Skip to comments.Has the bell begun to toll for the GOP?
Posted on 05/18/2012 4:43:32 PM PDT by rmlew
Among the more controversial chapters in "Suicide of a Superpower," my book published last fall, was the one titled, "The End of White America."
It dealt with the demographic decline of the white majority and what it portends for education, the U.S. economy, politics and national unity.
That book and chapter proved the proximate cause of my departure from MSNBC, where the network president declared that subjects such as these are inappropriate for "the national dialogue."
Apparently, the mainstream media are reassessing that.
For, in rare unanimity, The New York Times, The Washington Post and USA Today all led yesterday with the same story.
"Whites Account for Under Half of Births in U.S.," blared the Times headline. "Minority Babies Majority in U.S.," echoed the Post. "Minorities Are Now a Majority of Births," proclaimed USA Today.
The USA Today story continued, "The nation's growing diversity has huge implications for education, economics and politics."
Huge is right.
Not only are whites declining as a share of the population, they are declining in real terms. Between 2010 and 2011, the number of births to white women fell 10 percent. The median age of white Americans, now 43 and rising, means that half of all white women have moved past the age that they are ever likely to bear more children.
White America is a dying tribe.
What do these statistics mean politically? Almost surely the end of the Republican Party as a national governing institution.
Republicans now depend on the vanishing majority for fully 90 percent of their votes in presidential elections, while the Democratic Party wins 60 to 70 percent of the Asian and Hispanic vote and 90 to 95 percent of the black vote.
The Democratic base is growing inexorably, while the Republican base is shriveling.
Already, California, Illinois and New York are lost. The GOP has not carried any of the three in five presidential elections. When Texas -- where whites are a minority and a declining share of the population -- tips, how does the GOP put together an electoral majority?
Western states like Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and Arizona, which Republican nominees like Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan swept almost every time they ran, are becoming problematic for the party.
Thus the GOP refrain: We must work harder to win over Hispanics.
Undeniably true. But how does the GOP appeal to them?
Fifty-three percent of all Hispanic children are born out of wedlock, with no father in the home and many of the moms themselves high school dropouts. Most Hispanic kids thus start school far behind.
In tests of fourth-, eighth- and 12th-graders, their scores are closer to those of African-American kids than whites and Asians. Their dropout rate matches that of black kids. Absent affirmative action, not only are America's colleges and universities but her professions are going to look far more Asian and white than the national population.
Not a formula for social peace.
Comes the reply: We must spend more to close the racial gap in test scores. Yet, according to The Washington Examiner, in the District of Columbia, the community where we have spent perhaps the most per capita to close the racial gap in test scores, the racial gap is by far the largest in the nation.
Not only do we seem not to know how to close it after four decades of plunging trillions into public schools, the country is tapped out. We are in the fourth consecutive year of trillion-dollar deficits, and our largest and richest state, California, just discovered its deficit has exploded to $16 billion.
And why should Hispanics vote Republican?
The majority of Hispanics are among that half of the population that pays no income tax. Why should they vote for a party whose major plank is that it will cut income taxes?
Hispanics benefit disproportionately from government programs.
Government puts their kids in Head Start before public school and provides them with Pell grants and student loans after public school.
From kindergarten through 12th grade, government educates their kids for free. Government provides them with free or subsidized health care through Medicaid and clinics. Government provides their families with public housing and rent supplements. Government provides the food stamps that feed the family. Government provides them with an annual earned income tax credit, a check just for working.
Government provides all these things, and what are Republicans going to do? They promise to cut government.
Again, why should Hispanics vote Republican?
Establishment Republicans say the party should support amnesty for illegal aliens. Yet this would make millions more eligible for federal programs in a country sinking in debt and mean millions more Hispanics going to the polls, and millions more coming to America in anticipation of the next amnesty.
How would that help the GOP?
By endlessly expanding Great Society programs, by lopping taxpayers off tax rolls, by supporting open borders and endless immigration from the Third World, the Republican Party, out of sheer nobility of character, has probably ensured its impending departure from history.
I've been there friend. No way to go but up!
Honestly I think I prefer being poor. I just wish I didn’t have to struggle in the process.
Hard to disagree with that, knowing that Obama or Romney will be our next president.
Um, you know that the Indians native to Texas pretty much have nothing historically in common with "Hispanics," right?
A personal liberty platform would work wonders. Of course, that would entail diminshed numbers and influence for government, so the Geriatric Old Plotters are NOT going to go in that direction.
That's odd, because conservative Evangelicals actually tend to have more kids on average, and have lower divorce rates than the national average.
You sure about that?
Compromise destroyed the GOP long ago. It’s in its death throes.
Thank you. You expressed my thought 100%. Perfect.
Not. There are American Indians and Indians from M exico and Central America. The former have a largely asiatic genesis, as opposed to the latter.
Yep, stupid self hating whites who can only think to apologize after they’ve been raped. Truly mind boggling people.
‘Hispanic’ was a term coined by the Nixon administration as a way for the GOP to a ‘have’ a group that could rival African Americans. As a member of the Nixon dam, Buchanan is very familiar with this concept.
Hispanics can be of Native American origins, African, Spanish or Portuguese descent, Asian or a mixture of the above. The best strategy is breaking people of this mythical mentality of being Hispanic. What we need is a movement that de-emphasizes race and ethnic origin.
The 1965 act marked a radical break from the immigration policies of the past. In order to convince the American populace - the majority of whom were opposed to the act - of the legislation's merits, its liberal proponents assured that passage would not influence America's culture significantly...Edward Kennedy, hastened to reassure the populace that the demographic mix would not be affected; these assertions would later prove wildly inaccurate. [excerpted from Wikipedia]
Can't put that toothpaste back in the tube...nation is irreparably and permanently changed.
The answer to Presidential elections is simple.
At the state level, change the apportioning of presidential electors from a winner take all system to the selection of individual electors from individual congressional districts.
It’s already being done in Nebraska, and in some states would dilute the disproportionate influence of large cities over the balance of the population.
Consider how ballot stuffing in Chicago now overrides the vote of rural Illinois, how Gary overrides rural Indiana, how Detroit overrides rural Michigan, and how a different electoral structure would re-balance that. Then look to key swing states like Ohio and Pennsylvania, and see what a different country we could become with a few small changes.
The comparison is apt.
Barbarian populations grew to be much larger than that of Rome itself, to the point where it could field a competent army against its foes.
The comparison is apt.
Barbarian populations grew to be much larger than that of Rome itself, to the point where it could NOT field a competent army against its foes.
In California the GOP has been immigrated out of existence.
A process helped along by assorted dimwits in charge of the Stupid Party.
And thank you for the post. It’s good to know that there’s at least one other person out there in accord with me.