Skip to comments.NBC releases new oversampled Democrat polls: Ohio D+10, Virginia D+5 Florida D+2
Posted on 09/14/2012 11:44:00 AM PDT by yoe
NBC is at it again, releasing heavily Democrat oversampled polls in three key battleground states to try and make Obama look good. Problem for them is that not only where these polls taken right after the DNC convention, but the last few days have eroded any bounce Obama got from the convention. In fact, Obama trails Romney nationally according to the latest Rasmussen poll. After his bumbling and stumbling over the middle east crisis, his numbers are likely to sink even more. But for the time being, lets take a look at the three new polls released by NBC to make Obama appear invincible. In Virginia and Florida, the biased polls find Obama up by five on Romney. In probably the most important state in this election season, Ohio has Obama up by 7%, with Obama barely hitting 50%. Problem is this NBC oversamples Democrats by 10 percentage points. The sample of likely voters in Ohio is 38% Democrat, 28% Republican and 32% independent. But of course, when you oversample Democrats as much as NBC, you can nitpick stats that appear to look good for Obama. Check out NBC Obama licker Chuck Todd:
(Excerpt) Read more at fireandreamitchell.com ...
If Romney keeps it close in the People’s Republik of Northern Virginia, he will take Virginia.
I doubt Obama carries the PRNV by double digits this election.
Well said...this business of rep pollster working with dem pollster, NBC/WSJ claims to do the same...I know they have Heart or Hart as the Democrat, and they have supposedly a Republican, have no idea who he is, however I think he may just be a puppet.
They only have the Hart guy on NBC talking about the poll. I have heard from Chuck Todd`s lips that he has some input as to the wording of the poll questions, also Chuck/upChuck cant stop talking about the poll, says it`s the “Gold Standard” in polling.
It`s to bad that Rupert Murdoch allows his paper to be connected with the NBC poll.
I just do not believe any longer in the “science” of political partisan polling, I think the science went out the window some time ago, and that the masses are swayed by the announced numbers.
There poll ranked #10 in 08 and Rasmussen was #1
It’s more conservative than PA, but the econ is better than nationally there so... It sure is NOT +10 Dems. They have a Repub gov for one thing...
I know your first thought is always of the samples, so here you go: Im listing the WSJ/NBC poll partisan split first and then the 2008 exit poll split (in parenthesis) for each state for comparison. And yes, this is likely voters:
Virginia: 31D/26R/43I (39/33/27)
Ohio: 38D/28R/32I (39/31/30)
Florida: 35D/33R/30I (37/34/29)
Polls should be banned from after the last convention until the election.
I would like the msm to sweat a bit, not think they can sway the popular voter types...
Does anyone know how one does make an accurate poll? There is no way to know how many Democrats or Republicans will actually vote before an election is there? Please fill me in.
You are absolutely correct! Obama is having such poor turnouts, he has been bussing supporters in and telling the media to make it look like a bigger crowd.
Meanwhile, Romney is supporting coal and his crowds are growing exponentially.
America is not stupid and there is going to be a slaughter in November.