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Election 2012: North Carolina President North Carolina: Romney 51%, Obama 43%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 5-16-2012 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 05/16/2012 5:43:50 AM PDT by icwhatudo

Mitt Romney has moved out to an eight-point lead over President Obama in North Carolina after the two men were virtually tied a month ago.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Tar Heel State shows the putative Republican nominee earning 51% of the vote to Obama’s 43%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

That’s a big change from last month when Romney posted a narrow 46% to 44% lead over the president in Rasmussen Reports’ first survey of the race in North Carolina. Democrats have signaled North Carolina’s importance as a key swing state by deciding to hold their national convention in Charlotte this summer.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; abo; homosexualmarriage; nc2012; rasmussen
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To: Gaffer; All

I predict, right now, and all FReepers can hold me to this:

After the GOP Convention, in August, Romney will be up, at least, 15 points over Obama in the polls. Remember: You heard it from me first.


41 posted on 05/16/2012 6:48:48 AM PDT by no dems (TED CRUZ: A PROVEN CONSERVATIVE FOR U.S. SENATE FROM TEXAS.)
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To: redstater1216
Your posts are making too much sense.

Better be careful, you will soon be noticed, and offense mounted to remove you, (again?).

42 posted on 05/16/2012 6:53:27 AM PDT by going hot (Happiness is a momma deuce)
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To: redstater1216

one helluva a great post


43 posted on 05/16/2012 6:54:48 AM PDT by Hegewisch Dupa
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To: no dems
What are the chances the Dems will boot Obama for Hillary before their Convention?

Nil ....

However, I have said in the past, that, if Obama's numbers are low (20s or 30s) by the Convention, the DNC may try to force him to step down -- using some feigned illness or similar, and possible go for Hillary.

If the internal polling in various 'swing' states show Obama losing like Carter, the Dems might be willing to change their ticket. Hillary could be formidable against the weakly GOP nominee.

However, the Dem establishment doesn't like the Clintons -- but they may have Obamaoverload and may like Obama even less.
44 posted on 05/16/2012 6:54:48 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: no dems

If the Recall of Scott Walker, in WI, fails on June 5th, I guarantee you that it will deflate the Dem voter turn-out on November 6th. Depression does strange things to people. I expect Obama to lose Wisconsin.

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

From your lips to God’s ears. If Ubama loses Wisconsin in Nov, that would almost surely seal his fate.


45 posted on 05/16/2012 6:55:37 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2
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To: no dems

If they are forward looking, the chances will be nil.
If they boot ‘bammers, they’ll have the blacks voting in numbers more representative of the general voting population.

That, combined with vote fraud control, will be the end of their power for decades.


46 posted on 05/16/2012 6:56:52 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter knows whom he's working for)
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To: icwhatudo

NC will not back Obama again, the very idea it would was laughable from the get go.

Obama will not win a single state he lost in 2008, the question is which ones will he lose.

NC definitely is one he will not carry in 12. I’d say Indiana and Ohio are also will be lost by Obama. That’s 44 votes to the R if that is correct.

Republicans need 270 for the win, wich is 67 more than 08. NC, Ohio and Indian add up to 44, so 23 more votes are needed. By redistricting, R is going to gain 6 votes even if vote stayed the same, so that puts you at 50 of the 67 votes needed to win.

So if OH, NC and IN do to Red, and its not likely any red state from 08 is going to go blue, this election boils down to 17 electoral votes. If FL and OH were to both go red, its over. If VA goes red, and any other state with that combo and its effectively over.

I’d personally keep an eye on WI, IA, VA and yes, I’d even say PA at this point are possibilities. I’m sure the focus is mostly going to be on OH and FL, since you take NC, OH and FL and you have 66 (with census adjustsments of 2010 included) of the 67 needed to flip if everything else stays the same. However I think far more than just those will flip

I don’t think the electoral college victory will be as domineering as the popular vote victory will be for the republicans, simply due to how the population is distributed, but the ovrall popular vote is going to be a routing. The electoral routing may not be so extreme, but I really don’t see a calculus with Obama over 43-45% of the popular vote tops. And frankly I can see caluclus where he doesn’t even get 40%


47 posted on 05/16/2012 6:58:03 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: TSgt

Once “gay marriage” is legitimized, then it’s a very short next step to forcing churches to perform same sex marriages, or lose their tax-exempt status, IMHO, of course.


48 posted on 05/16/2012 6:58:53 AM PDT by nfldgirl
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To: Eccl 10:2

I have assumed from day 1, that the Dems in WI turned the state red with their antics in the next national election. They’ve shot their entire wad on nonsense, and frankly the typical folks of WI are I suspect sick of it.

I believe WI will be solidly red this election cycle, but I haven’t seen any polling from the state, so I haven’t predicted this yet, other than I think it will go red.


49 posted on 05/16/2012 7:00:05 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Lazamataz

With electronic voting having no paper trail, unprecedented voting fraud and stealing an election is most definitely not out of the realm of possibilities.


50 posted on 05/16/2012 7:03:14 AM PDT by nfldgirl
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To: no dems

I would expect nothing less, Obama has a hard ceiling at 43-45%, he’s got ZERO chance of going over that amount of the national popular vote, short of a dramatic change such as war or something along those lines. Obama has no chance of winning a 2 way race against ANYONE.

The question isn’t will Obama lose, its how badly will he lose and how many democrats will go down with him.

Remember, many of the dems who voted for Obamacare in the senate are finally going to face the voters this fall for the first time, don’t think for one minute that they weren’t going to pay a price for it.. combine that with Obama’s antics and abject failures, and not only will the Senate be Republican controlled after the election, it very likely will be controlled and filabuster proof.

Obama has led the Democrats down the road to obliteration at least for a while. Its going to be an absolute shelacing for the Dems in Nov.


51 posted on 05/16/2012 7:04:33 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: TomGuy
some feigned illness or similar

Awaiting the report zer0 has AIDS to be broadcast.

52 posted on 05/16/2012 7:07:08 AM PDT by no-to-illegals (Please God, Protect and Bless Our Men and Women in Uniform with Victory. Amen.)
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To: Sooth2222

Obama will be lucky if he carries eight to ten states. Romney will win in a landslide. Note; the winds of change are blowing. Both Nebraska & Indiana will send Tea Party Republicans to the U.S. Senate. Pubbies should be pressing every Democrat across the country to make verbally public their stand on gay marriages. Especially in the state of Ohio, where liberal Democrat Sherrod can beaten about the head and shoulders on the gay marriage issue. Pubbies, for goodness sake, get with the program. Destroy both Obama and the entire Democrat Party politically in November, 2012. Repeat of 2010 mid-term romp will be repeated, even stronger, this year.


53 posted on 05/16/2012 7:07:20 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (My only objective is defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party, politically!!!)
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To: Mouton

I agree a candidate who could take the idological fight to the people and articulate it will would get 60%+ of the popular vote. However Romney as much as he doesn’t excite anyone will get 55%+ of the vote.

Obama has a ceiling of 43-45%, if he makes absolutely no mistakes he won’t get more than that much of the vote. He can’t. So, short of something drastically changing, 3rd party candidate out of nowhere, or war or natural disaster or something, Mickey Mouse would beat OBama by ~ 55-45. Romney will run a safe boring campaign and beat him in that range.

Someone like a Gingrich who would have made it completely ideological battle every step and could articulate it would have I agree made it a 60-40 or 65-35 victory. But wasn’t to happen.


54 posted on 05/16/2012 7:07:53 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: redstater1216

Great post. Btw, If this keeps up it will be a landslide, you heard it here first.


55 posted on 05/16/2012 7:11:13 AM PDT by erod (This Chicagoan will crawl over broken glass to vote the fake Chicagoan Obama out!)
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To: Sooth2222

Oh he’s going to hold some states in 12, the population distribution makes it next to impossible to get an electorial victory like Reagan anymore. Even if you win 55-60% of the popular vote you won’t wind up with the lopsided electorial college votes (at least in states) like you used to.

However, I feel that right now, NC, IN and OH are going red, I also believe WI is likely to be red. FL I suspect will go red, but its too early to say, and VA I would like to think to will as well, but I haven’t seen any polling for these states yet. I think PA is in play as well and NM and NV. IA perhaps. I’d want to see some polling out of the new england states, but I doubt you are going to see muc if any movement at least EC vote there.

However overall popular vote I think is going to easily be in the 55-45 range for Romney. Had we had a strong conservative candidate with the ability to articulate the view and take the fight to Obama, I’d say we would win by 60-40 or 65-35, but since we don’t I think we have a safe relatively boring campaign with Romney just trying not to make any mistakes and taking the guaranteed 55-45 win.


56 posted on 05/16/2012 7:13:02 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: redstater1216

Correct. Conservatives will OWN Romney on appointments to the federal judiciary. He cannot afford any risk of a primary challenge in 2016.

Romney will be superb on judges and for those unaware, Judge Robert Bork is leading his judicial selection team.


57 posted on 05/16/2012 7:13:32 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: HamiltonJay

I believe WI will be solidly red this election cycle, but I haven’t seen any polling from the state, so I haven’t predicted this yet, other than I think it will go red.

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

See my post #11 in this thread for a link.


58 posted on 05/16/2012 7:15:03 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2
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To: icwhatudo

The winner of 2012 will have to win 2 out of the following 3 states (it’s as simple as that ):

Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida. The rest are details.


59 posted on 05/16/2012 7:19:47 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: HamiltonJay

Obama has led the Democrats down the road to obliteration at least for a while. Its going to be an absolute shelacing for the Dems in Nov.
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

I pray that you are right.


60 posted on 05/16/2012 7:23:27 AM PDT by no dems (TED CRUZ: A PROVEN CONSERVATIVE FOR U.S. SENATE FROM TEXAS.)
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