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Romney and Obama dead even in key swing states, according to new poll
Yahoo news ^ | 7 May 2012 | Holly Bailey

Posted on 05/07/2012 11:37:19 AM PDT by mandaladon

With six months to go before Election Day, a new poll finds Mitt Romney in a dead heat with President Barack Obama in 12 key political battleground states.

A USA Today/Gallup poll of 12 expected swing states—Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin—finds Obama leading Romney by just two points among registered voters, 47 percent to 45 percent. The results are well within the poll's plus or minus 4 percent margin of error.

That's a major difference from the same poll conducted in late March, when Obama held a 9-point lead over Romney among battleground state voters.

On the question of who would best handle the economy, Romney holds a clear lead over Obama. Sixty percent say Romney would do a "good" or "very good" job handling the economy over the next four years, compared to 52 percent for Obama, according to Gallup.

But Obama still has a key advantage over Romney when it comes to connecting with voters. Fifty-eight percent view the president as "likable," compared to only 31 percent for Romney. Asked which candidate "cares about the needs of people like you," Obama had a 10-point lead over Romney, 50 percent to 40 percent.

While the race has tightened since Romney unofficially claimed his party's nomination, there are still warning signs for the GOP ticket. The poll found that Democratic voters are more enthusiastic about the general election than Republicans—a shift from earlier this year.

According to Gallup, 55 percent of those supporting Obama say they are "extremely" or "very enthusiastic" about November's election, compared to 46 percent of voters backing Romney. That's a 9-point drop in enthusiasm among Romney supporters since January and a 5-point gain among Obama backers.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: obama; romney
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A separate poll conducted by Politico and George Washington University found Romney and Obama statistically tied among likely voters nationwide, 48 percent to 47 percent—well within the poll's 3.1 percent margin of error.

But there were warning signs for Obama: According to Politico, Romney held a 10-point lead over self-described independent voters, an important voting bloc this fall, and a 6-point advantage over voters who said they were most likely to turn out at the polls this November...............

Not looking good for Zero.

1 posted on 05/07/2012 11:37:27 AM PDT by mandaladon
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To: mandaladon

On your way, Obama!


2 posted on 05/07/2012 11:41:14 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: mandaladon

That’s “registered voters”, many of whom won’t show up at the polls in November.


3 posted on 05/07/2012 11:42:28 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: mandaladon
"Damn that Tea Party...!"
4 posted on 05/07/2012 11:43:32 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: mandaladon

That headline just cries out for another comma.....


5 posted on 05/07/2012 11:45:43 AM PDT by Uncle Ike (Rope is cheap, and there are lots of trees...)
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To: mandaladon

6 posted on 05/07/2012 11:48:00 AM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
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To: mandaladon

It is not looking good for Hussien. To win in November, he should be well above 50 now and comfortably leading Romney by 2-digit percentage points in these states. He is clearly not.

While people in this poll say that Hussien is more likable, they strongly prefer Romney on economic issues....which is really going to be driving this election.

Yet the poll stays that dems are very enthusiastic in supporting Hussien.....yet Hussien spoke to a half empty arena at Ohio State on Saturday.

ZERO is in big trouble!!


7 posted on 05/07/2012 11:51:09 AM PDT by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: Uncle Ike

ABO


8 posted on 05/07/2012 11:51:20 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: mandaladon

Obambi opened his campaign in Ohio yesterday to a half empty stadium.

Did the poll take place in the Democrat Underground?


9 posted on 05/07/2012 11:53:45 AM PDT by xtinct (The will of God will never take you where the Grace of God will not protect you..Be Strong Patriots!)
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.....four more years.....

.....maybe a little blow......

.....maybe a little blow skinny dope......

.....maybe a skinny dope still snorting blow......







10 posted on 05/07/2012 11:59:14 AM PDT by devolve (------ ---- ---------toss_subhumans_in_Hannibal*s_wild_boar_pit----------- ---------------------)
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To: mandaladon
Internals, anyone? D/R/I breakdown needed!

I saw Romney led the Kenyan commie by 10 points even in this poll...which tells me to get them "tied", Gallup needed to OVERSAMPLE Democrats in a big way.

11 posted on 05/07/2012 11:59:45 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: mandaladon

Romney and Obama dead, even in key swing states.


12 posted on 05/07/2012 12:00:27 PM PDT by GSWarrior
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To: SoFloFreeper
Internals, anyone? D/R/I breakdown needed!

I saw Romney led the Kenyan commie by 10 points AMONG INDEPENDENTS even in this poll...which tells me to get them "tied", Gallup needed to OVERSAMPLE Democrats in a big way.

13 posted on 05/07/2012 12:01:16 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: Uncle Ike

I took care of that.


14 posted on 05/07/2012 12:02:15 PM PDT by GSWarrior
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To: mandaladon
Romney could be ahead of Obama by 10-15 points in all states for all we know.

It's the deceptive @ssholes in the media and the other pathological liars within the democrat party that will disallow us from ever knowing the truth on ANY of this "polling."

15 posted on 05/07/2012 12:11:48 PM PDT by Prole (Please pray for the families of Chris and Channon. May God always watch over them)
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To: mandaladon

“registered voters”

means to IGNORE this poll.

Likely voters or VERY Likely voters are the only polls worth even looking at.


16 posted on 05/07/2012 12:23:40 PM PDT by faucetman ( Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
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To: mandaladon

Registered political/regulator class folks, eh? Have fun with that. Many of them will be laid off and/or foreclosed against before the election, not that politics will be relevant after the election.


17 posted on 05/07/2012 12:28:03 PM PDT by familyop ("Wanna cigarette? You're never too young to start." --Deacon, "Waterworld")
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To: xtinct
A caller on Rush from Columbus said they were going door to door trying to get people to come to see Obama, claiming it wasn't 'political.'

The Marxist's campaign is in DEEP trouble.

And I intend to do everything I can to make it go even deeper here in the Buckeye State!

18 posted on 05/07/2012 12:30:11 PM PDT by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star recipient!)
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To: mandaladon

Romney and Obama dead??????


19 posted on 05/07/2012 12:58:05 PM PDT by CitizenM (Obama studied our Constution because he hates it, not because he loves our country or laws.)
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To: ohioWfan

In deep trouble, but A LOT can happen in 6 months and Obama will pull every trick in the book to ‘improve things’ between now and the election. Much of the ‘improvement’ will be merely a mirage perpetrated by the media for Obama but there’s TONS OF GULLIBLE SHEEP IN AMERICA, UNFORTUNATELY.


20 posted on 05/07/2012 1:00:35 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: mandaladon

No more freeping while driving for me. I glanced down at breaking headlines and read the words:

“Romney and Obama dead in swing states”

... almost hit a school bus. Mercy.


21 posted on 05/07/2012 1:03:19 PM PDT by BuckeyeTexan (Man is not free unless government is limited. ~Ronald Reagan)
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To: Uncle Ike

Heh. See post #21.


22 posted on 05/07/2012 1:04:22 PM PDT by BuckeyeTexan (Man is not free unless government is limited. ~Ronald Reagan)
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To: ohioWfan

Door to door begging for attendees. I love it.


23 posted on 05/07/2012 1:06:48 PM PDT by BuckeyeTexan (Man is not free unless government is limited. ~Ronald Reagan)
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To: GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
Yes, indeed. Tons of gullible sheep, but four years of an abysmal record has removed the blinders from many.

We just have to make sure that even more are taken away by November.

The most destructive man in the history of this country MUST be removed, and we, in Ohio, will do our parts to make sure it happens.

24 posted on 05/07/2012 1:17:51 PM PDT by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star recipient!)
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To: BuckeyeTexan
Got a chuckle out of me too.

Please........PLEASE come to see Obama! Followed by doors slammed in their faces. :)

25 posted on 05/07/2012 1:19:19 PM PDT by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star recipient!)
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To: mandaladon

Colorado - Obama, won’t even be close
Florida - must-have for Romney to win
Iowa - another Obama state
Michigan - will be close, but Obama wins it
Nevada - will go red for Romney
New Hampshire - not a big state, but Romney needs this one to win
New Mexico - now a “Euro-minority” state, will “go blue” for the rest of its days
North Carolina - should go Romney, he can’t win without it
Ohio - another must-have for Romney, this one will be close
Pennsylvania - a hard fight, but Obama edges this one out
Virginia - now a “purple state”, Romney needs this one
Wisconsin - despite the great efforts of Scott Walker, will go blue for Barack

That’s the way I see it.
Romney may win, but it may be one of the closest electoral contests in history.


26 posted on 05/07/2012 1:28:42 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: mandaladon
A USA Today/Gallup poll of 12 expected swing states—Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin—finds Obama leading Romney by just two points among registered voters, 47 percent to 45 percent. The results are well within the poll's plus or minus 4 percent margin of error.

Personally, I think all those swing-states mentioned above are very winnable by the GOP this year. Should that occur, and all other states from 2008 remain the same, it will result in a 342-196 EV victory for the GOP.

27 posted on 05/07/2012 1:31:02 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (I am 2 days away from outliving Phil Hartman)
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To: Road Glide

Good analysis.

Axlegrease is sitting in his new $1.7 mil house in Chicago thinking “I’m the luckiest SOB in history. I’m gonna get Baraq re-elected with 16% real unemployment, $4 gas, and recurring $1.4 trillion deficits.”


28 posted on 05/07/2012 1:36:41 PM PDT by nascarnation
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To: mandaladon

The first four words of the headline had my hopes up.

But alas, just another poll story.


29 posted on 05/07/2012 1:37:47 PM PDT by Retired Greyhound (.)
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To: Retired Greyhound
There was a map of the electoral college associated with this : Romney 185, Obama 185. too close to call 168. What do they say about undecided voters when an incumbent and challenger are even? Uh huh...

30 posted on 05/07/2012 1:56:06 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: mandaladon

I can’t tell you how excited I am with the possibility of replacing a liberal progressive Demmocrat with a liberal progrssive Republican. Especially, when I think about SCJ appointments. I can hardly sleep at night just thinking aobut it.


31 posted on 05/07/2012 1:57:06 PM PDT by Leep (Enemy of the Statist)
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To: mandaladon

Carter was up over Reagan in most polls until election night.

Expect a Carter-esque landslide...unless Romney F’s it all up.


32 posted on 05/07/2012 2:05:53 PM PDT by hattend (Firearms and ammunition...the only growing industries under the Obama regime.)
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To: GlockThe Vote

Yep...ABO


33 posted on 05/07/2012 2:07:16 PM PDT by hattend (Firearms and ammunition...the only growing industries under the Obama regime.)
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To: BigEdLB

wtf? Who did this map, a 6 year old?

GA is NOT ‘leaning republican’... He||, there isn’t even a staewide office held by a DEMONrat... SOLID RED!


34 posted on 05/07/2012 2:15:37 PM PDT by bfh333 ("Hope"... "Change"... You better HOPE you have some CHANGE after the next 4 years!)
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To: mandaladon
"Colorado (don't need it), Florida, Iowa (don't need it), Michigan (don't need it, and hasn't gone GOP in 24 years), Nevada, New Hampshire (don't need it), New Mexico (really don't need it), North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania (don't need it, and hasn't gone GOP in 24 years), Virginia and Wisconsin (don't need it)"

2008 + IN, NC, FL, NV, VA, OH = 271EV


35 posted on 05/07/2012 2:18:17 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: mandaladon

Not looking good for Romney either. Remember, if its close, they’ll steal it.


36 posted on 05/07/2012 2:27:38 PM PDT by Little Ray (FOR the best Conservative in the Primary; AGAINST Obama in the General.)
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To: faucetman

"very enthusiastic" voters

37 posted on 05/07/2012 3:12:32 PM PDT by Doogle (((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: mandaladon

Question, why do the Republicans let states like Iowa and New Hampshire determine the slate of potential presidential candidates? Why not begin in swing states like Ohio instead?


38 posted on 05/07/2012 3:44:55 PM PDT by a fool in paradise (Barack Obama has cut and run from what he called "the right war".)
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To: mandaladon

How can this be? MR was so damaged from the primary and barry is so likeable> sarc


39 posted on 05/07/2012 3:48:29 PM PDT by italianquaker ( Mr Obama inherited an AAA rating and made it AA, thnx Resident Zero)
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To: mandaladon

I like the first four words of the title...


40 posted on 05/07/2012 4:18:17 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: mandaladon

Romney’s been campaigning for over 5 years now and he’s only even with Obama?


41 posted on 05/07/2012 4:26:05 PM PDT by freedomfiter2 (Brutal acts of commission and yawning acts of omission both strengthen the hand of the devil.)
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To: TMA62

Anyway they both can lose? I see this and does not excite me one way or the other. What a disaster this election is going to be. Who cares about Romney or Obama.....both 100 percent the same.


42 posted on 05/07/2012 4:54:21 PM PDT by napscoordinator (VOTE FOR NEWT!!!!)
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To: freedomfiter2

If he were 20 points ahead...you would still criticize him.


43 posted on 05/07/2012 6:06:48 PM PDT by mandaladon (PalinGenesis)
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To: mandaladon

If he were 20 points ahead...you would still criticize him.

If he were 20 points ahead, I’d be living in another country. There aren’t that many libs here.


44 posted on 05/07/2012 8:24:35 PM PDT by freedomfiter2 (Brutal acts of commission and yawning acts of omission both strengthen the hand of the devil.)
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To: bfh333

This map is more realistic than the RCP averages which include many Obama push polls. Some other things look encouraging such as all the upper midwest states which are undecided but , Solid or Lean Obama in the RCP averages. One Out-Liar like Georgia, we can deal with


45 posted on 05/07/2012 8:40:19 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: freedomfiter2

Romney’s been campaigning for over 5 years now and he’s only even with Obama?


That’s an absolutely stupid statement. And you know it.


46 posted on 05/07/2012 8:51:18 PM PDT by unkus (Silence Is Consent)
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To: mandaladon

I find it hilarious that the Democrats are choosing to live in a cocoon. Obama is so deeply unpopular right now, the economy is in the trash, the youth and black votes are uninterested now, the religious have been insulted, and many women voters see through the fake controversies that George Stephanapolis and the White House concocted and yet they have this pollyanna belief that they are going to cruise to a win. At this rate, Romney is going to win in a landslide.


47 posted on 05/08/2012 2:46:15 AM PDT by Dragonspirit (Always remember President Token won only by defecting on his CFR pledge.)
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To: mandaladon

Dang, I thought they were dead.


48 posted on 05/08/2012 4:44:43 AM PDT by MNDude
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To: mandaladon
We all know that early polls are, at best, only very early indicators. Much can and will change.

Some things to consider:

1) President Obama hasn't even begun to unleash his campaign cash, which far exceeds what all Republicans and Republican super-PACs spent in the primary — combined.

2) For the next few months, Republicans will be largely out of the news now that the primary is over.

3) Romney won the primary by massively outspending his Republican opponents. He won't be able to do that against Obama.

4) If the maps are correct, they indicate that most of the states Romney won in the primary prior to Santorum and Gingrich dropping out are states Obama will win in the general election. That should tell us something.

5) If Romney wins, he'll have to do it without his home state of Massachusetts. The same will probably be true of Michigan. Can anyone tell us the last time a candidate won the presidency while losing his own home state?

Bottom line: Maybe Romney can win, but if he does, it will be very, very difficult — and mostly because Obama has done such a terrible job.

49 posted on 05/08/2012 5:07:19 AM PDT by darrellmaurina
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2008 + IN, NC, FL, NV, VA, OH = 271EV

5 states to win. 5. Bobo's team has already abandoned Indiana. How many Presidents are re-elected without 10+EV states they held the first time around? What were the results of the bellwether 2010 election?

Note none of those 2010 result summaries include any of the historical beating Democrats took at the statehouse level.

Where is Obama's path to victory?

50 posted on 05/08/2012 5:44:46 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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