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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Romney +4, but 0bama approval still high @ 48%)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 9-2-12 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 09/02/2012 1:06:53 PM PDT by GR_Jr.

he Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 44% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Just prior to this past week's Republican National Convention, Romney trailed the president by two. Today’s four-point advantage confirms that the GOP hopeful has received the expected convention bounce.

A president’s job approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s job approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) at least somewhat disapprove of the job Obama is doing (see trends).

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election2012
Not much of a "bounce" for Romney. 0bama still has a high approval rating. Confirms my suspicion America is going to stick with the Marxist Kenyan Dictator because Romney is just too rich and too white for their liking. It's not hip to be white don't you know? Latino and Black is the thing to be.
1 posted on 09/02/2012 1:06:57 PM PDT by GR_Jr.
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To: GR_Jr.

As long as the Kenyan continues to “redistribute” other people’s money, his “approval” numbers will remain high. I mean, where else can you go where the government will steal money from one group of people and give it to another group of people?


2 posted on 09/02/2012 1:10:16 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Had enough of the freaks running the show yet?)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

I disagree, respectfully of course. People are still afraid to tell pollsters Obama sucks. How else do you explain Romney leading in the polls but 0bamugabe at 48% approval?


3 posted on 09/02/2012 1:12:57 PM PDT by cardinal4
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To: GR_Jr.

If 48% of people still support Obama after all he’s done and is likely to do to destroy our economy and freedoms under the Constitution, and he is re-elected, then our country deserves what it gets.

We live in a society such that if you are not personally affected, nothing matters. In that case, wait until his policies affect everyone. Let’s hope that anarachy does not result.


4 posted on 09/02/2012 1:13:59 PM PDT by veritas2002
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To: cardinal4

I believe that you’re right. I don’t think a lot of people are being straight with the pollsters. Too many people are scared to death that someone might call them a racist so they always play it safe.


5 posted on 09/02/2012 1:16:52 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Had enough of the freaks running the show yet?)
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To: veritas2002

I believe Obama is doing much much worse than these polls show but after people watch Obama’s America 2016 and still vote for this guy(After he’s destroyed the economy, destroyed our health care system, and destroyed traditional marriage) than I guess we deserve to live in Communism. God help us all


6 posted on 09/02/2012 1:21:46 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: GR_Jr.
0bama still has a high approval rating

Disgustingly so, but does it translate to a win on Election Day?

A president’s job approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s job approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance

(RCP avg. is 47.1% and the latest Gallup is 43%)

7 posted on 09/02/2012 1:29:08 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: GR_Jr.
Romney +4, but 0bama approval still high @ 48%

All the people on welfare;
All the people on food stamps;
All the people on extended unemployment;
All the illegal aliens (some of those vote,too);
All the chronically unemployed;
All the people sitting on their porch with their hands out, palm up;
All the people "on the dole";
They approve of "O", but I can't believe they amount to 48% of "us".
Sure hope not.

8 posted on 09/02/2012 1:30:23 PM PDT by GoldenPup (Comrade "O" has got to GO!!)
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To: smoothsailing

“(RCP avg. is 47.1% and the latest Gallup is 43%)”

And Gallup has 0bama +1 over Romeny. Go figure. I mean they have 0bamam @ 43% approval, but getting 48% of the vote. Ras has 0bama approval at 48%, but the Won is only getting 44% of the vote. Sounds ass backwards to me.


9 posted on 09/02/2012 1:32:31 PM PDT by GR_Jr. ("On Nov.6 I guess I will swallow that bitter pill called Mitt Romney...only to stop 0bama")
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To: cardinal4

Makes me wonder what people would do if they discovered Obama is actually a freckled faced white guy who has composited himself into a black guy. Obama is all about the art of fake.


10 posted on 09/02/2012 1:38:43 PM PDT by pallis
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To: GR_Jr.

This shows a trend, it’s the Tue-Wed numbers that will show a bounce.


11 posted on 09/02/2012 1:40:16 PM PDT by cmsgop ( The left always accuses the right for the sins of the left. from FReeper Just Lori, RIP)
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To: GoldenPup

All the people on welfare;
All the people on food stamps;
All the people on extended unemployment;
All the illegal aliens (some of those vote,too);
All the chronically unemployed;
All the people sitting on their porch with their hands out, palm up;
All the people “on the dole”;
They approve of “O”, but I can’t believe they amount to 48% of “us”.

All these are the same people!!!


12 posted on 09/02/2012 1:40:16 PM PDT by tallyhoe
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To: GR_Jr.

Gallup polls registered voters...Rasmussen polls likely voters.


13 posted on 09/02/2012 1:43:11 PM PDT by what's up
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To: GR_Jr.

I thought his disapproval number was 48 and his approval 43.

Saw that on the the site.


14 posted on 09/02/2012 1:43:22 PM PDT by Constitutional Patriot (Socialism is the cancer of humanity.)
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To: GR_Jr.

I usually take the median of Gallup and Rasmussen and go with that. It keeps me from going crazy! :)

Currently Obama’s median vote is 46% and median approval is 45.5%


15 posted on 09/02/2012 1:45:05 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: GR_Jr.

>It’s not hip to be white don’t you know? Latino and Black is the thing to be.

The few times I catch a mainstream TV program that is the message I get. Absolute rubbish is what it is.

If the yoots stay home and watch their garbage TV then we may have a good chance.


16 posted on 09/02/2012 1:48:01 PM PDT by soycd
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To: GR_Jr.

BS Bradley Effect...pollees still don’t want to be caught saying something negative about the black guy (caveat: he is not of slavery ancestory, nor from American heritage, not even man enough to acknowledge both sides of his family err, mixed race...which would have helped UNITE the country - of course he did that on purpose)...the polls are BS...a la 2010.


17 posted on 09/02/2012 1:52:11 PM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Keep your head up and keep moving forward!)
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To: GR_Jr.
Gallup has O's approval at a pitiful 43%.

I wouldn't worry about "convention bounces." Obama got one in 2008 because of the "newness" of a black pres., but normally those don't last at all, and especially with fewer people tuning in to all political theater, the "bounce" will be smaller---for everyone.

18 posted on 09/02/2012 1:53:41 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: GR_Jr.
Just prior to this past week's Republican National Convention, Romney trailed the president by two. Today’s four-point advantage confirms that the GOP hopeful has received the expected convention bounce.

Romney will get a greater bump from the DNC than he got from the RNC.

19 posted on 09/02/2012 1:54:08 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: GR_Jr.

.

If America only knew....

The best Obama exposure site on the net:
(by our own FReeper, Beckwith)

The Obama File
http://theobamafile.com/

The United States Library of Congress has selected
TheObamaFile.com for inclusion in its historic collection
of Internet materials
http://theobamafile.com/LibraryOfCongress.html

Just a few of the pages:

http://www.theobamafile.com/index_next_politics.html

http://www.theobamafile.com/index_next_personal.html

http://www.theobamafile.com/BarackObama.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/_family/FamilyPage.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaEducation.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaPsychology.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaReligion.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaWife.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/_associates/ObamaAssociates.htm

http://www.theobamafile.com/ObamaIconography.htm

.

.


20 posted on 09/02/2012 2:03:26 PM PDT by patriot08 (TEXAS GAL- born and bred and proud of it!)
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To: CincyRichieRich
There is no such thing as the Bradley effect. It was disproven in 2008, big time. The polls were about right at the end.

That said, I think Gallup is closer in the disapproval than Ras. You simly can't have this kind of Romney lead and still have 48% job approval.

21 posted on 09/02/2012 2:13:01 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: GR_Jr.
This is a summer holiday weekend. Conservative/libertarian/right-thinking independent voters tend to be undercounted over weekends, and more so over long holiday weekends. So, as good as a 6-point "bounce" might seem, based on the Rasmussen "strongly approve" number of -15 (I'd guesstimate the real number is about -20) I think Romney is actually doing better than the polling indicates.

The 'rats should get their own "bounce" from their convention next week (or negative bounce, depending on how well or badly it goes), so then those numbers need to fade. Look for the "real" numbers about the third week of September.

22 posted on 09/02/2012 2:32:30 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: GR_Jr.

Have you considered perhaps dislike of Romney extends beyond age and youth?

Obama’s a Carter-esque disaster and Romney would be marginally better but he’s no prize. This is the same guy that was mediscaring in the republican primary less than a year ago. He’s a Massuchusetts Liberal and only a few short years ago Republicans used to make fun of these kinds of people. Now one has been nominated as the Republican nominee and everyone is supposed to be eager and happy to vote for this man and convince others to go to the polls because he marginally adapts his message to include a few conservative buzz words?

The polls reflect a situation of these two candidates own making. Liberals are unhappy with Obama but relunctantly rallying to their nominee while Republicans are unhappy and relunctantly rallying to theirs. Meanwhile the rest of us are pretty apathetic and disgusted by both choices and haven’t rallied to anyone yet.


23 posted on 09/02/2012 2:35:28 PM PDT by Soul Seeker (I will work every day to make Washington, D.C., as inconsequential in your lives as I can - Perry)
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To: GR_Jr.

There is little to approve.


24 posted on 09/02/2012 2:42:29 PM PDT by Andrei Bulba (No Obama, no way!)
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To: LS
Most 2008 polls underestimated the McCain vote (8 of 10). Not by a huge amount, but the bias is there, and it appears to be nonrandom.


25 posted on 09/02/2012 2:43:34 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: GoldenPup

Don’t forget a near 100% racial black vote, add in most hispanic children of illegals, liberal Jewish population, New York, California, etc. Just saying lots of democrat demographics.

But then again Romney is leading so I’m finding the Obama approval a bit high. Note they now are playing the “Romney wants war” card.


26 posted on 09/02/2012 2:47:01 PM PDT by Andrei Bulba (No Obama, no way!)
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To: GR_Jr.
'Not much of a "bounce" for Romney.'

PSSST...words of advice. Candidate Mitt...want to seal the deal and win in a landslide....? ..... 4 words..

SARAH

PALIN'S

TEA ....

PARTY

Get yer people movin...start lining up battleground state rallies immediately. Featuring you and ...SARAH on the dias.....What numbers you can't attract ...SHE sure as hell can. Now...do you want to win or NOT? You aint gonna win standing up there next to anyone named karl thats for sure...

Switch off appearances....ROMNEY/PALIN...ROMNEY/RYAN.... RYAN/PALIN.... ROMNEY/RYAN.

Cycle thru these as many times as it takes you to win.

No charge.
27 posted on 09/02/2012 3:21:54 PM PDT by jimsin (u)
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To: GR_Jr.

You could be right but Americans may be tired of the hubbub and Romney seems safe and competent. I think they’re tired of excited.


28 posted on 09/02/2012 3:23:34 PM PDT by Mercat (Necessity is the argument of tyrants. John Milton)
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To: GR_Jr.

His approval in such polls is high because the pop culture (in its utter ignorance of history) likes the pop-Marxist.


29 posted on 09/02/2012 3:29:49 PM PDT by SumProVita
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To: Sooth2222

Wow. Hard to believe they still “misunderestimated” a 10-point blowout.


30 posted on 09/02/2012 3:43:38 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: jimsin

Well, Freedomworks just sent a bunch of people from TX who worked the Ted Cruz victory to OH.


31 posted on 09/02/2012 3:46:37 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: GR_Jr.
You can't expect much bounce from a convention no one watched.

This polling makes me suspect Obama will be reelected after all. It's depressing and if there's one think I don't need more of in my life, it's depressing news! I may head into a 'news black out' like I did in 2008 and skip the debates, cast a vote and ignore the rest.

32 posted on 09/02/2012 4:34:28 PM PDT by newzjunkey (Election night is 64 days away.)
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To: Andrei Bulba

Right. Rasmussen is the only reliable country-wide polling outfit. Gallup is a lib shill and most of the Lame street media is in the tank for libs so they are totally Bogus, too.


33 posted on 09/02/2012 5:16:27 PM PDT by GoldenPup (Comrade "O" has got to GO!!)
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To: LS

There is no such thing as the Bradley effect. It was disproven in 2008, big time. The polls were about right at the end.
That said, I think Gallup is closer in the disapproval than Ras. You simly can’t have this kind of Romney lead and still have 48% job approval.


So that said, then you are telling me there are no frustrated, angry republicans like me hanging up on pollsters and refusing to answer them, and, there are no replublicans or even moderates who are telling the pollsters what they want to hear to not look like they are anti-black? And, you are telling me there are because of these two things not oversampling of Dems? Call it something else then, all three of these things ARE going on. That is to our favor and what happened in 2010 as the Dems arrogantly thought the exit polls were right when they were wrong.


34 posted on 09/02/2012 5:43:04 PM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Keep your head up and keep moving forward!)
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To: GR_Jr.
Naw... it's just a typo....

You know? They didn't mean to reverse the numbers?....

35 posted on 09/02/2012 5:48:22 PM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: LS
'Well, Freedomworks just sent a bunch of people from TX who worked the Ted Cruz victory to OH.'

BUT WHAT ABOUT THIS? HOUSTON (FOX 26) - A high-profile republican was in the Houston area Friday night to campaign for GOP Senate candidate Ted Cruz. Tea Party favorite Sarah Palin spoke at a Cruz rally in The Woodlands. Read more: http://www.myfoxhouston.com/story/19135409/2012/07/27/tea-party-favorite-sarah-palin-in-town-to-back-ted-cruz#ixzz25MepWrrZ i dont think anybody or any org beats the dazzling magnetism of the GREAT SARAH...

WASILLA ALASKA'S SARAH LOUISE.... A PLACE WHERE BEAUTY MEETS BRAINS MEETS BRAVERY MEETS HONESTY MEETS FAITH AND ABILITY.... !


36 posted on 09/02/2012 6:13:59 PM PDT by jimsin (u)
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To: cardinal4
People are still afraid to tell pollsters Obama sucks.

I have to agree with this. I've been polled on 4 occasions and told them "I'd rather keep my opinion to myself."

Who knows what Nazi nutjob is calling to track where you stand? And if they want obama re-elected, they are certified nutjobs, Nazi being the default.

37 posted on 09/02/2012 6:30:29 PM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: GR_Jr.

Its still too early to tell. Give it 2 weeks and you’ll have a pretty good idea of where this is going. And remember that national polls don’t matter worth a hill of beans when Presidents are selected by the EC not popular vote.

I think its going to be close. Beyond that its anyones guess.


38 posted on 09/02/2012 6:40:28 PM PDT by RKBA Democrat (WILLARD 2012 - It's not just a campaign, it's a conservative suicide pact!)
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To: CincyRichieRich

Just saying, you couldn’t find it in any of the data.


39 posted on 09/02/2012 7:00:50 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: CincyRichieRich; LS

The so called Bradley Effect is baloney. LS and I followed the polls religiously on a daily basis in 2008 and if I took one thing away from that election cycle it was that. Total baloney for head-in-the-sand types and since I’m sure you aren’t that, you’d do well to drop that angle. The polls were right. If there is any such thing it’s already built into the margin of error making it effectively unmeasurable.


40 posted on 09/02/2012 9:28:20 PM PDT by Norman Bates
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To: CincyRichieRich; LS

All of that is built into the margin of error and effectively minimized through scientific polling methods (i.e., polling 600 instead of 60).

Hang ups are overcome through proper model construction based on known voter registration statistics.

You can look at it as being similar to the effective elimination of stock-specific risk through the creation of a diversified portfolio.


41 posted on 09/02/2012 9:33:41 PM PDT by Norman Bates
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To: Norman Bates

We can’t believe any polls during an election. No one has any integrity to trust anymore. It’s all professional propaganda gaming.


42 posted on 09/02/2012 9:41:21 PM PDT by SaraJohnson
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To: Norman Bates
Well said. The difficulty this time around is that while both national and state polls are close, so many of the assumptions are questionable, I.e.oversampling Dems.

The other difficulty this time around is that so much of the micro data seems to point to a landslide, or a very big victory for Romney. For ex, the fact that by almost every poll shows CT close and "in play", the poll from northern VA showing Obama barely up in a region he won by 23%, the agreement of every poll that the indies have swung heavily toward Romney. On the other hand, while the trend is good, Romney still trails in NV and hasn't opened up any room in OH.

So my optimistic side goes with the former data.

43 posted on 09/03/2012 5:03:48 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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