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Rasmussen: Monday: 9/24: R 46%: O 47%. With Leaners: R: 48% O 48%: Obama -13
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 09/24/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 09/24/2012 7:04:36 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows President Obama attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

When “leaners” are included, the candidates are tied at 48%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question. Beginning October 1, Rasmussen Reports will be basing its daily updates solely upon the results including leaners

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; obama; rasmussen; romney
This was to be expected as 2 of the 3 days in this poll are weekend days!

In fact, given that this has the traditional full weekend (Fri, Sat, Sun) factored in and Obama is STILL below 50% despite the best efforts of the media, makes this very encouraging!

1 posted on 09/24/2012 7:04:41 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

The one area where I’m particularly encouraged is support for each candidate. If 89% of Ds support O, and 85% or Rs support R, then there’s lots of room for improvement for Romney. He just has to seal the deal in the debates, and HIT HARDER!.


2 posted on 09/24/2012 7:07:45 AM PDT by Adriatic Cons (Allen West... Will make a GREAT POTUS on day... For now, I'll settle for R&R)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
This part ain't good:

Obama has a one- or two-point lead in each of the Key Three States in this year’s election, Ohio, Florida and Virginia. The president is also up by three in Wisconsin, up two in Nevada and has a huge lead in Pennsylvania. Romney is now up two in Colorado and ahead by three in Iowa and New Hampshire. All these states with the exception of Pennsylvania remain Toss-Ups in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.


3 posted on 09/24/2012 7:11:31 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Not too bad overall. Also this, 43% certain to vote Romney and 41% certain to vote obama. 3% likely to vote romney but may change mind and 6% likely to vote obama but may change mind.


4 posted on 09/24/2012 7:15:12 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: SoftwareEngineer

I am convinced it is not worth it, I am staying home in Nov


5 posted on 09/24/2012 7:15:49 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: italianquaker

That’s okay, the rest of us will carry your burden for you. Just stay home and relax.


6 posted on 09/24/2012 7:18:51 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: SamAdams76

Mndude clicks “like”, LOL


7 posted on 09/24/2012 7:22:02 AM PDT by MNDude (OWS Movement RIP)
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To: nathanbedford
and has a huge lead in Pennsylvania

This one may be an outlier. 2 other polls show it's a 1-2 point race.

8 posted on 09/24/2012 7:22:18 AM PDT by Adriatic Cons (Allen West... Will make a GREAT POTUS on day... For now, I'll settle for R&R)
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To: SamAdams76

I think ItalianQuaker was being ironic :)


9 posted on 09/24/2012 7:22:31 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: Ravi

Ravi,

Yeah. Not too bad for this point. I have a “gut feeling” (yes man your lifeboats....another “gut feeling” ahead :)) that even the Ras poll understates the Romney vote by 3-4% points.

Cheers!


10 posted on 09/24/2012 7:23:57 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Romney’s campaign had better get its head out of its ass

60% of the people want Obamacare REPEALED

GO WITH THAT ISSUE

I have not even heard it mentioned for weeks...

...torches and pitchforks to DC if they do not repeal this


11 posted on 09/24/2012 7:25:29 AM PDT by Mr. K (Washington is where good ideas go to die- Ronald Reagan)
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To: Adriatic Cons

Yeah, I am not convinced about this so called “enthusiasm gap” where only 85% of the Republicans are supporting Romney

While many of us are not in love with Romney, I will walk over broken glass to vote for Team RR than Clowngroup BO..


12 posted on 09/24/2012 7:26:00 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Obama’s Presidential Approval Index rating is slipping again, which is good news at this point in the campaign.


13 posted on 09/24/2012 7:26:00 AM PDT by Bridesheadfan
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To: Bridesheadfan

Yeah. That is what enthused me too!! -13!! Despite the MSM shilling for the Prezzie, we still have his negative numbers increasing. A few days ago he was at -9


14 posted on 09/24/2012 7:27:17 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: Mr. K

Mr. K,

I do agree that I would like Team RR to be MUCH more aggressive.

I hope October is the month where they throw every dollar they got (and “don’t got”.. as they say here in TX :))

Romney was very effective against Newt with his negative ads. I was quite mad at Romney then but now I want to “Newt-er” Obama


15 posted on 09/24/2012 7:30:23 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

obama’s at 47%.

Why does that ring a bell?


16 posted on 09/24/2012 7:30:23 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Yup. We have every reason to be optimistic.


17 posted on 09/24/2012 7:31:57 AM PDT by Bridesheadfan
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To: nathanbedford

Conservative John Kass writes about how Obama should be down with his recent statement that he did not know the amount of the deficit, but Romney’s statement that he has written off the 47 percent is what matters to the majority of voters.

John Kass

Obama’s pricey gaffe that’s worth talking about -
September 23, 2012 - Under President Barack Obama, the national debt has ballooned past the $16 trillion mark — a number once inconceivable — and is growing by the second as the federal leviathan feeds on borrowed money.

To read the full article go to:

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/columnists/

Click “PRINT PREVIEW” on your computer to read without having to subscribe.


18 posted on 09/24/2012 7:32:10 AM PDT by KeyLargo
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To: ConservativeDude

There is a delicious irony in that number. While I want to Romney to win 55-45, I will enjoy a 53-47 win, just to validate the “47%”


19 posted on 09/24/2012 7:32:20 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: nathanbedford
No, that's not good. It's not "the end" but it's something Romney has to work on.

I wish people would drop talking about PA. It hasn't been competitive since 1988.

20 posted on 09/24/2012 7:33:47 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Osama's dead... and so is our ambassador - Coulter.)
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To: Mr. K
60% of the people want Obamacare REPEALED

Unfortunately, not any more. Today's Ras poll only 52% do (vs. 41 that don't). It shows the incredible power of the corrupt media. The right-wrong direction is also drifting in his way. Just wait till the media pushes all of the "economy is getting better" stories, full-throttle.

R&R have an uphill battle. The media is brazen, corrupt, beyond-biased, and disgraceful. R&R have to do what Reagan did, talk above the media and straight to the people.

21 posted on 09/24/2012 7:34:17 AM PDT by Adriatic Cons (Allen West... Will make a GREAT POTUS on day... For now, I'll settle for R&R)
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To: Mr. K

You haven’t been paying attention. He even mentioned it in his 60 Minutes interview last night.


22 posted on 09/24/2012 7:35:05 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Osama's dead... and so is our ambassador - Coulter.)
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To: newzjunkey

Newzjunkey,

I know a lot of Freepers get frustrated talking about PA as they think it is “Fools Gold”

However, there is nothing inherently impossible about turning PA to our side. The demographics are not impossible. PA in many ways is like TX in the 1980s. Lots of “yellow dog democrats”

We may not turn PA this cycle but keep in mind PA is NOT like CA. In fact I think even MI has potential

Look at what has happened in WI, formerly one of the most liberal states in the midwest


23 posted on 09/24/2012 7:36:13 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

www.unskewedpolls.com has Romney up 7.8%


24 posted on 09/24/2012 7:36:15 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: italianquaker
I am convinced it is not worth it, I am staying home in Nov

Just as Obama wants. Nice.

25 posted on 09/24/2012 7:37:24 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: GilGil

GilGil,

Yeah. I have been following that site quite closely. Ultimately it comes down to turnout. Will we be R+2, R=D, D+2 or D+7 (as the media is taking for granted).

If we are at R+2, R+0, D+2, we will win hands down (300+ EVs)

If we are at D+7, then it will come down to a few states (OH, FL, VA, IA, WI, NH, NV, CO)

However, this actually encourges me that even with a D+7 model, Team RR has a fighting chance to win!!


26 posted on 09/24/2012 7:39:17 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: GilGil
www.unskewedpolls.com has Romney up 7.8%

Are they using an even R-to-D turnout model?

27 posted on 09/24/2012 7:40:07 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: Adriatic Cons

85% of Democrats think the economy is getting better


28 posted on 09/24/2012 7:43:08 AM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: GilGil
www.unskewedpolls.com has Romney up 7.8%

Correct me if I'm wrong, but this takes all polls and re-works them to use Ras' party identification (R+4), and re-applies the stats.

I realize that all of the polls are off, but I'd be cautious in assuming everyone else is wrong and Ras is right. My guess is D+2.

Back in '00, I would watch all of the polls closely, and even though all polls showed an even election, or Gore was slightly ahead, Ras (portraitofamerica.com) had Bush winning by 8!.. He had egg on his face, and shut down that site

I know he's gotten much better, and is one of the most reliable pollsters out there... but if he says it's even, don't know how anyone can think Romney is up this much

29 posted on 09/24/2012 7:43:13 AM PDT by Adriatic Cons (Allen West... Will make a GREAT POTUS on day... For now, I'll settle for R&R)
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To: ScottinVA

LOl read my hundreds of previous posts and you will know I was being sarcastic


30 posted on 09/24/2012 7:45:32 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: SamAdams76

I guess sarcasm is not too obvious anymore lol


31 posted on 09/24/2012 7:46:13 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

It’s the debates, stupid.

Hussein better take some anger management classes. He hates to be challenged with simple facts, and it shows in a very large way on that kisser of his. Mitt hits him with a few early jabs and it’s sayonara Zer0.


32 posted on 09/24/2012 7:47:05 AM PDT by moehoward
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To: nathanbedford
The PA poll is suspect---and yes, I usually accept Ras. It comes on the heels of two separate polls, one with a 1-point difference, one with a 2-point difference.

Still, Ras isn't perfect in his samples, and he is (I think) undercounting indies right now. The Ohio-based poll over the weekend had a 5% Obama lead using a 6% Demo oversample with only 10% indies. That doesn't seem right.

AT THE SAME TIME RAS'S OWN PARTY PREFERENCE POLL SHOWS REPUBLICANS AT A 21ST CENTURY HIGH AT 37.5%!!?

33 posted on 09/24/2012 7:48:12 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: nathanbedford

But Obama is below 50%.


34 posted on 09/24/2012 7:49:44 AM PDT by rushmom
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To: GeronL
85% of Democrats think the economy is getting better

What a sick stat. Proves Rush's point. Obama caters to the morons... The easily swayed.

35 posted on 09/24/2012 7:49:53 AM PDT by Adriatic Cons (Allen West... Will make a GREAT POTUS on day... For now, I'll settle for R&R)
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To: italianquaker

Sorry about that. My sarcasm detector was evidently on the fritz this morning.


36 posted on 09/24/2012 7:51:22 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: SoftwareEngineer

quite right, quite right


37 posted on 09/24/2012 7:51:25 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Adriatic Cons

Maybe Raz is also watching his back and beong PC, the point about unskewedpolls.com is that this is another view with a more realistic party ID. There are too many contradictions that assumes O is winning or tied. For example, Raz did a poll where 60% do not trust the media. If that is true, then that could imply that 60% is looking for alternative news and not buying the media sludge and it may not be as close. there are too many facts implying a possible landslide for Romney.


38 posted on 09/24/2012 7:51:25 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: SoftwareEngineer

PA certainly went Republican in 2010.


39 posted on 09/24/2012 7:52:30 AM PDT by rushmom
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Yup. We have every reason to be optimistic.


40 posted on 09/24/2012 7:52:52 AM PDT by Bridesheadfan
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To: italianquaker
LOl read my hundreds of previous posts and you will know I was being sarcastic

Got it. Sorry!!!! My bad!

41 posted on 09/24/2012 8:06:23 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: GilGil
Raz did a poll where 60%

That was actually Gallup, but your point is a good one

42 posted on 09/24/2012 8:19:58 AM PDT by Adriatic Cons (Allen West... Will make a GREAT POTUS on day... For now, I'll settle for R&R)
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To: rushmom

Mid-term elections and presidential elections are two different balls of wax. Remember 1994 and 1996?


43 posted on 09/24/2012 8:29:29 AM PDT by murron (Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
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To: Adriatic Cons

The many polls contradict what the MSM says that O is winning. These polls contradict in a very, very big way. You have to know how to read polls between the lines. That the MSM is slanting the polls so much implies they see Obama losing. See: What’s with these polls http://www.teapartytribune.com/2012/09/22/whats-with-these-polls-romney-51-8-obama-44-r52-o45-r54-o44-r51-o44-r50-o45/


44 posted on 09/24/2012 8:31:12 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Manipulating polls to show a close race, makes voter fraud easier to pull off. Less of an outcry than if the polls going into the election were reflecting a big loss for O.
45 posted on 09/24/2012 8:40:16 AM PDT by opentalk
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To: ScottinVA

no problem


46 posted on 09/24/2012 8:42:44 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

It does. Politico just released some interesting figures today. Romney leads among Independents by some 10%, and he lead Obama by 14% among married middle class voters. Those are awful internals for the president and point to an outcome much like 2010.

I suspect that was the reason for Obama’s campaign manager, Jim Messina, telling reporters to ignore national polls. Add to that the fact the President is now having to campaign in Wisconsin, and you are looking at near disaster.


47 posted on 09/24/2012 8:43:56 AM PDT by gallandro1
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To: nathanbedford
This part ain't good:

All well within the margin of error.

48 posted on 09/24/2012 9:00:20 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive!)
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