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Poll: Nine percent of Obama 08 voters want Romney now
Human Events ^ | 8/6/2012 | Hope Hodge

Posted on 08/06/2012 4:27:26 PM PDT by neverdem

Favor is fickle, and hope and change was easier to promise than deliver on.

A new Gallup poll shows that nearly 10 percent of voters who supported Barack Obama during his 2008 run have decamped and will be supporting Republican challenger Mitt Romney in this next election. At nine percent, the rate of Obama ’08 defectors is nearly double the five percent of former McCain ’08 supporters who now say they’ll cast a vote for Obama.

Partly loyalty is higher in the Republican camp too, with 92 percent of former McCain supporters saying they’re sticking with the red ticket, while only 86 percent of Obama’s 2008 base say they’re staying true.

The poll surveyed more than 2,000 registered voters who punched a ballot in 2008.

Now for some number play: if we make the broad assumption that the poll data is representative of the general population and do some extrapolation, tallying nine percent of 69,456,897 (Obama’s 2008 vote count) and subtracting five percent of John McCain’s 59,934,814 votes, we end up with a potential 3.25 million more votes for Romney than McCain had four years ago. It’s nothing concrete, but it’s becoming clear that election 2012 will be a far different race than 2008 was.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingvote; buyersremorse; gallup; obama; romney
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To: Lady Heron

blah blah blah


21 posted on 08/06/2012 5:58:53 PM PDT by mamelukesabre
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To: neverdem

Could very well be that a lot of black people are not racists and will vote for Romney this time..

They may say their for Zero but will vote privately for Romney..
I suspect many are not STUPID..


22 posted on 08/06/2012 6:12:20 PM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole..)
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To: doug from upland; Diogenesis
Doug, on the contrary, the left works by getting YOU to vote FOR A LEFTIST who's registered as a Republican. YOU are the tool of the left, not Diogenesis.

Tend to the beam in your own eye -- of promoting the real author of ObamaCare, the full-on supporter of the homosexual agenda everywhere from the military to adoption agencies, the enabler of on-demand tax-funded abortion, the appointer of liberal activist judges, and the guy who WANTS a "worldwide solution, not an American one," to the so-called "problem" of global warming -- YOU, Doug from Upland, you tend to the beam in your own eye of PROMOTING that stone-cold liberal Mitt Romney before you start attending to the speck in Diogenesis' eye of risking an Obama re-election in order to avoid surrendering the Republican party to full-blown leftism. At least Diogenesis doesn't have to rely on wholesale falsehoods, which you DO, Doug, when refer to Dio as being on "Team Obama."

I'm ashamed of you.

I used to respect you, Doug. You've turned into a real vegetarian-style ditz: emotional and deceitful. You really ought to move up to San Luis Obispo as you wished to do a few years ago -- you'd fit right in with all the former-Obama-supporting liberals up there, plenty of whom will no doubt be voting for Romney right along with you and the folks cited in this poll.

You can vote for a liberal and pretend you're voting "against" Obama. I'm voting for a plurality; I'm voting third party to do that and gambling that whichever liberal Democrat wins, Obama or Romney, will, elected on a plurality, be as vulnerable to conservatives in Congress as the last liberal Democrat elected by a plurality, and that president was was bulldozed by the Republican Revolution and then impeached.

I'm voting to risk a showdown, and you're voting to surrender to liberalism -- which is not nearly so disgusting as the fact that you have the gall to claim Diogenesis is one supporting liberalism, when you're planning to VOTE FOR ONE OF ITS MOST PROVEN AGENTS.

Eat a steak, Doug. Eat a Chick Fil A Deluxe Sandwich. Maybe it will help you start perceiving reality a little better.

23 posted on 08/06/2012 6:16:05 PM PDT by Finny (A deal with the devil is ALWAYS a losing proposition. Voting for Romney to avoid Obama is just that.)
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To: God luvs America

I personally know two women-—one in her 50s, one in her 20 s-—who voted for Zero but now love Romney.


24 posted on 08/06/2012 6:17:58 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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Comment #25 Removed by Moderator

To: LS
The consequence of the 9% and 5% swapsies, using 2008 as a baseline, is that Obama comes out ahead 2.3 million votes.

You need to go back to Bush for your baseline to get a Republican win.

Now, recompute the whole thing assuming about 4.0 million religious social conservatives simply don't show up to vote for President. That's happened before BTW.

That gives Obama a 6.3 million vote margin.

Romney's odds of winning are far from insurmountable ~ Obama has an excellent chance because the imponderable imponderables ~ to wit ~ people not showing up to vote at all ~ are very much against Romney.

Only a Conservative willing to deal with any and all issues can give Social Conservatives an incentive to show up to vote in this election.

26 posted on 08/06/2012 6:40:37 PM PDT by muawiyah
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Comment #27 Removed by Moderator

To: neverdem

I have been doing my own poll on this topic for months.I have yet to find a person who knows someone who voted against Obama last time and now is going to vote for Obama. The 5% figure seems out of whack.


28 posted on 08/06/2012 6:54:22 PM PDT by ardara
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To: LS

R-Money looks like the husband most women wish they had married.


29 posted on 08/06/2012 6:57:20 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: LS; God luvs America; Chgogal; hosepipe; neverdem; All
What do you suppose would happen if, because of all these former Obama supporters finding it so easy to vote for Romney, Romney wins in a landslide?

Where do you think conservative Republicans would stand in Congress in opposing liberal moves by a very liberal top Republican and top political figure backed by such a sound popular mandate? Which side to you think moderate Republicans are going to gravitate toward -- conservatives, or the side of "big winning" moderate Romney?

We had all damned well better pray for a plurality if Romney wins. Providence and the Almighty have presented us with a rare blessing -- a sitting Democrat president so loathed that there's little chance he could get 50% of the vote, in a year when a functioning liberal Democrat is running as his Republican opponent.

Of all years to risk a third party gamble to force a victory-weakening plurality, this is the one.

The last time a liberal Democrat president was elected on a plurality, he was forced to the right by a Republican Revolution, and then impeached. Pluralities favor conservatives. In 2012, a plurality win by either of these liberal Democrat assclowns, Obama or Romney, represents the ONLY chance conservatives have of opposing the liberal agenda guaranteed to originate by either one in the White House.

This news about all those Obama supporters planning to vote for Romney ... wake up and smell the coffee. Pray for a plurality and VOTE for a plurality, because a Romney landslide would be the kiss of death for conservatism in the Republican party.

30 posted on 08/06/2012 6:58:31 PM PDT by Finny (A deal with the devil is ALWAYS a losing proposition. Voting for Romney to avoid Obama is just that.)
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Comment #31 Removed by Moderator

To: Finny; All

yes- wake up and smell the coffee....i have no delusions that Romney is a great candidate but HE’S NOT OBAMA!! and that’s enough for me...it also seems to be enough for the fools who voted for hims the first time around...


32 posted on 08/06/2012 7:07:31 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: neverdem

>> What kind of idiots did McCain attract that they now support Obama?

That’s a loaded question.


33 posted on 08/06/2012 7:08:02 PM PDT by Gene Eric (Demoralization is a weapon of the enemy. Don't get it, don't spread it!)
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To: neverdem

35% of McCain’s voters from 2008 probably don’t want Romney, but most will likely vote for him any dammed way......


34 posted on 08/06/2012 7:08:54 PM PDT by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: doug from upland
You're correct in that you don't need my respect. Agreed 100 percent.

Nope, Dio didn't prompt my response. What prompted my response was your stupid, smarmy, mean, false "Team Obama" graphic.

If Dio is that clinically sick, why in hell do you torment him further with stupid false accusations? Take it like a man, why don't you, and remember that discretion is the better part of valor, instead of indulging in "Team Obama" crap.

I think you are voting for Romney because you accuse one of his critics as being on Team Obama!

Go eat a Chic Fil A chicken sandwich, for crying out loud. You don't need the desserts -- you need the damned meat. It's brain food.

35 posted on 08/06/2012 7:12:04 PM PDT by Finny (A deal with the devil is ALWAYS a losing proposition. Voting for Romney to avoid Obama is just that.)
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To: Chgogal

He stands no chance in Florida . ZERO chance. None. Nada. Never going to happen. People here hate him. Florida goes to Romney by a landslide.


36 posted on 08/06/2012 7:22:06 PM PDT by mojitojoe (American by birth. Southern by the grace of God. Conservative by reason and logic.)
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To: doug from upland

Doug, I have been following you since the days of George Putnam. I can say I am sorry to have read that post.


37 posted on 08/06/2012 7:23:31 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Finny

Why was his post removed? Because he made sense amongst all this pro-obama crowd?


38 posted on 08/06/2012 7:24:13 PM PDT by mojitojoe (American by birth. Southern by the grace of God. Conservative by reason and logic.)
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To: God luvs America
If the Republican nominee had been Ron Paul, would you extend to him the same "HE'S NOT OBAMA!!" confidence of improvement? Hillary Clinton is "NOT OBAMA!!" either, though IIRC she was, long ago, a Republican. If she switched back to her original party affiliation, would you vote for her to replace Obama?

I ask that question in all seriousness. How far is too far for you?

ABO is short sighted. You are absolutely guaranteed a bad outcome when you vote for a liberal Democrat, and any honest review of Romney's record reveals that "liberal Democrat" is exactly what he is, though he's registered as a Republican.

Desperation often leads to choices regretted later. Republicans' and conservatives' desperation for "HE'S NOT OBAMA!!" is paving the way to a very bad choice. The better risk is to stand and fight the real enemy, which isn't Obama, but liberalism.

39 posted on 08/06/2012 7:24:19 PM PDT by Finny (A deal with the devil is ALWAYS a losing proposition. Voting for Romney to avoid Obama is just that.)
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To: doug from upland
Damn, that was good.Photobucket
40 posted on 08/06/2012 7:27:53 PM PDT by mojitojoe (American by birth. Southern by the grace of God. Conservative by reason and logic.)
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