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Fox News poll: Obama pulls ahead of Romney as presidential race heats up (Missing 15%)
Fox News ^ | 5/16/2012 | By Dana Blanton

Posted on 05/16/2012 4:12:48 PM PDT by tobyhill

President Obama tops Republican Mitt Romney in a head-to-head matchup, according to the latest Fox News poll, which finds American voters feeling more positive about the economy.

Obama would have an advantage of 46 percent to 39 percent over Romney, if the election were held today. Three weeks ago the candidates were tied at 46 percent each.

The national poll, released Wednesday, shows the president’s lead is just outside the poll’s margin of sampling error.

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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1 posted on 05/16/2012 4:12:53 PM PDT by tobyhill
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To: tobyhill

Utterly meaningless poll at this point.


2 posted on 05/16/2012 4:16:13 PM PDT by mgstarr ("Some of us drink because we're not poets." Arthur (1981))
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To: tobyhill

The Fox News poll is based on landline and cell phone interviews with 913 randomly-chosen registered voters nationwide

Registered voters, not likely voters.


3 posted on 05/16/2012 4:16:39 PM PDT by Signalman ( November, 2012-The End of an Error)
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To: tobyhill

I call BS. Would be interesting to know more about there samping.


4 posted on 05/16/2012 4:16:39 PM PDT by Tomhorn (Wake up and smell the coffee)
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To: tobyhill

If I recall Fox isn’t the most accurate.
But polls this early before either convention are worth squat other then overall POTUS approval of which Bamster’s is in the crap side of things.


5 posted on 05/16/2012 4:16:43 PM PDT by Names Ash Housewares ( Refusing to kneel before the "messiah".)
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To: tobyhill

I can’t imagine ANYONE feeling positive about this miserable economy.


6 posted on 05/16/2012 4:17:46 PM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (The TEA Party is my cup of tea.)
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To: tobyhill

Who designed and ran the Poll, Shep Smith aided by Juan Willima and Geraldo Rivera?


7 posted on 05/16/2012 4:17:52 PM PDT by SandRat (Duty - Honor - Country! What else needs said?)
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To: tobyhill

I could make a fortune from this bumper sticker. You saw it here first.

8 posted on 05/16/2012 4:18:53 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: tobyhill

And what are the internals? Too many Dems relative to the actual percentages in the voting population no doubt.


9 posted on 05/16/2012 4:19:18 PM PDT by MissesBush (The Fourth Estate has Become a Fifth Column)
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To: tobyhill
We have a situation where there are two candidates making a race to the bottom.

If you sample REGISTERED VOTERS you will find their popularity numbers tallying significantly less than 100%. At the same time the margin of error is increasing with each poll.

What that means is quite obvious ~ that more and more folks otherwise adherents of both major parties are showing less and less interest in either candidate.

The one yesterday gave Obama as low as 39% and Romney 42%! THAT IS INCREDIBLE!

If you simply post the results of "Probable voters" you'll never see the race to the bottom. TALLY the two candidate's percentages and they'll be pretty close to 100% ~ rather than 81%.

I think it would be a good idea to cover the most recent Registered Voter Poll simultaneously with the most recent Probable Voter Poll so that we get a truer idea of how the two compare and contrast with each other as well as how they are being accepted/rejected in the most general sense.

If this race to the bottom continues you'll see the combined Obama and Romney popularity falling below 50% ~ which will presumably happen BEFORE the convention thereby giving Romney a chance to back out gracefully and give a Conservative a shot at rejuvenating a dying Presidential election.

10 posted on 05/16/2012 4:20:25 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: tobyhill

At most, this poll might indicate that the relentless negative media attack is taking its intended toll on Romney. Obama stays at 46 %.


11 posted on 05/16/2012 4:20:38 PM PDT by JimSEA
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To: SandRat

Don’t leave out Alan Combs


12 posted on 05/16/2012 4:20:52 PM PDT by DeaconRed (My vote in Nov will be dictated by my extreme hatred for ZERO and what he is doing to our country.)
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To: SandRat
The poll is definitely BS. A week ago had 46% with Obama and Romney but suddenly Romney drops 7% with the gay week Obama had?
13 posted on 05/16/2012 4:21:09 PM PDT by tobyhill (Conservatives are proud of themselves, Liberals lie about themselves)
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To: SandRat

Don’t forget Bob Beckel the jackal!


14 posted on 05/16/2012 4:21:17 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: tobyhill

Poll question: “Now that the economy is doing very well, and we have finally turned the budget deficit into a surplus, would you consider voting for Obama rather than the bully Romney who has a history of beating up gays?”


15 posted on 05/16/2012 4:21:36 PM PDT by Cementjungle
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To: tobyhill

Sorry, but this poll is utter and complete B.S.! Let me guess, his support of Gay Marriage must have been the event that caused this surge in support?

Again, I call Bull Sh*t!


16 posted on 05/16/2012 4:22:45 PM PDT by Artcore
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To: SandRat
Who designed and ran the Poll, Shep Smith aided by Juan Willima and Geraldo Rivera?

Or perhaps it was "Dr." Mark Hill, a frequent guest of BOR. What he is a "doctor" of, I have no idea.
17 posted on 05/16/2012 4:22:45 PM PDT by Signalman ( November, 2012-The End of an Error)
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To: tobyhill

All these “polls” are bunk. There’s only one poll that matters, and that’s the one on election day.


18 posted on 05/16/2012 4:22:56 PM PDT by Jack Hammer
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To: tobyhill

Oh yes of course Obama will win people just LOVE his stand on Gay “marriage” and women have reversed themselves over night /s/


19 posted on 05/16/2012 4:24:38 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: tobyhill

Romney leads among independents by 5 and Obama leads overall by 7? This is only possible if democrats are being over sampled by a large margin. Really large.


20 posted on 05/16/2012 4:25:26 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (.)
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To: Signalman

Mark Hill is a doctor of ‘Hip Hop Culture”. I kid you not.


21 posted on 05/16/2012 4:25:35 PM PDT by Williams (Nobama)
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To: JimSEA

I doubt there’s 7% in this nation that would change their minds in a week. I guarantee there are no more than 5% undecided.


22 posted on 05/16/2012 4:25:44 PM PDT by tobyhill (Conservatives are proud of themselves, Liberals lie about themselves)
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To: tobyhill
President Obama tops Republican Mitt Romney in a head-to-head matchup, according to the latest Fox News poll,...

WTF?

This can't be true because America yearns for a true conservative and Romney has shown via his prominent background that he is severely conservative, for example...

Give me a moment...I KNOW, no that wasn't conservative, well he...no that wasn't conservative either.

Well, I'm sure some one can show something conservative that Romney has made a name promoting, I'm just drawing a blank presently.

23 posted on 05/16/2012 4:26:01 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: All

Today’s Rasmussen poll, which polls likely voters as opposed to registered voters, has it 47-46, Romney over Obama.


24 posted on 05/16/2012 4:26:10 PM PDT by Signalman ( November, 2012-The End of an Error)
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To: Signalman

A Doctor of Stupid perhaps.


25 posted on 05/16/2012 4:27:07 PM PDT by SandRat (Duty - Honor - Country! What else needs said?)
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To: Artcore

Exactly. Gay Marriage can’t have the support be proclaimed yet still get beat down by 20 points in swing state NC and 5 points in gay California.


26 posted on 05/16/2012 4:28:21 PM PDT by tobyhill (Conservatives are proud of themselves, Liberals lie about themselves)
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To: JimSEA
3pt margin of error ~ applicable to each candidate. That gives Romney a possible 36% to Obama's 43% today. That's a grand total of 79%.

A full 1/5 of all the registered voters ain't sayin'!

That's consistent with yesterday's comparable poll by a different company, although the results are reversed.

They should each fall to the bottom (of their minimum support level) in a quantum fashion ~ at different times.

Another month and there'll be 2/5 of the registered voters chosen at random who will express no selection!

27 posted on 05/16/2012 4:28:25 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Cementjungle

Who do you like less, the guy who drove with his dog on the roof of the car or the guy who ate a dog?


28 posted on 05/16/2012 4:28:41 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: tobyhill

42Dem/34Rep/20Ind/3 don’t know

IOW, junk poll!


29 posted on 05/16/2012 4:29:14 PM PDT by KansasGirl
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To: GeorgeWashingtonsGhost

Interestingly I’ve seen several bumper stickers with “Obama 2012”. No mention of Biden.


30 posted on 05/16/2012 4:29:47 PM PDT by Churchillspirit (9/11/2001. NEVER FORGET.)
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To: Jack Hammer
All these “polls” are bunk. There’s only one poll that matters, and that’s the one on election day

Absolutley!!! Hell, remember in 2004, even the election day exit polling had Kerry winning, and we know how that turned out.

31 posted on 05/16/2012 4:30:12 PM PDT by catfish1957 (My dream for hope and change is to see the punk POTUS in prison for treason)
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To: Signalman

It also over sampled Rats. 42% of responses from Rats only 34% from Republicans.


32 posted on 05/16/2012 4:30:44 PM PDT by KansasGirl
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To: Signalman
Notice how "likely voters" total percentages jumps up to near 100%? That's because all the "registered voters" who are making no choice are being deleted from the sample selection.

You have to know BOTH results ~ one of them to tell you how the candidates are doing in general, and the other to compare the one against the other.

33 posted on 05/16/2012 4:30:44 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Signalman

and that’s the 7% they claim are still undecided.


34 posted on 05/16/2012 4:30:49 PM PDT by tobyhill (Conservatives are proud of themselves, Liberals lie about themselves)
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To: tobyhill
Faux News trying to carry Obama's water in a sieve again.
Won't help him...........Again.
35 posted on 05/16/2012 4:33:40 PM PDT by The Cajun (Palin, Free Republic, Mark Levin, Newt......Nuff said.)
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To: KansasGirl
The material I read about this poll didn't indicate any pre-stratification by political affiliation, so all you have there is a report of what the randomly sampled people said they were.

You can take such a poll tomorrow and get a totally different result.

The polls that are pre-stratified (so that you get your 40% Dem, 10% Republican and 50% independents) may be taken to test the general validity of the other non pre stratified polls.

Not every poll is statistically valid but that doesn't mean they have no value to understanding the other polls that are statistically valid.

They pay people good money to do this stuff!

36 posted on 05/16/2012 4:35:24 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: catfish1957

Exit polling is a very inexact science.


37 posted on 05/16/2012 4:36:23 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: SandRat

Fox News? Lost faith in them long ago.


38 posted on 05/16/2012 4:37:28 PM PDT by dagogo redux (A whiff of primitive spirits in the air, harbingers of an impending descent into the feral.)
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To: tobyhill

Must have been a poll of all the Fox employees at the NY hq.


39 posted on 05/16/2012 4:38:14 PM PDT by abigailsmybaby ("To understan' the livin', you got ta commune wit' da dead." Minerva)
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To: tobyhill
Yep!

The Obama campaign is desperate right now. Every diversion they've tried has failed: contraceptive issue and women, race baiting in the Trayvon Martin case, “evolving” support of gay marriage...yada...yada! Everything is failed.

This fool is throwing anything and everything at the wall to see what will stick. I think we also heard another bull sh*t poll showing Dear Reader leading Romney amongst young college age students. I guess this is why the skinny Marxist has been visiting every college campus he can. Remember the pitiful number of students who came to see the Marxist in Ohio.

40 posted on 05/16/2012 4:38:48 PM PDT by Artcore
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To: jwalsh07

8 pts. 42D-34R


41 posted on 05/16/2012 4:38:54 PM PDT by KansasGirl
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To: catfish1957

Rasmussen and IBD/TIPP are most accurate election after election. IBD has obama up by 3 and rasmussen has romney up by 7. Big problem for obama is both polls have substantial leads among independents for romney


42 posted on 05/16/2012 4:39:22 PM PDT by StevieRay20
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To: tobyhill

Take out those that are ‘sucking’ off the governments tits and Obama would be at 5%.

The economy stinks, gas prices are more that doubled from 2008, foreclosures are at an all time high, our country is continually being invaded by third world illegals, etc... and to imagine that this presidential race should even be close is SCARY!!!


43 posted on 05/16/2012 4:40:29 PM PDT by doc
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To: mgstarr

The battle hasn’t even really begun. It’s on the horizon, but that’s all.

Now, the question is, will Romney engage or is he going to McCainChicken-out?


44 posted on 05/16/2012 4:42:29 PM PDT by samtheman
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To: muawiyah

From your lips to the “wishful thinking” god’s ears.


45 posted on 05/16/2012 4:44:03 PM PDT by JerseyDvl (Cogito Ergo Doleo Soetoro, ABO and of course FUBO!)
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To: tobyhill

Fox News “stupid and worthless”


46 posted on 05/16/2012 4:44:14 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: tobyhill

Okay, let’s do a poll right here. We have 300,000 plus people, much bigger sample. How many feel better about the economy?


47 posted on 05/16/2012 4:44:30 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (Ich habe keinen Konig aber Gott)
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To: Churchillspirit

It’s tragic that the media attacked Cheney but doesn’t attack Biden. WTF is up with that? Biden is a gaffe-prone, incompetent and psychotic loose canon. It’s pathetic he’s even allowed to set foot in our White House (let alone Obama and the hundreds of his communist friends who sought to ‘CHANGE’ America’s form of government to a ‘National Socialist’ State).


48 posted on 05/16/2012 4:47:30 PM PDT by GeorgeWashingtonsGhost
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To: tobyhill

In October 2008 no one could convince me that this country would ever elect this looser. Nothing this electorate does will surprise me now.


49 posted on 05/16/2012 4:47:51 PM PDT by BO Stinkss
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To: StevieRay20
Ras and Gallup (when they switch to likely voters) are the gold standard

Ras has Romney only up by 1 (was up 8 couple of days ago). Gallup has it exactly even.

Ras is Likely Voters... Gallup is Registered Voters

50 posted on 05/16/2012 4:54:18 PM PDT by NE Cons (Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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