Posted on 08/16/2012 7:34:20 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/platinum/election_2012_state_polls/wisconsin/crosstabs_2012_wisconsin_president_august_15_2012
wow
Romney +1 In Wisconsin
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Panic in Chicago.
Rescue-Recovey, Romney-Ryan, Ronald Reagan
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/wi/wisconsin_romney_vs_obama-1871.html
bbbooooommmmmm!!!!!!!
Wisconsin is one of the states where, if it is truly that close, the Dims cheat enough to win.
You need to tone it down. I’ve been told the correct way to think about this election is we should hope for a win by Obama.
Its not going to be close.
LANDSLIDE COMING
i’M NOT TONING ANYTHING DOWN - DAMN THE TORPEDOS
Time to get the communist destroyer from office.
It looks like the ultimate accuracy of the polls will depend on which pollster best predicts the R-D-I turnout.
This can’t be since the Obamamedia said WI was out of play? Our media is another Chicago operation.
Pray for America
I’ll stick to my own prediction...won’t be close enough to cheat.
Tommy v Tammy and Ryan being on the ticket plus everything we’ve dealt with the last two years here in WI gives us a chance to put a final exclamation mark on the great WI turnaround.
WI will save America
R/R +6 election day (same as Walker in recall)
Que Hitlery as new VP in 5-4-3.....
Yeah, a lot of my conservative friends are sheepishly confirming, “Do you really think Romney’s going to win by some?”
The answer is that, minus a major mistake by Romney, Romney is going to crush Obama into sand this election and Obama’s disintegrated coattails will cost Democrats massive amounts of legislature.
The trend that is more positive than that, however, are the continual and persistent wins by the Tea Party - they will keep this country honest. The Tea Party will eventually have to publicly war with the GOPe and win.
Perhaps that’s why Axelrod looks in a panic.
I think there are paths to 270 electoral votes WITHOUT Ohio now.
If Romney/Ryan win Wisconsin.
Ohio 18 electoral votes
WI 10 votes + 4 NH votes = 14.
I think they have a good chance in NH too. both went Obama 2008
Our media is totally irrelevant to anything except the weather and traffic reports!
If RR win Wisconsin they will win Ohio
Ryan was the perfect VP pick
The Rust Belt is the Battleground folks and OBAMA can’t win it.
WI, IA, OH and IN are IMPOSSIBLE for Obama to win IMHO.
IL and MN are probably solid for him
PA and MI are battleground.. Romney IMHO can win these states if he fights for them. Obama’s best chance in either is a squeaker victory and frankly I don’t think Obama can win them either.
By early September the polls will begin to reflect the on the ground reality, and that being Obama and DEMOCRATS in general are facing a slaughter. 2010 was nothing compared to what is coming.. 2012 is going to make 1994 look like it was a good day for democrats.
If 0 can and does lose Wisconsin, he’s toast!
I think of WI as more of insurance in case we lose VA not OH.
Well at least barky has slo joe to give him a lock on Delaware’s 3 EVs.
...tee...hee...hee
Paul Ryan today via Twitter:
“It’s great to be here in North Canton today. Or as Joe Biden might say, ‘It’s great to be here in Nevada!’”
There gonna kill them :)
Obama has ZERO chance in Ohio.. I really don’t think that state is remotely in play honestly.
I think in the rust belt Obama only has 2 solid states MN and IL.. WI, IA, OH and IN are no way in hell he can win them.
PA and MI are battleground.. I think Obama will lose them as well provided Romney takes the fight to them. If that happens, BEST Obama can hope for is a Squeaker, at least in PA.
Obviously we’ll see what happens, but I see no way Obama carries FL, NC, IN, WI, IA or OH. I truly feel he’ll lose PA, and MI is in play as well. I would write off VA for Obama as well but I’m not as familiar with that state, I know northern VA is full of DC leftists, only question is is it enough to skew the state or not. Without the DC area, VA would certainly be solid R this election.
You are correct.
The actual polling results from the various pollsters is not really that far off. It is the D/R/I turnout models that are all over the place. I'm betting that it's going to be at most +1 for the Dems. In which case we will win easily.
So nice of Rasmussen to tell the Chicago thugs how many buses filled with Chicago drunks/union members they’ll need to send to WI to vote Democrat.
They don’t have to worry about voting in IL because Rahm will have all the voting machines programed for Democrat wins by election day.
“It’s great to be here in North Canton today. Or as Joe Biden might say, ‘It’s great to be here in Nevada!’”
Classic.
“It’s great to be here in North Canton today. Or as Joe Biden might say, ‘It’s great to be here in Nevada!’”
Classic.
Nice dig by the Paulster!!! Heheheh!!!
I agree, I do not remotely see any way this election is going to be close
In 2008 you had a small petty man who had no accomplishments to speak of running against an unpopular administration.. and by saying and having done nothing he won.
Today you have that same small petty little man running as the leader of the most inept and failed administration in over 100 years, if not the entire history of the country.. So I see no way this is a “close election” that story is hogwash, complete and total.
3.6% of the voting population that voted for him last time have to change their minds, that’s it, thats all that has to look at the last 4 years and decide, I will do that for 4 more or not.. and i really can’t see any way less than 3.6% of the voting population that happened to vote for him last time won’t have changed their minds.
This thing being close is laughable. Only folks who live in DC or NYC or some other liberal out of touch bastion could really believe that Obama has any prayer at a second term.
Only president in the modern era to have more people working the day he ends his term than the day he took office.. the ONLY one. 15% black unemployment 8% overall unemployment.. 50% of college grads can’t find work yet somehow we are to believe america by a majority is going to say, yes, lets have more of that. Its nonsense.
You are right. I just used this website and gave the traditional red states to R and the traditional Blue states to 0, I then split the vote in NE and Maine giving the bulk of Maine to 0 and the bulk of NE to R. I then gave Ohio to 0 and WI to R and Romney wins that contest
There may well be, but if WI goes R this time around, the nationwide dynamic will be so pronounced Ohio will already be on our side of the board. My take is... if we're looking at taking Wisconsin, then Pennsylvania and Michigan are also in serious play.
Unless Obama's allies can successfully obtain a stay on PA's new Voter ID Law from the PA Supreme Court (an appellate court recently upheld the law) then PA is going to be extremely tight. The Dems are used to keeping Philly's polls open late so that they can bus their voters around to different precincts. They then hold-back the cities vote total until they know how the rest of the state voted, then PRESTO they always seem to have enough votes to swing it.
I really would like to see how many of those precincts will still have 110% voter turnout under the new law.
“Que Hitlery as new VP in 5-4-3.....”
...I’m starting to agree. At first I thought that Palin did the right thing by suggesting Hillary. But the dems have shown over and over that they don’t care what anybody thinks. It’s about winning, plain and simple. Hillary would give them a win IMHO.
Wow!
i agree, if Walker won by 6 in 2010, and by 7 in the recall (especially with the Dems and unions throwing everything they had at Walker), how could Obama win in WI???
...that would mean a good chunk of Walker voters want Obama now? - i don’t think so!!
Well, personally I am dubious of the 110% turnout numbers, but Philly is a bastion.. if you got rid of Philly, PA would be as Red as any southern state.
There are 3 areas of Pa that are Blue.. PHILLY REGION, Harrisburg and Pittsburgh.. however Pittsburgh REGION itself has been trending more and more red, but Allegheny County/Pittsburg itself is still blue overall.. its not what it once was.
Philly is the BEAST.. To win PA you have to survive Philly, you don’t have to win it, that’s a virtually impossible task, but you can’t come out of Philly down insanely.
The Voter ID law was upheld and I am sure it will help the situation. However I honestly think with or without it PA is competitive, PA is not a liberal state.. it really isn’t. Dems here are primarly working class whites, who vote D out of generational union ties, they have no stomach for leftist claptrap like gay marriage or assaults on the church or any of the other leftist nonsense this guys been selling. They don’t believe “someone else built that” they work hard.. they aren’t leftist ideologues.
Obama has spit in their faces for 4 years, I really don’t think Obama can win PA.. If Romney comes and fights for it, I think its his. BEST and I do mean BEST Obama can hope for from PA is to spend a whole lot of time and money here, and maybe get a squeaker.. that’s it.
Look at the F&M poll in PA today: it’s Obama +6 . . . with a +13% Dem oversample~!! If done legit, it’s a dead tie, with 15% “undecided.” Think they’ll break for Zero???
LOL....
The difference in PA could be the Catholic Bishops. If they can get their socialist / commie priests (not all are) under control, the people want to do what's right.
Things are only going to get worse for obama from here till election day.
Catholics and Coal
-PJ
>>...that would mean a good chunk of Walker voters want Obama now? - i don’t think so!!<<
Not to throw cold water, but there is one element of Walker’s 2nd victory (but not the first one) that you need to consider. We’d already had a recall election of Supreme Court Justice Prosser, and Walker had been elected only the year earlier, so undoubtedly some of Walker’s voters in the recall election were just sending the message that enough is enough, and that all the recall efforts were wasting people’s time and money. And some people who thought that way, and voted for Walker, are probably moderates who often vote Democrat.
There was a fairly strong sentiment that people supporting the recall just wanted a do-over, and where would that ever end if it was encouraged?
That said, it sure feels like this state is starting to lean Republican. After the 2010 elections the GOP had solid control of the Assembly, the Senate, and the Governorship. Offsetting that, the Senate recalls resulted in the Dems holding the Senate 17-16, but now they have to defend seats that the GOP redistricted for November, but not for the recalls. The feeling is that control of the Senate will revert back to the GOP in November, and Ryan being on the ticket should help that cause too.
>>Only president in the modern era to have more people working the day he ends his term than the day he took office.. the ONLY one.<<
I think you meant to say he’ll have “less” people working the day he ends his term than the day he took office....(which is likely to end up being true.)
Norseman, additionally I think a lot of moderate Dems in WI, and elsewhere, are looking at Obama and saying to themselves “this is not what i signed up for”
...and ya gotta love the fact that between March 2011 and February 2012, Wisconsin membership in AFSCME dropped from 64,000 to 35,000 when the ban for automatic dues deduction for public employees was implemented...i’m not sure where it is currently - 28,000??
...Ryan doesn’t hurt either...WI looks good for Romney and Ryan imo
Yes, that should be LESS and there is no PROBABLY about it, there is no way the economy is going to generate remotely enough jobs between now and november for this not to be true, nor January even when his term officially ends.
Obama will be the ONLY president in the modern era to have less people working, actually fewer total people, working the day his term is over than when he took office, combine this with the fact that his administration was during a time of relative peace, (Yes, I know we had troops in active combat in both Iraq and Afghanistan, during his term, not trying remotely to belittle those troops, but I mean there is no serious military threat to the domestic US economy) and you have the most scathing indictment of the complete and utter ineptitude that is this administration.
Norseman, additionally I think a lot of moderate Dems in WI, and elsewhere, are looking at Obama and saying to themselves “this is not what i signed up for”
...and ya gotta love the fact that between March 2011 and February 2012, Wisconsin membership in AFSCME dropped from 64,000 to 35,000 when the ban for automatic dues deduction for public employees was implemented...i’m not sure where it is currently - 28,000??
...Ryan doesn’t hurt either...WI looks good for Romney and Ryan imo
Yeah Chicago is going to repeat their successes with Gov Walker. This is going to be a record landslide.
Pray for America
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