Skip to comments.Gallup: Obama Approval Below Fifty In All Major Swing States
Posted on 08/01/2012 8:57:05 AM PDT by Zakeet
Today, Gallup released new job approvals polls taken in all fifty states with the headline: "Thirteen States and D.C. Give Obama Majority Approval."
You can also read that as "Obama Below Majority Approval In 37 States".
The problem for Obama is that his approval numbers are only above 50% in states we already know he's going to win in November. But in swing states he must take in order to win the opportunity to finish the job of destroying our country, the President is well below 50.
Iowa, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania -- 46%.
Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina -- 45%
Ohio -- 44%.
Colorado, New Hampshire -- 43%.
Gallup explains how dire these numbers are for Obama:
The 50% approval mark is significant because post-World War II incumbent presidents who have been above 50% job approval on Election Day were easily re-elected. Presidents with approval ratings below 50% have more uncertain re-election prospects. Historically, two presidents below 50% in their final approval rating before the election -- George W. Bush and Harry Truman -- won, and three, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, and George H.W. Bush, lost.
That's a somewhat simplistic way to look at it.
In better news, this latest round of Gallup polls contradict the latest round of juiced media-generated polls
The CBS/NYT model has Democrats +9 in Florida when in 2008 they were only a +3 and an even split in the 2010 midterms. Ohios sample has exactly the split in 2008 (D+8), which is nine points better than Democrats did in the midterms. Pennsylvanias numbers (D+6) come closest to a rational predictive model, somewhere between 2008′s D+7 and 2010′s D+3, but still looking mighty optimistic for Democratic turnout.
so it's pretty safe to say that Obama is the one in trouble, not Romney.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
You Right Wing Nuts shouldn't believe a word of this article!
He better hope they change........
43-46 in all swing states. Those are not just ‘below’ 50%. They are terrible numbers. If these are accurate, there is just little chance he can be reelected. Seeing Ohio at 44% is promising. I figured he might creep up there, as some parts of Ohio are susceptible tot he class warfare rhetoric.
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac swing-state polls show Obama hitting 50%!
I've noticed of late that when an outlier poll hits the net some other polls come out rebuking their outlier poll! I guess the polling institution don't want to go down ala CNN!
There is no way he can win..legitimately.
Certainly the Freetards will be along shortly to pour out some whine...
A conservative congress to keep Willard on the straight & narrow.
Obama cannot and will not get over 42-43% of the popular vote in Novemeber, and that is if he runs a flawless campaign. Reality is his campaign is a train wreck. I truly believe if he hits 40% on Election night he’s incredibly lucky.
20 or 30 years ago I definitely would have agreed with you.
Unfortunately, given today's demographics of the country, not only will he go well above 40%, he is still a definite favorite to win in November.
For a good laugh, go to Theulstermanreport.com today.
Sorry, but not buying the demographic argument, what you do have today, that the electoral college likely won’t reflect how bad of a routing its going to be. His EC vote will be closer than previous losses of such magnetude, but he can’t win.
when 1 in 5 of your parties registered voters are saying flat out, they intend to vote for the other guy when polled, you can’t win, demographics or not. 20% of democratic voters is about 6% of the vote, a 6 percent vote swing in and of itself, even if the swing voters break even is a 56/44 los for Obama. Now add into that, that he’s down in every single demographic from his 2008 highs.. Swing voters are likely to brea 3-2 if not 2-1 for Romney, and you are looking at a route we haven’t seen in a long time.
As I said, I think on election day, Obama cannot get above low 40s, and in reality, will be lucky to see 40%
“there is just little chance he can be reelected”!
Yes but would you bet your Florida farm the election at least here won’t be stolen?
How about Philadelphia? Chicago?
This magic negro is dirty and everyone knows it.
Romney will win even without motivating the base because even the dems hate Obama and we have given democrats a democrat vote for.
The problem is the second term...with out your base and dems giving their people someone they can vote for Romney is a one term waste of time that can heap even more damage on the courts.
For a good laugh, go to Theulstermanreport.com today.
The Insider!!! I would love to believe his stuff. But, I don’t.
OTOH, it’s still fun to read and I recommend it for any fun loving Freeper.
Now, was The Insider talking about Romney by 55 to 45 in PA or MI or ...?
Everyone is also forgetting that Independents are not going to sit home and not vote.
Indy’s will vote for Romney, while a lot of conservatives stay home.
Obama does not have the Indy support he did in 2008.
And without Indy’s, there’s no way noBama would have won in 2008, so he sure as hell can’t win this November.
Pay no mind to juiced MSM polls, intrade, etc. That data will change in time, to Romney’s favor, prior to the election.
DISCLAIMER: I’m too conservative to be a fan of Romney; I’m merely saying that he’s going to beat O.
The conservative “protest” vote is an aboration, just like it is every damned election.. So that’s irrellevant statistically. Sure some folks will stay home or protest, but it won’t matter.
Romney is going to win this and win big, fight like its close, but the idea Obama is winning this thing, let alone winning it big is laughable on its face.
As I already stated independents will break for Romney 3-2 to 2-1, and 1 in 5 registered dems are already admitting they intend to vote for Romney, the idea this is a close election is laughable.
Fight like its a 50-50 split, but don’t buy into the crap.
Just like that poll today saying Obama is up 11 in PA... that’s absolute nonsense.. If Obama wins PA it will be by a few percentage points at best, and frankly I honestly think Obama is going to lose PA and MI. MN and IL are the only 2 rust belt states I think Obama has any chance of holding this election.
The "Freetards"? You mean like Jim Robinson?
What’s your source for the statement that 1 in 5 registered Dem voters are intending to vote for Romney?
There have been more than 1 poll so far taken where the internals have shown this.. have to look at the details, not the conclusive numbers.
Also, polling JUST in the swing states (IE only polled voters in swing states) showed Romney up 10.
Don’t believe the nonsense you are being fed guys... Obama, and democrats in general are facing an electorial DISASTER. 2010 was the tip of the iceburg.