Skip to comments.Obama Now at 50% Job Approval; Leads Romney, 49% to 42% (Gallup)
Posted on 04/25/2012 6:34:46 AM PDT by C19fan
Barack Obama's job approval rating has increased in recent days and now stands at 50% in Gallup Daily tracking for April 21-23.
Obama's increased approval coincides with his taking a lead, 49% to 42%, over Mitt Romney in Gallup Daily tracking of registered voters' 2012 presidential election preferences. That marks a shift from last week, when Romney held an edge in Gallup tracking.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Someone explain this to me. guess he can just slow jam his way back in for 4 more years
> But but I thought Romney was the most electable.
You and I both know that was a ruse.
The fix is in.
Since Mittens and 0bama0 are Tweedle-Dee and Tweedle-Dum, the incumbent one is most likely to win.
At the end of Animal Farm, the pigs and the men all looked alike... just like this election.
Gallup is measuring REGISTERED Voters. Rasmussen has Romney up 49% to Obama 43% with LIKELY Voters. I have a lot more faith in Rasmussen.
Sometimes you just can’t explain STUPID! 50% of America wants stuff given to them that they want someone to pay for and when those someones aren’t around any longer they will kill each other and starve.
It doesn’t matter. We better get as many Tea Partiers as possible elected to Congress and in your own state legislatures as possible to serve as an antidote to any of the poison an Urkel or Romney presidency represents.
Absolutely. “Registered voters” is notoriously inaccurate in polling regarding any election. Look deeper in to the Gallup poll and you will also probably find more Democrats polled than Republicans. Do that and of course you come out with those results. Duh.
Polls—Believe them not. Lets just see what they say in a Month. They are tools of the MSM and they will say and do anything short of murder to re-elect Obama.
Romney has no shot.
Just how dumb have Americans become? How can half of them approve of the cesspool this country has slid FURTHER into under this Kenyan president?
I know he would get all the black vote but that is only what 12-13% of the population?
If you ever wanted proof that the communists have succeeded in dumbing down America via the public school system all you have to do is look at how many people support this Marxist president.
I was lucky growing up in a Republican getto (actually quite nice mid to upscale town) and in the 60’s the public school was not that bad although I did have 2 teachers tell their students to tell their parents to vote for Kennedy.
Now, if I had a kid of school age they would either be home schooled or sent to private school.
But Romney’s got what voters crave... he’s got electability
“Romney has no shot.”
He never did. He’s “bait” for the squishy middling “centrists” in order to help the repubs to hold the House.
Disinformation by polling
Obama's numbers had been improving a little starting around December but they began deteriating a bit in the last month.
Because America has exchanged its "Rugged Individualist" mindset for "Needy Collectivist"
Celebrity culture. We live in a celebrity obsessed culture and like it or not, people still WANT to like Obama and think he is cool. Tie that to the fact that more people than ever are dependent on government and don't want that dependency to end. We are almost Europe now. Another 4 years of Hussein and we will be a full western socialized democracy complete with permanent high unemployment, permanent high debt, a permanent underclass dependent on government, etc.
How can they do a ‘job approval’ rating. Only one of the choices has the job?
Another meaningless poll!
if Gallup made their actuall poll numbers public, they would be declared racists. It seems that if any pollsters tell the world that Obama’s actual approval is closer to 35%, all hell will break loose and Al Sharpton,NAACP will be screaming racist and Black Panthers will be looking for addresses.
Rasmussen has romney up 49-44, who to believe
Just like John Kerry was “electable.” I feel like I’m watching 2004 all over again except this time the Republicans are playing the Democrats. They’ve settled for their safe candidate and everyone is supposed to unify behind him because it’s Anybody But. Well Mr. Safe Anybody But Obama is going to lose.
You know, as I wake up in a semi-depressed mood this a.m. with the news of Romney, I really have to say, as conservatives — it’s no one’s fault but OUR OWN. We as much as anyone else were too busy enjoying our lives and doing what we felt was more important than to get involved in politics.
Conservatives have a long road ahead. We need to do essentially what the Democrats and progs have been doing to us for the past 40 years.
We need to get in ON THE GROUND and get involved. Get into our PTA’s, run for office in local politics, TEAR DOWN, AND REBUILD.
We need to first and foremost, re-take and re-tool these schools. Libs have done a number on the schools and have dumbed down the populace. It’s not going to change for a long time, until WE change it.
Next would be the local political machines. It’s never going to change unless we dismantle the foundation.
Romney is a stooge whose personal ambitions come before anything else. We are now in the position of having to deal with him — the best thing now is get in and support the representatives who we will send to work with him. I think it’s our only hope at this time.
And the OTHER — get in and GET INVOLVED. Run for local dog catcher — do whatever it is. My husband is going to get on on the HOA in our neighborhood for starters.
It’s up to us to start getting in and do battle with these idiots on the ground, or we will just have to continue to accept the hell on earth they create.
What does that matter either way if Obama's job approval has truly climbed back to 50%? If that is accurate, it doesn't matter who his opponent is.
Gallup will switch to LIKELY Voters at some point. Same old game with many of the pollsters. They want to support the Dems during the campaign with favorable polling but in the end they want to be seen as accurate. So expect a "surge" from Romney at the end to make the polls come into to line with the reality of the actual vote.
OTOH, Rasmussen doesn't do this so he is always going to be more reliable during the campaign.
Exactly. Just wait until they really turn on him.
Romney is going to cause a slaughter of the GOP in Nov and may lose us the House. I don’t see this ending well at all.
BUT, the upside? It will send a message to Republican voters that just don’t pay a lot of attention that we can not listen to the GOP Elite anymore. THEN we can move along a path built on real Conservative principles.
but the democrat fraud vote will be calculated using registered voters, so they need it to look like obama is close or higher than Willard, and to further dampen the enthusiasm of the “likely voters” who would rather eat vomit than vote for Romney
and on voting day, the sea will give up her dead ...
can I get an amen?
Romney taking the primary is obviously a huge disappointment, but Obama’s numbers currently are almost as bad as they were in November of 2010.
On November 1 of 2010 the average price of a gallon of regular was $2.81; the average price is currently $3.87. Over the summer prices are likely to increase further. Obama will continue to lie about why this has happened, but the truth is that his administration has done everything possible to restrict domestic supplies of energy; this along with record breaking deficit spending is destroying the country's economy. Enough people are noticing that the election, despite the lies from the left will most likely swing further back in the right direction.
The Republicans had an historic opportunity that has now been blown... we could have had a true conservative back in the White House along with both the House and the Senate. Instead if we work hard enough over the next few months we will likely have the House and the Senate and the least conservative presidential candidate who was in the primary.
So where did conservatives go wrong this year? We had some good candidates but each had vulnerabilities that our leftist media was able to exploit to take them down one by one. Then there was the nasty infighting between conservative candidates and their followers. What is the real difference between someone who was excited about Rick Perry and someone who was excited about Herman Caine? Not a whole lot; yet on Free Republic and other conservative forums they were at each other’s throats. I am as guilty as many others.
We have almost all violated Ronald Reagan's Eleventh Commandment, “The personal attacks against me during the primary finally became so heavy that the state Republican chairman, Gaylord Parkinson, postulated what he called the Eleventh Commandment: Thou shalt not speak ill of any fellow Republican. It's a rule I followed during that campaign and have ever since.”
I firmly believe that Obama is a usurper out to destroy the country. Romney is no conservative. He has been foisted upon us by a leftist media and our own disorganized infighting. Independent thinkers on the right cannot agree on anything much of the time and it makes us vulnerable to this type of thing. It is very unfortunate that this happens so frequently. God Bless both President George W. Bush and President George H. W. Bush; I love them both, but neither of them of them were particularly conservative.
Now Romney is the most likely man to be our next president. The alternative of four more years of Obama is literally too awful to contemplate. Time is running out for our great nation, but if we allow Obama to be reelected he will not only bankrupt the country... he will reshape the makeup of the Supreme Court to the point that we can kiss our second amendment rights goodbye. Our grandchildren will be living in poverty while trying to make reparations for civil war era inequalities. We live in dangerous times.
“Romney has no shot.”
Generally, I agree that likely voters is better than registered voters, but since we are still 6 months away from the election, there will be hundreds of reasons for simply registered to move into the likely camp.
IIRC, likely voter points are given for both voting in the most recent election and responses to questions.
Gallup’s website, for example, says it factors in “prior voting” and “voter intention”. http://www.gallup.com/poll/111124/Gallup-Daily-Likely-Voters-Traditional.aspx
If you didn’t vote in the mid-term or the off-term, then you would lose points there. And if you said TODAY that you’re not interested, that doesn’t mean you won’t be interested in August.
In short, those numbers change the closer you get to an election.
It will come down to but a few states and the debates.... can Mitt slap the smile off Obama’s face when he stands up there and lies becuz u know the media outlets running the debates wont.... I also would factor in where gas prices, housing and jobs are in 6 months...
The arab controlled oil cartel will go for another big spike in price until about June. They’ll increase supply so that by the time the democratic convention hits the pump prices will drop into the high $2 range....2.75 to 2.99.
Obama will get credit, the king of Mecca to whom he bows will gain more power, and the prices will skyrocket after the election when supply is again restricted, to about 4.25-4.75.
That’s my read on oil and the election.
Not the time to panic.
It doesn’t matter either way, not a dime’s worth of difference between the two.
Axlegrease is sitting in his new $1.7 million place in Chicago thinking:
Im the luckiest sumb!tch in history. Im gonna get Baraq re-elected with $4 gas, 16% real unemployment, 47 million on food stamps, and recurring $1.5 trillion deficits.
Can you imagine if somebody laid out this scenario 2 yrs ago?
“Romney taking the primary is obviously a huge disappointment, but Obamas numbers currently are almost as bad as they were in November of 2010.”
This is a key point.
2012 wont reverse 2010, but will be a semi-continuation of it.
We never had a rock-solid credible conservative consensus candidate to be a strong ‘not-Romney’. If you want proof of that, consider that the last men standing - Newt and Santorum - were both in single digits in the summer. We turned to them out of lack of choices.
The real conservative hope - Perry - turned out to be a dud, although I think he was treated overly harshly and might today be a credible candidate despite his early misfires. It was in the end not helpful to have not-ready-forCinC folks like Cain and Bachmann attract energy and attention.
I agree that the negative attacks on others in the GOP are harmful and continue to be harmful. Part of that is vetting but we ovrfocus on the negative.
This is now water under the bridge. Newt will reportedly endorse Romney and that will seal the deal - Romney vs Obama.
The opportunity has not been blown, if we get a conservative Congress in with Romney to send him conservative bills.
Unfortunately in the same respect Republicans could have a lower turnout also, however most of us have such a strong visceral reaction against Obama that I think our side will still turn out in record numbers. In midterms and elections where the electorate is not highly motivated Republicans usually have an advantage. I firmly believe that the stakes are much higher for our children and grandchildren than what seems to be understood by many. This is no time to pout around and do nothing.
Months ago I predicted that the moment Romney won the nomination, Obama will have won another 4 years in the White House.
It will be tough to survive another 4 years of that filthy bastard, but anyone not already prepared for this nightmare, should do get busy.
I would have voted for the real conservative.... I would have voted for Newt Gingrich.
Rasmussen polls likely rather than registered voters and the balance of Democrats, independents and Republicans is a bit problematical with Gallup. Recent polls have shown a trend toward Republicans generically. I would be very surprised if Gallup and Rasmussen agree on this trend.
There are very few undecided voters left to come to Obama's rescue. On a issue level, there is very little reason for voters to want to come to Obama's rescue if Rasmussen has it right. It seems to me far more likely that Rasmussen has got it right than Gallup.
When we look at this election we have to think on two grids, the demographic breakdowns and the geographic breakdown. If you think this is going to be a tight election, ( I do not, I think it's going to break for Romney), it could easily be decided by the demographic of unmarried women in a few counties in Ohio. All the rest of the Gallup polling of registered voters nationwide is of very little value for learning what this pivotal demographic group of unmarried women with children in Ohio will do it November.
By way of another illustration, what will the Hispanic voters in Colorado do? Those voters in that state could turn the entire national election but Gallup does not much help us in understanding the dynamic in a few precincts in Denver. Even if Gallup has anything to say to us about this, what impact would Marco Rubio have on these Hispanics? Will he persuade Mexican-Americans in the Southwest or only Cuban-Americans in Florida and fail to deliver these key precincts? What happens if the vice presidential nominee is Paul Ryan?
We can bloviate according to our ideological bent on these threads but the real professionals are digging into these details and framing their campaigns. If armchair generals worry about strategy and real generals worry about logistics, real professionals worry about a precisely defined set of demographics in pivotal precincts. My opinion, therefore, is not worth much more than anyone else's on this thread but I think I would far prefer to be in Romney shoes at this point than Obama's. When Gallup says that incumbents at the 50% level win, consider that Obama reaching this marker is a very fresh development and could well be temporary. It is flatly contradicted by Rasmussen, it brings Obama only to the 50% level with a 3% margin of error even if Gallup is credited and Rasmussen discounted, and every other indicator in previous elections counts against Obama.
It is a very, very dangerous but a very human proclivity to see things as we would want to see them, to analyze through the prism of our own ideology. We all want to be right in our judgment of Romney and that includes his electibility. It is just as dangerous to wallow in unwarranted pessimism as it is to act the Pollyanna.
So what, they both have an unfavorable rating with me. My problem is which Third Party shall I vote for or just skip the top.
Only if the R's have a 'comfortable' majority in the senate. If they have only a narrow majority, Romney will playball with Harry Reid and the Democrat minority.
“There are very few undecided voters left to come to Obama’s rescue.”