I think a lot of the other states are in play.
Posted on 06/10/2012 7:11:42 AM PDT by Innovative
Polls show the two dead even nationally, with Obama enjoying perhaps a slight edge in the dozen or so swing states that will decide the contest.
If the presidential race has tightened, so too has the topsy-turvy battle for control of the Senate.
Republicans are enticingly close to peeling off the four seats they need to regain control of the upper chamber (three if Obama is not reelected), but Democrats still seem like they have a chance to just barely hold on to the majority.
Republicans have gained some traction in key House races by tying Democratic candidates to Obama in states where voters have soured on the president. In public, Democrats continue to speak optimistically about the prospect of flipping the 25 seats they need to wrest back control of the House. But the more likely prospect is that Democrats will pick up a dozen or more seats, but fall short of the magic 25.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
The Obama-Romney race will also be very close. Anyone here wants to be proud of having handed Obama a second term by staying home or voting third party?
Carter was 9 points ahead at this point in 1980.
I think Romney will be a big winner.
If the race is so close BEFORE Romney is even nominated, think of what a BLOWOUT it will be afterward!
If the race is so close BEFORE Romney is even nominated, think of what a BLOWOUT it will be afterward!
If I had to put money on this on I’d bet that it won’t be close, but the only safe assumption we have is that it will be.
Not even going to be close I said months ago the Repub nominee would crack 370. I see no reason to change my prediction even though Mitt is the guy.
Hatred is not a good motivator to drive turnout per WI it did not work. Hatred of Obama is not really going to work either. However, for the love of the country we got to dispatch him and we will do that big time.
This is preposterous. The Senate is ours. The only question is by what margin.
Carter was also supposedly way up ahead of Reagan in Mid-Summer.
With all the redistricting because of republican gains why would this be possible....I smell a another rat in this article....How liberal is The Hill?
Obama is in his first presidential bout. The old guy he ran against last time threw the fight. Romney is in it to win.
It will be about as close as the 2008 election. In the popular vote, tighter in the electoral college, but either case a GOP win.
I think a lot of the other states are in play.
I agree. Romney is far more tenacious than McCain would ever dare to be. McCain was too enthralled with Obama to mount a serious challenge.
This goes to show why one-half of the country is in a serious state of mental health and should be deprived of the franchise.
If the race is close (within a point), I think Obama has the advantage. (This is because of the distribution of votes across states.) Romney would have to carry almost all the swing states. But, if Romney wins by more than a point, he will carry almost all the swing states.
Having said that, there is reason to believe it will not be close. The economy remains in shambles and the index of leading indicators just turned south. True, only one month, and it takes three months running to signal a recession. But, that’s really besides the point. The President needs robust growth to kick win by the third quarter, and what’s uncertain is whether the economy will be flat or falling.
Plus, Republicans usually aren’t focused on the election until we get to August or so. Republicans usually do better than the early numbers indicate. McCain actually pulled even with Obama in 2008, with the convention and the excitement brought to the ticket by Sarah Palin. Then, the market crashed.
As for the third party option: if you’re in a non-swing state, why not vote for whom you really think is the best candidate? That’s the majority of the country. If it turns out to be a blow-out, same thing. But, I would much rather somebody vote for Goode or Johnson and then, in the down-ticket races, help us win the Senate and makes advances in other offices, than not vote. In 2000, while Nader cost Gore the election, by giving the more left-wing voters a reason to vote, he helped the Democrats win the Senate.
I would bet some federal reserve notes that if one were to dig into this poll’s internals one would find a generous oversampling of dhimmiecrats - again.
This race is as tight as the “too close to call” Wisconsin race that actually was a 60% to 40% ROUTE!!
Hmm, which car to chose, the one heading for the cliff at a 100 miles per hour, or the one speeding at 95 miles per hour, and claiming to have made the roadmap for the guy going 100?
Hmmm...............
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