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Obama won’t lose Latinos and Blacks because of gay marriage
SFGate: Politics Blog ^ | 5/10/12 | Joe Garofoli, Chronicle Political Writer

Posted on 05/10/2012 12:46:09 PM PDT by SmithL

One key point conservatives made in today’s story about President Obama backing same sex marriage is that it would drive away conservative Latino and African-American voters. That’s what folks like conservative activist Gary Marx told us.

That possibility “is wildly unlikely,” said Gary Segura, professor of American Politics and Chicano Studies at Stanford University and a principal in the polling firm Latino Decisions.

While many Latinos are Catholic, a religion which does not condone same sex marriage, Segura said Latinos rarely let their religious beliefs steer their votes.

(Excerpt) Read more at blog.sfgate.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 0bama; blacks; homosexualagenda; immigration; latinos; pandering
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To: SmithL

Graveyard, meet Whistle.


51 posted on 05/10/2012 1:48:45 PM PDT by pabianice
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To: sickoflibs; C19fan; Impy; SeekAndFind; Clintonfatigued; RitaOK; fieldmarshaldj
“...much like Romney will repress some turnout on the R side..”

This issue will make Christians and other groups that were “ehh” or doubtful about Romney vote for Romney (actually, against Obama).

Obama needs the volume of votes to perpetrate voter fraud. If enough of his 2008 voters say on the sidelines, that can't happen.

That, coupled with an advertising campaign like you laid out would be DEVASTATING to Obama.

Personally, I think he's going to lose anyway, this cements it.

BillyBoy: You're spot on. This supposed HUGE block of values voters exists like a perfect round of golf exists - only in theory. A "gimme" crowd is a "gimme" crowd, even if they use a church as a background prop.

52 posted on 05/10/2012 1:50:08 PM PDT by GOPsterinMA (The stench of Earth Pimp-age is permeating over the internet...)
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To: sickoflibs; BillyBoy; C19fan; GOPsterinMA; Impy; SeekAndFind; Clintonfatigued; RitaOK; ...
Billyboy: I get really tired of hearing the GOP talking point about how Hispanics are “pro-life, pro-traditional family, social conservatives who are natural Republicans

I live in Texas. My next door neighbor is 100% hispanic and a retired state employee with a state pension, but he is against Obama, Hillary, and thinks that today unions are making outrageous demands.He doesn't like Rick Perry because he thinks he is crooked.

However, I believe amnesty would give voting rights to very few like him. And even new legal immigrants vote mostly for Dems.

53 posted on 05/10/2012 2:02:43 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (Fool me once, shame on you -- twice, shame on me -- 100 times, it's U. S. immigration policy.)
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To: SmithL

Most “Latinos” have the same church attendances habits as do the Obamas.


54 posted on 05/10/2012 2:06:47 PM PDT by Western Phil
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To: ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas; All

“However, I believe amnesty would give voting rights to very few like him. And even new legal immigrants vote mostly for Dems.”

You got that right!!!


55 posted on 05/10/2012 2:07:59 PM PDT by GOPsterinMA (The stench of Earth Pimp-age is permeating over the internet...)
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They won’t vote for Romney but they may wake up on Election Day and not be all that motivated to go out an vote.

Plus a wishy washy white independent in, say, Iowa, who is a mish mash of conservative and liberal might stay home or vote for Romney.

But especially Latinos...there is more than just this issue that might make them not be super motivated.

Florida, Ohio, Colorado, Virginia and maybe and Iowa/Wisconsin this might have a little subliminal effect.

Often decisions to vote or not are really the result of a lot of paper cuts rather than one big thing.


56 posted on 05/10/2012 2:09:22 PM PDT by Crimson Elephant
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To: Jewbacca
Obama would not lose the black vote if he started to randomly shoot black people on TV.

I’ve never seen such blind allegience.

Their honor is their loyalty.

57 posted on 05/10/2012 2:19:04 PM PDT by 17th Miss Regt
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To: ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas; sickoflibs; BillyBoy; C19fan; GOPsterinMA; Impy; SeekAndFind; ...

MOST immigrants vote for Democrats....just fact.


58 posted on 05/10/2012 2:20:54 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.)
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To: stephenjohnbanker; sickoflibs; BillyBoy; C19fan; GOPsterinMA; Impy; SeekAndFind
MOST immigrants vote for Democrats....just fact.

I agree. My neighbor was born here, so he is a non-immigrant Hispanic.

59 posted on 05/10/2012 2:27:29 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (Fool me once, shame on you -- twice, shame on me -- 100 times, it's U. S. immigration policy.)
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To: SmithL
A lot of religious people accept 30 pieces of welfare and gladly enslave themselves and families to the state.
Also, Hispanics and Blacks don't act socially conservative. Check out the rates of out of wedlock births. It's over 75% for African Americans.
60 posted on 05/10/2012 2:53:07 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: cuban leaf

Precisely.


61 posted on 05/10/2012 3:00:20 PM PDT by BlackElk (Dean of Discipline, Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Broil 'em now!!!)
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To: BillyBoy; MNnice
BillyBoy:

You are too pessimistic by far. It is about time that the GOP reach out to ghetto and barrio for votes on social conservative issues. If Obozo hands us political gifts, we ought to take them. We don't have to carry ghetto or barrio. We just need to minimize the virtual unanimity we perceive in their vote or minimize the votes of those who just will not consider voting other than for Obozo and his party.

62 posted on 05/10/2012 3:08:13 PM PDT by BlackElk (Dean of Discipline, Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society. Broil 'em now!!!)
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To: BlackElk; BillyBoy; MNnice
You are too pessimistic by far. It is about time that the GOP reach out to ghetto and barrio for votes on social conservative issues.

Nothing wrong with that, but pandering and amnesty are worse than useless. For example, McCain in 2008 after pushing amnesty hard.

63 posted on 05/10/2012 3:24:52 PM PDT by ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas (Fool me once, shame on you -- twice, shame on me -- 100 times, it's U. S. immigration policy.)
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To: Mr. Jeeves

“Follow the money.”

Nope. It’s 100% race-hate.


64 posted on 05/10/2012 3:47:05 PM PDT by Jewbacca (The residents of Iroquois territory may not determine whether Jews may live in Jerusalem.)
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To: SmithL; All
Some strong cautions to people who think black and Hispanic voters will never vote against Democrats, so social conservatives should be told to go to the back of the bus, sit down, and shut up while we focus on the economy.

First: Do you have any better ideas than gay marriage of how to antagonize Hispanics and blacks into voting against Obama, or at least staying home?

Second: There was a day when people said southern whites would never vote for the party of Lincoln. There was a day when people said Catholic blue collar union workers would never vote against the party of Kennedy. Social issues were key in convincing many people in both groups that being a good conservative Southern evangelical or a good cradle Catholic meant switching parties. I'm well aware there were other factors, but religion was key in making temporary alliances into permanent changes in demographic voting patterns.

Massive and long-term electoral change can happen based on religious beliefs, for better or for worse. I can't think of anything that Barack Obama could do which would be more likely to antagonize blacks and Hispanics than what he just did.

Let's not turn down this gift. We may not get another chance. Something simply must be done to break the stranglehold of the Democratic Party on its black and Hispanic voting bloc, because white guys are getting old and aren't having enough kids to retain a conservative majority much longer.

65 posted on 05/10/2012 4:02:52 PM PDT by darrellmaurina
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To: Antoninus; Lazlo in PA; cripplecreek; napscoordinator; writer33; AmericanInTokyo; wagglebee; ...
Ping. This could be one of the very few things Obama could do to create opposition among churchgoing socially conservative blacks and Hispanics.

Let's push this one hard.

66 posted on 05/10/2012 4:19:45 PM PDT by darrellmaurina
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To: ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas; BlackElk; MNnice; Impy; Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; ...
Admittedly, this is in no way a scientific poll, but I've been keeping track of my Hispanic friends reaction to Obama's statement, and here' my rough Facebook count for today for the political views of my Hispanic/Latino friends.

Hispanics & Latinos who agree with me that marriage is between a man and woman: 3.

Hispanics & Latinos who agree with President Obama that's it's "equality" for "consenting adults" if you legalize marriage for gays, but no other non-traditional sexual relationships: 14. (one of whom just unfriended me)

Yep, sure... "Hispanics are very devout Catholics who are pro-traditional marriage and natural Republicans". Not on the planet I'm living on, or at least, not the ones living in the Chicago area.

I think alot of the GOP is in denial. Yes, there are millions of "socially conservative" Hispanics in the U.S. who are "natural Republicans". I know one who is a naturalized U.S. citizen who came here from Mexico as a child, and she is indeed pro-life, pro-traditional marriage, strongly Catholic, etc., and voted for Rick Santorum in the GOP primary.

But she is FAR outnumbered by the number of SOCIALLY LIBERAL Hispanics that I know personally and have had countless arguments with over Obama's health-care mandate for free contraceptives (they SUPPORT forcing the Catholic Church to pay for people's contraceptives), and Obama's endorsement of gay marriage (they AGREE with him that letting gays marry whoever they want is somehow "equality")

The majority of Hispanics are LIBERAL on social issues (or least less conservative on those than their Anglo counterparts in the Catholic Church)

67 posted on 05/10/2012 5:43:43 PM PDT by BillyBoy (Illegals for Perry/Gingrich 2012 : Don't be "heartless"/ Be "humane")
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To: SmithL
Bottom line, steeped in the greed of human nature: If Emperor Holy O is going to give them STUFF AND STUFF AND STUFF AND MORE STUFF, off the backs of the producers of society,(which he will do) why they won't even care of Obama legalizes marriage between men and goats. Morals go out the door when one is bribed, and bribed handsomely.

68 posted on 05/10/2012 6:08:00 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (The FR - Commandante Hugo Chavez Death BETTING POOL is now officially ON!!!)
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To: SmithL
95% of blacks will vote for Satan as long as he is a democrat. There is zero reason for the Republicans to try to make inroads among blacks, it is an impossibility to get over 10% of them on our side. So let us stop wasting time and energy it is not worth it.

However Latinos are not as entheusiatic about Obama as they were in 2008. In these election he is going to lose 10% to 15% of the Latinos who voted for in 2008. In these elections he is going to lose 20% of the Whites who voted for him in 2008...In other word he is going to lose the elections.

69 posted on 05/10/2012 6:26:51 PM PDT by jveritas (God bless our brave troops)
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To: FlingWingFlyer
Anyone cognizant of the trends within defined demographics would understand that it is folly to identify "Latinos" with the Black bloc. It's just pisspoor reporting.
70 posted on 05/10/2012 6:29:41 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: BillyBoy; Antoninus; Lazlo in PA; writer33; napscoordinator; cripplecreek; AmericanInTokyo; ...
BillyBoy wrote: “I think alot of the GOP is in denial. Yes, there are millions of ‘socially conservative’ Hispanics in the U.S. who are ‘natural Republicans.’ ... The majority of Hispanics are LIBERAL on social issues (or least less conservative on those than their Anglo counterparts in the Catholic Church)”

I certainly don't disagree that the Hispanic community ranges from devout Mass-going Catholics to wildly promiscuous people who created the stereotypes of Latin lover men and sexually easy or at least exotically flirtatious women. Even in the Cuban community, which is probably the most conservative due to its anticommunism, we're kidding ourselves if we think pre-Castro Cuba was a model of free enterprise. That island was in serious trouble due to organized crime as well as rural land barons no better than much of the rest of Latin America, and arguably worse. While lots of modern Cubans have become supporters of free enterprise because of their experience in Florida, that doesn't necessarily mean they're social conservatives.

Rural Southern whites also range from Bible Baptists to people who created the stereotypes associated with the Dukes of Hazzard. Similar things could be said of a number of other ethnic groups where the Republican Party has made successful inroads over the years, including my own Italian heritage which a century ago had horrible stereotypes which were parallel in many ways to modern Hispanic culture.

The question is which people within the subculture will be assisted in providing leadership.

The Democrats like to promote people like Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Ramón Villaraigosa to positions of prominence, and there are lots of Hispanics who secretly envy him for his ability to get hot anchorbabes into bed such as Mirthana Salias of Telemundo and former Miss South Carolina Lu Parker of KTLA, just like there are lots of Southern whites who envied Bill Clinton's ability to get pretty much any woman he wanted. Base instincts have a powerful draw.

Republicans have our share of moral problems too, but we don't promote such people as role models to be enjoyed. On the contrary, we generally find people who are successful in business or the military or some other field where long hours of hard work is required for success, and that tends to mean people who have at least somewhat stable family lives because the type of women who are attracted to playboy types are generally high-maintenance and don't provide the stability needed to succeed in professions where long hours and self-discipline are required.

Long-term cultural change requires promoting the right sort of role models while creating incentives to average people to engage in productive behavior rather than bad behaviors which may feel good for a while but long term are destructive to themselves as well as the broader culture.

Modern Democrats are good at pushing short-term rewards of pleasure — talking liberty but promoting licentiousness. Modern Republicans are a lot better at promoting the sort of values that actually work in bringing poor people out of poverty.

It's all about which value system we want to encourage.

71 posted on 05/10/2012 6:32:27 PM PDT by darrellmaurina
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To: BillyBoy

I don’t think that many people consider Hispanics living in Chicago to be “natural Republicans” any more than Anglos living in Chicago are “natural Republicans.” Hispanics in Texas and Florida, though, are far more conservative, and Hispanics living in states without large Hispanic populations tend to vote about the same as Anglos do.

Obama coming out of the closet on marriage will help Romney reduce Obama’s vote margin among Hispanics by making it harder for socially conservative or religious Hispanics to convince themselves that Obama is not a social liberal, and so its okay to vote for him, which will result in some of them voting for Romney but an even larger number of them staying home or at least not volunteering to campaign for Obama and get people to the polls.


72 posted on 05/10/2012 6:37:56 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: AuH2ORepublican; Impy; BlackElk
Within Chicago city limits, no. As you pointed out, no ethnic group would be "natural Republican" in Chicago, its a one party Democrat system and has been for sometime. But I was speaking of the greater Chicagoland area, including many suburban communities where we should be making inroads. If the excuse is that Hispanics lean conservative on social issues but are voting Democrat for "economic reasons", then again, one would expect "socially conservative" Democrats to do best in Democrat primaries where there is a large Hispanic community. Instead, the opposite is true. Socially liberal Hispanics overwhelming win primaries. You rarely see any "pro-life, pro-traditional family" Democrats nominated in Hispanic districts, whereas the opposite is true among Irish and Polish-american voters in the Chicago area... quite a few of them lean Democrat but tend to favor "socially conservative" Democrats. Of course, there are always exceptions to the rule, Ruben Diaz in New York being an particularly outspoken "socially conservative" Democrat.

The person who unfriended me on facebook is a fine example of how the GOP script about "social conservatives and natural Republicans" doesn't work in real life. She's a second generation Mexican American who lives in northwest Indiana and is a weekly church goer. She's raising a single daughter and has strong family ties and the girls aunts and uncles, both set of grandparents, etc., are involved in her life. She works an honest job and struggles to make ends met. According to the GOP script, she should be a "natural Republcian" She unfriended me today because I cried fowl when she posted banned congratulating Obama on gay marriage, and I pointed out her beliefs conflicted with her Catholic faith (and again, she's a weekly church goer, not a Christmas & Easter Catholic). She then called me a "bigot" who "hates gay people" and unfriended me, especially since she's helping indoctrinate her 13 year old daughter to support gay marriage and I questioned that.

73 posted on 05/10/2012 7:44:18 PM PDT by BillyBoy (Illegals for Perry/Gingrich 2012 : Don't be "heartless"/ Be "humane")
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To: C19fan
I totally agree with the article 100%. Latinos were a big forced behind defeating gay marriage at the ballot box in CA but they will turn around and vote for their pro-gay marriage Democratic politicians because they promise them more. I was listening to American Family Radio driving home from work and they had on James Dobson and other pro-traditional marriage advocates and they were talking about how this issue would drive African-Americans and Hispanics away from Obama and I thought there were crazy and naive. They want Big Government first and will vote for a Big Government liberal even if said liberal is for gay marriage.

Yes, so, so true, and even if not all the promised freebies arrive, their faith is so strong that merely the hope of new freebies in the future will sustain them.

74 posted on 05/11/2012 3:13:39 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Past is prologue: The American people again let us down in this election cycle.)
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To: BillyBoy; MNnice; AuH2ORepublican; BlackElk

Hispanic people in my neighborhood appear to be very religious, lots of evangelicals too. I would doubt it if they are socially liberal. But they’ll vote for the rat machine candidate anyway.


75 posted on 05/13/2012 3:36:11 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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