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Republican Party in California Is Caught in Cycle of Decline (Shrinking to rank of minor party)
New York Times ^ | 07/23/2012 | By ADAM NAGOURNEY

Posted on 07/23/2012 4:08:10 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

LOS ANGELES — This would seem a moment of great opportunity for California Republicans. The state has become a national symbol of fiscal turmoil and dysfunction, the Legislature is nearly as unpopular as Congress and Democrats control every branch of government.

But instead, the state party — once a symbol of Republican hope and geographical reach and which gave the nation Ronald Reagan (and Richard M. Nixon) — is caught in a cycle of relentless decline, and appears in danger of shrinking to the rank of a minor party.

“We are at a lower point than we’ve ever been,” said Representative Kevin McCarthy, the No. 3 Republican in the United States House of Representatives. “It’s rebuilding time.”

Registered Republicans now account for just 30 percent of the California electorate, and are on a path that analysts predict could drop them to No. 3 in six years, behind Democrats, who currently make up 43 percent, and independent voters, with 21 percent.

“It’s no longer a statewide party,” said Allan Hoffenblum, who worked for 30 years as a Republican consultant in California. “They are down to 30 percent, which makes it impossible to win a statewide election. You just can’t get enough crossover voters.”

“They have alienated large swaths of voters,” he said. “They have become too doctrinaire on the social issues. It’s become a cult.”

There is not a single Republican holding statewide office. Democrats overwhelmingly control the State Assembly and Senate. In interviews, Republicans were unable to come up with any names of credible candidates preparing to run for statewide office. By contrast, the Democratic bench is bustling with ambitious younger politicians who are waiting for their moment. It is a giant turnaround since 2003, when Arnold Schwarzenegger knocked out the Democratic governor, Gray Davis,

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: allanhoffenblum; arnoldlegacy; ca2012; cagop; california; gop; kevinmccarthy; petewilsonlegacy; petewilsonslegacy; republican; rinocrats; rinos; schwarzeneggerlegacy

1 posted on 07/23/2012 4:08:21 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s pretty hard to maintain the status of a major party, when all of your constituents are fleeing to the USA.


2 posted on 07/23/2012 4:12:27 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: SeekAndFind

And the rest of the highly-populated states will go the same route, as sex deviates, welfare parasites, illegals, inner-city tribal units, felons, and Union-extortionists who are ALL dependent on Taxpayers have gained the necessary size to overwhelm the Tax-paying Repulicans. Once the Exodus of business and taxpayers is complete, they will depend on Taxpayers nationwide to keep them afloat.....it’s coming to a City near YOU soon, too......


3 posted on 07/23/2012 4:13:19 PM PDT by traditional1 (Don't gotsta worry 'bout no mo'gage, don't gotsta worry 'bout no gas; Obama gonna take care o' me!)
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To: SeekAndFind

The GOP isn’t doing well in Beijing, Pyongyang, Tehran and Havana either. Ain’t lookin’ good.


4 posted on 07/23/2012 4:14:21 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Without the Second Amendment, the other twenty-six will cease to exist.)
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To: Windflier

...as the lemming democratic populace of California march into the sea on their way to Catalina.


5 posted on 07/23/2012 4:23:14 PM PDT by GrouchoTex (...and ye shall know the Truth and the Truth shall set you free....)
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To: SeekAndFind
This is what immigration and allowing the left to control the commanding heights of culture is doing to ALL of America.

Wake up people. White babies are a minority. In a few years, we will be told that we will never get suburban women if we don't support gay marriage.

6 posted on 07/23/2012 4:23:25 PM PDT by rmlew ("Mosques are our barracks, minarets our bayonets, domes our helmets, the believers our soldiers.")
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To: SeekAndFind

Sadly, my State is going hard Left and will pretty much eliminate the GOP in November. The worst part is the GOP will have less than the 1/3 needed to stop a full Rat takeover.


7 posted on 07/23/2012 4:28:05 PM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: SeekAndFind

California is well down the road to the hell One Party government.

The only thing saving it from compelte disaster is Prop 13.


8 posted on 07/23/2012 4:30:36 PM PDT by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both)
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To: Windflier

Some fear that those fleeing will pollute the area they are moving to. It would seem good guys are fleeing and may reinforce Republican ranks in their new homes.


9 posted on 07/23/2012 4:32:00 PM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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To: SeekAndFind

California is a one party Democrat state. It is in financial decline and is on the verge of bankruptcy. The state has no one to save them from themselves. There is no Ronald Reagan. There is nothing to prevent further decline.


10 posted on 07/23/2012 4:37:29 PM PDT by detective
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To: SeekAndFind

I see nothing that can be done about it. The Dems have gerrymandered themselves into a permanent position of power. The state government is beholden to union interests that are finding out that their pensions and the tax revenues to pay them their wages are shrinking with alarming rapidity. Of course, nobody is willing to take the first hit. In the meantime, CA is losing power generation capability and the ability to harness it natural resources, eg; oil. Industries are fleeing for lower taxes. In short, the great climate has ceased being the factor that could outweigh any and all other disadvantages.

This once-great state I moved to 40 years ago, which had the best roads, the best schools, jobs for anyone who could get out of bed 2 days in a row, and a thousand different industries of every description, is now an amorphous mass of welfare recipients and dedicated liberals intent upon creating a utopia of ever-shifting characteristics. They’re not going to be convinced until it’s destroyed.

So let it crash and burn. Neither logic nor reason need apply. It will have to be a socio-science fair project that goes wrong at the end.


11 posted on 07/23/2012 4:49:42 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (This stuff we're going through now, this is nothing compared to the middle ages.)
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To: Windflier
The stupid NYT is way behind the curve - California became a one party state more than five years ago.

Most Republicans have long since fled the state, and I too will be doing just that ASAP.

There are still many conservatives in the state - but most of them do nothing of anything politically significant - hell, half of them rarely vote. jmho!

12 posted on 07/23/2012 4:55:06 PM PDT by Ron C.
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To: SeekAndFind

They have become the marginalized party in a soon to be marginalized state.

From now on, California is considered suffering from a sickness of liberal excess. Sort of a place to visit, but not live (unless you are very wealthy). Unhealthy in many ways.


13 posted on 07/23/2012 5:00:19 PM PDT by cicero2k
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To: SeekAndFind

Bump


14 posted on 07/23/2012 5:06:11 PM PDT by lowbridge (Joe Biden: "Look, the Taliban per se is not our enemy.")
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BULL. It's a combination of many factors, such as the invasion of illegals in conjunction with not defending Prop 187, passed by a majority of voters.

Add to that faux Republicans who sabotage any conservative who dares run for office. The Wilsons, Parskys, Schwarzeneggers, Maldonados et al. have done everything they can to screw the Republican base for their own personal gain and petty vendettas.

And judges have done everything they can to subvert the will of the people and enact their own agenda, add to that voter fraud, people no longer have confidence their votes and voices count anymore.

Now that many conservatives have fled the once golden state, and I know of many, and illegals are firmly entranched, that has lead to the decline in party registration.

15 posted on 07/23/2012 5:08:48 PM PDT by CounterCounterCulture (RINOs, the CANCER within the G.O.P.)
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To: SeekAndFind

This has happened because the California GOP attempted to become a “big tent” party and precisely because they elected a RINO to replace Davis. Electing Rinos is not a “lesser of two evils” act, it is the path to oblivion. They taint the party label for generations and destroy the party’s ability to take principled stands against collectivism. In short, they turn the GOP into the very thing conservatives are fighting.

I’d rather fight a pitched battle against a Dem marxist with a small number of true liberty loving conservatives at my side then capitulate with a Rino’s dagger in my back.


16 posted on 07/23/2012 5:15:30 PM PDT by LaserJock
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To: SeekAndFind
IMO Democratic Party moles have controlled the California Republican Party since (at least) the late 1990s.

Throughout the 1990s Jack Kemp, Jeb Bush, William Bennett, and other national Republicans were in California railing against California voters for passing Prop 187.. a perfect time for moles to move to take control of the Party.

17 posted on 07/23/2012 5:20:49 PM PDT by WilliamofCarmichael (If modern America's Man on Horseback is out there, Get on the damn horse already!)
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18 posted on 07/23/2012 5:43:17 PM PDT by RedMDer (https://support.woundedwarriorproject.org/default.aspx?tsid=93destr)
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To: SeekAndFind; All
Yup...even nationally, the GoP is only 29% of all registered voters...and in hemorrhagic convulsions due to placing a liberal pro-abort RINO socialist in the lead role for POTUS...(I will join the exit from the GoP once Romney is officially nominated)

I will likely register with the Constitution Party -- or as an independent

19 posted on 07/23/2012 6:08:12 PM PDT by Colofornian (Saying Mitt would keep past political promises is like prophesying that Gumby won't bend anymore)
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To: bert
It would seem good guys are fleeing and may reinforce Republican ranks in their new homes.

I think that's the case. I myself brought six new conservatives to Texas, from California.

20 posted on 07/23/2012 6:40:50 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Ron C.
California became a one party state more than five years ago. Most Republicans have long since fled the state, and I too will be doing just that ASAP.

"Fled" is right. I saw the handwriting on the wall early in Schwarzenegger's first term, and began looking at the prospect of relocating out of state.

In time, good friends in Texas convinced us to come down and have a look. We did, and were delighted with what we found. Two months later, we'd moved the family and the business here.

It was only after being here a couple of years that I realized what an incredibly wise choice we'd made. If the SHTF, I know that my family is in the safest possible place in the country.

21 posted on 07/23/2012 6:50:31 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: RIghtwardHo

Perhaps it’s time for the Leviathin to crumble under the burden of its excess weight.


22 posted on 07/23/2012 7:14:17 PM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: Ron C.

I’m living in Georgia since 1997 (a California exile) and now seeing an increase in the number of license plates from the once Golden State arriving here in the metro Atlanta area.


23 posted on 07/23/2012 7:17:59 PM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: SeekAndFind

I spend a lot of time in California and know a lot of Republicans who live there, but there are obviously not enough to control statewide elections.


24 posted on 07/23/2012 7:19:11 PM PDT by Tau Food (Tom Hoefling for President - 2012)
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To: detective

California considers Detroit a shining example to follow. May they both rot in the same hell. When perverts & bums make up over half of all voters, there isn’t much hope left for a democracy.

BTW - I lived in California from 2001-4. As I neared retirement from the military, I made certain I would NOT retire in California!

Unhappily, many transplants are trying to tear Arizona down now...


25 posted on 07/23/2012 7:27:47 PM PDT by Mr Rogers (Liberalism: "Ex faslo quodlibet" - from falseness, anything follows)
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To: LaserJock
I’d rather fight a pitched battle against a Dem marxist with a small number of true liberty loving conservatives at my side then capitulate with a Rino’s dagger in my back.

That is exactly the case that Jim Rob, I, and others have been making on this site, since before Romney secured the Republican nomination.

People will wag their heads in agreement with you, as long as you're describing what's happened in California, but when you try to make the same case for the national situation, their logic circuits disconnect.

It's infuriating.

26 posted on 07/23/2012 7:31:11 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: SeekAndFind

So....can we kick CA out of the United States?


27 posted on 07/23/2012 7:36:26 PM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate Republicans Freed the Slaves Month.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Two types of governmental entities in Cal. Those who have declared bankruptcy and those who will.

Wait till next year when Tony Villar steps down as mayor of LA and every leftist north of Buena Park starts howling at the new mayor to fix the problems.


28 posted on 07/23/2012 7:37:31 PM PDT by morphing libertarian
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To: RIghtwardHo

Coming to a country near you!


29 posted on 07/23/2012 8:54:42 PM PDT by woodenickel
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