Why yes, yes it is.
Posted on 04/15/2012 11:26:42 AM PDT by mojito
227 Obama - Toss Ups 141 - Romney 170
270 Electoral Votes Needed To Win
Click Link to View Map
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
I also can’t figure out how that map would look any different now if Gingrich was our nominee.
“The basic megatrend is that with 40 years of wide-open population transfers from the third world, the demographics are getting tougher and tougher for the GOP nationwide.
California used to reliably send GOP senators to DC and give its electoral votes to GOP presidential candidates. Es impossible ahor”
Most perceptive post of the thread.
What chance is that the “wide-open population transfers” may stop, or even slow?
What does this portend for the future of conservatives, and even for American Euros?
NC is listed as a toss up.
Probably because Obama won NC during the last election.
Lets see - Obama “won” NC with right at 25,000 votes. Just over that number of NC voters voted for Barr.
And Romney “wins” the Republican nomination even though he was only pulling 40% of the vote.
If conservative primary and general election voters ever get their act together they just might win something.
Soetoro loses Florida. For sure!
It’s not. FL and AZ will not go to the Kenyan.
You’re wrong about Florida. There are lots of snowbird Republicans down here, that aren’t particularly conservative on social issues. My sister in law that voted for the Kenyan last time loves Romney and changed her voter registration so she could vote for him in the primary.
We haven’t spoken since I found out in 2008 that she voted for Soetoro. She’s so proud that she changed back to a republican and voted for Mittens. She still disgusts me.
227 Obama - Toss Ups 141 - Romney 170
I’ve been saying for a good while that it’s my opinion that Willard can’t win. I’m less sure of that now. But looking at your numbers above, the way I see it is a strong win for Willard- he needs 71% of the 141, and he’ll probably get 80% of toss ups.
It’s the economy, stupid. Obama is a one-term wonder.
Why yes, yes it is.
The rise of the white Hispanic means all previous demographic calculus is moot.
LOL ! Though I think, however, that the even that Florida White Hispanic who “stalked, profiled, tortured and murdered a Cosby Show cast member” was a registered democrat.
If Romney is fighting for Iowa or North Carolina, it will long since have been all over. If Obama is fighting for Michigan or Wisconsin, same thing in the other direction.
A tight election starts out with Obama at 227 (as RCP says) but with Romney at 225.
It would then come down to six states: the big three (OH, PA, and FL) and three more: NH (where Romney may play well), and CO and NV (where the Mormon enthusiasm may enable Romney to compete against the Hispanic demographic factor).
This math shows the huge importance of Florida. If you get Florida from this list, than you only need to one of Ohio or Pennsylvania, or (for Romney) both of Colorado and Nevada with Obama taking both Ohio and Pennsylvania. For Romney that is only 269 (a tie) but sufficient to win because of the strong Republican majority of House delegations.
If Romney is fighting for Iowa or North Carolina, it will long since have been all over. If Obama is fighting for Michigan or Wisconsin, same thing in the other direction.
A tight election starts out with Obama at 227 (as RCP says) but with Romney at 225.
It would then come down to six states: the big three (OH, PA, and FL) and three more: NH (where Romney may play well), and CO and NV (where the Mormon enthusiasm may enable Romney to compete against the Hispanic demographic factor).
This math shows the huge importance of Florida. If you get Florida from this list, than you only need to one of Ohio or Pennsylvania, or (for Romney) both of Colorado and Nevada with Obama taking both Ohio and Pennsylvania. For Romney that is only 269 (a tie) but sufficient to win because of the strong Republican majority of House delegations.
Not a RINO or a Romney fan. Just a conservative realist. Romney will beat Obama just like Romney won the primary. It will be very close but I’d be willing to bet money that Romney beats Obama. In fact, he better because if Obama wins he will sweep in liberals in numbers big enough to wreak all sorts of havoc in a second term.
Missouri will go easily to the GOP this time around. The reality is that Mo is now a pretty reliable red state.
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