Skip to comments.Poll: Obama 49 - Romney 46, But..
Posted on 05/22/2012 12:28:41 PM PDT by Kaslin
Celebrate good times, liberals -- President Obama has again vaulted ahead of Mitt Romney in a national poll:
After months of aggressive campaigning on jobs and the economy, President Obama and Mitt Romney, his likely Republican challenger, are locked in a dead heat over who could fix the problem foremost on voters’ minds, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. The parity on economic issues foreshadows what probably will continue to be a tough and negative campaign. Overall, voters would be split 49 percent for Obama and 46 percent for Romney if the November election were held now. On handling the economy, they are tied at 47 percent.
Despite flare-ups over issues including contraception and same-sex marriage, more than half of all Americans cite the economy as the one concern that will decide their vote in the fall, relegating others — such as health care, taxes and the federal deficit — to single-digit status. More than eight in 10 Americans still rate the national economy negatively, but there are strains of optimism as it continues to recover from the collapse of 2008. A majority of Americans — 54 percent — say they are more hopeful than anxious about the situation over the next few years, while 58 percent are bullish about their financial prospects.
In this new survey, the president's job approval slipped back underwater (47/49), and his economic marks sank even further (42/55). So how does Obama manage to pull ahead of Romney in the head-to-head match up in light of his eroded standing? He gets by with a little help from his friend -- the WaPo/ABC News pollster. Ed Morrissey blows the lid off of this survey's risible partisan sample:
Today’s D/R/I is 32/22/38, which means this model would only be predictive for a turnout model where only 22% of voters are Republican. Just to remind readers, the 2008 turnout split from exit polls showed a 39/32/29 split, and that was considered a nadir for Republican turnout. In the 2010 midterms, the split was 35/35/30.
Let's see if I understand this correctly. WaPo/ABC News' sample handed Democrats a ten point edge (three points higher than 2008 -- a banner year for Democrats), and projected that Republicans would comprise less than a quarter of the electorate in November...and Romney is still within the margin of error? This outcome has to be disconcerting for the Obama campaign, even as they put on a happy face over the top-line results. It also may be time for the Washington Post and ABC News to start censoring their polling methodology again, because they're embarrassing themselves. As I've written previously, the purpose of polling should be to accurately gauge public opinion; it should not be to manipulate the numbers to manufacture "good" news for your preferred candidate. If the latter goal is the new standard, I'd be happy to roll out another IGB poll* showing Mitt Romney leading Obama by, let's say, 19 points among registered voters. Useless, bias-massaging polls are fun, aren't they? In any case, the Obama campaign's grand scheme to undermine Romney's advantage on the economy is to paint him as a "vampire capitalist" who destroyed businesses for profit. (A top Democrat is now classily using rape imagery to demagogue Bain). This idiotic attack strategy is been rebuffed by an expanding roster of Obama allies, the latest of whom is former Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell:
Rendell joined the chorus of criticism of Obama’s attacks on finance, whose leaders have written checks to many members of both parties. “I think they’re very disappointing,” Rendell said of the ads attacking Bain. “I think Bain is fair game, because Romney has made it fair game. But I think how you examine it, the tone, what you say, is important as well.” As for Booker, “I admire him,” Rendell said. “People in politics should tell the truth. He could have qualified it better, he could have framed it better, but if you’re in this business, none of us like negative ads.”
Maybe some Democrats are wary of these economically-illiterate and hypocritical criticisms because they've seen the fresh numbers from Rasmussen:
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters believe that Romney’s track record in business is primarily a reason to vote for him. Thirty-three percent (33%) see his business career as chiefly a reason to vote against him ... Fifty-five percent (55%) voters believe venture capital companies are better at creating jobs than government programs are. Only 26% see government programs as better job creators. Nineteen percent (19%) are not sure. That’s essentially unchanged from January.
Obama has even lost his most devoted center-right sycophant on this issue. If you're still not convinced of O's epic Bain bust, Jennifer Rubin convincingly enumerates the persuasive evidence. I'd posit that it might be time for Team O to go back to the drawing board, but what else do they have? This is their gameplan. Their entire re-election strategy is predicated on fear-mongering about Republican solutions, demonizing Mitt Romney's private sector experience, and pretending that Obama's record isn't a fetid ash heap of broken promises, economic hardship, suffocating debt, and demonstrable failure. That last bit presents impossibly tough sledding, so more unresponsive, mindless campaign babble it is! After all, this campaign "is going to be about" Bain Captial, come hell or high water -- so sayeth The One. Oh goodie.
*IGB is a polling firm that exists exclusively in this author's mind. Methodology inquiries will be ignored. Thank you.
“Why not stop the bleeding now and get a better candidate the next time.”
lol... THAT is the same ol F’ing lullaby that people like YOU have been singing for decades. I just doesnt work any more...
If ZERO gets elected.. it will be because the “progressives” in the GOP nominated a GD socialist... Get that through your thick ass skulls... The GOP’s FAULT... The IDIOTS that go along with whatever the GOP-e throw at them fault.. and ultimatly YOUR fault as well.
The ONLY thing worse than Zero getting reelected is the republican party nominating a socialist and succeeding in getting a socialist elected to president. THAT RIGHT THERE IS GAME OVER.
The problem with your Massachusetts example is that ANY conservative as nominee in the PRESIDENTIAL election would win. PERIOD.
WTF are you talking about?
The brown shirts your referring to were part of the national socialist German workers party. They ONLY M’er F’er here in this conversation that’s actively supporting a socialist is YOU.
Umm... the 50 states are NOT Massachusetts... Thank F’ing GOD!
You dont need to nominate a Friggen SOCIALIST POS to win the presidential election. In fact, you pretty much guaranteeing EPIC failure... lol.. especially if he actually gets elected..
ANY ACTUAL LIMITED GOVERNMENT CONSERVATIVE would beat Zero this year... ANY..
Yes, Thank God for that!
However, the fact still remains that either Romney or Obama is going to be POTUS. That's not going to change. We're all free to vote for whoever we choose to or not choose to.
And on a state-level, I have more shi*ty choices: Brown or Warren. Again, one or the other is going to win. That's the reality. Is is good? No.
Romney sucks, but Obama will finish us off. It's a pretty clear difference.
“Romney sucks, but Obama will finish us off.”
No one is finishing anyone off. If anything, either of them being elected is the final stab at the already fading heart of this long dieing union of states.
One socialist will have the full support of both parties in congress. The other socialist will only have the support of one party in congress... Ill let you figure out whos who...
Actually, my eyesight is pretty good.
Whatever floats your boat.
Mr. Benson is being too kind here. Instead of 'fetid ash heap', I think it's more like a 'steaming dung pile'.
Well since no one conservative has been able to garner the majority of votes in the primaries, whether they be the one in MA or the national ones, your contention is moot.
We will have a choice between a pure and unrepentant Marxist, and a Republican who is more statist than many of us might like, but would, without question, be better for the economy than the current occupant of the White House. I, for one, will not wake up on the day after the election with regrets. Even though he wasn't my choice in the MA Repub. primary, I will vote for Romney, instead of Obama, come November.
Regardless of what they’re called, the source itself is as reputable as obama saying “believe me”.
Hooray! The pro-choice democrat socialist is leading the pro-choice democrat socialist today!
Stay tuned til tomorrow, when the pro-choice democrat socialist will be leading the pro-choice democrat socialist!
New tagline ...
None. They lie for a living, and they conspire with other liars to try to control outcomes. Remember that's where Ezra Klein started the JournoList, and where Weigel the Liar practiced to deceive.
We DONT have to settle for Romney. We CAN get rid of the SOB at the convention.
Oh... You WILL wake up with regrets. Either the day after the election when you and the GOP-e find out there was no F’ing way in hell that the conservative base was going to vote for their socialist.
When you “find out” for yourself that you voted for a socialist POS that is going to carve robomney care in STONE thanks to the republicans in congress who wont fight a GOP President.
ugh.. f’ing romney hacks...
Sampling done between 8 & 5, when most Republicans are at work!
Remember that there's another group playing at the table, and that is the NWO RiNO's, who have their own agenda to which it is most definitely in your best interest not to succumb.
In their imagined world, the United States would be a deferential society again (like the one the pioneers who settled the West left behind), where people like you are expected to know their place, scuff toes in dirt when spoken to, remove your hat when spoken to, and be openly pleased when these people, driving by in their Maybach Zeppelins, amuse themselves by throwing nickels to your kids so they can watch your little urchins scramble in the street filth for them.
That's about as vividly as I can paint it -- it isn't the Land of the Free and the Home of the Brave that these NWO would-be grandees have in mind for you and me. It's something a lot more like Europe of the Luxembourgs and Hapsburgs, of nobles and peons. Peons would be you.
And no, there will not be enough votes to get rid of Romney at the convention, because, by then, most folks will have accepted that he CAN beat Obama. The polls are beginning to show that now; independents beaten down by the economy are realizing that they brought it on themselves by their support of Obama and his Democrat friends, and they won't make that mistake again.
You can call me naive, if you wish. I prefer to think of myself as positive, and optimistic, which will draw more undecided folks to our side than negativity will.