Skip to comments.Daily Presidential Tracking Poll O48/R46 (O49/R47 w/Leaners)
Posted on 09/29/2012 6:43:32 AM PDT by tatown
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows President Obama attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.
(Excerpt) Read more at m.rasmussenreports.com ...
When leaners are factored in, the president leads Romney 48% to 47%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.
Factor this in with the big lead Romney has with indys and it is Romneys to lose.
“The problem is that Romney seems nowhere whatsoever.
Even Palin was far more visible than Ryan.”
That’s because the media thought they could easily make fun of Palin, and giving her wide exposure would hurt McCain with swing voters.
Ryan’s much harder for them to caricature, so they try to ignore him instead.
All this “visibilty” stuff is totally MSM driven. Even if Romney is giving great speeches in front of big rallies, people don’t SEE them.
And? We all knew that from day 1 and if Romney did not understand the mnedia was going to do this and go all in for O-thug than its even worse than i think.
Romney is running an awful campaign. I will vote for him like my life depends on it, but please - the media is not the only reason he is behind.
Whoever is running his campaign is doing him a huge disservice w this panzie A$$ approach.
In the immortal words of one wag from Don Imus' radio show: "Jerry Sandusky will be a special guest on Sesame Street before Newt Gingrich is ever elected president."
...and why is that? I seen an article yesterday that was talking about Romney’s fundraising effort to try and close the $$ advantage for Obama. I thought Mitt had a huge war chest!!!
Where the heck is all his $$$$ going!
Folks, the margin of error is +/-3%. This means in statistical terms an O45 R47 poll is same as O47 R45.
We freepers really need a stat 101 course.
This is a robo call poll not an actual poll .
These polls are useless in the age where no one has a landline anymore and cell phone blocking is the norm.
Who is Ras connecting with using robo calling ?
A very skewed demographic which is heavily poor and Dem.
I keep hearing the pundits and pollster guessing the turnout will be like 2008 or 2004 or something else?
Polls based on a guess are useless.
2012 is like nothing else thanks to cell phones
If someone can verify something I saw a few weeks ago I’d appreciate it. Rasmussen himself gave a statistic that really nullifies this poll, and decimates the other highly skewed polls: Voter Registration at the end of August this year has a clear Republican advantage of 4%. I’d read that in 2010 the Republican advantage was 1.3% and it was pure devastation for Democrats at every level - national and state. If that 4% advantage to Republicans in party voter registration is true, then none of these polls showing anything like an Obama advantage can be taken too seriously.
bullshit. I saw 4 different Romney ads in NoVa in 30 minute time period.
“Sadly, that maybe the reason for it... Not much hope when media is so corrupt.”
ESPN’s college football pregame show is at Michigan State today. When they went around the table introducing the commentators, they came to former University of Michigan player Desmond Howard. He was roundly booed by the MSU fans. He then said something to the effect of: “I feel like Romney at a 47% rally!” Hey Desmond Howard and ESPN FU!!! How about making a crack about your butt-boy Obama?? I am so sick of this bullshit! You can’t even watch college football without this bias being evident. If Obama wins this election there needs to be some consequences for these biased a-holes who are openly covering and campaigning for him in the media! Once again let me say a big FU to that black racist Desmond Howard and ESPN! This bullshit needs to end!
Yep. I had two conversations with well-informed GOP voters yesterday and both were saying 'not looking good for Mitt'. The psychops works. Either Romney comes out with a real strong push and good debate performance this week, or it may become inevitable over the next couple weeks. Right now, it seems like Romney's campaign is just rolling over. I still can't imagine this is their whole game plan, but the clock is ticking.
They should bring Palin. Atleast Romney will get press coverage.
He has a huge field office presence in Fl .
It’s everywhere .
Obama and his superpacs have always had more money .
The media spin was the Romney money but the union
Superpacs have big dollars.
The cable attacks are superpacs funds .
>>>> Where the heck is all his $$$$ going!
Actually the cell phone population is reportedly heavy democratic. Use of large cell phone calls is the reason the other pollsters are getting skewed democrat results.
Yep, I keep wondering the same thing. What the heck is Romney actually spending the money on?
because it’s not ads.
And before anyone says.... but you live in Texas! so why would you expect to see ads.
Well.. there is this little thing called the internet that I spend about 10+ hours a day on. And I have yet to see a SINGLE Romney ad online.
Not sure about the first but yes to the second.
>> all the stupid talk, even by GOP idiots, about the inevitability of Obamas win, or how badly Romney is doing in polls becomes self-fulfilling at some point <<
Agreed. But what’s the solution? I’m stumped.
To be fair, other than not being Obama, what has Romney done to energize us? I’m hoping the debates change the dynamics but with media being so corrupt (and the willingness of the beltway GOPers to play along) I’m not holding my breath that anything ‘positive’ comes from Wednesday night.
Rasmussen repolls at the end of each month to see where party affiliation stands. Last month he measured the largest lead for Republicans ever, which might help explain why his numbers have been so different this whole month than everyone elses. But if he is already starting the next party affiliation poll that he will use through October, then it might already be starting to show in the results of the daily.
I think we are in good shape being tied with a much stronger turnout in the works.
Even Bill O Riley is hammering BO everyday, it is ruthless. Public is so dumb. They want to see bottom.
Gingrich would have destoryed Obama in the general. It’s people like you that gave us this miketoast Romney that is getting his clock cleaned
I was told the exact opposite by GOP insider who is relative .
He said the GOP ground game is better than the Dems thanks to
Voter laws and Careful monitoring of outside groups trying to illegally register folks .
The Dems don’t have the Acorn voters on the rolls anymore in key states .
He said its close but was expected
I haven’t watched Oreilly in quite awhile, mostly because of his refusal to hammer Obama. He is now treating Obama like be deserves to be treated?
“As far as we know, Raz is using a D+2 Party ID weighting and a R+4 lead for Romney with independents. Without doing the math and assuming that the Dem voters vote D in the same proportion as GOP voters vote R, one would expect the average Obama lead in his polls to be between 1 and 2 percent.”
You can’t pinpoint the Rasmussen weighting like that — what has been revealed by Rasmussen in this past June’s weighting was that Rasmussen had Dems+3 to Dems+14 range over the monthn of June (not any days with a Repub higher weighting) with the weighting changing daily over the 30 day period. Can’t tell you how Rasmussen decides this, but there it is....
Read post #10 if you don't believe me....
Good God! Your country is teetering at the brink of being destroyed and you need Romney to be your mommy and coax/energize you to do something about it? "Come on Billy, Get out of bed and go to school?" If you are not hyper energized, you clearly don't understand the magnitude of the threat.
What would you do differently where you in charge of Romney’s campaign?
If he is giving speeches and they are being attended by huge crowds, how would you FORCE the media to cover them and air it on the nightly news?
Hard to believe Obama lost so little from 08. Astounding really.
You can buy local ads on national cable channels.
There is NOBODY more energized than me. For the 49% that is currently supporting Obama, however, Romney simply not being Obama is obviously not enough.
>> When are we going to stop using red for GOP and blue for DemCommies. Commies are RED <<
I’ve been saying the same thing for several years now. But obviously nobody pays any attention to me!
Anyway, the dominant media — esp. USA Today — pulled off a major psyops coup back in 2004 (I think that was the year) when all of a sudden, they reversed the traditional colors on their electoral maps.
Therefore, it seems now that our youngsters are being shielded from the the truth, i.e., that most Dhimmis are old-fashionned “ideological Reds” — with the remainder being what we used to call “Pinkos.”
BTW there's more than just hocus pocus in them I was thinking a lot of this
is included too....
In that regard, I believe (actually hope) that Obama's support is a mile wide and an inch deep and based largely on the negative image of Romney that Obama and the media have created. If that is true, Romney still has time, especially in the debates, to reverse that image. Also, if your primary motivation for voting is a sense of disquiet or distrust regarding Romney are you as likely to vote as the millions of folks who desparately fear another four years of Obama?
I am actually more concerned about the Senate. If we lose Maine and hold Nevada and Massachusetts, we need four for a tie and five for a majority. Where will those seats come from? In order of probable liklihood: Nebraska, Montana, North Dakota, Virginia, Wisconsin, Missouri, Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania. Can it be done? Certainly. Might I humbly suggest that Ryan spend some time campaigning with the Republican Senate candidates in Virginia, Wisconsin, Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania?
You'd think someone else would have noticed....sheeezz.....
and this one's for you
Your catch does not interest the “ it’s Over “ crowd that has fallen for psych ops shelling going on non stop for weeks .
Four years of media propaganda trumpeting "why put the people who got us in the mess we are in back in office" is allowing Obama and the rats to frame the debate and put Romney on the defensive from the start. It is really not astounding given that Romney does not seem to have the stomach to go on attack.
As the march to inevitability continues, the question will become can the GOP minimize losses in the Senate and hold on to control of the House.
Unfortunately, it's going to overly micro-targeted campaign mailers like THIS.
>> If we lose Maine and hold Nevada and Massachusetts, we need four for a tie and five for a majority. Where will those seats come from? <<
NE — ‘Pub win
MT — ditto
ND — ditto
VA — too close to call
WI — ditto
MO — Dhimmi win
OH — ditto
FL — ditto
PA — ditto
Conclusion: 50% chance for a tie, with only a 25% chance for a GOP takeover. So if Romney loses, then Biden probably casts the deciding vote in the Senate, meaning that if Scalia or Kennedy dies or retires before the 2016 election, bye-bye 2nd Amendment.
The news media is on ‘black out “ status for Ryan.
The media is run by Axelrod now.
It’s obvious the news media has intentionally
Stop covering the crowds and any excitement linked to the GOP period .
It’ conflicts with the Axelrod orders which is peddle the
Race is over .
Read the posts here , the posters have fallen for the psych ops .
A news black out except for negative news has posters panicked here.
The guy couldn't even see his roles in his two biggest Federal positions to completion -- having stepped down as House Speaker in 1998 before resigning from his House seat in 1999. For this guy to crawl out from the swamp of Washington D.C. 13 years later and present himself as a credible presidential candidate was a complete joke.
I hate to be the one to break this to you, but a lot of these people (I'll even include Rick Santorum in the mix) see the Federal government as an enormous industry, and they make careers out of lobbying Congress and occasionally launching a pointless "political campaign" for the sole purpose of promoting themselves and living at the expense of campaign donors for months at a time.
Say what you want about Romney, but you'd have a hard time including him in that group of hacks.
“Buck up boyos!!!”
Cheer up me ladds,
Let your hearts never fail,
When the mighty Ship of Diamond,
Goes a-fishing for the whale!