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Daily Presidential (Rasmussen) Obama 47%, Romney 44%
RasmussenReports ^ | 5/21/12 | Scot Rasmussen

Posted on 05/21/2012 6:41:29 AM PDT by NE Cons

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows President Obama earning 47% of the vote and Mitt Romney attracting 44% support. Five percent (5%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another five percent (5%) are undecided.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
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The KM is at 50% approval. The intensity level is at -13% (his average the past couple of years has been at -17%).

What gives? Romney was up by 8, in the same poll, just a week ago. I know there's still lots of time, but are our fellow Americans really this ignorant? Wow

1 posted on 05/21/2012 6:41:38 AM PDT by NE Cons
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To: NE Cons

Nah barry the kenyan is going to lose by a landslide


2 posted on 05/21/2012 6:43:22 AM PDT by italianquaker ( Mr Obama inherited an AAA rating and made it AA, thnx Resident Zero)
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To: NE Cons

The volatility is amazing. Is this higher Obama support due to weekend polling? All the news has been bad for Obama. So, why the upsurge?


3 posted on 05/21/2012 6:44:36 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: NE Cons

“I know there’s still lots of time, but are our fellow Americans really this ignorant?”

Not so much as ignorant, but unexcited about romney and his brand of “conservatism”. What you shall see more of is real conservatives dumping “romney conservatives” like lugar around the country.


4 posted on 05/21/2012 6:46:16 AM PDT by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like it)
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To: WashingtonSource

That’s an 11 point net swing in a week.


5 posted on 05/21/2012 6:46:27 AM PDT by NE Cons (Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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To: NE Cons

Only state by state info is relevant from this point on.


6 posted on 05/21/2012 6:47:22 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: NE Cons; ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas; stephenjohnbanker; DoughtyOne; Gilbo_3; NFHale; Impy; LMAO; ...

Romney is a one trick pony.

He has taken many of Obama’s weaknesses and actions ‘off the table’ as issues to be discussed. His one play is that Obama is a good meaning hard working nice guy who things (the economy) just haven’t worked out for, totally different than the ABBBO club that is rallying behind him. .

This is not that surprising, last weeks NYTimes poll came out of the blue.


7 posted on 05/21/2012 6:47:36 AM PDT by sickoflibs (Romney is a liberal. Just watch him closely try to screw us.)
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To: NE Cons

A lot of people don’t like Romney. I am one of them. The republican party is not, IMHO, the party of conservatives.


8 posted on 05/21/2012 6:47:45 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: NE Cons

I cannot take Rasmussen seriously until he debugs the problem with his polling. These swings are too large.


9 posted on 05/21/2012 6:48:19 AM PDT by Lazamataz (The so-called 'mainstream' media has gone from "biased" straight to "utterly surreal".)
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To: italianquaker
.


Nah barry the kenyan is going to lose by a landslide


"Barry the Kenyan" will destroy O-Romney ... you can bet your Bain Capital Stock Portfolio on that ...



.
10 posted on 05/21/2012 6:49:15 AM PDT by Patton@Bastogne (Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin will DEFEAT the Obama-Romney Socialist Gay-Marriage Axis of Evil)
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To: freeangel
Really, in a week, 11% of the population- mostly conservatives, came to that realization? Nah. No way.

I think it's more of a function of the media doing what they do best. They are still ALL powerful, and they sway public opinion like no other. They worked overtime to make sure the mantra is set... That Obama's evolved view is the only acceptable view...

The masses are easily swayed... Most Americans don't look past a soundbite. Are too lazy to look past the news headlines... and if the media, and Holywood say it's so, it so... to them

11 posted on 05/21/2012 6:49:43 AM PDT by NE Cons (Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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To: Paladin2

I say this all of the time... A rising tide lifts all boats... So, if nationally, a candidate has a 4-5 point lead, the states would follow proportionally...


12 posted on 05/21/2012 6:52:33 AM PDT by NE Cons (Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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To: WashingtonSource

Bet you all in a couple of day s Romeny will be back up.


13 posted on 05/21/2012 6:52:58 AM PDT by scbison
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To: Lazamataz
I cannot take Rasmussen seriously until he debugs the problem with his polling. These swings are too large.

I hear you, but historically, he's been extremely accurate... That is, if you discount his "portraitofamerica" site, where he had Bush beating Gore by 8, and look how that turned out.

I just don't get it

14 posted on 05/21/2012 6:54:36 AM PDT by NE Cons (Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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To: Lazamataz
I cannot take Rasmussen seriously until he debugs the problem with his polling. These swings are too large.

I hear you, but historically, he's been extremely accurate... That is, if you discount his "portraitofamerica" site, where he had Bush beating Gore by 8, and look how that turned out.

I just don't get it

15 posted on 05/21/2012 6:54:45 AM PDT by NE Cons (Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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To: NE Cons

This is because people are finding out who romney really is. They see the many faces of romney and are hearing of how romney really got the nomination. MONEY & false promises, lies,.......he’s just like obama. Our choices right now are evil or more evil.


16 posted on 05/21/2012 6:58:22 AM PDT by Linda Frances (Woe to those who call evil good and good evil, who put darkness for light and light for darkness.)
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To: NE Cons

I posted last week that this is all media driven... there is no “profit” if one or the other candidate dominates in the poles... they must keep the appearance that this is a neck and neck horse race down to the wire, in order to maximize there viewer and readership and hence their profit.


17 posted on 05/21/2012 6:58:40 AM PDT by dps.inspect (the system is rigged...)
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To: NE Cons
Nah. Gas is down again last week, conservatives spent the weekend on Lake Wherever, and Bobo's handlers pulled him from the news cycle, because every time he speaks his numbers go down.
18 posted on 05/21/2012 6:59:53 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: NE Cons

Media, pop culture and the American education system are powerful forces in the blue corner. The baby killers and government-dependant will always vote Dem then add to that the woefully naive, the incredibly inept, the “Like, Oh My God” crowd and the increased segment of the population that can’t differentiate between voting for the President of the USA and “Text 1234 if you think Meaghan has more talent than Brandon”


19 posted on 05/21/2012 7:00:03 AM PDT by ConservativeStatement (Obama "acted stupidly.")
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To: NE Cons

So last week’s dip was just a short-term hit for gay marriage? It’s already old news that voters have forgiven him for?


20 posted on 05/21/2012 7:00:03 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: NE Cons

Barry’s eloquence is swaying the mob. He just stepped up the promises of aid.


21 posted on 05/21/2012 7:00:37 AM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop the destruction in 2012 or continue the decline)
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To: NE Cons

In a close race, with all our die-hard, “true conservative” Freepers voting for Virgil Goode to send the GOP a message, we might as well get used to the idea of 4 more years of Obama and the death of the Republic. But hey, all you Freepers who won’t vote for Romney because he’s exactly the same as Obama or worse, you can feel good about yourself for sticking to your principles.


22 posted on 05/21/2012 7:03:54 AM PDT by RayBob (If guns kill people, can I blame misspelled words on my keyboard?)
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To: NE Cons

Sounds like the masses are OK with Bathhouse Barry’s stance on homo “marriage.”


23 posted on 05/21/2012 7:05:07 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: NE Cons

Actually, if election was held today Romey would win probably 52 to 47 (1% going to other candidates).. The undecides will not go to Obmama as they already know him...


24 posted on 05/21/2012 7:05:42 AM PDT by scbison
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To: 9YearLurker

Unfortunately, that may just be it


25 posted on 05/21/2012 7:05:55 AM PDT by NE Cons (Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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To: RayBob

Totally agree


26 posted on 05/21/2012 7:06:55 AM PDT by NE Cons (Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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To: NE Cons

Until after the conventions, polls mean jack squat.


27 posted on 05/21/2012 7:07:19 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: RayBob
In a close race, with all our die-hard, “true conservative” Freepers voting for Virgil Goode to send the GOP a message, we might as well get used to the idea of 4 more years of Obama and the death of the Republic.

Why do you imply this will be a close race? Have you had a look at the RCP electoral map lately? Obama will have a rock-solid guarantee of 260+ EVs before the first vote is tabulated on election day.

Romney is being nominated to placate the mushy middle in order to hold the House and maybe get close to a tie in the Senate.

28 posted on 05/21/2012 7:10:45 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: Lazamataz
I cannot take Rasmussen seriously until he debugs the problem with his polling. These swings are too large.

The swings are entirely reasonable given the questions he is trying to answer. He polls daily with essentially the same question so that we can track support for Obama throughout his term in our White House, support for Romney from the time he became the presumptive nominee until the election, etc. Given daily polling costs, Scott Rasmussen has to keep the sample size at a level that has these fluctuations. [Note: I have never worked directly for Rasmussen, but I hold him in high regard as an honest professional - he doesn't mess with his methodology to change what he's measuring and get the "desired" result. His poll numbers speak for themselves, and the changes in those numbers tell an honest story.]

29 posted on 05/21/2012 7:11:04 AM PDT by Pollster1 (“A boy becomes a man when a man is needed.” - John Steinbeck)
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To: NE Cons
Most Americans don't look past a soundbite. Are too lazy to look past the news headlines... and if the media, and Holywood say it's so, it so... to them

Exactly. They're told to believe, feel and think in a certain way and they comply. Critical thought burns too many brain cells.

30 posted on 05/21/2012 7:12:19 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: StAnDeliver

The markets were down big-time the past few weeks, but note how the media downplayed it. Pathetic.


31 posted on 05/21/2012 7:12:59 AM PDT by NE Cons (Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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To: Pollster1

I believe he is honest, but I believe his methods are flawed. Swings like these are not reasonable. People aren’t flipflopping like this.


32 posted on 05/21/2012 7:13:21 AM PDT by Lazamataz (The so-called 'mainstream' media has gone from "biased" straight to "utterly surreal".)
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To: NE Cons

My son tells me that young people can’t stand Romney, that he’s too stiff and, well, Mormon. It’s not that they object to Mormonism on a religious basis, but that they find it annoying and creepy. He says that young people never cared about Obama’s religion because they didn’t think that he was a real believer, or that his church was a real church even, more of a political group.

He thinks that young people will fall back to voting for Obama over Romney, or just not vote at all.


33 posted on 05/21/2012 7:15:07 AM PDT by Eva
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To: NE Cons

Why is anyone arguing over this anyway?

Today it will say A, and people will use it as a sounding board for whatever their agenda is. TOMORROW it will say something else and a new group will come out of the woods to heap their spin.


34 posted on 05/21/2012 7:16:45 AM PDT by VanDeKoik (If case you are wondering, I'm STILL supporting Newt.)
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To: ScottinVA
"Have you had a look at the RCP electoral map lately?"

There is a map that looks a lot like what you said: Obama at "260+ EV" -- 266 to be exact -- and Mittens with 272 and the win.

35 posted on 05/21/2012 7:21:32 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: NE Cons
The only significant point of this is an incumbent at less than 50% going in. These polls are always skewed toward democrats. Obama is in deep trouble and the press knows it. He just lost North Carolina by coming out for gay marriage. He did not want to do that but he was forced to for two reasons 1) The idiot he chose for VP 2)His base is not turning out. Despite all the predictions about his “Billion dollar campaign it has materialized.
36 posted on 05/21/2012 7:21:56 AM PDT by ontap
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To: ontap

Has materialized=Has not materialized...sorry


37 posted on 05/21/2012 7:23:43 AM PDT by ontap
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To: Lazamataz; Impy
No way do I believe Barry swung +11% in 1 week. Based on what? Support for gay "marriage"? Last time I checked, gas is still sky high and groceries prices are too. I also see businesses closing which equates to folks being out of work. I call bullsh*t on this poll.

Rasmussen lost me when he wouldn't pick a winner in the Brown vs. Coakley race, when most every other pollster had Brown winning.

PPP (although they tilt left) is more accurate and consistent in their polling methodology, IMHO. Also, a cumulative analysis of polling results is required, some folks look at just what this one flawed prognosticator publishes and take it as truth. It isn't.

38 posted on 05/21/2012 7:27:38 AM PDT by GOPsterinMA (We may die, but DISCO LIVES FOREVER!!!)
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To: sickoflibs

Re: Romney is a one trick pony

He is just another spineless republican who will not fight. God help us.


39 posted on 05/21/2012 7:27:41 AM PDT by jesseam
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To: ontap
These polls are always skewed toward democrats.

You're right. Most are. But Ras isn't one of them. His sampling has the GOP 2 points higher than the Dems. No other pollster has the GOP even or head in likely voter #s.

40 posted on 05/21/2012 7:29:26 AM PDT by NE Cons (Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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To: NE Cons
You all can kid yourselves and rationalize but the truth is... obama is the worst president in our lifetime and these polling results are because romney is the republican nominee. Some of us tried to warn but we know nothing... we are just ignorant rubes and right wing knuckle draggers.

LLS

41 posted on 05/21/2012 7:33:58 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Don't Tread On Me)
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To: GOPsterinMA
Rasmussen lost me when he wouldn't pick a winner in the Brown vs. Coakley race, when most every other pollster had Brown winning

Actually, he was the first pollster to see that race narrowing. True, he didn't poll the week-and-a-half before the election (not sure why), but he did detect a much closer race before anyone else did.

PPP is hit and miss.

42 posted on 05/21/2012 7:34:53 AM PDT by NE Cons (Was a Hard-Core Perry supporter. Now Hard-Core ABO)
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To: NE Cons
“PPP is hit and miss.”

The truth is they all are.

“...True, he didn't poll the week-and-a-half before the election (not sure why)...”

Because he thought it was in the bag for Marcia.

I'll say it again, no way Obama went up 11% in one week. And if it was a GOP candidate that went up that much in a week, I'd say the same thing.

Many FReepers have used the phrase “special sauce” regarding Rasmussen and his polls; they're onto something.

Rasmussen is one point of data, not the entire data set.

43 posted on 05/21/2012 7:40:14 AM PDT by GOPsterinMA (We may die, but DISCO LIVES FOREVER!!!)
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To: NE Cons

I will have to admit that after Romney went after New, Santorum, Perry and Cain like a rabid dog in the primaries then switched and is doing a McCain on Obama via the PAC that wanted to run Rev. Wright Adds I am quite disenfranchised with Romney and the GOP. In fact I can truly say I no longer consider myself a Republican. I am now a conservative Independent!!!


44 posted on 05/21/2012 7:46:18 AM PDT by BobinIL
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To: BobinIL

New = Newt


45 posted on 05/21/2012 7:47:18 AM PDT by BobinIL
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To: StAnDeliver

Well.. OK.. in the absolute best-case scenario. But that’s quite a hope there re: Iowa.


46 posted on 05/21/2012 7:47:39 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: BobinIL
In fact I can truly say I no longer consider myself a Republican. I am now a conservative Independent!!!

Well done. I left the GOP after the stunningly pathetic fealty the Repub senators showed to Obama by passing the DADT repeal and ratifying New START during the lame-duck session in 2010. The GOP had the numbers to stop them, but chose not to.

47 posted on 05/21/2012 7:51:28 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: LibLieSlayer
You all can kid yourselves and rationalize but the truth is... obama is the worst president in our lifetime and these polling results are because romney is the republican nominee. Some of us tried to warn but we know nothing...

I'm not happy about Romney either but you make it seem as though we had a better choice. I would have loved to have someone like a Sarah Palin run but it didn't happen. So we were stuck with the choices we had. If the other GOP candidates like Gingrich and Santorum didn't catch fire with the conservative base, what makes you think they'd be doing any better against Obama in these daily polls? If it was Gingrich and not Romney, do you seriously think that Gingrich would be doing better in the polling right now? And if so, where would those votes be coming from? And please don't try and say that there are conservatives voting for Obama because they are unhappy with Romney.

48 posted on 05/21/2012 8:00:39 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: ilovesarah2012

“Five percent (5%) would vote for a third party candidate”

The five percent that will give the country to the Communists.


49 posted on 05/21/2012 8:01:12 AM PDT by A Strict Constructionist (We're an Oligrachy...Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God. Thomas Jefferson)
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To: A Strict Constructionist
The five percent that will give the country to the Communists.

Then you better start working hard to get that 5% to 10% then 20% then 40%.

Or just whine. Do or whine. The choice is yours.

50 posted on 05/21/2012 8:03:28 AM PDT by Sirius Lee (When we cease to be good we'll cease to be great. Be for Goode.)
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