Skip to comments.Will Romney Choose a Safe Running Mate for VP?
Posted on 06/05/2012 10:52:06 AM PDT by Kaslin
There are rumors that Mitt Romney may select his vice-presidential running mate in advance of the Republican National Convention in August. Speeding up the process would boost his fundraising for a few extra weeks. Conservatives are worried Romney will pick a moderate establishment candidate, while the establishment is worried Romney will pick someone seen as too extreme by the independents who generally decide presidential elections.
Romney will most likely avoid making the kind of choice John McCain did by picking Sarah Palin. Although Palin energized the base, she became a relentless target of the media. He will not want to choose a candidate who will eclipse him, which eliminates someone like New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. He needs a running mate that the base finds acceptable, if not exciting, in order to counter his lackluster reputation with conservatives. Someone from a swing state with many electoral votes will get top consideration. Another important, but not mandatory, criterion is fundraising ability of a running mate, which means they cannot be an unknown.
A source from last week's 2012 Bilderberg Conference leaked out that the ultra secretive, powerful organization comprised of the biggest names in politics and finance has selected Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels to be Romney's running mate. While considered a very safe pick, Daniels is such a low-key figure he may not bring much to the ticket.
A running mate that would energize the base is Paul Ryan (R-WI). Wisconsin is a swing state, and Walker has become a recognized champion of cutting fiscal waste. The conservative grassroots likes him and his good looks don't hurt.
Another likely VP pick is Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker. Obama will not campaign for Walker's opponent, realizing how popular Walker is. Obama currently leads Romney in Wisconsin by eight points among likely voters and does not want to rock the boat. Walker is leading his recall challenger by the same margin. Walker has become a hero to the grassroots and Tea Party for taking on public employee unions. If Romney picks Walker after surviving a recall election, it would rally the conservative base, something Romney needs.
At first glance, Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) seems a natural choice, since Rubio is Hispanic and Florida is a swing state with 29 electoral votes. However, a poll taken by Public Policy Polling in April found that Rubio actually hurts Romney's chances in Florida. In addition, the GOP base has become skeptical of Rubio's conservative credentials. The same poll found that putting former Florida Governor Jeb Bush on the ticket would help Romney in Florida, but Bush has firmly stated he is not interested in the position. Although he has generally been the favorite Bush of most Republicans, the dynasty has probably run its course. Both former presidents Bush have become associated with big government, and with W. sharing blame for the recession and bailouts, another Bush on the ticket could make it difficult to distinguish Obama's failed fiscal policies from Romney.
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie is popular with a significant portion of the Republican Party, but he would make the slate an all Northeastern ticket. Some conservatives are skeptical of how conservative the New Jersey Republican really is. He is also a larger than life personality that would likely overshadow Romney.
Tim Pawlenty would be a safe choice; while Republicans do not get excited about him, they do not dislike him either. Condoleeza Rice only endorsed Romney last week, evidence that she is telling the truth when she says she has no interest in being vice president.
Last month, National Journal selected Rob Senator Portman (R-OH) as Romney's most likely VP pick. Although Ohio is a key battleground state with 18 electoral votes, Portman is too unknown to be a realistic choice.
Romney met informally with Rand Paul (R-KY) last week, sparking rumors that he was being considered. However, Paul is too closely associated with his father Ron Paul (R-TX) and his polarizing views on foreign policy. While the junior Paul is not as divisive as his father, he may not be able to escape the negative energy that the senior Paul's supporters have created around him.
The dark horse pick is New Mexico governor Susana Martinez. Last week she came out even more strongly than Romney on illegal immigration, questioning the effectiveness of self-deportation. New Mexico is considered a swing state, and choosing Martinez would put both a minority and a woman on the ticket. Based on the fact she is a relatively new governor, though, she may be considered too similar to Palin.
Romney is a predictably savvy, calculating, political candidate. He will choose a safe running mate for vice president. The conservative base would love to see him pick someone like Rep. Allen West (R-FL), but Allen would be too much of a lightening rod for the liberal media. Romney chose a moderate Republican from Utah, former Governor Mike Leavitt, to head his transition team. Leavitt will most likely urge Romney to go with someone safe, not flashy. My money is on Governor Walker, followed by Rep. Ryan.
He is going to pick someone equally as boring as he is. He won’t dare pick someone like Palin. Romney is not a risk taker. He plays it safe.
Just my 2 cents ...
Picking Palin will cement his nomionation of Conservatives across the nation. Those who hate Palin, won’t vote for Romney anyway - and there are MILLIONS of people who love her.
I see her as a “can’t lose” choice, personally.
Anyone he picks will become a relentless target.
I respect Chris Christie as a like-minded politician, however (and sadly) elections can be lost on physical appearance.
Scott Walker is not available.
I like Paul Ryan, but he is relatively inexperienced being so young and having never been a governor or CEO.
Bobby Jindal is my favorite but he isn’t perfect. He lacks easy charm on the stump, and he is not well known or from a swing state. Also the leftist media would trash him for being a devout Catholic and unrepentant social conservative.
He already has the nomination. He doesn’t need to “cement” a damn thing.
I was referring to winning the election.
Conservatives outnumber Liberals - by a large margin. If he choses a lukewarm RINO, he will lose a lot of the base. They simply won’t bother to vote (as they have time, and time again).
However, if he energizes his base - the numbers of Conservatives voting a Romney/Palin ticket would outnumber the voter fraud the DNC is probably already orchestrating.
And outside of Free Republic, there's millions who loathe her. Romney won't pick Palin. She's too divisive. To win, Romney needs to win back those white, middle-class voters who voted for Bush in 2004 and went to Obama in 2008. These folks don't want to see Palin on the ticket.
Romney will pick someone with conservative credentials to appeal to the base but without Palin's negatives that chase away the middle.
McDonnell would be a good VP pick. He balanced the budget in Virginia without raising taxes. He is a retired lieutenant colonel in the U.S. Army reserves. Virginia is a battleground state. As far as I know, McDonnell has not abused any corporate credit cards like Rubio has done.
He is the DREAM pick. It would be a HUGE mistake for Romney not to choose McDonnell.
All upside, no downside.
I LOVE Sarah, but the media has destroyed her. Romney is not that brave. He will not choose Sarah.
Neither Palin nor Romney have the skills to deal with a media slaughterfest that would result if he picked palin.
I’m thinking Romney will opt for someone like Sen. John Thune from SD. Well-spoken, mild-mannered, bland but capable...
I'd be quite happy with McDonnell. He's done a great job as Governor here in VA... not flawless, but no one is. McDonnell is an outstanding campaigner as well.
I somehow don't see Sarah Palin running for the same spot on the ticket two elections running, especially alongside a man who it appears attempted to smear her four years ago.
If Palin wouldn't run for President due to family concerns, why the second spot to the worst Republican nominee since Alf Landon would appeal to her is beyond me.
The problem isn't the second spot on the Republican ticket. It's the first.
Palin is still the biggest player in republican politics aside from the presidential candidate, and she is the definite leader of the Reagan wing of the GOP.
” . If he choses a lukewarm RINO,he will lose a lot of the base. They simply wont bother to vote (as they have time,and time again).”
No he wont. His base is voting for him even if he picks chuck e cheese.
My view is that if a real Conservative, like Palin, agreed to be on the Romney ticket, it would only taint that
Conservative. Much of the real Conservative base would see Palin as a sellout and phony if she joined Romney.
On the other hand, a VP pick like Palin would probably stir up the irrational hatred of those on the left and help energize Obama’s base.
I’d love to see Sarah Palin on a GOP ticket again, but at the TOP of it, or at least with a real Conservative at the top.
Of course, if it was revealed that Mitt only had a few months to live, I might think differently. :-)
After Gov. Walker fights off the recall he’ll be prime. The way he stood up to the unions is awesome! After today he’ll be very popular.
“...Rep. Allen West (R-FL), but Allen would be too much of a lightening rod for the liberal media.”
West would be my choice for Romney’s VP. May be Romney needs a “lightning rod”. Plus it would help him with the black vote IMO.
Yeah, we really must continue to allow the media to define conservatives and invent "negatives" for any candidate who happens to be true bloue conservative.
“Bob McDonnell, gov. Virginia WILL BE VP. It is the BEST choice out there.
“I’d be quite happy with McDonnell. He’s done a great job as Governor here in VA... not flawless, but no one is. McDonnell is an outstanding campaigner as well.
He sounds good to me. We need someone who is both conservative, but conventional in some ways, a middle-aged man in a suit who knows how to present himself to the media. They’ll be forced to listen to his policy ideas if he’s personally bland.
“Bob McDonnell, gov. Virginia WILL BE VP. It is the BEST choice out there. This would guarantee a win in a swing state and a Senate seat. He wants the job, he is term limited out. A governor who has turned around his state and is more conservative than Romney.”
I like McDonnell a lot. He would be a very good choice for VP!
” WILL ROMNEY CHOOSE A SAFE RUNNING MATE? “
The GOPE’s fine socialist nominee is monotonous, intends to stay monotonous and may very well go right along with a very monotonous VP pick, as a part of his seeming “calming strategy”, to address the extreme hypertension that exists among the electorate.
Romney is likely a geek and likes geeks, and it wouldn’t really hurt to have a fiscal geek, under the circumstances.
Anyone with a pulse will be out (unless it is Ryan, a genius busy at the calculater, who does not belabor social issues or stir the blood of the impassioned to stay relevant). Some of the rowdy ones are great stumpers, but are not known for brains nor special talent for fiscal science anywhere in sight.
I will be surprised if it is anyone with a heartbeat.
And why are they not eligible I pray?
Shatter both political parties and pick Hillary. So why did Bill Clinton give Romney such a sterling approval statement. .001% chance of it happening but it would require lots of popcorn to watch the next several months.
Rubio, Walker, McDonnell, Martinez...anyone of them would be good. Just as long as it’s not Condoleeza Rice. Anti-Israel and a mediocre SecState.
Daniels? Another half-ass RINO?
In a word, yes.
His game plan is clear. Keep smiling, lie low, stay out of trouble, and just wait for Obama to implode.
Not saying that’s the best plan, but that’s his plan.
My question would be; do Pols and financial big wigs from other countries help pick OUR leaders?
How about Allan West or recruiting Gen Petraeos? Romney, with no military background, would be wise to have a VP with military record.
i agree with that— paln would be a awesome pick
i agree with that— palin would be a awesome pick
Both not NBC’s!
Both not NBC’s!
Is Condoleeza Rice even an option ? Or is she too close to the Bush years?
And please, no Palin.
I want someone who is experienced at handling the pressure. Condoleeza has always come across to me as one of the smartest people in the room.
Condoleeza Rice isn’t a conservative. At all.
And Palin is. You’re a noob, and I was curious at your choice of Rice over Palin, so I checked your posting history. The very first comment after the one on this thread is odd, are you a member of Romney’s team or something? You sound like a girl crying at a Beatles’ concert in the mid 1960s.
It will be changed overnight.
With a Romney vicory, on the morning of November 7th, there will be a new dawn. A new hope, and American companies will start to hire again because they know they will not be prosecuted for being successful.
There is only Sarah
Christie's a northeast liberal - a non-starter with a liberal northeaster on top of the ticket. His appearance is also a negative, and sissies don't like his combatative nature - picking on poor old Joe Biden in the debate!
He won't pick any of the outliers, because Romney don't gamble. He'll somebody fairly well known and considered a realistic and logical choice. Plus, he'll need to shellac himself with some conservative veneer. So my bet is Paul Ryan.
I would hope for Palin as well but somehow I don’t think she would want to be on the ticket.
None of the other names mentioned turn me on. Walker wouldn’t give up the governorship after this recall. Maybe Rand Paul.
Ive been coming to this site for 4 years. Do I post every day? No, but Im no newb.
Palin has very little respect with the powers that be within the Republican party. She has some conservative principles, but she does not have the skills to handle the big time. She is nothing but a laughing stock and should have never been placed in the national spotlight.
With Condi, I trust her to be able to handle whatever crap questions thats going to come from the mainstream media. Shes not going to have to write on her hand with a Sharpie to remember some bullet points.
If you guys keep on backing weak-minded individuals, the Republican Party is in trouble. We need real leaders, serious leaders, not cheerleaders.
Romney can not win without the support of the Paulistinians.
You’re saying Palin is “weakminded”? Rice is not conservative.
The fact that Palin is not an establishment GOP insider elite is one of her best features.
“The dark horse pick is New Mexico governor Susana Martinez.”
I think a female would guarantee a Romney win (for the same reason some feel Obama has to replace Biden with Clinton, or any other female for that matter). We’ve become a nation of tokens & quotas (as evidenced by the 2008 election), and there are no longer a sufficient number of Anglo men to determine the presidency alone.
Sorry, Condi makes Romney look conservative. Do not want. A pro-abortion RINO who stinks of George Bush? I can’t think of a worse pick and I don’t think Romney is that dim.
As to Palin, not getting into your low opinion of her, that’s a non-starter. I can neither imagine her being chosen or wanting to be chosen.