Skip to comments.Rasmussen: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Obama 46% Romney 44%
Posted on 09/08/2012 8:39:15 AM PDT by Bigtigermike
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows President Obama attracting support from 46% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 44% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided
The president is enjoying a convention bounce that has been evident in the last two nights of tracking data. He led by two just before the Republican convention, so he has already erased the modest bounce Romney received from his partys celebration in Tampa. Perhaps more significantly, Democratic interest in the campaign has soared. For the first time, those in the presidents party are following the campaign as closely as GOP voters. Interest in a campaign is typically considered a good indicator of turnout. Platinum Members can monitor enthusiasm, demographic breakdowns and additional information from the tracking poll on a daily basis.
The presidents bounce began the night after Bill Clinton spoke to the convention and received rave reviews.
(Excerpt) Read more at m.rasmussenreports.com ...
You can disagree with me but this “prevent strategy” is exactly what Romney aides have told reporters behind the scene in the past - there were articles posted about that months ago here on FR. Romney may now realize that he needs to be more specific but it might be too late....we shall see
Even those exit polls were wrong. They gave Kerry the plus figures. Then Hillary comes out with that get rid of the electoral college stuff meaning the exit polls should have decided the election.
This too shall pass.
i don’t know if he’s out of cash but i know this; 4 years ago every time i went to my verizon.net server to get my mail i was bombarded with obama ads....i’ve not seen one in months...
ever the ads i would see at Yahoo earlier in the year have seemed to fall off the map....
There is nothing at all in ny.
Probably true....But the key difference is between being a RINO leftist and a marxist/communist/fascist leftist.
So the real issue is do we vote for a Rino or a marxst/commie/nazis? (A moslem marxist/commie/nazis at that!)
The problem with the Rasmussen composite measure of battleground states is that it tells you very little about the individual state battles. Romney need not win all of those states, just a sample of key states including FL, OH, MO, NH, VA, NC, MI, IA, PA, CO, NV and WI. If he wins 6-7 of those key states he could still lose a composite measure of all 11 or 12 battlegrounds states. For example, he may lose PA by 3 points, NV by 5 points and MI by 4 points, which offsets multiple very close wins in the other states. Good news: last I checked (2 days ago), Romney was tied or ahead in 7 of the 11 battleground states in the Rasmussen polling, and ties likely go to Romney based on the historical preferences of the “undecided”. Further, Obama hits 50% in only the poll for NV.
This is nearing Obama’s high water mark, wait until the jobs numbers hit polling. I think Obama gets no more than 47% to 48% in the election.
Its called Democracy. Don’t Sweat It. Romney will win.
Interesting swing, it doesn’t take much to make Democrat spirits soar, but then the weekend ends on Monday, and poll numbers get back to normal. The Democrat freak show will fade as gas prices go higher, and the economy continues to fail. That, and the debates are yet to come. I’m still predicting a very comfortable Romney win.
I sure hope so. I have absolutely ZERO faith in 50% of this country.
Obama’s Intrade number has been steadily falling since 9/6.
This is really not that bad. In the same poll last week, Romney had about a 5 point swing from -1 to +4. After the Dems week-long infomercial and Obama’s dismal speech, if all they have is a 2 point lead, we’re in really good shape.
The $100 million ad buy with the Romney campaign should change the race in the swing states for sure, and I expect Romney to get the best of the debates-remember, off the teleprompter, Obama is a stumbling bumbling fool.
Don't bet on that at all.
His masters are in OPEC. His bowing to the king of Saudi was no accident.
Each poll belies its own internals. Ive been saying landslide for the last two months. You simply can’t win when you’re polling as much as 15 percent down amongst independents and have a ~45 percent approval rating.... Doesn’t happen.
This is going down 1980 style. I’m buying a ‘96 Dom for this one.
1. Obamacare 2. Keystone 3. Unemployment 4. Record gas prices 5. Euro crisis 6. Iran 7. Obama still at 50%....
"When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic."--Benjamin Franklin
My precious mother must have said that a million times when she was alive. She was right, too.
I hope you are right, but I don’t think your are. This is not 1980. Issues aren’t what matter. It’s Image. 0bama is the American Idol, hip hop President. When 0bama get’s out there with his swagger and starts fist bumping the crowds, Americans can not resist. I think 0bama has it in the bag.
“Remember, it`s an emotional bond, not policy agreement, that has to be broken between voters and 0bama.”
Agreed. But to date Romney’s approach that Obama is likeable enough but in over his head is just not cutting it. Romney needs to sharpen the attacks like he did in the primaries. He doesn’t need to get personal either. Just get stronger about mocking Obama’s horrible record. Throw the horrible results right back into Obama’s face - unemployment, declining work force, gas prices, deficit, debt, downgrade, Obamacare!! There is so much material - so much to remind people about the last 4 years!!
Why is he not using that stuff?
I have seen some homemade youtube videos with stronger messages than Romney’s. What’s the point of “carpet bombing” the swing states with TV ads if the ads are all touchy feely puff balls?
Obama has nothing “in the bag”.
He is weak on approval, he is dealing with economic numbers that he will literally have to overcome historical precedence to win.
Cut the defeatest crap and fight back.
“Romney wont......He like his aides that tell him likewise believe that they just need to run a prevent defense (run the clock out) and they will win. “
I have heard Pat Caddell on this. He thinks Romney’s aides are incompetent, positioning Romney on defense as Mr. Nice Guy and not getting aggressive enough. Romney needs to begin using Obama’s horrible record as a bludgeon and smash Obama over the head every chance he gets with debt, jobs numbers, gas prices, Keystone, Obamacare, downgrade, crappy GDP.
He’ll also lose over 10 points among Jews by my calculations.
He thinks Romneys aides are incompetent, positioning Romney on defense as Mr. Nice Guy and not getting aggressive enough. Romney needs to begin using Obamas horrible record as a bludgeon and smash Obama over the head every chance he gets with debt, jobs numbers, gas prices, Keystone, Obamacare, downgrade, crappy GDP.
Romney’s M.O. seems to be I’ll play Mr. Nice Guy and let the super packs unleash the hounds of hell.
FR is the home of wobbly types.
They are bored and look to polls to make them feel good about doing nothing but looking at polls.
Anybody know what the breakdown for R, D and I’s? Rassmmussen did do poll to find out voter id and he had +4 R.. Is he using it in these daily tracking polls?
He’s got a stockpile of Nazi gold in George Soros. Other than that, he only has his Commiewood donors to rely on, and they don’t have the same bucks our donors do. Have the oil companies put up? We could use some Exxon money, and Romney’s energy-friendly future is enough to justify a donation.
Scott Walker is a an effective conservative communicator with a record to offer as proof.
Romney is no Scott Walker.
The Bad News: Barack Obama, and his team, has plenty of practice time, before the actual debates happen.
Don’t forget government employees and their families, college professors, brain-washed college students, wealthy, guilt-ridden people, OWS types and aging hippies, and reflexive ethnic voters. The dumb freeloaders can get them near the top in combination with those, and then the fraudulent voters make the difference in the tight races.
I am thinking that R&R better do something to catch on fire and it needs to happen very soon.
If this is the best Obama can do after a convention that has Chris Matthews creaming his underwear, the DNC would be better off pulling every ad and investing in CD’s to await 2014.
“i dont know if hes out of cash but i know this; “
Well Bloomberg says O is going to have to contribute to the current negative balance left over in Charlotte. The DNC couldn’t manage it’s money (shocking!) and the convention has left them $15 MILLION in the hole...
This is in addition to the kickoff event the DNC had to cancel due to a funding shortfall.
Here’s the bit on the convention debt
Democrats Said to End Convention $15 Million Short
bounce probably in blue states.”
The Dem convention got ‘rave reviews’ from the liberals, but it was abortion-palooza, booing God, throwing Israel under the bus, bashing Republicans and blaming them as the scapegoat for all of Obama’s failures while making mountains of credit for taxpayer-funded bailouts like auto industry, nothing new in substance ... oh, and not a SINGLE NEW IDEA TO HELP MOVE THE ECONOMY FORWARD.
The bounce was Obama getting his true believers rallying. At 46% post-bounce ... that makes the election still a jump-ball.
“The liberal base is relatively unimportant. Obama didnt win 2008 with the Dem base. He won with a truck load of dumbass teenagers (now unemployed) and no doubt some first black president! peons. Neither exists this time around.”
Yup, the Guilty White Voters who wanted to make history, plus people who saw we were in a crisis and voted “change”.
If they want to make history in 2012 it will be: “First Time a President with an Economic Record This Dreadful Got Re-elected.”
Is Romney polling ahead of Akin in MO? Maybe we will find out next week.
The kinds of people you mention are the key to Obama’s reelection. Average citizens may be too confused to stop his reelection too.
Whatever the outcome of this election, the republic is dead.
exactly! well then again who do the Dimwits think they are voting for? BO or Klintoon?
Romney is no Scott Walker?
Well maybe that’s good-—after all, Walker found Eastwood’s appearance embarrassing, whereas Romney liked it.
As much as I like and admire what he’s done, Walker makes both Romney and Ryan look like the Charisma Twins. He would NOT make it as a Presidential candidate, and a key to that can be found in his humorless reaction to Eastwood.
I’d like to see a new Odd Couple series with Scott Walker and Newt Gingrich as Felix and Oscar.
One reason I really think we need to push the flat tax argument. Number one, there’s no moral justification for saying some income should be charged at a higher rate, if your income is already above the poverty line. The “gimme, gimme, gimme” society usually responds with saying the rich should be taxed to pay for their bennies. We need to say that we believe in equality, so everyone should pay the same tax rate. So if they want to tax the rich at 75%, everyone else has to pay the 75% rate too.
This happens because “SOME VOTERS” say they will not vote for Romney, therefore less percentage for Romney and Obama wins.
That what happens when you don’t want to defeat Obama bad enough to vote for Romney !!!
Yes, the demographics are really interesting this time around (maybe unprecedented in my lifetime), for those of us who watched closely, picked up on the selling job Obama got, and one by one, weighed all the shabby factors that went into getting him elected. No matter how much strident clamor, (and did you notice all the barely hold-backable tears?)coming from that convention,we’ve got to remember the last one, and the idiot enthusiasm, and where it came from, that pushed Obama past the finish line. There are perhaps five million or so voters completely disenchanted with him, from ALL sectors of the electorate, and they will either be sitting it out or voting for Romney this time.Either way , it works in Romney’s favor. Regardless of how strenuously the MSM manages one last desperate try, they are not going to be able to muster the same kind of top-to-bottom bias in their reporting either-—
I’ve already seen signs of this.And in the last weeks, it’s going to be fun “watching them watching us”, and a sobered look takes over their faces as it comes to realize how drained of support Obama is for purposes of re-election.
When the MSM shows up as a somewhat reluctant dance partner, the game is pretty much over.
I think ABSOLUTELY he gets no more than 45%,even with flare-ups of obvious voter fraud
they still need to go vote for other conservative candidates in other races..is there any great push to register voters and get the vote out?
Republicans don’t participate in polls because we’re never home!
Either we are at work, going to church, or participating in family functions. Since the invention of the answering machine, we are probably more inclined to monitor our in-coming calls too!
With time for family so limited, who wants to answer poll questions when we would rather spend our time with loved ones.
What has Romney said he will roll back from Dear Leader's dictatorship? How many executive orders will he repeal? I haven't heard of one...
At least, if Farkwad wins, the shooting will start, and we can make a Final Solution to the American Socialists, and an out of control federal government.
Romney wins, and the shooting will still start, but we will be stealing each other's food...