polls of this sort available online.
Obama 429 Gingrich 101
Obama 335 Santorum 177
Obama 372 Paul 158
I don't know the dates or the validity of these polls and maps, but even if yours is the most valid breakdown, Romney's not the only Republican with problems in the EC.
Maybe we should nominate some imaginary character who can carry VA and NC, AZ and NV, IA and OH, but how would a non-existent candidate win over swing voters and how would a purely notional president be able to fulfill his constitutional duties?
This will be very painful to watch. There is no “there” there for the RINO. Avert your gaze and go on with your life as long as you can.
Wold love to see what the RCP map looks like when it’s Newt vs. Obama.
Newt couldn’t do any worse than Romney in the Northeast.
We can all hope for some divine intervention. :)
VA NC and Florida will all be lost because of the liberal RINO heading up our ticket.
On the other hand AZ, NV, and Colorado should be easy pick ups for Romney when you factor in the voting patterns of Mormon bigots.
Romney is actually lucky the economy is so bad, if it wasn’t I don’t even think that RINO could win Texas.
If Obama wins this one, the next one will be 50-0.
No one will do worse against Obama than Romney, I don’t care what polls you quote.
NC and Virgina should NEVER have even been in play, only a RINO mormon yankee as our nominee makes that happen.
Romney averaged about 30% of the raw primary votes. Hardly a mandate. Winner take all states tipped delegate counts to Romney. Most of the winner take all sates also have OPEN primaries. The GOP is as Socialist as the ‘Rats. A one party system of two Socialist parties. The game is RIGGED.