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Can Newt Gingrich keep his sputtering campaign alive?
csmonitor.com ^ | April 14 2012 | By Brad Knickerbocker

Posted on 04/15/2012 5:58:27 PM PDT by KSanders

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1 posted on 04/15/2012 5:58:37 PM PDT by KSanders
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To: KSanders

Gingrich would need to get about 95% of the remaining primary delegates to win the nomination. That includes NJ, NY, CT, RI, CA. Gingrich is still over 1000 delegates short.

Gingrich would need to prevent Romney from getting 600 of the remaining 1100+ delegates, including NJ, NY, CT, RI, CA.

==

The only way Gingrich gets to the WH is if both Romney and Obama drop out or Obama sends Gingrich an invitation.


2 posted on 04/15/2012 6:08:32 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: TomGuy
Gingrich would need to get about 95% of the remaining primary delegates to win the nomination.

That says it all; Lee had a better chance in Richmond.

3 posted on 04/15/2012 6:19:44 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Past is prologue: The American people again let us down in this election cycle.)
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To: KSanders; Marguerite; onyx

Welcome to FR!

Do you happen to have access to an accurate delegate count now that the race is down to Romney, Newt and Paul?

Now that Santorum as dropped out of the race, I do wonder where the Santorum delegates will go. Then there are the states that have had their primary but their delegates have not been assigned or bound to a particular candidate. I also wonder about the states where the status of their delegates being “winner take all” or “proportional” has not been decided.

There are still several states yet to have their Republican Primary so I really wonder how so many claim the race is over. Things might look a lot different by the end of June.


4 posted on 04/15/2012 6:21:22 PM PDT by seekthetruth (I want a Commander In Chief who honors and supports our Military!)
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To: KSanders

By staying in he still gets some media attention for his issues, and anyone still sending him money helps pay down his campaign debt. It’s a win/win for him. Besides, I think he is having fun tooling around and talking to the public. Seems he goes to a lot of zoos and stuff too. Why not? Until Romney officially has 1144 delegates he may as well force some in the press to cover him for a little while longer. He’s burned his bridges at Fox, so maybe he will head over to CNN when this thing is over and make that network a little more watchable.


5 posted on 04/15/2012 6:29:32 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: seekthetruth

http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/delegates

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html

According to The NYTimes website, 1143 delegates remain in the upcoming primaries. Basically, we are at the half-way point.

Romney has 684, needs 460 more
Santorum has 270
Gingrich has 136, would need 1008 more
Paul has 52

1144 needed to win


6 posted on 04/15/2012 6:32:52 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: seekthetruth

Now that Santorum as dropped out of the race, I do wonder where the Santorum delegates will go.


Interesting as I doubt if there has been a serious attempt to determine the requirements of each state as to how to proceed once a candidate has halted the campaign. Some states allow for the delegates to become unbound once released by the candidate others vary in their rules. I don’t know that Santorum has released his delegates as of yet has he?


7 posted on 04/15/2012 6:34:57 PM PDT by deport (.............God Bless Texas............)
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To: KSanders
I had intended to vote for Rick Santorum a week from Tuesday in the PA primary but now I'm voting for Newt. Romney has not categorically stated that he would not implement some form of cap and trade if he is elected.

Wall Street is salivating at the prospect. Trillions are at stake.

Vote for Newt in PA to signal support for more conservative Tea Party positions than Romney advocates.

8 posted on 04/15/2012 6:39:15 PM PDT by StopGlobalWhining (Buy a US Govt Railpass to visit Obamavilles in all 57 states on the Intercontinental Railroad)
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To: seekthetruth

“Do you happen to have access to an accurate delegate count now that the race is down to Romney, Newt and Paul?”

The latest (April 6) Republican National Committee’s latest official delegate count: 1034 have been attributed so far. Mitt Romney has 573 bound delegates, Rick Santorum has 202, Newt Gingrich has 132, and Ron Paul has 26. 101 delegates are unbound.

1135 delegates still to be attributed in the primaries to come.

http://www.gop.com/index.php/comms/comments/updated_rnc_delegate_count1/


9 posted on 04/15/2012 6:39:54 PM PDT by Marguerite (When I'm good, I am very, very good. But! When I'm bad, I'm even better)
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To: seekthetruth
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_delegate_count.html

2012 Republican Delegates (GOP Popular Vote)

(1,144 Needed To Win)
State Date Delegates Romney Santorum Gingrich Paul Delegate Allocation Open/Closed
RCP Total - 2,286 656 272 140 67 - -
(RNC Official Delegate Count) 573 202 132 26 (101 Unbound Delegates)
Iowa Jan 3 28 6 7 0 1 Non-Binding Caucus Closed
New Hampshire Jan 10 12* 7 0 0 3 Proportional Primary Open
South Carolina Jan 21 25* 2 0 23 0 Winner Take All Primary1 Open
Florida Jan 31 50* 50 0 0 0 Winner Take All Primary Closed
Nevada Feb 4 28 14 3 6 5 Proportional Caucus1 Closed
Minnesota Feb 7 40 2 17 1 9 Non-Binding Caucus Open
Colorado Feb 7 36 12 17 2 1 Non-Binding Caucus Closed
Maine Feb 11 24 10 4 0 8 Non-Binding Caucus Closed
Michigan Feb 28 30* 16 14 0 0 Hybrid Primary2 Closed
Arizona Feb 28 29* 29 0 0 0 Winner Take All Primary Closed
Wyoming Feb 29 29 12 7 1 6 Non-Binding Caucus Closed
Washington Mar 3 43 25 7 0 8 Non-Binding Caucus Closed
Georgia Mar 6 76 19 3 52 0 Proportional Primary1 Open
Ohio Mar 6 66 38 21 0 0 Proportional Primary1,3 Open
Tennessee Mar 6 58 16 29 10 0 Proportional Primary1,3 Open
Virginia Mar 6 49 43 0 0 3 Hybrid Primary2,3 Open
Oklahoma Mar 6 43 13 14 13 0 Proportional Primary1,3 Closed
Massachusetts Mar 6 41 38 0 0 0 Proportional Primary1 Open
Idaho Mar 6 32 32 0 0 0 Proportional Caucus3 Closed
North Dakota Mar 6 28 7 11 2 8 Non-Binding Caucus Closed
Alaska Mar 6 27 8 8 2 6 Proportional Caucus Closed
Vermont Mar 6 17 9 4 0 4 Hybrid Primary2 Open
Kansas Mar 10 40 7 33 0 0 Hybrid Primary2 Closed
Guam Mar 10 9 6 0 0 0 Non-Binding Caucus Closed
Northern Marianas Mar 10 9 6 0 0 0 Non-Binding Caucus Closed
Virgin Islands Mar 10 9 4 0 0 1 Non-Binding Caucus Closed
Alabama Mar 13 50 11 22 12 0 Proportional Primary3 Open
Mississippi Mar 13 40 12 13 12 0 Proportional Primary1 Open
Hawaii Mar 13 20 9 5 0 3 Proportional Caucus1 Closed
American Samoa Mar 13 9 9 0 0 0 Proportional Caucus Open
Puerto Rico Mar 18 23 20 0 0 0 Proportional Primary3 Open
Illinois Mar 20 69 42 12 0 0 Direct Election Open
Louisiana Mar 24 46 5 10 0 0 Proportional Primary1 Closed
Wisconsin Apr 3 42 33 9 0 0 Winner Take All Primary1 Open
Maryland Apr 3 37 37 0 0 0 Winner Take All Primary1 Closed
District of Columbia Apr 3 19 16 0 0 0 Winner Take All Primary Closed
Missouri Apr 21 52 - - - - Non-Binding Caucus Open
New York Apr 24 95 - - - - Proportional Primary3 Closed
Pennsylvania Apr 24 72 - - - - Direct Election Closed
Connecticut Apr 24 28 - - - - Hybrid Primary2,3 Closed
Rhode Island Apr 24 19 - - - - Proportional Primary Open
Delaware Apr 24 17 - - - - Winner Take All Primary Closed
North Carolina May 8 55 - - - - Proportional Primary Open
Indiana May 8 46 - - - - Hybrid Primary/Caucus1 Open
West Virginia May 8 31 - - - - Direct Election Open
Nebraska May 15 35 - - - - Non-Binding Primary Open
Oregon May 15 28 - - - - Proportional Primary1 Closed
Kentucky May 22 45 - - - - Proportional Primary1 Closed
Arkansas May 22 36 - - - - Proportional Primary Open
Texas May 29 155 - - - - Proportional Primary1 Open
California Jun 5 172 - - - - Winner Take All Primary1 Closed
New Jersey Jun 5 50 - - - - Winner Take All Primary1 Open
South Dakota Jun 5 28 - - - - Proportional Primary Closed
Montana Jun 5 26 - - - - Non-Binding Primary Closed
New Mexico Jun 5 23 - - - - Proportional Primary Closed
Utah Jun 26 40 - - - - Winner Take All Primary Open
Unpledged RNC - 0 31 2 4 1 Open

1 Delegates are awarded by district and statewide

2 Some delegates awarded by district and statewide, some proportionately, some winner-take-all

3 Election becomes winner-take-all if a candidate meets a certain threshold (usually 50%)

* States have been penalized half their delegates


10 posted on 04/15/2012 6:41:25 PM PDT by KSanders (Hope and Change is now Class and Gender warfare)
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To: KSanders
So Sheldon Adelson is a quitter?

Billionaires these days just haven't got what it takes.

11 posted on 04/15/2012 6:41:45 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: seekthetruth
RNC's count:

http://www.gop.com/index.php/comms/comments/updated_rnc_delegate_count1/

DELEGATE COUNT AS REPORTED BY STATE PARTIES

State

Delegates

Gingrich

Paul

Romney

Santorum

Unbound

New Hampshire

12

0

3

7

0

2

South Carolina

25

23

0

2

0

0

Florida

50

0

0

50

0

0

Nevada

28

6

5

14

3

0

Arizona

29

0

0

29

0

0

Michigan

30

0

0

16

14

0

Alaska

27

2

6

8

8

3

Georgia

76

52

0

21

3

0

Idaho

32

0

0

32

0

0

Massachusetts

41

0

0

38

0

3

Ohio

66

0

0

38

21

7

Oklahoma

43

13

0

13

14

3

Tennessee

58

10

0

16

29

3

Vermont

17

0

4

9

4

0

Virginia

49

0

3

43

0

3

Kansas

40

0

0

7

33

0

Guam

9

0

0

9

0

0

No. Mariana Islands

9

0

0

9

0

0

U.S. Virgin Islands

9

0

1

7

0

1

Wyoming

29

0

1

8

2

18

Alabama

50

14

0

11

22

3

American Samoa

9

0

0

9

0

0

Hawaii

20

0

3

9

5

3

Mississippi

40

12

0

12

13

3

Puerto Rico

23

0

0

23

0

0

Illinois

69

0

0

42

12

15

Louisiana

46

0

0

5

10

31

District of Columbia

19

0

0

16

0

3

Maryland

37

0

0

37

0

0

Wisconsin

42

0

0

33

9

0

Total

1034

132

26

573

202

101


12 posted on 04/15/2012 6:44:54 PM PDT by KSanders (Hope and Change is now Class and Gender warfare)
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To: TomGuy

I don’t know where NYTimes gets 1,143. Add up the remaining states on their list and it totals 986. So Romney needs to lose about half of the upcoming delegates to be denied the nomination

Add in “defecting” delegates and a challenge to the AZ and FL winner-take-all rules and he can lose some more.

Newt probably can’t win the nomination outright, but Romney is a far length from doing it himself, which means this could easily become a floor fight at the convention if people keep voting for Newt and don’t let Romney get to #1 in most of the upcoming states.


13 posted on 04/15/2012 6:49:08 PM PDT by JediJones (From the makers of Romney, Bloomberg/Schwarzenegger 2016. Because the GOP can never go too far left.)
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To: TomGuy; All; jimrob
.


Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin WILL BE the GOP's 2012 nominees ...

Almost one-hundred days to go before Tampa ... an ETERNITY in politics ...

Each and every day will see another "epic moment" of Romney-Fatigue ...

and more (previosusly uninformed) Romney "soft-supporters" will fall away ...

just as Newt Gingrich's "Third Army" receives new funding ... and WINNING (very day) the hearts and minds of a dissolusioned GOP conservative base ...




Even Santorum supporters are "quietly" wondering "why" did young, energetic Rick simply walk away from the field of battle, unlike Newt Gingrich ...

Santorum had EVERY reason to stay the course ... but alas ... glad he wasn't with George Washington at Valley Forge ...

or with General Anthony "NUTS !" McAuliffe at Bastogne ...




I read today at Free Republic about Romney's "great" Arizona Primary Victory ...

Willard got (only) 46-percent ... in a primary where Newt, Santorum and Dr. Winkie (Ron Paul) DIDN'T EVEN CAMPAIGN IN ...

Plus ... Willard had the Arizona Gov's endorsement ...

and only wins 46-percent ?




All you Free Republic Conservatives ...

"Listen up" (politely said) ...

Be of Good Cheer ... Romney WILL BE DEFEATED in TAMPA ...

Period.

God (Yahweh) bless America ...



.
14 posted on 04/15/2012 6:49:48 PM PDT by Patton@Bastogne (Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin in 2012 !)
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**click to support FR**

15 posted on 04/15/2012 6:54:32 PM PDT by STARWISE (The overlords are in place .. we are a nation under siege .. pray, go Galt & hunker down)
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To: seekthetruth

The delegates attribution in three states may be disputed at the Convention: Florida, Arizona and (I forgot the third) made by the local RNC “winner take all”, contrary to the Party rule that all primaries held prior April the delegates attribution 1st MUST be proportional.

Gingrich would have netted 16 (for winning 31.5% of votes) delegates in Florida, instead of Romney “taking it all” 50.

Santorum only “suspended” his campaign (to be still able receive donations). If he officially drops out before the convention, his 202 delegates become unbound. If not, the delegates have to vote for him in the first round and are freed after that. He cannot “give” the delegates to anyone.


16 posted on 04/15/2012 6:55:31 PM PDT by Marguerite (When I'm good, I am very, very good. But! When I'm bad, I'm even better)
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To: deport

I don’t think he has released his delegates. I think that would signal that his campaign is over as opposed to suspended? From what I have read, that also requires him to repay any campaign debt.

I am ashamed to say, I never much paid attention to how other states conducted their primaries/caucus. I did this year. Very confusing...and I’ll bet if Rick releases his delegates, it will be equally confusing.


17 posted on 04/15/2012 7:04:14 PM PDT by berdie
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To: KSanders
Romney has had to spend mega MILLIONS and still hasn't locked up the race yet. The question IS...IF Mitt is the nominee ..will he be able to keep his sputtering campaign alive? Romney has not been able to rally the base and remains a weak candidate.
18 posted on 04/15/2012 7:08:24 PM PDT by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: KSanders

Romney’s campaign is sputtering along. Without his super pacs..Newt would be the nominee. The coward won’t even debate Newt again.
The numbers are NOT with Mitt

Posted by noprisoners49 (Diary)

Friday, April 13th at 5:30PM EDT
86 Comments
Recommenders: garfieldjl (Diary), dialove, rightwingnut2 (Diary), mswalnut (Diary)

Mitt Romney must win over 60% of all remaining hard delegates to secure the GOP nomination. Surprised?

19 states still need to be heard from, and of those states 869 hard delegates are available at the state and district level (discounting the 37 total delegates available between Indiana and Arkansas, which have proportionality rules only a democrat could love). State and committee GOP delegates number about 69, which I’m throwing into my calculations as a given for Romney.

Nevertheless, Romney still needs 663 delegates to reach that magic 1144 number.

Can he do it?

Of the 11,280,792 votes cast so far, Romney has accumulated 4,595,908 or only about 41%. Typically, Romney does not garner more than an average of 44% of the vote. Santorum averaged about 25% of the vote. Even if half of Santorum’s supporters vote for Mitt, this still does not give him the necessary 60+ % to secure the GOP nomination.

[All data from http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_vote_count.html].


19 posted on 04/15/2012 7:12:45 PM PDT by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: KSanders

Is a brokered convention still possible?

Santorum merely suspended correct? He has not endorsed anyone else.

If we get to a brokered convention, then Newt and Rick have a chance and either is infinitely preferable to the Liar RINO.

But no doubt in my mind that Newt is made for American history as President, if not this time then in 2016 when he will be 72 years old, a little old but if he stays in good health he can get two terms in to turn this country towards the ideals of its founding.


20 posted on 04/15/2012 7:16:12 PM PDT by Hostage (Be Breitbart!)
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To: Marguerite

Thanks for that explanation. So, if I understand correctly, his delegates will be denied to Myth unless he drops out. I guess an endorsement might make a difference...but maybe not.

With the challenge to Fla and Arizona and upcoming primaries, anything could happen. This has been one crazy primary! I hope Newt can hang in.


21 posted on 04/15/2012 7:16:26 PM PDT by berdie
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To: berdie

A good site to delve into the various rules/regulations of each state regarding their primaries is The Green Papers. They have one of the best collections of data that I’ve found and have used it as far back as the 2000 campaign.

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/events.phtml?s=c


22 posted on 04/15/2012 7:17:08 PM PDT by deport (.............God Bless Texas............)
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To: KSanders; TomGuy

A few problems with your theory that the last conservative in the race for nomination has no chance.

When it sinks in among the GOP electorate during the next four months that Romney is a corporate raider who refuses to release his tax returns, that he has real problems with what is sure to be the big issues of the campaign - fiscal and tax issues, that he is still the gaffe-master with no broad appeal to the average voter, and that he intends to run to the left to try to take away democrat voters - the delegates and down-ticket politicians will not commit suicide for their party’s pre-determined presidential aspirant.


23 posted on 04/15/2012 7:20:28 PM PDT by ngat
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To: Hostage
There hasn't been a SINGLE poll of the primary race showing the head to head numbers (Gingrich vs. Romney) since Santorum dropped out.

The media and the RNC insiders are scared to death that Gingrich my take all of Santorums supporters and re-surge a final time and deny Romney the nomination. So they came up with a plan to simply stop polling and pretend the race is over.

24 posted on 04/15/2012 7:31:49 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: Marguerite

Thanks for the info! GO NEWT!


25 posted on 04/15/2012 7:40:20 PM PDT by seekthetruth (I want a Commander In Chief who honors and supports our Military!)
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To: KSanders

Thanks for the information! The rules concerning delegates in various states sure is difficult to keep straight! So many questions remain as to accurate up to date delegate counts.


26 posted on 04/15/2012 7:43:48 PM PDT by seekthetruth (I want a Commander In Chief who honors and supports our Military!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

There was a great article a couple of days ago that laid it out for all to see....that the RNC insiders are backing Romney for one reason and one reason only, and it’s not they think he can win......it’s so they can hold on to their perks and earmarks, for them.

It’s corruption pure and simple, not a thought about what’s good for America. It’s all about what’s in it for them. They understand full well that Newt will end the gravy train as they know it.


27 posted on 04/15/2012 7:44:44 PM PDT by Hostage (Be Breitbart!)
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To: TomGuy

He knows it’s an impossible dream but he must have some reason for staying in.

He can’t have much money. Staying in does get him some exposure but to what end?

It’s impossible to guess what’s going on in Newt’s brain ... quite a lot I’m sure, but the money thing will stop him if nothing else does.


28 posted on 04/15/2012 7:47:04 PM PDT by altura
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To: TomGuy

Are those numbers calculated using the proportional delegates as required by law?

What was done with Missouri’s delegates?


29 posted on 04/15/2012 7:50:36 PM PDT by butterdezillion
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To: deport

“Now that Santorum as dropped out of the race, I do wonder where the Santorum delegates will go.”

To Obama’s Democrat challenger Randall Terry?

http://www.terryforpresident.com/


30 posted on 04/15/2012 7:50:56 PM PDT by wolficatZ ("We are no longer accepting comments on this article")
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To: altura
He knows it’s an impossible dream but he must have some reason for staying in.

The company he created is filed for bankruptcy, and he apparently burned his bridges with FoxNews, so he doesn't have another gig, unless CNN hires him.
31 posted on 04/15/2012 7:51:33 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: StopGlobalWhining

This is the first point in the race where it’s an open conservative v liberal contest, rather than conservative v conservative.

NOW IS THE TIME FOR CONSERVATIVES TO POUR ON THEIR SUPPORT FOR THE CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE. All we have to do is keep Romney from getting half of the delegates.

We can do this!


32 posted on 04/15/2012 7:53:49 PM PDT by butterdezillion
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To: KSanders

I thought any primaries before April 1 were supposed to be proportional, so how are any of those listed as winner-take-all?


33 posted on 04/15/2012 7:57:28 PM PDT by butterdezillion
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To: KSanders
Wear out those printers !


                           
(click either of these for larger versions)

34 posted on 04/15/2012 7:58:49 PM PDT by tomkat ( Newt / Sarah '12 !)
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To: KSanders

“Can Newt Gingrich keep his sputtering campaign alive?”

Sure. If all the fervent supporters that post here on FR will send him $10, $15 or $20 thousand dollars then Newt can keep on flying private jets here and there to campaign.

Your candidate needs your money!

no /sarc is necessary or appropriate


35 posted on 04/15/2012 7:59:08 PM PDT by citizen (Sherlock Holmes as Romney might now exclaim "The game's afoot!" Romney now needs his Dr. Watson V-ot)
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To: tomkat

Newt/Sarah or Sarah/Newt works!


36 posted on 04/15/2012 8:00:18 PM PDT by KSanders (Hope and Change is now Class and Gender warfare)
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To: KSanders

Welcome to FR


37 posted on 04/15/2012 8:02:39 PM PDT by tomkat ( Newt / Sarah '12 !)
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To: seekthetruth

As promised ... the latest news:

Newt Gingrich to hold forum in Richardson [Texas, Monday, April 16]
The meeting is set for 4 p.m. at Pappasito’s Cantina, 723 Central Expressway.


38 posted on 04/15/2012 8:05:41 PM PDT by Marguerite (When I'm good, I am very, very good. But! When I'm bad, I'm even better)
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To: StopGlobalWhining
I had intended to vote for Rick Santorum a week from Tuesday in the PA primary but now I'm voting for Newt.

Same here in Delaware. "Go Newt."

39 posted on 04/15/2012 8:10:12 PM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
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To: outofstyle

On Friday I changed my voter registration from independent to republican so I can vote for Newt here in Nebraska.

We can do this!!


40 posted on 04/15/2012 8:14:26 PM PDT by butterdezillion
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To: outofstyle

Ditto First State Newt votes BTTT.

Two more in this Sussex County household on 4/24.


41 posted on 04/15/2012 8:16:15 PM PDT by exit82 (Democrats are the enemies of freedom. Be Andrew Breitbart.)
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To: altura

Romney has already bought off everybody who’s for sale.

I don’t have money but I have a big mouth if I need to have one, and I’m ready to tea party!!! That was never a money project; it was common everyday people coming forward because they were sick of being jerked around by everybody in DC.

We did it before; we can do it again.

GO NEWT!!!


42 posted on 04/15/2012 8:16:59 PM PDT by butterdezillion
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To: deport

Thanks! That is much easier than going to each state’s site.


43 posted on 04/15/2012 8:20:22 PM PDT by berdie
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To: butterdezillion

The way the media explains the rules is always highly simplistic. There is not just proportional and winner-take-all. There are all kinds of weird rules. Two states that violated the rule of being pure statewide winner-take-all before a certain date were FL and AZ. Newt can challenge at the convention that those delegates should be assigned proportionally, and there was some article a few weeks ago from some kind of Republican party guy I think that said they probably would listen to the request, thereby reducing Mitt’s delegates.


44 posted on 04/15/2012 8:26:56 PM PDT by JediJones (From the makers of Romney, Bloomberg/Schwarzenegger 2016. Because the GOP can never go too far left.)
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To: KSanders

If he can keep it together until the convention, mabe there
is hope.


45 posted on 04/15/2012 8:34:39 PM PDT by upcountryhorseman (An old fashioned conservative)
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To: JediJones
I don’t know where NYTimes gets 1,143. Add up the remaining states on their list and it totals 986. So Romney needs to lose about half of the upcoming delegates to be denied the nomination

Add in “defecting” delegates and a challenge to the AZ and FL winner-take-all rules and he can lose some more.

Newt probably can’t win the nomination outright, but Romney is a far length from doing it himself, which means this could easily become a floor fight at the convention if people keep voting for Newt and don’t let Romney get to #1 in most of the upcoming states.

Sorry but your numbers are the ones that don't add up. That is you have missing delegates, over 300 of them. Super delegates or non pledged ones from various states.

And even if you are right Romney will get over 50% if the remaining delegates.

No way Gingrich gets enough votes to deny Romney the nomination. No Way.

46 posted on 04/15/2012 8:36:07 PM PDT by billva
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To: billva
And even if you are right Romney will get over 50% if the remaining delegates.

Thank you, Madame Ruby. Can you pass me some winning lottery numbers for this week while you're at it, oh magnificent prognosticator? We've been hearing Mitt's inevitable for a LONG time. Yet he still insisted on spending millions of dollars attacking the other candidates. We have 9 days for the next round of voters to reconsider. If the Romneybots stay home assuming he's the winner, and the CONSERVATIVE activists show up, he could be in for a rude awakening.


47 posted on 04/15/2012 8:43:07 PM PDT by JediJones (From the makers of Romney, Bloomberg/Schwarzenegger 2016. Because the GOP can never go too far left.)
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To: JediJones
Thank you, Madame Ruby. Can you pass me some winning lottery numbers for this week while you're at it, oh magnificent prognosticator? We've been hearing Mitt's inevitable for a LONG time. Yet he still insisted on spending millions of dollars attacking the other candidates. We have 9 days for the next round of voters to reconsider. If the Romneybots stay home assuming he's the winner, and the CONSERVATIVE activists show up, he could be in for a rude awakening.

Wow, Jedi you get this upset just because someone pointed out that your numbers were wrong?

Well here's a clue you are wrong on a number of levels.

First and foremost since Romney has over half of the decided delegates, it is mathematically impossible that if he gets 50% of the rest that he won't have the 1144.

You may not like that, but if your are going to spout numbers you need to make sure they add up. If not someone is going to catch the error, in this case me.

Secondly your thoughts about the conservative activists showing up while Romney people stay home is pure dreaming on your part.

Post back to me after the next few primaries and let's see whose predictions are more accurate, yours or mine.

As to those winning lottery numbers I think I will keep them to myself, I don't feel like sharing with you.

But I will be watching to see how accurate any other numbers you put up are.

48 posted on 04/15/2012 10:04:10 PM PDT by billva
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To: KSanders

Welcome aboard. May your stay be pleasant as well as informative.


49 posted on 04/15/2012 10:45:29 PM PDT by Marine_Uncle
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To: TomGuy

He was no longer connected to that company, correct?


50 posted on 04/16/2012 4:47:19 AM PDT by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR" - Glenn Beck)
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