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Rasmussen Reports: Romney 47, Obama 46
rasmussen ^ | 9/19/12 | rasmussen

Posted on 09/19/2012 6:47:58 AM PDT by Ravi

above

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; obama; romney; romney2012; ryan
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Steady as she goes. Just a few weeks from early voting and multiple voter registration deadlines, I'd rather be in Romney's shoes than Obama's.
1 posted on 09/19/2012 6:48:02 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

AP poll showed Obama up one also this am. I believe sample was dem 31 to repub 22.


2 posted on 09/19/2012 6:49:02 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

I just hope that if we are going to have a three braches again that the Republicans don’t screw it up like last time. With Romney, you never know.


3 posted on 09/19/2012 6:49:17 AM PDT by napscoordinator (GOP Candidate 2020 - "Bloomberg 2020 - We vote for whatever crap the GOP puts in front of us.")
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To: Ravi

I’m still dumbfounded as to how this race is even close.


4 posted on 09/19/2012 6:49:47 AM PDT by woweeitsme
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To: Ravi

Does this one include “47%” and all the bashing yesterday?


5 posted on 09/19/2012 6:52:19 AM PDT by EnquiringMind
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To: woweeitsme

I hear ya. Just the fact that it is within a couple of points either way has me depressed. How freaking bad do things have to get before Obama’s support collapses? His supporters remind me of the Manson clan, or the Branch Davidians. Pretty stunning...


6 posted on 09/19/2012 6:53:49 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: Ravi

When “leaners” are included, the race is tied with both Obama and Romney at 48%.


7 posted on 09/19/2012 6:55:20 AM PDT by deport
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To: tatown
How freaking bad do things have to get before Obama’s support collapses?

If it ever gets that bad, the "media" will spin well into overdrive and make the sheep believe it's still Bush's fault. Up to now, they've proven it's not all that difficult.

8 posted on 09/19/2012 6:57:14 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: ScottinVA

At this point, I’m not convinced that his followers will turn against him even if they think it IS his fault. If he screws up his support will come in the form of ‘feeling sorry’ for him.


9 posted on 09/19/2012 6:59:07 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: ScottinVA

Is the momentum shifting?


10 posted on 09/19/2012 6:59:39 AM PDT by The_Media_never_lie (They lie when it suits them! The crooked MS media must be defeated any way it can be done!)
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To: woweeitsme

I’m still dumbfounded as to how this race is even close.


This poll is pretty much worthless as we don’t elect the President by a national vote but rather state by state via the Electoral College. There are several swing states that will decide the winner. Ras uses up to eleven and other pollsters use less down to seven or eight.


11 posted on 09/19/2012 7:00:01 AM PDT by deport
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To: ScottinVA; Travis McGee

When something bad for Obama happens, the MSM will gin up another Romney “controversy”... a Contra-versy if you will.

Squirrel!!


12 posted on 09/19/2012 7:00:31 AM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: Ravi
Romney will take a hit over the 47% remark. Not for the remark per se (I doubt most voters know what he said or what it means), but because of the media shitstorm over Romney's "terrible gaffes". The substance of the remarks is immaterial. The only thing that matters is that "Romney keeps making stupid gaffes", is "gaffe prone", etc.

Last night, Jay Leno's opening monologue was about Romney's gaffes: "how does he have room for both that silver spoon and his foot in his mouth at the same time?", etc.

I look for Obamugabe to retake the lead for the rest of this week and into next week at least.

13 posted on 09/19/2012 7:02:32 AM PDT by Sans-Culotte ( Pray for Obama- Psalm 109:8)
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To: tatown
That's why what Mitt said was accurate, he will get a certain percentage voting for him no matter what.

As scary as it is, there are people who do want this country to collaps and be rebuilt a different way

14 posted on 09/19/2012 7:02:54 AM PDT by V_TWIN (obama=where there's smoke, there's mirrors)
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To: deport; woweeitsme

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2933254/posts

All about the squirrel!


15 posted on 09/19/2012 7:03:57 AM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: Ravi

The maximum popular vote percentage for a GOP candidate in the last 20 years is 50.73% (GWB, 2004). Like Mitt said, the way the country is now, it’s difficult for a GOP candidate to get a substantial margin.


16 posted on 09/19/2012 7:05:04 AM PDT by JacksonCalhoun (CT Yankee in NC Exile)
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To: EnquiringMind

I believe two days of MSM wailing, 17th and 18th, he may bump down a point or two in next couple of days but it will end up evening out by friday or next weeek. It’s all about turnout baby.


17 posted on 09/19/2012 7:07:07 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi
AP poll showed Obama up one also this am. I believe sample was dem 31 to repub 22.

The sampling among Likelies (representing that O 47 - R 46 difference) was D 31, R 30. The D+9 sampling was for all adults, which showed 0+15 at 52% - 37%.

18 posted on 09/19/2012 7:07:25 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: tatown
If he screws up his support will come in the form of ‘feeling sorry’ for him.

Interesting you say that because some polls a couple months back indicated that very sentiment. Many aren't angry AT Obama... they're angry FOR him.

19 posted on 09/19/2012 7:09:16 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: GeronL
Last night, I flipped through TV channels mainly watching the news or Pawn Stars. twice, I came across ESPN2 — twice — and Obama was shown with female basketball players. There was a difference of an hour or so but he was shown twice. Sure, most people watching pro womens’ basketball will vote for him but he has the support of pop culture and these fringe networks that will prop him up as some sort of common guy. Meanwhile, the world is on fire and he is inept in almost every facet of his job.
20 posted on 09/19/2012 7:09:30 AM PDT by ConservativeStatement (Obama "acted stupidly.")
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To: Ravi
You don't have to donate money to the Romney campaign to make a difference. (You should donate money to FreeRepublic.)

If You Live in a Blue State, Here Is What You Can Do To Help Romney Beat Obama

I've made 1600 phone calls from home to New Hampshire in the last six days using the system set up by the campaign. Even 100 calls will make a difference. Who will join me?

21 posted on 09/19/2012 7:09:48 AM PDT by Ziva (Check out the great art blog at http://blog.RetroCollage.com/)
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To: Ravi

I guess Romney got at least 1% of Obama’s 47%.


22 posted on 09/19/2012 7:10:12 AM PDT by No Truce With Kings (Ten years on FreeRepublic and counting.)
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To: napscoordinator

Given that we are likely to be stuck with those vapid warriors for the right, Boner and McConnell, I hope you don’t get your expectations for not screwing up too high. Just saying.


23 posted on 09/19/2012 7:10:16 AM PDT by jennings2004 (News flash! The 58th State has been found, it's OIHO....LOL)
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To: Sans-Culotte
Romney will take a hit over the 47% remark. Not for the remark per se (I doubt most voters know what he said or what it means), but because of the media shitstorm over Romney's "terrible gaffes".

Exactly. The sheep won't think critically about this issue and attempt to understand the meaning of the 47% issue at all. They'll just read a headline or hear a soundbite from Chris Matthews and form their very uneducated opinion from that.

24 posted on 09/19/2012 7:11:18 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: ScottinVA

thanks


25 posted on 09/19/2012 7:11:57 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: GeronL

The MSM has made it their mission to negate any momentum they perceive for Romney. And they likely have an entire floor of one building dedicated to the task. With this situation, no matter what kind of “good week” or favorable event (debates, crisis in the Middle East etc.) Romney has, the MSM can simply counter with a “leaked videotape” or a diversion of attention to a non-issue. When the MSM lacks such a mechanism on any given day they roll out a poll that indicates that “Romney isn’t able to get any traction” on this issue or in that state, or some other made up topic taken from a giant list of topics. This is all scripted, and don’t be surprised if Romney is unable to ever generate a large lead in the race. The only poll that matters is the one on Nov 6.


26 posted on 09/19/2012 7:13:59 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: Ziva

Just curious - how many actual people do you get? What is the overall reaction?


27 posted on 09/19/2012 7:14:14 AM PDT by MissMagnolia (Being powerful is like being a lady. If you have to tell people you are, you aren't. (M.Thatcher))
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To: deport
This poll is pretty much worthless as we don’t elect the President by a national vote but rather state by state via the Electoral College

True! But it's a good tool to Tweet to discourage the RATS. :)

28 posted on 09/19/2012 7:15:17 AM PDT by tsowellfan
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To: All

On 9/19/08 it was McCain 48, Obama 48.
By 9/27/08 it was McCain 44, Obama 50.

McCain never caught up after that. That’s when Lehman went down also. It seems to me this is a crucial couple of weeks though. Also McCain was often 5 points down in the spring and summer and that has not happened this year sans the one exception after the democratic convention.

The race keeps getting pulled back to stasis regardless of what happens. That in itself is a sad indictment of Obama’s base support when gas is 4.00 and Unemployment is over 8% and everything else exploding in the world.


29 posted on 09/19/2012 7:16:35 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: tatown
Media desperation and oversampling of democrats based on a record turnout from 2008. I see no indication that November's election wouldn't just be a continuation of the 2010 midterms and we all remember what happened then.

Why don't the polling and media groups oversample republicans based on 2010 turnout?

30 posted on 09/19/2012 7:22:12 AM PDT by atc23 (The Confederacy was the single greatest conservative resistance to federal authority ever.u)
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To: woweeitsme
I’m still dumbfounded as to how this race is even close.

I agree. One little thing, however. In the last election I registered as a rat so I could vote against Hillary (at this point I'm not happy I did that) and I still show as a rat for registration but of course voted for McCain and now Romney. So I can't be the only one showing one registration but voting the opposite.

31 posted on 09/19/2012 7:23:01 AM PDT by Aria ( 2008 wasn't an election - it was a coup d'etat.)
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To: ConservativeStatement
prop him up as some sort of common guy

Like Kim Jong-Il, a real man of the people. lol

32 posted on 09/19/2012 7:29:44 AM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: MissMagnolia
Depending on the time of day, at least half of them are answering machines. Quite a few tell me they don't do phone polls. I am undeterred. Every call provides useful information.

The Obama voters won't be called back. I weed out the numbers out of service so they won't be called later in the campaign when time is even more important.

Most important, I find many Romney voters and encourage them to volunteer locally in the campaign. I suggest they make phone calls from home like me if they can. If they are elderly, I ask if they need an absentee ballot or need a ride to the polls.

The purpose of these phone calls at this point is to find the undecided voters so the campaign can work on them and identify Romney voters for the Get-Out-The-Vote effort near Election Day.

What guides me is a saying from Pirkei Avot (Ethics of the Fathers):
"It is not your job to complete the task, but neither can you desist from it."

33 posted on 09/19/2012 7:30:19 AM PDT by Ziva (Check out the great art blog at http://blog.RetroCollage.com/)
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To: Ravi

Polls are designed to ‘mask’ the inevitable fraud.


34 posted on 09/19/2012 7:31:07 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: ScottinVA; tatown
"How freaking bad do things have to get before Obama’s support collapses?"

He could get caught in bed with a white 9 year old boy and the majority of that "47%" Romney talks about would still support him.

35 posted on 09/19/2012 7:39:22 AM PDT by moehoward
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To: GeronL
"Squirrel!!"

B-bb-b-b, it's SPONTANEOUS!! It just happened, not planned or anything, nope.

36 posted on 09/19/2012 7:41:32 AM PDT by moehoward
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To: ConservativeStatement

Exactly. hussein is a Kardashian. Completely inept, an embarrassment and a failure. Might as well package him as Paris/Kim/Snookie/etc


37 posted on 09/19/2012 7:46:43 AM PDT by moehoward
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To: Ravi

Up 1 with 2 days of weekend still in the numbers.. Thursday is first non weekend day


38 posted on 09/19/2012 7:48:22 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: moehoward

Kind of like Sam Adams (mayor of Portland). The POS was outed for backdooring an alleged underage male and it ended up have ZERO influence on his ability to get elected as mayor of PDX. If Jerry Sandusky had only been the defensive coordinator at Portland St. he’d have likely avoid prosecution, especially if he’d make it clear that he was a hardcore democrat.


39 posted on 09/19/2012 7:51:55 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: Ravi

Obama 99%
Romney 1%

Courtesy of Axelrod-Plouffe Polling Services


40 posted on 09/19/2012 7:54:33 AM PDT by gopno1
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To: tatown

Oh I don’t believe zer0 would still win, just that the majority of his base would still support him.


41 posted on 09/19/2012 8:00:49 AM PDT by moehoward
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To: woweeitsme
Actually, I agree, but I also cannot help but think of the quintescential weight-challenged bride that struggles mightily in the run-up to the day....lots of 'show' before but curiously wearing sweats and baggy clothes and talking heavily about "how much progress I've made" or the "I'm just big-boned and it's really hard to take it off" excuse.

The fitting comes and the dressmaker and prospective bride's maids (the press) are busy stuffing her fat carcass into the "princess" gown. [Meanwhile, The dressmaker makes a mental note to buy some stainless steel wire to reinforce the seams.]

Come the day, the bride is ambling aimlessly down the aisle, bursting at the seams....all the attendees are gasping at the groans of the thread screeching in agony. The crux is, "Will it burst?" Will they be able to keep the deception going until after the "I do's" are irrevocably spoken?

42 posted on 09/19/2012 8:01:36 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: moehoward

In Portland he would.


43 posted on 09/19/2012 8:02:10 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: atc23
Why don't the polling and media groups oversample republicans based on 2010 turnout?

Because its not conveeeeeeeeenient to them or their goal of scaring potential Romney voters into staying home.

Note that the perception that Obama narrowly leads could easily be used by the Dems to allege vote fraud by the Republicans (talk about the pot calling the kettle black - oh, I'm sorry, is that RAAAAAAACIST?). We need to be very careful about this - because if it is close we'll have an instant replay of the 2000 nightmare, this time accompanied by nationwide riots.

44 posted on 09/19/2012 8:05:29 AM PDT by Ancesthntr (Bibi to Odumbo: Its not going to happen.)
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To: tatown

LOL!! You may be right.


45 posted on 09/19/2012 8:05:40 AM PDT by moehoward
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To: moehoward

right. Watch and see. Next time Romney zings Obama, or Obama’s mouth causes riots something else will get the press attention.

not planned my foot.

(I know you were being sarcastic)


46 posted on 09/19/2012 8:08:16 AM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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To: Sans-Culotte

There’s an elevator in my building that works very slowly. So, there’s a TV that’s always turned onto some MSM cable news channel. I get to catch about 5 minutes of MSM news everyday.

I don’t remember a week starting with, oh, the Olympics that Romney didn’t make a gaffe that would spell the end of his campaign. And this is watching only about 20 minutes of MSM news a week. I can only imagine how constant the bombarding must be. The 47% might change a percent or two for a few days, but at this point, I don’t think there’s much that either Obama or Romney can say to change the state of the race.

On one hand, yeah, it sucks that Obama has a chance to get elected after his disastrous presidency and Romney should be leading by 15. On the other hand, if the public perception of Romney is a pile of poo, then it’s awesome that a pile of poo is running even with Obama.

IMO, only a Lehman moment (good for Romney), an Israeli strike (good for Obama), or a debate moment (who knows) will change the state of the race significantly. It’s going to be a brutal Election night.


47 posted on 09/19/2012 8:20:12 AM PDT by Cruising For Freedom (Don't be the proof that MSM PsyOps works.)
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To: woweeitsme
I’m still dumbfounded as to how this race is even close.

It's close because it's not about Romney vs. Obama. It's close because as far as the MSM has presented Romney, it's a pile of poo vs. Obama.
48 posted on 09/19/2012 8:23:34 AM PDT by Cruising For Freedom (Don't be the proof that MSM PsyOps works.)
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To: woweeitsme
"I’m still dumbfounded as to how this race is even close"

AMEN!! but when you think about it...you know why its close.... liberal media and the ever-growing gov't dependent class

49 posted on 09/19/2012 8:24:34 AM PDT by Heff (Half this country is that stupid.)
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To: Ziva

Thanks for the info!


50 posted on 09/19/2012 8:25:15 AM PDT by MissMagnolia (Being powerful is like being a lady. If you have to tell people you are, you aren't. (M.Thatcher))
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