Skip to comments.Romney's Path to a Blowout
Posted on 06/17/2012 6:58:36 AM PDT by Kaslin
Republicans will be wanting to 'recount Illinois,' I said to a seemingly annoyed former Kerry staffer and Obama supporter in the Fox News green room on Friday.
"How do you figure?" came the response.
I said, "It's pretty simple. If Obama doesn't change his message (amongst other things), this isn't even gonna be close."
I almost felt sorry for him, as he nodded his head in agreement, and walked away.
Personally--and for the record--let me say up front that I don't expect the election results of 2012 to wield a blow-out for the GOP. But presently the race, the state of the nation, and the complete incompetence of the Obama campaign are doing all they can to persuade me.
Obama supporters will argue, "Kevin you're in the middle of summer and no one pays attention at this point." Under normal conditions I would agree with you, but people are paying attention--they have been for 3.5 years--and to be honest they're exhausted.
So let me give you some very salient points as to why the landscape is providing the possibility for a Romney blowout:
1. Obama's operation is behaving like they will get total cover from the press, while Romney's is assuming they won't.
This is of huge importance. The truth is both assumptions are wrong. Romney will get some good coverage, and eventually some mainstream outlets will hold Obama accountable for his gaffes, missteps, and strike-outs (even several mainstream sources were forced to report on him commenting that "the private sector is fine"). Yet because Obama's team behaves like they can get away with anything, they've gotten careless--with timing, execution, and specifics. Axelrod and company are making the keystone cops look brilliant, and it really is beginning to show. Likewise--while Romney hasn't been completely error free--his team is paying attention to the slogan on the front of his podium. He's on message about jobs and the economy constantly, and he's moving poll numbers in Michigan, Wisconsin, Virginia, and even California.
2. Team Obama's mistakes are causing panic--hence poor campaigning.
It wasn't the Romney team that told President Obama to go out and drag the effort to redefine marriage into the 2012 election cycle. And they certainly didn't tell Obama to do so merely two days after North Carolina--a tightly contested swing state--just voted two to one in favor of the traditional definition in President Obama's most loyal voting block--African Americans. If Mitt Romney can get 2% more African Americans to vote for him--or just stay home on election day--he will cause the President to lose in a demographic that has been the only subset of voters current surveys indicate he has the possibility to hold on to.
3. Obama's tactics are being unveiled--at his own doing--and people are seeing through them.
To come out to the White House rose garden and pronounce that your administration was going to unilaterally offer hundreds of thousands of work permits to young illegal aliens--when the state of the nation can not currently handle or contain the number of Americans without work is tantamount to wondering why your electric bill is so high when every appliance in your home is left on 24 hours a day. The economy is paying the price of a faltering small business/private sector that has difficulty being able to predict with certainty what new penalties they will see if they even stay in business. The thought of hiring workers is already an obstacle so great they can barely risk it. Small businesses create two out of every three new jobs in the nation and now with hundreds of thousands more workers flooding the marketplace, helping American families find food for the table each night becomes more challenging.
4. Obama isn't listening to anyone except his donors. (And there are far fewer of them this go around...)
When every day Democrats with day jobs like--Congressman Ford, Gov. Rendell, or Mayor Booker--attempt to get the President to moderate his tone, speech and tactics--they are excommunicated from the inner circle. When Ana Wintour, Sarah Jessica Parker, Steven Spielberg, or Ludicrous come calling--suddenly he has all the time necessary. The AFL-CIO, amongst other unions, this week announced they're pulling money out of the presidential race. And even the young person's vote--a group he had plenty of energy with in 2008 is becoming disinterested and uninvolved. It could likely be due to the fact that employment in their demographic is at a record rate.
5. Obama is full of excuses, and empty of results.
President Obama's likability is suffering--and will suffer more--because people are not able to square his big talk with a first term that passed record government spending and took over private sector health care provision--all while adding more to the debt and deficit that all presidents before him--combined. Ultimately this attempt by government to become the end-all be-all for the individual has finally caught up to the reality of the cost. The recovery is too slow, the cost is too great, the help is more expensive, and the results have become excuses.
Governor Romney's task is singular and simple, continue to tell the nation how he will get them working again. Demonstrate to small businesses that his understanding of what they are dealing with is what will guide him in all phases of his genuine economic recovery plan. Continue to send out the alert that he will repeal Obamacare (if any of it is left standing after the Supreme Court is finished with it.) And inspire them to see a better day, where each of us play the deciding factor in our own success.
This week in New York City, President Obama told the Wintour-Parker-Streep nexus that they would be the deciding factor in the nation's future.
This week to the tax-payers of Ohio, Governor Romney said that he believes the American people should be.
In making that message clear, it might just clear the way to a much larger win, than any current pollster is willing to project.
I want to see a picture of his arrogance and the queen the minute Romney is declared. This is truly a kodak moment. Lets see how deep his narcissism runs
I still expect Obama to be re-elected.
My reason for being contrarian is we have a lot of brain-dead morons in this country who will still vote for him.
I’ve always heard stories of a GOP landslide since the end of the Reagan Era and they have never held water.
That said, I’d love to be proven wrong.
Never underestimate the power of (unwarranted) white guilt.
That said, this guy's ability to be the turd in any punchbowl can't be overlooked.
Put another way, he has everything he needs to win: white guilt, sychopant media, corrupt election-stealing unions. If he loses with all of that, he may be recognized as the most reviled man in the country.
“Ive always heard stories of a GOP landslide since the end of the Reagan Era and they have never held water.”
Nope. Because we haven’t had a Reagan. The neocon GOP won’t allow one to rise, either.
There’s white guilt, a media willing to cover for him and the Left which recognizes he’s the only guy standing who can reshape America in their image.
IF he loses, it won’t because Mittens beat Obama. It will be because Obama beat himself.
“That said, this guy’s ability to be the turd in any punchbowl can’t be overlooked.”
Sadly, that works both ways this cycle.
“IF he loses, it wont because Mittens beat Obama. It will be because Obama beat himself.”
In my heart I feel this to be an election blowout. I have been feeling this for awhile now and can only pray it is true and acurate. This President seems to becoming unglued at the seams. If we lose, it will be to our end, because he is going to get vicious and vindictive to those who have opposed him.
This is very hopeful and I hope it’s true. Obama has made some astonishing mistakes and the MSM isn’t covering for him to the degree it did in 2008.
I’ve got to give Romney credit. He’s campaigning like someone who wants to win and knows how to do it. I don’t remember the last time I saw such aggression from the GOP side. It’s refreshing.
In 2008 He Was The One We Were All Waiting For.
I don’t want him to run as the Messiah. I want him to run as God.
Somehow, being grandiose isn’t enough to fill what this President represents to many people.
C’mon Barry, you can do better - much better!
The only way that arrogant, lazy, lying pos occupant of 1600 Pennsylvania Ave will be reelected, will be if we sit home on November 6 or vote for some third party candidate, that has no chance being elected. If we all unite and vote for our Nominee then Barack Oblame_o can be defeated in a landlide
Do you define Bush I's term as part of the Reagan era? Because he won by a bigger electoral vote margin (426 to 111) than Obama (365 to 173). Bush also got a slightly bigger popular vote margin.
And conservatives think the worst thing ever inflicted on the GOP has been the Bush family dynasty.
Romney vs. Obama: Whoever wins, we lose.
No one, absolutely no one, including hard core Dem’s that I know, or come in contact with, will say that they voted for him. It’s almost as though, they want to avoid talking about the state of everything in the country today. I sense a huge amount of ambivalence, toward this election. This will only play into the strength of Republicans, Independents’, and disaffected Dem’s. Plus, he’s virtually lost the core Catholic voter’s, and they are a huge voting block.
I’m becoming cautiously optimistic about ousting the Kenyan anti-Christ. Over the past few months, many of my friends who would normally vote Republican, but who voted for the current occupant of the White House in 2008, have become vehemently anti-Obama. We had some friends over last night. The husband is a government worker, union, blue-collar. But has always been something of a Reagan Democrat. He was strongly pro-anti-Christ in 2008.
Last night, unprompted, he just dumped on ol’ “Hope and Change,” and prayed that we would defeat him this year.
He’s only the latest of a long line of Obama ‘08 voters to strongly denounce the Kenyan and state undying ABO status.
I think Gov. Romney may win with 53% or better of the vote and pretty well into the three hundreds of electoral votes. Not a blow-out, but a very solid win.
This is a good piece as far as it goes.
But phrases like “the recovery is too slow, the cost is too
great” only re-iterates Liberal talking points with a moderate Republican spin on them. The recovery is NOT too slow, there IS not recovery, and four more years of these policies would
“slow up” the non-existent “recovery” even further.This Administration is fundamentally ANTI-Capitalist, so their entire policy agenda has as its overriding objective putting into place anything and everything that punishes enterprise
and siphons more power to Government. Four more years of this, seen in the context of a President who simply “doesn’t learn” from the “mistakes” he doesn’t think he’s making, would create chaos the likes of which we haven’t seen heretofore.Obama and his bitter-end followers have put themselves between a rock and a hard place from which there is no escape. Will they be forced to cut off their arm to get free, like Aron Ralston, the guy in 28 Hours, who was literally caught between a rock and a hard place? I don’t think they’re that smart, but “proud” they are, and we know what “pride” goeth before.
Anyone seeing any nobama enthusiasm other than some (diminished) at his rallies? Seeing any mass of bumper stickers like 08? Seeing holder's people or the libs jubilant and “in yo face” like 08?
The dem/libs, brokenaxlerod and his whole campaign know this jig is up. The campaign's desperation and outward defensiveness is a dead give away. Tune in to one of nobama's or moochelle's speeches, turn off the sound and watch their faces, THEY KNOW. In the meantime, Mitt is playing it somewhat softly while busy as an ant colony in the background.
While I desperately wish the above would be proven true, I happen to actually live in this sorry-ass state named Illinois, and I commute to Chicago every day to go to work.
Simply put: there's no way Obama's losing Illinois. Three counties decide all national level races in this state, and not so coincidentally, those three counties are dominated by minorities and "urban dwellers" who always vote democrat.
Romney may get a 49 state sweep and Illinois will STILL be the only state stupid enough to vote for Obama.
(On a personal note: Lord PLEASE help me find a job in a Red State, I HATE it here!)
Don’t get your hopes so high just yet.
There is a “base cohort” of democrat/leftist/socialist/entitlee voters who will never sway from the ‘rat ticket. This base comprises [my guess only] about 43% of the population — almost 100% of blacks, a significant majority of Hispanics, a significant majority of Jews, a large proportion of Asians, and a minority of Euros (but not a small minority).
In addtion to the base 43%, there are the wishy-washy “independents”, for whom I have coined the term “the waving wheats”. Like the wheat in the fields, they tend to sway in the direction the political winds are blowing. Their “opinions” (in reality, most of these folks are -afraid- of forming strong opinions) can quickly shift en masse, in response to sudden changes in the “political breeze”. Hence, the power of “October surprises”. It’s not committed voters towards whom such surprises are directed — they are intended to manipulate the waving wheats.
There are enough “waving wheats” out there to make the race competitive for Obama and hazardous for Romney. Granted, Romney (unlike McCain or Dole) is running as if he actually WANTS to win the presidency, rather than just “be the candidate”. But the big guns have yet to be fired against him. We will have to see how this all plays out in the media.
Obama could yet face a “public collapse”, but it would have to come from something that the media couldn’t cover up (the recent incident of a reporter standing up to him in the Rose Garden comes to mind). Or he might go completely blank in the debates, a la Rick Perry. (I’m wondering if Obama might actually refuse to agree to televised debates with Romney).
But these things haven’t yet happened.
Until they do, and until we begin to see state polls (in critical states) giving Romney the edge around mid-October, best to keep our guards up....
He had two sons and his wife who also spoke and presented themselves well, especially his wife. My daughter was with me and observed that the "plastic" effect was absent--I agreed, he sounded authentic in his desire to wipe out the plague of obamanism. Speech was filled with on-point anecdotes from the middle class and the small businessman. He is a lot stronger candidate than he was four years ago, and there is reason for optimism here.
Romeny and agression from him in the same sentence? Tell me has hell frozen over? I don’t believe it.
I’m still not confident in defeating oblabla. It is my nature to doubt and thereby either lose by a narrow margin or win by devastating my opposition.
I trust people to do one thing, what serves them best most of the time. The only question now is will there be more with a hand out with palm up to vote for him than there are people with their hands in their pockets holding on to their money.
That makes it sound like it is all about money. Money is only the metric. Well being is the real element. Some think it all comes from the government and some have even learned that they can MAKE it all come from the government. Most are just plain lazy and don’t want the gravy train to be modified much less end. What they don’t know or admit is that it won’t last. That does not matter now to them.
He will declare that the election was fraught with fraud and not leave the “whitey” house, and dare a white man to make him leave...
Thanks Kaslin. Obama will carry Romney on his back.
So when I say that when losers like you say things like that you shouldn't be offended at all because you're making my point?
>>Ive got to give Romney credit. Hes campaigning like someone who wants to win and knows how to do it.<<
While I didn’t want Romney as our candidate, one of the more reassuring things about him is that his campaign team kept getting the job done in primary after primary. They’d go into a state they needed to win with a 10 point deficit a month before the election and either win it, or make a strong enough showing to consider it a win. Along the way, they faced several different opponents, and dispatched them one by one.
One opponent to go, with hopefully the same result.
Frankly, I think this election is going to be an absolute blow out. Even the MSM is starting to figure out that their fearless “leader” wants to take this country to places no American should want to go.
The little insurrection at his recent press conference is going to look tame by comparison in a month or so, as previously sycophantic reporters decide there’s no use in prostrating themselves month after month for a losing cause. And once that dam breaks....
"Governor Romney's task is singular and simple, continue to tell the nation how he will get them working again. Demonstrate to small businesses that his understanding of what they are dealing with is what will guide him in all phases of his genuine economic recovery plan. Continue to send out the alert that he will repeal Obamacare (if any of it is left standing after the Supreme Court is finished with it.) And inspire them to see a better day, where each of us play the deciding factor in our own success."
The final phrase is the key to success, and it will not be accomplished unless Romney and his surrogates can expose the fraudulent and counterfeit ideas of socialism which are at the bottom of Obama's frantic efforts to "change" and "transform" America from its foundations in freedom for individuals into a "redistribution" society which drains the productive ability of individuals in order to "fool" the people into voting themselves into slavery to government.
Romney needs all hands on board for that task, including Gingrich, whose understanding of America's foundations in freedom of individual enterprise as the key to wealth creation can, if related in simple examples, can educate and arm youth to see through the false promises of redistributionists. And, youth are the ones who are facing the most severe consequences of the kind of "transforming" that the Obama team are imposing on them.
They need a bright future, one which allows them the same kinds of opportunites which 200 years of American citizens were allowed, unencumbered by a set of imperfect persons who buy votes and power by promising goodies--goodies purchased with fiat (printed) dollars, Chinese loans, and the earnings of their fellow citizens.
That "better" day will come for future generations the same way it came for millions of immigrants and their descendants, from 1620 until the beginning of the 21st Century, when the ideas of the moral philosopher, Adams Smith, Washington, Adams, Jefferson, Madison, and the other devotees of individual liberty are restored to the "American mind." (Jefferson)
Every society anywhere in the world where the ideas of Mao, Marx, Lenin, and Keynes have prevailed have failed to deliver freedom and opportunity for individuals. Most young Americans have not been told the truth about that, and they need to hear it now--before November.
Adams Smith, the moral philosopher, in his 1775 work, dwelt on "An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations," and he found the key to eliminating poverty. His findings coincided with the great burst of freedom and opportunity incorporated in the political ideas of America's Declaration and Constitution.
"I think there does not exist a good elementary work on the organization of society into civil government: I mean a work which presents in one full and comprehensive view the system of principles on which such an organization should be founded, according to the rights of nature. For want of a single work of that character, I should recommend Locke on Government, Sidney, Priestley's Essay on the First Principles of Government, Chipman's Principles of Government, and the Federalist. Adding, perhaps, Beccaria on crimes and punishments, because of the demonstrative manner in which he has treated that branch of the subject. If your views of political inquiry go further to the subjects of money and commerce, Smith's Wealth of Nations is the best book to be read, unless Say's Political Economy can be had, which treats the same subjects on the same principles, but in a shorter compass and more lucid manner." --Thomas Jefferson to John Norvell, 1807. ME 11:222
"Experience has shown that even under the best forms [of government], those entrusted with power have in time, and by slow operations, perverted it into tyranny; and, the most effectual means of preventing this would be to illuminate, as far as applicable, the minds of the people at large." - Thomas Jefferson
"If a nation expects to be ignorant and free, in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be." - Thomas Jefferson, 1816
Overcoming the decades-long, systematic, elimination of the ideas of America's Founders from the textbooks and classroomsin which they have been trained is a challenging task, but if liberty is to survive the current onslaught of counterfeit ideas, the task must be undertaken.
“I want to see a picture of his arrogance and the queen the minute Romney is declared.”
I want to see everyone in the administration taken out in handcuffs the minute Romney is declared.
He has lost a portion of EVERY voting bloc and how he can win is beyond me outside the fact he will still get the zombie states of Kali and NY..... Hey, yesterday I saw my first “WORST” bumper sticker right here... west side of LA! That would be similar to driving around with a GWB sticker in Kabul!
The only losers at FR are the ABOs.
Yep you have to hand it to Romney, he knows how to stay on message.
Reminds me of the death star scene from Star Wars, “stay on target, stay on target ...”
Thanks for the report!
Thanks for sharing. Sounds good.
>>The only losers at FR are the ABOs.<<
Says the Babylon 5 geek.
(sometimes loser is in the eye of the beholder)
Well, yeh. In fact, Romney reminds me a lot of Londo. Willing to make any deal to keep his star on the rise.
“If we all unite and vote for our Nominee then....”
Minor point: I’m voting AGAINST Obama, not FOR Romney. It will work out the same as if I voted FOR Romney except I’m voting for every Conservative I can downticken to keep Romney in line post election. Clothes Pin anyone??????
Ok, well, as one who has defended Romney here andargued that he has run a flawless campaign so far, I think he just made a major mistake on his unwillingness to say he would overturn Zero’s new immigration speech. That will kill his momentum if he doesn’t qui icky fix it.
It makes me smile everytime I see that chart.
Contradicting yourself already, I see.
The only losers around here are those who can't remain consistent in their thought processes, nor in sufficient control of their memories long enough to remember what they wrote in their last post.
Enjoy that cognitively disconnected little world you inhabit.
This is number 1, not number 5. No modern President has ever won re-election without embracing his prior three years, good or bad. Even Carter didn't blame Ford. He blamed OPEC, the Fed, the bunny that attacked him in the canoe, he even blamed Reagan in advance, but he did not blame Ford.
Was Keven on Fox last Friday? The last appearance I can find is the Wisconsin recall day-after roundtable, and that makes the "annoyed former Kerry staffer" Eric Yaverbaum.