If you add the 9% who want a last minute change, he is one point away from tying. The GOP can not agree on a replacement and it would be a disaster. The GOP needs to shut up and let this guy win. Instead they want to tar and feather him for one comment. The pc crowd is alive and well.
If Akin were to drop out, the GOP will lose that race anyway.
Absolutely ... NOT!
Are you forgetting that Brunner and Steelmen in polls just a few weeks ago were STOMPING on McCaskill, and Akin was the weakest of the three. The primary only selected the weakest candidate, Akin, because McCaskill ran ads talking about how conservative Akin was - $2m worth.
If Akin withdrew on Tuesday, the MO GOP would have picked a new candidate by now, and that new candidate would be beating McCaskill right now in the polls.