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Obama and Romney locked in tight race with 150 days to go until Election Day
The Hill ^ | June 9, 2012 | Josh Lederman

Posted on 06/10/2012 7:11:42 AM PDT by Innovative

Polls show the two dead even nationally, with Obama enjoying perhaps a slight edge in the dozen or so swing states that will decide the contest.

If the presidential race has tightened, so too has the topsy-turvy battle for control of the Senate.

Republicans are enticingly close to peeling off the four seats they need to regain control of the upper chamber (three if Obama is not reelected), but Democrats still seem like they have a chance to just barely hold on to the majority.

Republicans have gained some traction in key House races by tying Democratic candidates to Obama in states where voters have soured on the president. In public, Democrats continue to speak optimistically about the prospect of flipping the 25 seats they need to wrest back control of the House. But the more likely prospect is that Democrats will pick up a dozen or more seats, but fall short of the magic 25.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; obama; romney
Just remember the close race between Bush and Gore. But for about those 500 votes in Florida, we would have ended up with President Gore at a critical time.

The Obama-Romney race will also be very close. Anyone here wants to be proud of having handed Obama a second term by staying home or voting third party?

1 posted on 06/10/2012 7:11:48 AM PDT by Innovative
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To: Innovative

Carter was 9 points ahead at this point in 1980.

I think Romney will be a big winner.


2 posted on 06/10/2012 7:14:55 AM PDT by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affirmative Action President.)
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To: Innovative

If the race is so close BEFORE Romney is even nominated, think of what a BLOWOUT it will be afterward!


3 posted on 06/10/2012 7:17:53 AM PDT by Ken522
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To: Innovative

If the race is so close BEFORE Romney is even nominated, think of what a BLOWOUT it will be afterward!


4 posted on 06/10/2012 7:18:02 AM PDT by Ken522
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To: Mikey_1962

If I had to put money on this on I’d bet that it won’t be close, but the only safe assumption we have is that it will be.


5 posted on 06/10/2012 7:20:17 AM PDT by varmintman
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To: Innovative

Not even going to be close I said months ago the Repub nominee would crack 370. I see no reason to change my prediction even though Mitt is the guy.


6 posted on 06/10/2012 7:22:56 AM PDT by vicar7 ("Polls are for strippers and cross-country skiers" Sarah Palin)
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To: vicar7

Hatred is not a good motivator to drive turnout per WI it did not work. Hatred of Obama is not really going to work either. However, for the love of the country we got to dispatch him and we will do that big time.


7 posted on 06/10/2012 7:29:11 AM PDT by vicar7 ("Polls are for strippers and cross-country skiers" Sarah Palin)
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To: Innovative
Republicans are enticingly close to peeling off the four seats they need to regain control of the upper chamber (three if Obama is not reelected), but Democrats still seem like they have a chance to just barely hold on to the majority.

This is preposterous. The Senate is ours. The only question is by what margin.

8 posted on 06/10/2012 7:34:29 AM PDT by rogue yam
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To: Innovative
It makes for good press, sells a lot of newspapers and keeps people watching the MSM television news shows....but don't believe it for a minute.

Carter was also supposedly way up ahead of Reagan in Mid-Summer.

9 posted on 06/10/2012 7:44:12 AM PDT by Victor (If an expert says it can't be done, get another expert." -David Ben-Gurion, the first Prime Minister)
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To: Innovative
But the more likely prospect is that Democrats will pick up a dozen or more seats, but fall short of the magic 25.

With all the redistricting because of republican gains why would this be possible....I smell a another rat in this article....How liberal is The Hill?

10 posted on 06/10/2012 7:48:25 AM PDT by ontap
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To: Innovative

Obama is in his first presidential bout. The old guy he ran against last time threw the fight. Romney is in it to win.


11 posted on 06/10/2012 8:14:56 AM PDT by pallis
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To: Innovative

It will be about as close as the 2008 election. In the popular vote, tighter in the electoral college, but either case a GOP win.


12 posted on 06/10/2012 8:19:41 AM PDT by Ted Grant
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To: Innovative
Just assuming we win the senate in states that voted against Obama in 2008 vs. states that voted for the destroyer, then we pick up 2 seats.

I think a lot of the other states are in play.

13 posted on 06/10/2012 8:25:15 AM PDT by FreeAtlanta (Liberty and Justice for ALL)
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To: pallis

I agree. Romney is far more tenacious than McCain would ever dare to be. McCain was too enthralled with Obama to mount a serious challenge.


14 posted on 06/10/2012 9:20:09 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: Innovative

This goes to show why one-half of the country is in a serious state of mental health and should be deprived of the franchise.


15 posted on 06/10/2012 9:44:15 AM PDT by Steelfish (ui)
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To: Innovative

If the race is close (within a point), I think Obama has the advantage. (This is because of the distribution of votes across states.) Romney would have to carry almost all the swing states. But, if Romney wins by more than a point, he will carry almost all the swing states.

Having said that, there is reason to believe it will not be close. The economy remains in shambles and the index of leading indicators just turned south. True, only one month, and it takes three months running to signal a recession. But, that’s really besides the point. The President needs robust growth to kick win by the third quarter, and what’s uncertain is whether the economy will be flat or falling.

Plus, Republicans usually aren’t focused on the election until we get to August or so. Republicans usually do better than the early numbers indicate. McCain actually pulled even with Obama in 2008, with the convention and the excitement brought to the ticket by Sarah Palin. Then, the market crashed.

As for the third party option: if you’re in a non-swing state, why not vote for whom you really think is the best candidate? That’s the majority of the country. If it turns out to be a blow-out, same thing. But, I would much rather somebody vote for Goode or Johnson and then, in the down-ticket races, help us win the Senate and makes advances in other offices, than not vote. In 2000, while Nader cost Gore the election, by giving the more left-wing voters a reason to vote, he helped the Democrats win the Senate.


16 posted on 06/10/2012 9:51:01 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Innovative

I would bet some federal reserve notes that if one were to dig into this poll’s internals one would find a generous oversampling of dhimmiecrats - again.


17 posted on 06/10/2012 10:00:37 AM PDT by 43north (BHO: 50% black, 50% white, 100% RED)
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To: Innovative

This race is as tight as the “too close to call” Wisconsin race that actually was a 60% to 40% ROUTE!!


18 posted on 06/10/2012 10:19:59 AM PDT by ThePatriotsFlag (Anybody but Obama.)
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To: Innovative
Tight race? This media wishful thinking. Obama is NOT winning any group he lost in 2008, nor is he doing better with any group he won last time. So where are the votes that make this a “tight race” coming from? They are picking numbers out of the air. Using “registered voters” who by definition will only vote at 65% at best is a trick to make what is already a blow out into a race. Someone has to name a single thing Obama has done in the last 12 months that has added to the likelihood that he will be reelected - there are NONE.
19 posted on 06/10/2012 11:07:30 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Innovative
Anyone here wants to be proud of having handed Obama a second term by staying home or voting third party?

Hmm, which car to chose, the one heading for the cliff at a 100 miles per hour, or the one speeding at 95 miles per hour, and claiming to have made the roadmap for the guy going 100?

Hmmm...............

20 posted on 06/10/2012 2:31:49 PM PDT by Balding_Eagle (Liberals, at their core, are aggressive & dangerous to everyone around them,)
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To: Innovative

“The Obama-Romney race will also be very close. Anyone here wants to be proud of having handed Obama a second term by staying home or voting third party?”

YAWN


21 posted on 06/12/2012 7:52:05 AM PDT by libdestroyer
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