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Wisconsin: Walker, Barrett in dead heat in recall showdown, poll says
Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel ^ | 5/2/12 | Patrick Marley

Posted on 05/02/2012 1:55:21 PM PDT by Jean S

Madison - Gov. Scott Walker and Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett are locked in a dead-even race for governor, according to a poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School.

The poll also showed Barrett leading his Democratic rivals in Tuesday's primary. The winner of the primary will face the Republican governor in the June 5 recall election.

Among registered voters, Barrett led Walker 47% to 46%. That 1-point lead was reversed when considering only likely voters, with Walker holding 48% and Barrett holding 47%.

That's "just about as close to a tie as you can possibly get," said the poll's director, visiting Marquette political science professor Charles Franklin, during a webcast about his findings.

The results are even closer than one done by Marquette in March, when Walker led Barrett 47% to 45%.

The latest poll was released just two days after candidates filed fundraising reports that showed Walker with a huge cash advantage. But so far his heavy spending has not allowed him to break away from Barrett.

Walker performed much better against former Dane County Executive Kathleen Falk. He beat her 49% to 42% among registered voters, with similar results among likely voters. Walker had an advantage of 49% to 40% among likely voters in head-to-head matchups with both Sectary of State Doug La Follette and state Sen. Kathleen Vinehout of Alma.

(Excerpt) Read more at jsonline.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2012; barrett; elections; recall; walker

1 posted on 05/02/2012 1:55:34 PM PDT by Jean S
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To: afraidfortherepublic
Among registered voters, Barrett led Walker 47% to 46%. That 1-point lead was reversed when considering only likely voters, with Walker holding 48% and Barrett holding 47%.

The numbers changed when they changed the parameters of the poll ping.

2 posted on 05/02/2012 1:58:02 PM PDT by Jean S
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To: Jean S

Always a dead heat. The Dems are up to their old tricks.


3 posted on 05/02/2012 1:59:26 PM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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To: Jean S

Given the propensity of the lone interred to mysteriously arise and vote for the Slave Party, the term “Dead Heat” acquires a whole new meaning.


4 posted on 05/02/2012 2:03:37 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (The RINOcrat Party is still in charge. There has never been a conservative American government.)
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To: Jean S
Given the propensity of the lone long interred to mysteriously arise and vote for the Slave Party, the term “Dead Heat” acquires a whole new meaning.

Mea culpa. I hate it when a typo slips through spell check.

5 posted on 05/02/2012 2:06:08 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (The RINOcrat Party is still in charge. There has never been a conservative American government.)
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To: Jean S

I guess the counting will go on until there are enough Democrat votes?


6 posted on 05/02/2012 2:06:38 PM PDT by Dapper 26
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To: Carry_Okie
I hate it when a typo slips through spell check.

Spell check? Only newbies use spell check.

7 posted on 05/02/2012 2:08:39 PM PDT by Jean S
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To: freekitty
Dead heat. Bodies are ambient temperature. The cemeteries are excited about their upcoming role. The SEIU is getting arrangements for vans to deliver the zombies and ghosts to the polling places to vote against Walker...



All the dead and the undead must vote (and be polled)
8 posted on 05/02/2012 2:11:53 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: Jean S

hate it when a typo slips through spell check.

Spell check? Only newbies use spell check.

Yeh, I dun’t use spill chick.


9 posted on 05/02/2012 2:11:59 PM PDT by Leep (Enemy of the Statist)
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To: Dapper 26

I guess the counting will go on until there are enough Democrat votes?
______________________________________________________

Is that what they mean by democratic process?


10 posted on 05/02/2012 2:14:30 PM PDT by Leep (Enemy of the Statist)
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To: Jean S

If the RATS manage to cheat and steal it, the state is going to end up going bankrupt. A judge will deal with the union contracts.


11 posted on 05/02/2012 2:18:36 PM PDT by doug from upland (Just in case, it has been reserved: www.TheBitchIsBack2012.com)
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To: Jean S; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; Wisconsinlady; JPG; ...

Wisconsin Walker Barrett poll ping

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.

I just don’t know how this poll could possibly be right. Who are the brain dead voters who would consider substituting Barrett for Walker? This shouldn’t even be close.


12 posted on 05/02/2012 2:20:58 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: Jean S
The results are even closer than one done by Marquette in March, when Walker led Barrett 47% to 45%.

What, do they just keep asking the same 100 people each month?
13 posted on 05/02/2012 2:30:05 PM PDT by Sopater (...where the Spirit of the Lord is, there is liberty. - 2 COR 3:17b)
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To: Jean S

This is BAAAAD news, considering Walker has outraised him 12-to-1 in the past 3 months! Must be a TON of union cash blasting him.


14 posted on 05/02/2012 2:55:54 PM PDT by montag813
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To: Jean S

Send $$$ to Scott Walker if you can!

This is an important battle to win, to assure Governors across the country, that it is ok to take on Public Employee Unions.
No state can survive their continued existance!


15 posted on 05/02/2012 3:00:43 PM PDT by G Larry (Criminals thrive on the indulgence of society's understanding)
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To: Jean S

The Mid-west states have always leaned to the left but this will be an interesting election and a watershed for determining if the US is on the same path as Greece or on the path to finally getting the public employee unions under control. If Walker loses you can pretty much write off any politician even considering taking on the unions, you can also pretty much write off all the states as they will eventually all declare bankruptcy/default in ten or so years as public employee pensions blow-up every state, county and city budget. God help us if Walker loses, but if it really is this close then the RATS will pull this out with massive voter fraud, we need at least 5-10% margin or Walker is sunk.


16 posted on 05/02/2012 3:16:26 PM PDT by trapped_in_LA
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To: Jean S

Over sampling dems by 5% then “weighting” results
Some methodology values here,
https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/MLSP4_Methdology.pdf


17 posted on 05/02/2012 3:27:24 PM PDT by outofsalt ("If History teaches us anything it's that history rarely teaches us anything")
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To: doug from upland

If the voters don’t back Walker, they will have dug their own grave.


18 posted on 05/02/2012 4:51:02 PM PDT by Venturer
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To: Venturer

Indeed, if WI votes Walker out, they deserve every socialist plague that comes upon them.


19 posted on 05/02/2012 6:20:27 PM PDT by prairiebreeze (Don't be afraid to see what you see. -- Ronald Reagan)
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To: Jean S

I think it’s very important that Walker win this contest.


20 posted on 05/02/2012 6:23:16 PM PDT by Tau Food
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To: Jean S
Gov. Scott Walker and Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett are locked in a dead-even race for governor, according to a poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School

Ohhhh, now there's an unbiased, objective poll if ever there was one (sarc/

In the governor's race in 2010, Walker beat Barrett by 53-47%

In the past 9 state senate recall elections, in total, the Repubs have gotten 52-48% of the aggregate votes, even though they did lost a very tight senate race with a Repub senator who had cheated & left his wife, and a 2nd state senate race (Kapanke) in uber liberal, union country, UW-Lacrosse, Lacross, WI. Otherwise the Repubs in aggregate garnered 52-48% of the votes.

I wouldn't trust any secular university or Marquette Law School (lawyers who are 80% dems? no bias there I'm sure) to put out an honest poll.

The liberal socialist media wants you to believe this load of crap. I realize it will be a tight race, but I predict that Walker will win with the same margin 53-47% as before.

My bigger concern are the 4 senate recall races that are being held. The dems & unions will zero in on these races with millions of union dollars, since the unions aren't all that excited about Barrett in the first place.

21 posted on 05/02/2012 7:02:56 PM PDT by rcrngroup
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To: prairiebreeze

If they dump Walker, watch for the exodus of businesses from that state. They`ll be looked upon as the cash cow to fund all the public sector benefits the union thugs are demanding.

Other states .. especially of the RTW variety.. are watching, Wisconsin... and they`re open for business.


22 posted on 05/02/2012 7:20:46 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... so should voting!)
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To: Jean S

Sorry this is just BS. Walker will beat Barrett at least by as much as he did November 2010.


23 posted on 05/02/2012 7:23:53 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (I can neither confirm or deny that; even if I could, I couldn't - it's classified.)
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To: Jean S

If Walker loses, it will kill conservatism forever in WI. No conservative will likely run again or be able to get the funds together to do so. WI people are just liberal, as I fear the outcome will show. They are after all Badgers having broken away from Wolverines way back in 1848.


24 posted on 05/02/2012 7:29:58 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Past is prologue: The American people again let us down in this election cycle.)
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To: Jean S
That's "just about as close to a tie as you can possibly get,"

That just means the RATS will have to work extra hard on voter fraud.

25 posted on 05/02/2012 8:43:01 PM PDT by upchuck (Need is not an acceptable lifestyle choice; dependent is not a career. ~ Dr. Tim Nerenz)
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To: Jean S

Going to give your state back to Socialists Wisconsin?


26 posted on 05/02/2012 8:48:00 PM PDT by Tzimisce (THIS SUCKS)
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To: afraidfortherepublic
Who are the brain dead voters who would consider substituting Barrett for Walker?

Welfare queens, single women, government "worker" union-thugs, "educators", tree huggers, packers/munchers, stoners, felons, dead people (what do they know?) the very stupid, illegal aliens, most minorities.

27 posted on 05/02/2012 8:56:44 PM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate Republicans Freed the Slaves Month.)
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To: Jean S

If the commie ‘RATS can get the election day votes close enough, they can then send in their voter fraud commando teams to do the “recount” and fix the outcome.


28 posted on 05/02/2012 10:45:33 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Dumb, dependent and Democrat is no way to go through life. - Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-Texas)
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To: ROCKLOBSTER

And they are 50% of our population? Scary.


29 posted on 05/03/2012 3:00:30 AM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: Jean S

It comes down to this folks. If the people of Wisconsin vote Walker out, then they pay the consequences...simple as that...Why should we lose sleep over people who are too dumb to understand anything.

Same with the presidency. If Obama is elected president then our country has been hijacked and the hijacking started along time ago...

I turned my TV off after the FL primary. Haven’t missed anything. Sleep like a baby. BP down, wt down...drink less...

I suggest you all do the same. Let the idiots in Wisconsin vote in their democrat then watch the state crash and burn...


30 posted on 05/03/2012 3:15:41 AM PDT by nikos1121
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To: afraidfortherepublic

“Group-rights” politics on parade. Useful idiots.

I also forgot to mention those “educated” way beyond their intelligence, both inside and outside the halls of academia.


31 posted on 05/03/2012 5:01:52 AM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate Republicans Freed the Slaves Month.)
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To: Secret Agent Man

Love to know where your data comes from? We have a lot of work to do. Democrats are making phone calls and knocking on doors. Advertisements only go so far. Walker has dropped in polls since he started carpet bombing airwaves. Same poll showed Obama up 9 over mitt. Message don’t hope don’t bitch, just work to get message out.


32 posted on 05/03/2012 5:26:24 AM PDT by chopperjc
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To: ScottinVA

Exactly. They’ll look like IL


33 posted on 05/03/2012 5:27:54 AM PDT by prairiebreeze (Don't be afraid to see what you see. -- Ronald Reagan)
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To: prairiebreeze
Exactly. They’ll look like IL

So, come early June, we'll know whether Wisconsinites want freedom and prosperity or to meekly kneel at the feet of their Big Government/Big Union masters.

34 posted on 05/03/2012 5:36:56 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... so should voting!)
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To: nikos1121
I suggest you all do the same. Let the idiots in Wisconsin vote in their democrat then watch the state crash and burn...

I look at it this way: If they do decide to kneel at the feet of their government/union masters and turn out Walker as ordered, then RTW states will benefit from the business base that will flee Wisconsin. Virginia is RTW, and will be one of those beneficiaries. I'd rather see Walker win this battle, but if the cheeseheads don't like prosperity and freedom and want a return to tax-and-spend, screw 'em.

35 posted on 05/03/2012 5:42:48 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... so should voting!)
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To: chopperjc
See my post #21. I'm not saying this will not be a tight race or that Walker is a shoo-in, but IMO this poll and others conducted by the liberal/left-wing academia/pro-union/leftist-marxist MSM are bogus. The stacked judicial system in WI & the federal appeals courts have all taken & shredded the legislative laws passed by the WI legislature for voter ID, funding the unions, and so on. Given all these things, the libturds are DESPERATE to have us believe that the race is dead even..... emphasis on the dead.

WI conservatives & the Repubs need to work like there is no tomorrow, but in the end, I believe that Walker will beat Barrett by 53-47% margin (his winning margin in the 2010 governor's race, in which the dems had controlled for the past 10 years). I am very much concerned that most of the $61 million union cash will go to the 4 state senate recall races to try & obliterate the 4 senate races. However, even with these, last year the dems & unions spent $45 million on the 9 senate recall races and only managed to win 2 of them, one of which was very close with a Repub state senator who had cheated on and left his wife.

So work & pray like there is no tomorrow.... because if the dems & unions do steal & pull this election out, WI will be toast after that, along with any other elected officials who oppose the thug unions.

36 posted on 05/03/2012 6:02:49 AM PDT by rcrngroup
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To: ScottinVA

My thoughts exactly. It seems, like an alcoholic in denial, people in Wisconsin and maybe in America need to hit rock bottom before we all come to our senses.


37 posted on 05/03/2012 6:43:32 AM PDT by nikos1121
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To: outofsalt

Add to that a few things:

1. Minorities aren’t going for Barrett in the numbers he would need and there is a good chance the black population especially will sit this out.

2. The poll has no idea if public union members will vote for Barrett in necessary numbers. What will their reaction be when he crushes Falk and the fact that he has used ACT 10 wherever he could in Milwaukee.

3. New property values came out for the City of Milwaukee. Taxes up while values went down 10-20%

4. Areas of former support for Dems up north are fuming over mining screwjob and happy with changes to the DNR. The Senator for that area (Jauch) will not run next time because he knows he’s screwed.

5. Turnout percentage for supporters of Walker. As you mention the MU poll is off in its weighting.

I’ll stick to my belief that the result will be the same as 2010. If not we look at moving our business to a friendlier State.


38 posted on 05/03/2012 7:28:22 AM PDT by MNlurker
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