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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll R46/O46 (R48/O46 with Leaners)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 9/26/12 | Rasmussen

Posted on 09/26/2012 6:45:53 AM PDT by tatown

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows both President Obama and Mitt Romney attracting support from 46% of voters nationwide. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

When “leaners” are included, it’s Romney 48% and Obama 46%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question. Beginning October 1, Rasmussen Reports will be basing its daily updates solely upon the results including leaners.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; obama; poll; rasmussen; romney
The trend is our friend.
1 posted on 09/26/2012 6:45:58 AM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

you beat me by 14 seconds!


2 posted on 09/26/2012 6:47:11 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: tatown

0’s approval index is dropping, at -17 now, “back to normal”.

He was up to -9 there for a while.


3 posted on 09/26/2012 6:47:35 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: Ravi

You need to get up pretty early to beat me Ravi. :0)


4 posted on 09/26/2012 6:48:33 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: tatown
The trend is our friend.

Perhaps, however I just can't believe that many people despise our way of life that much to where they want that tyrant pig reelected!

5 posted on 09/26/2012 6:50:25 AM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: tatown

Ras is going to poll only leaners starting October 1st.


6 posted on 09/26/2012 6:51:22 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: tatown

The media is trying extremely hard to depress Repub voters (see today’s NYT/CBS poll, yesterday’s WaPost poll - with record breaking Dem tournout models)... but they may in fact be making Dems overconfident, where they just stay home thinking Obama won. It would be the funniest backfire.


7 posted on 09/26/2012 6:52:55 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: MrB

I want our side to shove these numbers in front of the MSM liars.

The desperation is so blatant (Quinnipiac) that it should be publicly ridiculed as a joke.

To the extent that these people can possibly be shamed, shame them. Doing something of this nature by our surrogates will help intensity and fundraising on our side.


8 posted on 09/26/2012 6:53:04 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: tatown

“He who will be left unnamed” should be able to beat the wookie husband in a landslide!


9 posted on 09/26/2012 6:53:35 AM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: EGPWS

I’ll take an eked out victory. Personally, I don’t see a landslide. But I’d love to be outrageously and laughably wrong and for you to be wildly right!


10 posted on 09/26/2012 6:55:53 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: nhwingut

I’m not worried about Conservative and Republican voters, I’m worried about the independent vote being depressed. That is who Barry and his minions want to keep home. If the independents show up, it’s all over. There’s not a poll that I’m aware of showing indies going for Barry.


11 posted on 09/26/2012 6:58:55 AM PDT by 103198
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To: mwl8787

If they aren’t shamed by the poll that shows that 8% of the population views them as trustworthy, they won’t be shamed by anything.


12 posted on 09/26/2012 6:58:55 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: tatown

Romney has it in the bag


13 posted on 09/26/2012 7:10:25 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: GilGil

These numbers are really good. If Romney is leading 48-46 with leaners, he will win the election IMO. Obama’s ceiling seems to be around 46-47 percent, which is dangerous territory for an incumbent.


14 posted on 09/26/2012 7:16:41 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: mrs9x

Swing state polls show 47-47 with leaners. Great news for Romney. But I think it really comes down to Ohio, Virginia and Florida.


15 posted on 09/26/2012 7:21:03 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: NoobRep

If RR can get to 52% the electoral college has to fall in line. This will be RR at plus 300 EV and north of 51%....hoping O gets 47% exactly. :)


16 posted on 09/26/2012 7:51:19 AM PDT by The Klingon
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To: tatown

Per their methodology page: “Calls are placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a process that insures appropriate geographic representation.”

What is “appropriate representation?” Wish they would define that term.

I find this interesting on their website: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/mood_of_america_archive/partisan_trends/summary_of_party_affiliation

Summary of Party Affiliation
August 31, 2012

2012 Month Republican Democrat Other R-D%
Aug. 37.6% 33.3% 29.2% 4.3%
Jul. 34.9% 34.0% 31.1% 0.9%
Jun. 35.4% 34.0% 30.5% 1.4%
May. 35.7% 33.8% 30.5% 1.9%
Apr. 35.1% 33.1% 31.8% 2.0%
Mar. 36.4% 33.4% 30.2% 3.0%
Feb. 36.0% 32.4% 31.6% 3.6%
Jan. 35.9% 32.5% 31.6% 3.4%


17 posted on 09/26/2012 7:56:25 AM PDT by tired&retired
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To: mrs9x

See Romney winning in electoral college. This is the reason why the MSM is fighting so hard. Right now Obama is losing and won’t be re-elected. http://www.redstate.com/jamesm/2012/09/24/barack-obamas-is-fighting-against-mitt-romney-and-the-electoral-college-and-losing/


18 posted on 09/26/2012 8:13:35 AM PDT by GilGil
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To: tatown; All

About two weeks before the election..all these faux polls will have to start giving accurate results..otherwise they lose their credibility after the election..so, will they then have to say that “Mitt is Surging”


19 posted on 09/26/2012 8:41:42 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: GilGil
The only problem with your link is that the page it refers to supports itself with a link to the “270 to win” website. The “270 to win” website, using polls with vastly oversampled democrats is currently showing BO with 272 electoral votes and Romney with 151.

We both know that is BS for BO but it may discourage some “independents”. I actually think this election will turn into another Dewey vs Truman moment for the media, but they are going to be trying to rattle us all the way to election day.

20 posted on 09/26/2012 8:56:21 AM PDT by fireman15 (Check your facts before making ignorant statements.)
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To: mrs9x

“These numbers are really good. If Romney is leading 48-46 with leaners, he will win the election IMO.”

48-46 doesn’t mean nuthin’.

We do not elect presidents by popular vote. We elect them through the electoral college which is a series of state-by-state contests.

What REALLY counts this election is the vote in three critical states: Virginia, Florida, and Ohio.

What does Rasmussen have to say about the STATEWIDE vote in each of those states?

His “electoral map” is here (though some numbers may be outdated by now):
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard


21 posted on 09/26/2012 9:00:36 AM PDT by Road Glide
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To: tatown
The trend is our friend. Romney needs to keep pushing hard down the stretch. In 2008 that fool McCain actually "suspended" his campaign as if to appeal to voters at this time, which he did not.

If Romney and the GOP go hard; people will be reminded thats its Obama and the democraps that ARE RESPONSIBLE for this BAD ECONOMY, LACK of JOBS, and RECORD numbers on FOOS STAMPS.

22 posted on 09/26/2012 9:01:34 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Road Glide

48-46 doesn’t mean nuthin’.

We do not elect presidents by popular vote.


You are right, except that there is a powerful correlation between the two. It is essentially impossible to overcome a 2% popular vote deficit with an electoral vote win.


23 posted on 09/26/2012 9:35:10 AM PDT by Atlas Sneezed (Hold My Beer and Watch This!)
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To: GilGil

Romney has it in the bag...

Up to us to make sure the bag doesn’t have holes ;)

To quote Gandalf....”YOU SHALL NOT PASS!!!”


24 posted on 09/26/2012 8:24:42 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: 103198

I can tell you from personal experience that the mainstream media Anti-Romney memes are sinking in with the Sheeple. They are trying hard to paint Romney as an idiot, and it’s working.

Whether these people show up to actually vote is a different story, but the MSM is very effective at cutting someone apart.


25 posted on 09/26/2012 8:42:41 PM PDT by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: mwl8787

There is a way to explain oversampling of Dems without some grand conspiracy theory.

I’m a registered Republican in a battleground state (Colorado) and literally have been called hundreds of times in the last two months. It’s hard to go 30 minutes without a push-poll or robo-call, it’s really making me mad, to the point that it is literally IMPOSSIBLE for me to be polled, because I cannot engage in even a fraction of these calls. IF the GOP-registered voters are especially being called a lot, that will burn them out (like me) so that responding is just not possible. That would skew results.

DIRTY TRICK Addendum: What if the Democrats are behind these no-name push-polls and burning us out, SO THAT WE WON”T ANSWER the actual polls? Quite a trick.


26 posted on 09/26/2012 8:45:31 PM PDT by cookcounty (Kagan and Sotomayor side with Joe Wilson: -------Obama DID lie!)
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To: nhwingut

Yeah you should have heard the gal from NH that called this evening to the Dennis Miller show, she said her Dem friends told her they were not going to the polls since the bamster was way ahead.


27 posted on 09/26/2012 9:00:21 PM PDT by BrianE ("Dead at 25 buried at 65 the average American" - Benjamin Franklin 1776)
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To: EGPWS

i know what you mean....sucks, i really do think the majority of minority voters are going to contiuously take a toll on us as part of that crowd as well as single white woman it seems.


28 posted on 09/26/2012 9:05:16 PM PDT by BrianE ("Dead at 25 buried at 65 the average American" - Benjamin Franklin 1776)
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To: Road Glide
Rass has VA, FLA and OH in the margin of error with the incumbent under 50% in each. That is not a comfortable place for an incumbent to be.
29 posted on 09/26/2012 9:05:40 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: Kolath

Very nicely said!


30 posted on 09/27/2012 3:34:20 AM PDT by GilGil
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