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Susquehanna Poll (PA): Obama 48%, Romney 47% (!!)
Susquehanna Polling ^ | 9/18/2012

Posted on 09/19/2012 3:12:35 PM PDT by LS

The Pa. Republican Party will release an internal poll on Thursday that shows Mitt Romney within 1 point of Barack Obama.

The survey was conducted on Sept. 17. by Susquehanna Polling and Research, a firm commonly used by Pa. Republicans.

According to the average of public polling compiled by Real Clear Politics, Obama leads Romney in Pa. by 8.3 percent, 49 percent to 40.7. Republicans have spent the past week pushing back against signs, including a lack of TV ads, that the state is falling out of play. Last week, Gov. Tom Corbett and Sen. Pat Toomey each insisted that internal polls are more telling than public ones.

We’ll bring you more details on the poll including methodology when they are available tomorrow.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; obama; pa2012; romney
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File this under "Holy Crap."
1 posted on 09/19/2012 3:12:41 PM PDT by LS
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To: LS

Romney doesn’t even need Pennsylvania.....

It’d be great, though. Obviously if PA goes GOP, it will be game over and I won’t even have to stay up till 9 pm.


2 posted on 09/19/2012 3:15:19 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: LS
If Romney carries PA that would bode very,*very* badly for our Community Organizer In Chief.
3 posted on 09/19/2012 3:16:33 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (If Obama's Reelected Imagine The Mess He'll Inherit!)
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To: LS

Internals will be interesting. Hopefully it is not like pews latest bs poll but in reverse. obama voters 37 pct polled, mccain voters 22 pct polled


4 posted on 09/19/2012 3:18:35 PM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: ConservativeDude
It’d be great, though. Obviously if PA goes GOP, it will be game over and I won’t even have to stay up till 9 pm.

Not necessarily,There's NV and CO,among others in the Central Time Zone.

5 posted on 09/19/2012 3:18:47 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (If Obama's Reelected Imagine The Mess He'll Inherit!)
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To: LS

I wouldn’t put a nickel into PA. Always a tease. The ACORN voters in Pitt and Philly are too tough to overcome.


6 posted on 09/19/2012 3:19:02 PM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: LS
A couple comments from your source link:

- - - - - -

Ryan on September 19, 2012 at 2:50 pm said:

While I am always skeptical of internal polls, Susquehanna has a good track record. They nailed the 2010 statewide races and also nailed the PA-12 special election in 2010.
emphasis mine)


DRayRaven on September 19, 2012 at 5:13 pm said:

If Romney is the worst presidential candidate in generations, it’s a good thing he’s running against the worst president in US history.

I trust the internal polls, especially since I live in PA and it matches what I see on the ground.

But my, oh, my…the left certainly is desperate to claim this race is over, aren’t they? They’ll be devastated on election night when Obama loses and it’s not even that close.

7 posted on 09/19/2012 3:19:47 PM PDT by tomkat (parliament of whores, mulatto pimp, cabal of commissars . . . what could go wrong ?)
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To: LS

Oh. My. God.
I love it!!!!!!!!!!!!


8 posted on 09/19/2012 3:20:03 PM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: ConservativeDude

Certainly better than the Fox polls that have Romney 9 behind in the three key swing states. They’re probably using those 2008 models too.


9 posted on 09/19/2012 3:20:34 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: nhwingut

I live in Pittsburgh,Obama will win this state.


10 posted on 09/19/2012 3:22:23 PM PDT by patriciamary (9)
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To: LS

PA is a solid blue state...

It would be great to win it but I’m afraid that is pipe dream


11 posted on 09/19/2012 3:27:51 PM PDT by zwerni (this isn't gonna be good for business)
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To: LS

Can someone explain why internal polling might be more accurate, and why the “external” polling orgs don’t use those same methodologies (aside from the bias of news organizations)?


12 posted on 09/19/2012 3:28:21 PM PDT by GnL
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To: LS

For the life of me, I don’t know WHY people were counting out PA for Romney. When I go to realclearpolitics and look at the PA polls, they have Zero up by 4 points and don’t have any link to the poll internals. When there is no link to the internals, you can bet they are over-sampling Dims. Then I thought surely the Romney campaign has their own PROPER internal polls of PA.

This is exactly what I believe is going on. The lame-stream polls showing Zero ahead are over-sampling Dims. I just wish Team Romney would put out more hints about their internal polls.

When I look at Romney and Zero, it is not Romney who looks desperate to me.


13 posted on 09/19/2012 3:31:01 PM PDT by ShovelThemOut
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To: LS

See? Don’t be so quick to write off Pennsylvania. If we can overcome the Philly vote, we’ve got this. I just hope the momentum is also enough to get Casey out of the Senate as well.


14 posted on 09/19/2012 3:31:01 PM PDT by SueRae (See it? Hell, I can TASTE November from my house!)
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To: patriciamary
Perhaps you'd care to have a gander at this post from last weekend, listing a few reasons I think/hope you'll be pleasantly 'disappointed' come 7 November ?

30 posted on Saturday, September 08, 2012 8:59:45 AM


Given this miserable economy and it's disastrous effect on my little shop, it won't be much,
but if PA doesn't return to sanity and go 'Red' in November, I'll kick in a few extra $s to the 4Q FReepathon.

15 posted on 09/19/2012 3:31:51 PM PDT by tomkat (parliament of whores, mulatto pimp, cabal of commissars . . . what could go wrong ?)
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To: nhwingut

“I wouldn’t put a nickel into PA. Always a tease. The ACORN voters in Pitt and Philly are too tough to overcome.”

along with MN and MI


16 posted on 09/19/2012 3:33:46 PM PDT by MNDude ( Victimhood is the Holy Grail of liberalism)
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To: nhwingut

This is the first election in which we have voter ID in PA. How many philly undead will not get to vote?


17 posted on 09/19/2012 3:35:14 PM PDT by Red in Blue PA (Read SCOTUS Castle Rock vs Gonzales before dialing 911!)
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To: ShovelThemOut
When I look at Romney and Zero, it is not Romney who looks desperate to me.

I actually watched the Obama/Letterman lovefest last night and it was Obama who seemed to be on the defensive, with "uh" being every other word.

As for Letterman he made Monica Lewinsky look like Mother Theresa, with his fawning eyes towards Obama.

18 posted on 09/19/2012 3:36:02 PM PDT by DallasBiff
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To: LS

ANY INTERNALS? I would like this to be true....I have said before, and I’ll say again: Obamugabe’s unpopularity is vastly under-reported.


19 posted on 09/19/2012 3:36:16 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: LS

I have not heard in 3+ years anyone saying hardly ANYTHING about Obama.
When they do it is almost always not good.
Many times they don’t even say his name but say how things have got much worse.
The noticeable soring cost of food and gas is worrisome for a lot of people in n.pa and I would imagine everywhere.


20 posted on 09/19/2012 3:38:04 PM PDT by Leep (I'm a Chic-Fil-- A-merican)
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