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Tropical Storm Isaac
NOAA/NHC ^ | 22 August 2012 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/22/2012 1:47:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Tropical Storm Isaac threatens to dampen the Republican National Convention Monday in Tampa, Florida. National media outlets are having a grand time anticipating a Grand Old Party washout. Tampa mayor Bob Buckhorn (D) announced Wednesday that he is absolutely prepared to call off the convention next week, with anticipated attendance of 70,000 delegates, party officials, journalists, protesters and others. Buckhorn has not indicated that he would attempt to mitigate liberal protests or a hastily planned Joe "Plugs" Biden visit to Tampa during the convention.

Time will tell. Stay tuned...


Sea Surface Temps


Public Advisories

NHC Tropical Discussions

Satellite Images

Buoy Data:
Caribbean W. Carib and Florida

Radar:
Puerto Rico Gitmo, Cuba, Key West & Tampa Bay


TOPICS: Extended News; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2012rncconvention; isaac; rnc; storm; tropical; tropicalstorm
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To: Strategerist

They’re not diddling the model output.

They’re just ignoring the models that don’t fit their preconceived FL hit notions. Starting Thursday evening the models began to drift westward, one by one. Friday they began swiping back and forth between SELA and FL. Instead of saying something like ‘everyone between Houston and Tampa need to pay attention!’ they essentially ignored anything west of Mobile Bay. Beginning yesterday the models began proving west writ large. The only major outlier at that point was the Euro. Still they said nothing about SELA. It wasn’t even in the cone of concern. What they DID say regarding models impacting their forecast path/landfall was ‘keeping continuity of forecast’ or some such happy horsehockey. In other words, not moving the forecast too much for each update was MORE important than alerting people that there appeared to be TWO important model solutions and get ready. This morning, there were essentially TWO sets of model forecasts. One to the FL panhandle/Mobile Bay, the other to SELA from Vermillion Bay/Breton.

But, local officials, having been burned in much the same way with Katrina (VIPR took the K storm to FL) are already taking matters into their own hands. They’re closing flood gates and declaring states of emergency right now.

Let’s just hope ALL the models are wrong and it goes to Texas or Mexico. Gently.

The last GFS run puts it right at the mouth of the river, slogs it along the coastline moving west and then inland somewhere near Vermillion bay or a little west. WORST case scenario. Let’s hope it’s just wrong.

The boot of La needs at least 60 hrs to evac. They might not have that by the time the NHC gets around to deciding maybe the evil pubbies won’t get hit after all. And if you don’t think government weather science has an agenda and is unbiased perhaps you’ve missed all the ‘great’ unbiased international science wrt global warming?


301 posted on 08/26/2012 10:22:38 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: penelopesire

no. I’ll see if I can find that newsclip of that guy talking to Neil Cavuto...


302 posted on 08/26/2012 10:38:45 AM PDT by DrewsMum
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To: penelopesire; catfish1957

NBC may own it now...

The founder of TWC is who I am referring to... John Coleman is his name..... ( I had to look in my research archives to remember, sorry)....anyways, he is an ardent global warming denier.


303 posted on 08/26/2012 10:48:55 AM PDT by DrewsMum
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To: Black Agnes

Glad I am not the only one noticing this crap! I will admit to having my tin foil hat riveted to my head of late, but this is pretty blatant. I still remember last year and that storm that went up the east coast and the horrible and political reporting from TWC that it was going to destroy New York....blahblanblah.

Who can we trust at this point? I still like and trust Joe Bastardi most of the time.


304 posted on 08/26/2012 10:50:26 AM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: NautiNurse

For those that do Twitter some good people to follow on this are @BigJoeBastardi and @RyanMaue. Some great stuff from them.


305 posted on 08/26/2012 10:50:27 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch (I can explain it to you. I can't understand it for you.)
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To: dfwgator
Of course I had heard about the storm but I had never heard of Isaac Cline.

You're right. But I don't want this one that close to me!

306 posted on 08/26/2012 10:51:10 AM PDT by lonestar (It takes a village of idiots to elect a village idiot.)
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To: Black Agnes
Here's the guy WE listen to, Bob Breck. He studied under Nash Roberts, a name among hurricane forecasters (now deceased). He's the one to put your money on, he doesn't hyperventilate, he takes in ALL considerations, not just what models say.

We're keeping our on in Isaac, living about halfway between Baton Rouge and New Orleans.

307 posted on 08/26/2012 10:54:32 AM PDT by nicmarlo
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To: NautiNurse

Hmmmm..

Tropical Storm Isaac Should Rival Hurricane Katrina

http://www.forbes.com/sites/weatherbell/2012/08/26/tropical-storm-isaac-should-rival-hurricane-katrina/


308 posted on 08/26/2012 11:04:07 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: SE Mom

“file not found”

Hmmm....


309 posted on 08/26/2012 11:09:35 AM PDT by DrewsMum
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To: All

Here are three satirical graphics from Katrina:

http://www.freedominion.com.pa/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=132803&p=1735580#p1735580


310 posted on 08/26/2012 11:12:34 AM PDT by backhoe (Just a Merry-Hearted Keyboard Pirate Boy, plunderin' his way across the InterToobs)
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To: lonestar

YEah but as a two not a tropical storm like we are dealing with a whole bigger animal to deal with,get ready.Best of luck.


311 posted on 08/26/2012 11:12:37 AM PDT by rodguy911 (FreeRepublic:Land of the Free because of the Brave--Sarah Palin 2012)
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To: penelopesire

Hi Pen how are you! I would beware of Bastardi. He was one of those who was calling for this to be a two or three for today instead of what it is a 60 mph tropical storm big/huge difference.
Elle is from Key West.


312 posted on 08/26/2012 11:17:40 AM PDT by rodguy911 (FreeRepublic:Land of the Free because of the Brave--Sarah Palin 2012)
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To: penelopesire
right here on down island and I believe isaac is here now too

.

313 posted on 08/26/2012 11:18:14 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: Elle Bee

Are you in the eye yet Elle?


314 posted on 08/26/2012 11:19:24 AM PDT by rodguy911 (FreeRepublic:Land of the Free because of the Brave--Sarah Palin 2012)
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To: DrewsMum

Thanks for the info. I knew TWC was bought by NBC....which explains why they have gone to the dogs.

I will have to google John Coleman. Always looking for weather folks I can trust.


315 posted on 08/26/2012 11:19:59 AM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: rodguy911
I just went outside to look .... no blue sky like a big one but the rain and wind have subsided

If that's all Isaac has this has been a hype storm

Lots of leaves down (and in the pool) but otherwise that one burst was it

It's not even raining

.

316 posted on 08/26/2012 11:22:50 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: Elle Bee

Yeah I agree. Basically, its just what it is a pretty big tropical storm,light on rain for us.


317 posted on 08/26/2012 11:24:51 AM PDT by rodguy911 (FreeRepublic:Land of the Free because of the Brave--Sarah Palin 2012)
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To: Elle Bee

The latest satellite show him blooming as he approaches the Keys. I think that once the Death Star clears the planet, it will organize and develop rapidly, hopefully not as quickly as Katrina did.


318 posted on 08/26/2012 11:25:17 AM PDT by Ingtar (Everyone complains about the weather, but only Liberals try to legislate it.)
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To: Ingtar
well if this was it ... it ain't much

.

319 posted on 08/26/2012 11:27:04 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2012/08/gov_jindal_to_hold_press_confe.html

State of emergency declared in Jefferson Parish; Jindal, Landrieu schedule press conferences
Published: Sunday, August 26, 2012, 1:06 PM Updated: Sunday, August 26, 2012, 1:24 PM
By Dennis Persica, The Times-Picayune

Jefferson Parish President John Young has declared a state of emergency for Jefferson Parish in anticipation of the effects of Tropical Storm Isaac. Meanwile, Gov. Bobby Jindal and New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu have called press conferences this afternoon to update the status of emergency preparations.

The governor will meet first with the Unified Command Group and then will hold the press conference at 3:15 p.m. at the Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness in Baton Rouge.

Landrieu will hold a press conference in City Hall at 2:45 p.m. today.

snip


320 posted on 08/26/2012 11:27:38 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: penelopesire

I wish they would scrap it all together and have to postpone it to later, after the DNC convention... I know that’s not how it’s SUPPOSED to go... but hey, it’s a storm, nothing we could about it.... This is a crucial year for Repubs to have the “last say” convention style...CRUCIAL, because the DNC is going to be nothing but a friggin LIE FEST!!


321 posted on 08/26/2012 11:29:56 AM PDT by DrewsMum
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To: SE Mom
Definitely a heads up.

I wonder of Obama will be blamed for blowing holes in the levies this time if it comes to that (as Bush was last time)?

322 posted on 08/26/2012 11:33:29 AM PDT by HereInTheHeartland (Encourage all of your Democrat friends to get out and vote on November 7th, the stakes are high.)
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To: rodguy911

Hey there!!

Hope all is well with you and yours. I think all forecasters get their butts kicked by mother nature sometimes...lol. I just like him cause he kicks global warmer’s butt on a daily basis...lol. Been following him on Twitter and he was calling for this storm to head west towards NOLA for a few days now.

Time will tell. Be safe!


323 posted on 08/26/2012 11:35:50 AM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: rodguy911
now a little ... very little rain and some wind ... that was an eye or a space between bands ... i'm guessing eye

Now make it go away

.

324 posted on 08/26/2012 11:43:55 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: DrewsMum

I know what you mean but I am afraid it would blow the RNC budget too bad. We already have millions in this deal...might as well let the show go on.


325 posted on 08/26/2012 11:45:04 AM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: abb

http://www.wwltv.com/news/local/jefferson/Grand-Isle-issues-mandatory-evacuation-order-167480495.html

Grand Isle issues mandatory evacuation order
Posted on August 26, 2012 at 1:35 PM

GRAND ISLE, La. - Grand Isle has called for a mandatory evacuation of campers and tourists immediately (1:30 p.m.).

All island residents are required to leave by 9 a.m. Monday.


326 posted on 08/26/2012 11:45:06 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: DrewsMum

Sorry- I’ve clicked on it a few times and it is fine from here..don’t know why you’re not getting it??


327 posted on 08/26/2012 11:46:32 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: abb

I have a lot of faith in Jindal’s ability to handle this storm if it comes that way. It is comforting to have him at the helm now instead of Blanco...lol.


328 posted on 08/26/2012 11:47:51 AM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: DrewsMum

Sorry- I’ve clicked on it a few times and it is fine from here..don’t know why you’re not getting it??


329 posted on 08/26/2012 11:49:18 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: NautiNurse; rodguy911
it's time to rename this storm Obama

it's been been a failure .... all hype and no substance

this isn't even a good tropical storm

I don't think we've had more than an inch or two of rain

.

330 posted on 08/26/2012 11:50:18 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: Elle Bee

Well be safe! Thanks for the first hand reports. I enjoy reading them and keeping up with what is happening.


331 posted on 08/26/2012 11:50:50 AM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: abb

http://www.foxbusiness.com/industries/2012/08/26/isaac-threatens-gulf-oil-production/

Isaac Threatens Gulf Oil Production


332 posted on 08/26/2012 11:51:07 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: nicmarlo

Real disaster was 2 weeks ago when Hubigs factory burned down.


333 posted on 08/26/2012 11:52:27 AM PDT by Rome2000 (WILLARD ROMNEY -- MORMON MELCHIDEZEK BISHOP -HIS FAMILY HAS AVOIDED MILITARY SERVICE FOR GENERATIONS)
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To: DrewsMum

You’re thinking of Joe Bastardi, who was at Accuweather - an while he was a head expert forecaster (and their #1 hurricane specialist), he wasn’t in charge of the company.

He’s now with a couple others at weatherbell.com... and still very active.

While I’m here, I will say it’s good that Joe was wrong on the forecast for today: no explosive development to this point. Key West is gonna get hit hard, but only with a minimal hurricane, which they should be able to handle.


334 posted on 08/26/2012 12:08:44 PM PDT by alancarp (Liberals are all for shared pain... until they're included in the pain group.)
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To: HereInTheHeartland
" I wonder of Obama will be blamed for blowing holes in the levies this time if it comes to that (as Bush was last time)?"

I'll tell you exactly what would happen if Katrina II were to occur:
1. The Republicans would be villified for having their party in Tampa while a disaster was happening;
2. Most of the 'blame' would go to Bobby Jindal.
3. Obama and Biden would be getting photo-ops ina dozen different places with lots of sound-bites about reassuring residents and promising tons of federal money.

And if no disaster occurs, the media will shower the DRats with praise for a successful prior rebuild.

335 posted on 08/26/2012 12:13:25 PM PDT by alancarp (Liberals are all for shared pain... until they're included in the pain group.)
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To: Rome2000

Yeah, that was awful. I can’t believe though that someone bought a pie for $500 (I think) on ebay?

They’re planning on staying here; real outpouring from the community to help the owner.


336 posted on 08/26/2012 12:16:40 PM PDT by nicmarlo
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To: NautiNurse; rodguy911
that's it?

That was a big nothing

I officially re-name this storm:

obama

.

337 posted on 08/26/2012 12:31:51 PM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: abb

N. O. Mayor Mitch Landrieu presser live.

http://www.wwltv.com/live-stream/exempt


338 posted on 08/26/2012 12:49:02 PM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: alancarp

You are sooooo correct!


339 posted on 08/26/2012 12:54:49 PM PDT by Recovering Ex-hippie
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To: NautiNurse; Nick Danger; SE Mom; Elle Bee; Black Agnes; seekthetruth; manc; MinuteGal
Our prayers go out to all FReepers who are in Isaac's path. Just saw some Isaac coverage on Fox News... looks like he's hitting south Florida now... Key West appears to be flooded.

Stay safe, everyone...

340 posted on 08/26/2012 1:08:42 PM PDT by nutmeg (I'm with Sarah Palin and Ted Cruz: "ABO"/Ryan 2012)
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To: abb

He said there would be no shelters for the public and it sounded like they were not going to assist folks in evacuation either?? Basically told people to prepare to shelter in place or make arrangements to evacuate if ordered.
They only have around 36 hours or so. Is Blanco advising this democrat shill or what?

Hmmmm.....did I hear him wrong??


341 posted on 08/26/2012 1:08:57 PM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: penelopesire

That’s what I heard, too.


342 posted on 08/26/2012 1:19:42 PM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: Elle Bee

I haven’t been on today because I’ve been on the Ipad instead of the mac. Hope you’re ok. We’ve had rain and minor wind, electricity went out briefly once (like just long enough to make the cable box have to reboot and I had to reset the digital clocks). Otherwise, it’s been very much a big nadaburger in Delray Beach so far (and I’m thrilled). Hope you are fine. I’m going to look downthread.


343 posted on 08/26/2012 1:25:25 PM PDT by brytlea (An ounce of chocolate is worth a pound of cure)
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To: NautiNurse

Well, he’s just a mess!


344 posted on 08/26/2012 1:28:41 PM PDT by brytlea (An ounce of chocolate is worth a pound of cure)
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To: abb

All righty then. This is gonna get interesting. If I were there, I would be getting out just in case...NOW.


345 posted on 08/26/2012 1:28:59 PM PDT by penelopesire (TIME FOR A SPECIAL PROSECUTOR!)
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To: abb

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2012/08/mayor_mitch_landrieu_declares.html
Mayor Mitch Landrieu declares state of emergency in New Orleans


346 posted on 08/26/2012 1:29:31 PM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: abb

Jindal presser on now.

http://www.wwltv.com/live-stream/exempt


347 posted on 08/26/2012 1:33:11 PM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: Elle Bee

I’m just tired of crappy weather weekends, which we have had a lot of this summer. Why can’t we have a sunshinacane? That would rock!


348 posted on 08/26/2012 1:37:38 PM PDT by brytlea (An ounce of chocolate is worth a pound of cure)
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To: nutmeg
I'm in Key West

this is the obama of storms

.

349 posted on 08/26/2012 1:40:10 PM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: SE Mom

Ok, it’s going through now....

thank you!!


350 posted on 08/26/2012 1:40:17 PM PDT by DrewsMum
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