Skip to comments.7 Reasons Why Mitt Romney’s Electability Is A Myth
Posted on 04/17/2012 6:38:10 PM PDT by SoConPubbie
Mitt Romney was a moderate governor in Massachusetts with an unimpressive record of governance. He left office with an approval rating in the thirties and his signature achievement, Romneycare, was a Hurricane Katrina style disaster for the state. Since thats the case, its fair to ask what a Republican whos not conservative and cant even carry his own state brings to the table for GOP primary voters. The answer is always the same: Mitt Romney is supposed to be the most electable candidate. This is a baffling argument because many people just seem to assume its true, despite the plethora of evidence to the contrary.
1) People just dont like Mitt: The entire GOP primary process so far has consisted of Republican voters desperately trying to find an alternative to Mitt Romney. Doesnt it say something that GOP primary voters have, at one time or another, preferred Donald Trump, Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, and now even Ron Paul (In Iowa) to Mitt Romney?
To some people, this is a plus. They think that if conservatives dont like Mitt Romney, that means moderates will like him. This misunderstands how the process of attracting independent voters works in a presidential race. While its true the swayable moderates dont want to support a candidate they view as an extremist, they also dont just automatically gravitate towards the most moderate candidate. To the contrary, independent voters tend to be moved by the excitement of the candidates base (See John McCain vs. Barack Obama for an example of how this works). This is how a very conservative candidate like Ronald Reagan could win landslide victories. He avoided being labeled an extremist as Goldwater was; yet his supporters were incredibly enthusiastic and moderates responded to it.
Lets be perfectly honest: Mitt Romney excites no one except for Mormons, political consultants, and Jennifer Rubin. To everybody else on the right, Mitt Romney vs. Barack Obama would be a lesser of two evils election where wed grudgingly back Mitt because we wouldnt lose as badly with him in the White House as we would with Obama. Thats not the sort of thing that gets people fired up to make phone calls, canvass neighborhoods, or even put up I heart Mitt signs in their yards.
2) Hes a proven political loser: Theres a reason Mitt Romney has been able to say that hes not a career politician. Its because hes not very good at politics. He lost to Ted Kennedy in 1994. Although he did win the governorship of Massachusetts in 2002, he did it without cracking 50% of the vote. Worse yet, he left office as the 48th most popular governor in America and would have lost if he had run again in 2006. Then, to top that off, he failed to capture the GOP nomination in 2008. This time around, despite having almost every advantage over what many people consider to be a weak field of candidates, Romney is still desperately struggling. Choosing Romney as the GOP nominee after running up that sort of track record would be like promoting a first baseman hitting .225 in AAA to the majors.
3) Running weak in the southern states: Barack Obama won North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida in 2008 and you can be sure that he will be targeting all three of those states again. This is a problem for Romney because he would be much less likely than either Gingrich or Perry to carry any of those states. Moderate northern Republicans have consistently performed poorly in the south and Romney wont be any exception. That was certainly the case in 2008 when both McCain and Huckabee dominated Romney in primaries across the south. Mitt didnt win a single primary in a southern state and although he finished second in Florida, he wasnt even competitive in North Carolina or Virginia. Since losing any one of those states could be enough to hand the election to Obama in a close race, Mitts weakness there is no small matter.
4) His advantages disappear in a general election: Its actually amazing that Mitt Romney isnt lapping the whole field by 50 points because he has every advantage. Mitt has been running for President longer than the other contenders. He has more money and a better organization than the other candidates. The party establishment and inside the beltway media are firmly in his corner. Thats why the other nominees have been absolutely savaged while Romney, like John McCain before him, has been allowed to skate through the primaries without receiving serious scrutiny.
Yet, every one of those advantages disappears if he becomes the nominee. Suddenly Obama will be the more experienced candidate in the race for the presidency. He will also have more money and a better organization than Mitt. Moreover, in a general election, the establishment and beltway media will be aligned against Romney, not for him. Suddenly, Romney will go from getting a free pass to being public enemy #1 for the entire mainstream media.
If you took all those advantages away from Romney in the GOP primary, hed be fighting with Jon Huntsman to stay out of last place. So, what happens when hes the nominee and suddenly, all the pillars that have barely kept him propped up in SECOND place so far are suddenly removed? It may not be pretty.
5) Bain Capital: Mitt Romney became rich working for Bain Capital. This has been a plus for Romney in the Republican primaries where the grassroots tend to be dominated by people who love capitalism and the free market. However, in a year when Obama will be running a populist campaign and Occupy Wall Street is demonizing the 1%, Mitt Romney will be a TAILOR MADE villain for them. Did you know that Bain Capital gutted companies and made a lot of money, in part, by laying off a lot of poor and middle class Americans? Do you know that Bain Capital got a federal bailout and Mitt Romney made lots of money off of it?
The way the company was rescued was with a federal bailout of $10 million, the ad says. The rest of us had to absorb the loss Romney? He and others made $4 million in this deal. Mitt Romney: Maybe hes just against government when it helps working men and women.
The facts of the Bain & Co. turnaround are a little more complicated, but a Boston Globe report from 1994 confirms that Bain saw several million dollars in loans forgiven by the FDIC, which had taken over Bains failed creditor, the Bank of New England.
Did you know Ted Kennedy beat Romney in 1994 by hammering Mitt relentlessly on his time at Bain Capital? No wonder. The ads write themselves.
Imagine pictures of dilapidated, long since closed factories. They trot out scruffy looking workers talking about how bad life has been since Mitt Romney crushed their dreams and cost them their jobs. Then they show a clip of Mitt making his $10,000 bet and posing with money in his clothes. All Mitt needs is a monocle and a sniveling Waylon Smithers type character to follow him around shining his shoes to make him into the prototypical bad guy the Democrats are trying to create.
Now, the point of this isnt to say that what Mitt did at Bain Capital was dishonorable. It certainly wasnt. To the contrary, as a conservative, I find his work in the private sector to be just about the only thing he has going for him. But, people should realize that in a general election, Mitts time at Bain Capital will probably end up being somewhere between a small asset and a large liability, depending on which side does a better job of defining it.
6) The Mormon Factor: This is a sensitive topic; so I am going to handle it much, much more gently than Hollywood and the mainstream media will if Mitt gets the nomination. Mormons do believe in Jesus Christ, the Mormon Church does a lot of good work, the ones Ive met seem to be good people, and two of my best friends are Mormons. That being said, Mormons are not considered to be a mainstream Christian religion in large swathes of the country. There will be Protestants who will have deep reservations about voting a Mormon into the White House because theyll be afraid it will help promote what they believe to be a false religion. There have also been a number of polls that show that significant numbers of Americans wont vote for a Mormon as President.
Just look at a couple of the more recent polls and consider how much of an impact this issue could have in a close election.
The poll found 67 percent of Americans want the president to be Christian and 52 percent said they consider Mormons to be Christian. Twenty-two percent of those polled said they dont think Mormons are Christians and 26 percent are unsure.
I do believe they are moral people, but again there is a difference between being moral and being saved, Linda Dameron, an evangelical Republican in Independence, Mo., told the Tribune.
More than 40 percent of Americans would be uncomfortable with a Mormon as president, according to a new survey that also suggests that as more white evangelical voters have learned White House hopeful Mitt Romney is Mormon, the less they like him.
A survey by the Public Religion Research Institute released late Monday also shows that nearly half of white evangelical Protestant voters a key demographic in the Republican primary race dont believe that Mormonism is a Christian faith, and about two-thirds of adults say the LDS faith is somewhat or very different than their own.
You should also keep in mind that if Mitt Romney gets the nomination, Hollywood and the mainstream media will conduct a vicious, months long hate campaign against the Mormon Church. They will take every opportunity to make Mormons look weird, racist, kooky, scary, and different. Would this be a decisive factor? Id like to say no, but by the time all is said and done, its very easy to see Romney potentially losing hundreds of thousands of votes across the country because of his religion.
7) Hes a flip-flopper. Maybe my memory is failing me, but didnt George Bush beat John Kerrys brains in with the flip flopper charge back in 2004? So now, just eight years later, the GOP is going to run someone that even our own side agrees is a flip-flopper right out of the gate? Romney doesnt even handle the charge well. When Brett Baier at Fox pointed out the obvious, Romneys response was to get huffy and deny that he was flip flopping, which is kind of like Lady Gaga denying that she likes to get attention. If Mitt cant even handle run-of-the-mill questions from FOX NEWS about his flip flopping, what makes anyone think he can deal with the rest of the press in a general election?
There are a lot of issues with trying to run a candidate who doesnt seem to have any core principles. It makes it impossible for his supporters to get excited about him because you cant fall in love with a weathervane. Even worse, since politicians tend to be such liars anyway and you know Romney has no firm beliefs, its very easy for everyone to assume the worst. Democrats will feel that Romney will be a right wing death-beast. Republicans will think that Romney will screw them over. Independents wont know what to believe, which will make the hundreds of millions that Obama will spend on attack ads particularly effective. Ronald Reagan famously said the GOP needed a banner of no pale pastels, but bold colors. Thats particularly relevant when it comes to Mitt Romney who has proven to be a pasty grey pile of formless mush.
|"If we must have an enemy at the head of Government, let it be one whom we can oppose, and for whom we are not responsible, who will not involve our party in the disgrace of his foolish and bad measures." - Alexander Hamilton|
|"We don't intend to turn the Republican Party over to the traitors in the battle just ended. We will have no more of those candidates who are pledged to the same goals as our opposition and who seek our support. Turning the Party over to the so-called moderates wouldnt make any sense at all." -- President Ronald Reagan|
|"A thing moderately good is not so good as it ought to be. Moderation in temper is always a virtue; but moderation in principle is always a vice." - Thomas Paine 1792|
“Electability” is a fleeting thing.
I’m only voting for him because at least he has some ounce of patriotism. Obama’s hatred for the US is sickening. But I am not excited and won’t attend any rallies or donate a penny and still holding out hope for a hung convention.
The myth is that he was a moderate ...
Name that issue:
No, Yes, Maybe, That depends, it is possible, not very likely, could happen, probably not, absolutely, no way, to be determined, whatever you want it be, kind of..... but I will stand firm on that!
ann coulter refers to conservatives as ‘morons’ and ‘pureists’ for failing to see the light on Romney.
It’s ann who’s looking like the moron these days.
But, but, but, Barbara and George said to Larry King... We love Mitt Romney!
I won’t vote for Romney regardless. I will never vote for someone who has supported and made being pro-abortion their way of life.
I’m not mutilating myself
You are wasting your time and FR bandwith.
Like it or not, Mitt will be the nominee.
It’s time to get with the program.
I guess either way then according to you abortion is a given in the next President, just a matter of being a communist or not.
If we can’t actually vote for Obama, we should all stay home, that gives us deniability and gives him 1/2 vote. Romney is certainly far worse (given the number of posts).
You prefer a hate filled racist divider...gotcha ;)
Ahhhh, you might want to run that by JimRob before you go speaking for Free Republic.
For whom are voting, if not the GOP nominee?
If you were against abortion no matter what, then if you had two people running and one is sure to win, and one was in favor of banning say abortions at 30+ weeks and one for no limitations, would it not be self defeating to not vote at all?
I prefer to vote for a conservative. I am morally opposed to voting for a liberal.
You are obviously not burdened by such a thing as moral precepts and principles
You go ahead and vote for a leftwing socialist in good conscience.
“get with the program”
You mean stop criticizing liberals??
That is kind of what this website is for.
I understand that but we know Obama aint kidding. I do understand the point of a third party vote or not voting out of protest. I just have made a pact with myself, to never do that again after Perot. In my mind, the fight is in the primary, after that, if you did not get who you wanted, then the lesser of bad wins my vote.
I don’t care who you vote for, but don’t try to pretend that Romney is some great conservative that we must support.
He ain’t nuttin but a liberal liar.
Vote how you wish. Don’t go around attacking those who are telling the truth about the record of Mittens. (they know who they are). I expect this website and Jim Robinson to support conservative values.
How long before these same Romneybots (again, they know who they are) will be asking us not to post things critical of RomneyCare, his pro-abortion record, his anti-gun agenda, his liberal record on judicial appointments because it might make their guy look bad.
“Get with the program” they will say.... they means stop being conservative. Stop being critical of Romneys’ liberalism.
The only answer possible is NO.
They can vote how like that. They can vote on whatever criteria they want.
But there should be ONE PLACE on the internet where core conservative values aren’t changed at the whim of the moment. Let that be Free Republic.
There should be one place on the internet where truth is not ignored or avoided because of the needs of a weak candidate. Let that be Free Republic.
There should be one place on the internet where the political “pragmatists” aren’t allowed to subvert conservatism in the name of “winning”. Let that be Free Republic.
These posters can vote how they like. They can co-opt themselves and their own principles all they need to feel better about “having to” vote for the likes of Romney. BUT do NOT co-opt the principles of Free Republic!
Vote how you like, that far- no farther!
Obama is in favor of banning abortions at 30+ weeks? News to me.
“Im only voting for him because at least he has some ounce of patriotism. “
“The good news is that we have a volunteer Army and that’s the way we’re going to keep it,” Romney told some 200 people gathered in an abbey near the Mississippi River that had been converted into a hotel. “My sons are all adults and they’ve made decisions about their careers and they’ve chosen not to serve in the military and active duty and I respect their decision in that regard.”
He added: “One of the ways my sons are showing support for our nation is helping me get elected because they think I’d be a great president.”
I should have grammar checked it. lol
I voted for Gingrich, btw.
you should have written in Ronald Reagan as he is a true conservative. he would have had as much chance as winning as the “not voting”, but hey, its the principle of it all.
Why don’t you just move on over to Daily KOS, getting sick of your constant bashing of Romney. If Obama wins in 2012 don’t whine about four more years of Obama!
Like it or not, Mitt will be the nominee.
Its time to get with the program.
People like you AND romney remind us why many of us will NEVER vote for romney. In January romney was told he should reach out to conservatives and he said he did not have to, that conservatives will vote for him. He has rejected conservative invitations and has repeated over and other that we will vote for him. That is pure arrogance, just as you telling us to get with the program is.
Romney has lied about who he is and what he has done and about his opponents. He cheated in Iowa and several other states. He destroyed good people to get power for himself. He bought this nomination. Plus he's in a cult. He is no better than obama.
As far as the GOP helped him do all this. They are just as bad, if not worse.
When I think of Mitt, for some reason Vonnegut comes to mind.
I’m not sure, “Breakfast of Champions” or “ God Bless You Mr. Rosewater” comes to mind.
I’ve long since yardsold them.
“Get with the program” means recognizing that come November you will have only one option that matters.
Regardless of what you may think about Romney a vote for anybody else is a vote for Obama.
I voted for Gingrich in the Ohio primary.
Gingrich in GA for me.
We Floridians also will have to wait to find out if our delegates will be awarded “proportional” or “winner take all” which will certainly mean different results. This race is not over, for sure!
For those who might be interested, here are the upcoming events for Newt:
Tuesday April 17th
Callista Gingrich to visit the Middletown YMCA
Tuesday, April 17 10:00 a.m. to 11:00 a.m. ET
792 Valley Road
Note: Callista will read her book Sweet Land of Liberty
Callista Gingrich to visit the East Providence Library
Tuesday, April 17 - 12:00 p.m. to 1:00 p.m.
East Providence Public Library
41 Grove Avenue East
Note: Callista will read her book Sweet Land of Liberty
Callista Gingrich to speak to Greenwich Republican Town Committee
Tuesday, April 17 6:30pm to 8:30pm ET
455 North Main Street
East Greenwich, RI
Newt stops by Dauphin County GOP Reception
Tuesday, April 17 - 6:00 p.m. to 7:00 p.m. ET
Mount Hill Tavern Restaurant
2120 Colonial Road
Newt speaks to the Lancaster County GOP
Tuesday, April 17 - 8:30 p.m. ET
Lancaster County Convention Center
25 S. Queen Street
Wednesday April 18th
Callista Gingrich to visit the Smithfield YMCA
Wednesday, April 18 10:00 a.m. to 11:00 a.m. ET
15 Deerfield Drive
Note: Callista will read her book Sweet Land of Liberty
Newt teaches the Global Politics Class at Millersville University
Wednesday, April 18 - 10:00 a.m. to 10:50 a.m. ET
1 South George Street
Millersville, Pa 17551
Newt speaks at a Student/Faculty Town Hall Forum Hosted by The Robert Walker Center for Responsibility and Leadership
Wednesday, April 18 - 11:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. ET
1 South George Street
Millersville, PA 17551
Callista Gingrich to visit Women and Infants Hospital of Rhode Island
Wednesday, April 18 - 1:00 p.m. to 2:00 p.m. ET
101 Dudley Street
Note: Callista will tour the Womens Oncology and Breast Health Center
Newt speaks at Delmarva Christian High School
Wednesday, April 18 - 5:00 p.m. to 6:00 p.m. ET
Delmarva Christian High School
21150 Airport Road
Newt speaks at the Delaware Rail Splitters Monthly Meeting
Wednesday, April 18 - 7:30 p.m. to 8:30 p.m. ET
930 Justison Street
Thursday, April 19th
Newt Gingrich to speak to the New York State Committee Annual Dinner
Thursday, April 19 7:30 p.m. ET
Sheraton Hotel and Towers
811 Seventh Avenue
New York, NY
It must be tough going through life with a glass that’s half empty.
The election in November is less about Republican, Conservative, Libertarian or other candidates than it is about sending the incumbent back to Chicago.
That’s all that matters. The rest is just noise.
Obama is in the WH today because of people like you who complained and complained about the RINO McCain. They swore, just like you’re doing now, that they would never vote for him. And they didn’t.
And we’ve had three plus years to think about it.
So I say again: Get with the program. The nominating process is over, your guy didn’t win. Get over it.
If you can’t be a leader at least be a good follower. Hold your nose or close your eyes or do whatever it takes to put the future of our country ahead of your narrow viewpoint.
No. Never go with a program unless you know 100% what the Hell it is going to be.
People voted for Obama for exactly the reason you stated. Millions now regret having done so.
“The election in November is less about Republican, Conservative, Libertarian or other candidates than it is about sending the incumbent back to Chicago.”
Do you now why fascists controlled so much of Europe during the early decades of the 20th century? Because they weren’t communists.
THAT is how ridiculous you sound.