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Rasmussen: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Romney 48 Obama 44)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 09/02/2012 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 09/02/2012 7:12:26 AM PDT by nhwingut

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 44% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Just prior to this past week's Republican National Convention, Romney trailed the president by two. Today’s four-point advantage confirms that the GOP hopeful has received the expected convention bounce. See daily tracking history. Romney also has gained ground in the swing state tracking results updated daily for subscribers at 10:00 a.m. Eastern.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; polls
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1 posted on 09/02/2012 7:12:32 AM PDT by nhwingut
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To: nhwingut
‘movin on up..’

Can't wait to see 0pansy go.

2 posted on 09/02/2012 7:15:23 AM PDT by redshawk (0pansy is a Liar and Hates.........he just hates!)
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To: nhwingut

A couple more points, and I’ll be satisfied.

Would love to see Romney start cracking 50% in some polls. That would change people’s mindsets about the state of the race.


3 posted on 09/02/2012 7:18:37 AM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: nhwingut

What is really good about this is that Obama is now often below even 45%. Folks, I don’t want to jinx anything, but the numbers do kinda suggest that if the undecideds break 2:1 in favor of challenger, this will be a 52-47 final split for Romney, if not a little higher.


4 posted on 09/02/2012 7:19:40 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: comebacknewt

I think he was 50 a day or so ago. I know Drudge had a poll up to that effect.


5 posted on 09/02/2012 7:20:33 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Must have missed it.

Hope to see it becoming a regular occurrence.


6 posted on 09/02/2012 7:23:25 AM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: LS

I agree. The higest I see Obama getting is about 47% & that’s pushing it.


7 posted on 09/02/2012 7:23:29 AM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: nhwingut

Looks like Wile E. Obama finally looked at his feet and realized there is nothing holding up him up. I cannot wait for his inevitable and welcomed plunge into the abyss.

The LSM has done more to hold back black people than any other institution in this country. They promote charlatans like Obama and Sharpton and shun true leaders like Dr. Sowell and Col. West.


8 posted on 09/02/2012 7:26:27 AM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (The Democratic Party strongly supports full civil rights for necro-Americans!)
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To: nhwingut

dem convention bounce expected???


9 posted on 09/02/2012 7:28:12 AM PDT by dalebert
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To: nhwingut

Just like I said, 50%+ for Romney/Ryan is now in sight, and will be as such within the next few weeks. The “Obama” DNC “Freak Show” this coming week in Charlotte, NC this week will be a total failure!!!

I am hoping that the good folks in Greenville, NC turn out by the thousands tomorrow morning to greet VP cadidate Paul Ryan. A huge turnout for Ryan will embarrass the Democrat “dirt bags” in Charlotte, before their freak show convention gets underway. Go Greenvile for Romney/Ryan!!!


10 posted on 09/02/2012 7:28:33 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party, politically!!!)
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To: LS

I don’t see how 0 gets any higher in the polls there were he is now.


11 posted on 09/02/2012 7:28:53 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: LS
As there is no credible third party alternative, that remaining 8% has to be either in the Romney or Obama camp by Nov 6th.

Historically undecided break by at least 2:1 margin for the challenger. That split would make it Romney 53.33% to Obama's 46.67% and a solid electoral victory. However, due to the consistently low approval ratings for Obama and the state of the economy, I'm thinking Romney will do better than 2:1 on the undecideds. It could easily be Romney 55% to Obama's 45% which would result in a landslide electoral victory.

12 posted on 09/02/2012 7:32:15 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: nhwingut
Put my empty chair on my front lawn yesterday while mowing. Had 3 neighbors stop to say hi, and asked about it.

All 3 said they voted for Obama last time, and won't make that mistake again. One was going to the store to get Goo-Gone to remove his Obama sticker from his car.

We're winning, folks.

Get that chair out, and help make it a national phenomenon!

13 posted on 09/02/2012 7:32:33 AM PDT by paul in cape
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To: nhwingut

Whereas I’m very, very happy that Romney/Ryan received a good convention bounce, I honestly don’t understand how voters can have their vote decided on the basis of a convention, vs. a review of the records and issues. Say’s a lot for why we are in the position we are in.


14 posted on 09/02/2012 7:34:00 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: dalebert
dem convention bounce expected???,,

With Sandra Fluke, Retread Clinton, and Obama? More war on wimmen, driving into the ditch, and granny cliff tossing.

15 posted on 09/02/2012 7:34:57 AM PDT by AU72
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To: LS

The realization is sinking into the nation that we could be shut of Obama. He really does make Carter look good.


16 posted on 09/02/2012 7:35:13 AM PDT by Psalm 144 ( "I didn't leave the Democratic Party. The party left me." Ronald Wilson Reagan)
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To: MNJohnnie

cook the books baby, cook the books. that’s how.


17 posted on 09/02/2012 7:39:23 AM PDT by redshawk (0pansy is a Liar and Hates.........he just hates!)
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To: redshawk

Mittens is in pretty good shape if you can compare this with 1980....Reagan trailed till the Sunday before the election...much easier to fudge the polls back then...only problem I see is we have a much larger welfare class now..and California and New York are gone forever I guess..


18 posted on 09/02/2012 7:44:55 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: pieceofthepuzzle

Many people simply didn’t pay attention until the conventions. Plus, some people want to hear what the parties have to offer.


19 posted on 09/02/2012 7:51:14 AM PDT by paudio (Post-racial society: When we can legitimately hire and fire a Black man without feeling guilty.)
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To: pieceofthepuzzle

Many people simply didn’t pay attention until the conventions. Plus, some people want to hear what the parties have to offer.


20 posted on 09/02/2012 7:51:14 AM PDT by paudio (Post-racial society: When we can legitimately hire and fire a Black man without feeling guilty.)
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To: nhwingut

2012 will hinge on turnout. We know the Dems will cheat. The only question is whether the Republicans can get enough people to care about going to the polls to overcome that.


21 posted on 09/02/2012 7:52:04 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 ("They say I don't pray for my enemies. I do.. I pray they go to Hell!" ---Marshall Law)
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To: paul in cape

My friends (three families) voted for Obama in 2008. They said that they won’t make that mistake again and will voted for Romney/Ryan this time.


22 posted on 09/02/2012 7:58:01 AM PDT by Justaham
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

The question is whether Hugh will turn out or not.


23 posted on 09/02/2012 7:58:42 AM PDT by palmer (Jim, please bill me 50 cents for this completely useless post)
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To: paul in cape
Had 3 neighbors stop to say hi, and asked about it.

I know 12 people who voted for Obama and are not doing so again. Five of those 12 have never voted for a Republican for President (to my knowledge).

24 posted on 09/02/2012 7:59:55 AM PDT by Michael.SF. (Romney was right about the Olympics, but neither the Brits or the Dems will admit it.)
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To: Hojczyk

Much larger racial/ethnic protected class as well.


25 posted on 09/02/2012 8:00:39 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: paudio
“Plus, some people want to hear what the parties have to offer.”

I guess that's my point. There is such a deep philosophical divide between the European socialism-loving current democrat party, and even RINOs, that I can't imaging having to even think about it. That, to me, is like waiting for the convention to decide whether you're going to back Karl Marx or Ronald Reagan.

26 posted on 09/02/2012 8:07:47 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: AU72
Don't forget Jimmah Carter and these pro-women's rights activists.

Bump galore! /s

27 posted on 09/02/2012 8:19:41 AM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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To: AU72
Don't forget Jimmah Carter and these pro-women's rights activists.

Bump galore! /s

28 posted on 09/02/2012 8:19:50 AM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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To: SamAdams76

I think in 08, despite his so-called “maverick” status, McCain was the “incumbent.” Obama was the unknown. I agree with several of you that barring some truly unbelievable development, he can’t get above 47% this time around.


29 posted on 09/02/2012 8:21:49 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: nhwingut

Mitt needs to give Clint Eastwood a Cabinet position....


30 posted on 09/02/2012 8:22:23 AM PDT by Victor (If an expert says it can't be done, get another expert." -David Ben-Gurion, the first Prime Minister)
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To: nhwingut

Obama is consistently in the 44-47 range which is where his approval ratings are. Additionally all projection models based on economic data put his percentage in the same range.


31 posted on 09/02/2012 8:26:59 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch (I can explain it to you. I can't understand it for you.)
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To: LS

Yep. The GOP was the incumbent party making McCain effectively the incumbent candidate.


32 posted on 09/02/2012 8:29:07 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch (I can explain it to you. I can't understand it for you.)
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To: MNJohnnie

“I don’t see how 0 gets any higher in the polls there were he is now.”

Wait until zer0 pulls the HildeBeast out of the hat to replace Biden.


33 posted on 09/02/2012 8:30:18 AM PDT by panaxanax (Voting 'Third Party' will ensure a Communist-Marxist-Socialist dominated Supreme Court!)
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To: nhwingut

And this lead will continue to widen. 0’s Intrade numbers are still at 57% for re-election though, I would love to see that number go down.


34 posted on 09/02/2012 8:35:51 AM PDT by erod (This Chicagoan will crawl over broken glass to vote the fake Chicagoan Obama out!)
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To: dalebert

Obama will be up by 10 even if they have to oversample Dems by 20.


35 posted on 09/02/2012 8:41:02 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Election night is 64 days away.)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX
It will be a very interesting week. The 'rats have built a campaign on hate and lies; and with flagging enthusiasm among the masses, will have to pander to the various freakazoids who are their base. Don't know how well that will go down with job-starved America, but we'll see.
36 posted on 09/02/2012 8:43:50 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: nhwingut

So in reality it is Romney 58-42. The Polls are all going to be way off this election and that is the way he is going to blame and fight the results.


37 posted on 09/02/2012 8:46:37 AM PDT by crazydad (-` sd)
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To: Michael.SF.
Five of those 12 have never voted for a Republican for President (to my knowledge).

They don't even have to do that. Just stay home on November 6th.

Turnout. Supress theirs, increase ours. Do that; we win.

38 posted on 09/02/2012 8:49:03 AM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: nhwingut

We have to make it clear to black Americans that they can do better than the chump change the Democrats throw to them for their votes.


39 posted on 09/02/2012 8:50:22 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: pieceofthepuzzle

Despite what some Freepers believe, independents (not just in terms of party registration) do exist. Unlike Freepers or DUers, they don’t care much about ideology, or more precisely, about conservative or liberal ideology. Their ideology is what they perceive as “work for them” today. It may change over time,as needed. So, their voting decision depends on the issue of the day, and who they think can deliver better.


40 posted on 09/02/2012 8:51:41 AM PDT by paudio (Post-racial society: When we can legitimately hire and fire a Black man without feeling guilty.)
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To: nhwingut

Watching the film “2016” should be mandatory for all undecideds before voting. After watching, their little minds would expand enough to make the choice for Romney something on the order of 85% conservatively estimated.


41 posted on 09/02/2012 8:52:06 AM PDT by Dysart
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To: LongWayHome

“I agree. The higest I see Obama getting is about 47% & that’s pushing it.”

Perhaps at the national level.

But I wouldn’t be surprised to see him hit 60-65% of the vote in states like New York, Vermont, Rhode Island, etc.


42 posted on 09/02/2012 8:53:32 AM PDT by Road Glide
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To: hinckley buzzard
I am praying that the convention comes across as the freak show we know it is. I also and hoping they go over the top with the cult of personality. Hoping too, that Obama comes across as angry and small. Also, hoping it comes across as grandiose in bad economic times.

This is my wish list. Well, the stuff that's fit for print.

43 posted on 09/02/2012 8:56:54 AM PDT by riri (Plannedopolis-look it up. It's how the elites plan for US to live.)
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To: Hojczyk

“Mittens is in pretty good shape if you can compare this with 1980”

So was McCain in 2008 — until the crash hit, and he temporarily suspended his campaign to go back to Washington. After that, his poll numbers plunged and he never recovered.

There may be similar “unknown unknowns” this year. Israel’s impending attack on Iran will likely produce consequences that we can’t really foresee yet.

It’s just too early to tell.

I still believe it will be a close election, especially in the electoral college.


44 posted on 09/02/2012 8:58:34 AM PDT by Road Glide
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To: Alas Babylon!
You're absolutely right. It is probable that some of those 12 will do just that.
45 posted on 09/02/2012 9:20:03 AM PDT by Michael.SF. (Romney was right about the Olympics, but neither the Brits or the Dems will admit it.)
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To: LS

Romney +5 is a likely result.


46 posted on 09/02/2012 9:25:58 AM PDT by Nextrush (PRESIDENT SARAH PALIN IS MY DREAM)
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To: nhwingut

The problem with Rasmussen’s poll is that, it doesn’t account for the deadmocrat votes, and for the other types of fraudulent voters that always favor the democrats.


47 posted on 09/02/2012 9:40:26 AM PDT by adorno
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To: paudio
“Their ideology is what they perceive as “work for them” today.”

I understand that as well, but that still delineates them, IMHO, as very much out of touch.

I am not an ideologue, but do hold a very fundamental belief that freedom is precious, and is at the core of what defines America. This used to be a shared belief by all major parties in the US. This is not so now, and that is a radical shift. I do not believe, for a second, that this is just an election of subtle differences, irrespective of what some have said about how little difference there is between Romney and Obama. This goes way, way beyond Romney.

I believe, strongly, that we are headed down a pathway that has the potential to change the US and the world in a very negative way, and perhaps even to the end of the US as a nation that most of us, including many democrats, would be able to recognize. In the past, for the most part, independents could sit back and choose between two American candidates who just had different ideas about how best to achieve the same goal - a strong, prosperous, and morally sound America. Now we have Bolsheviks on the ballot, and a President who launched his political career in the living room of two avowed anti-capitalists who bombed government buildings.

48 posted on 09/02/2012 9:42:35 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: nhwingut
Every day as I review the Rasmussen data I am told that 42% of the electorate "strongly disapproves" of Obama. So I ask myself, where will Obama find 50 of every 100 voters if 42 of those voters are dead set against him?

Put another way, by what alchemy can Obama claim 50 of the remaining 58 votes to get to 50%? That is 86% and that ain't gonna happen.

Rasmussen says 27 % "strongly approve" of Obama, let us award those votes to him. With 42% strongly against him and 27 % strongly for him that totals 69 % of the voters. Since Obama needs 23 more votes per hundred added to his 27 % who strongly approve to get 50%, and 23 is 74 % of 31 (the remaining voters), that means that Obama must take three quarters of those voters still up for grabs.

That ain't gonna happen.

I recognize there is a discrepancy between these two approaches and I further recognize that it is possible to win with only a plurality and not 50% plus one vote. Nevertheless, the odds against Obama are long indeed.

Where am I going wrong?


49 posted on 09/02/2012 9:45:33 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: nhwingut

I don’t trust Rasmussan. He’s really a Lib.

I have some concern that this could be sending intentional and false signals to the GOP voters, when no matter what the polls show the GOP needs to be beating the bushes to get more GOP registered to vote and to get more “Independents” on their side, as that is the kind of effort the Dims will be doing in spades and with the media’s help - like these polls, making sure they are scared into a stonger effort.


50 posted on 09/02/2012 10:05:05 AM PDT by Wuli
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