Posted on 09/29/2012 11:12:19 AM PDT by kristinn
New USA TODAY/Gallup Poll: GOP regains enthusiasm edge. 64% of Reps are more enthusiastic than usual v. 48% of Dems. http://usat.ly/QyKk3a (Link goes to USA Today/ Gallup poll results. Enthusiasm gap buried in article.)
ping
And so the NYT/Quinnipiac/CBS polls justify their D+9% skew because....?
“Republicans have opened a big enthusiasm gap: 64% say they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting, compared to 48% of Democrats. In general, though, the results show an electorate that is less excited and less engaged than in recent presidential elections.”
well, well, well...
it’s seems it’s going to come down to who shows up..
This may be why the MSM is desperately pushing the meme that Romney has already lost. They want to dispirit our side so less Republican/Tea Party voting will even out the unenthused Democrats who may bother to vote. I think this strategy is enraging our side and making them chomp at the bit to vote. IMHO, it’s not about Romney, it’s ABO and bring down the MSM at the same time.
It also depends on how the pollsters are defining a “likely voter.” My guess is that a lot of polling outfits are defining a likely voter as someone who voted in 2008. I subit that a large number of people who voted in 2008 are not going to show up this election.
Rising GOP enthusiasm could be a Tea Party backlash against media-driven poll reporting meant to depress turnout/support for Romney.
Do NOT trust the media, nor the polls. Not even the ones that apparently bear good news.
The real thing to do is GET OUT AND VOTE like your life depends on it!
It makes all the bedwetters out there happy
That’s exactly what I’ve thought when seeing these weighted polls, especially in light of the answers to other questions in polls that don’t line up with these results. The ‘rats have already known that there’s an enthusiasm gap and those polls were intended to suppress it, but as time elapses and that strategy doesn’t work they will have to get more in line with reality or lose credibility. They have been working in the “free time” they had to depress the Republican vote.
Don’t count on it, nothing makes them happy.
What LS and others have presented here at FR, and what seems to be trending is a definite “enthusiasm gap” in the absentee ballots requests for Ohio. It’s definitely not showing a 2008 pattern (so far). This might be the first concrete indication of a Republican wave developing that is more like a 2004/2010 turnout model.
“Do NOT trust the media, nor the polls. Not even the ones that apparently bear good news.
The real thing to do is GET OUT AND VOTE like your life depends on it!”
Exactly. I would only add that your life, and your kids’ lives do depend on it.
Everyone ought to have a gander at the ohio spreadsheet today. Keepin it close in cuyahoga and gaining further in Hamilton and Franklin. Very interesting.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AvEOdIaw0fPNdHVOZnFENDdDYVFTRi1UMlgxQ0F4OVE#gid=0
Repubs have already requested 5,000 more absentee ballots this year compared to 2008 in Cuyahoga. Need you cuyahoga repubs and indies to keep it close enough there.
We’re winning independents...
We’re more enthusiastic....
We’re about equal in numbers...
HOW THE HELL DO THE POLLS SHOW US LOSING? I smell BS. Romney is going to win
Rising GOP enthusiasm could be a Tea Party backlash against media-driven poll reporting meant to depress turnout/support for Romney.
I agree. I think the polls showing a large BO win will actually keep dem voters at home and will turn out Republicans in huge numbers. It’s going to backfire on the media and I can’t wait.
Folks, please tell me what, besides all these polls, is making any of you get a gut feeling that Obama is going to win? What facts on the ground can you point to? And please don’t tell me “there’s too many freeloaders, the USA is finished”. If that were the case, Scott Walker would have gotten destroyed in his recall election, as the SEIU and the UFT would have gotten busloads of freeloaders to the polls.
In 2008, as much as I didn’t want to believe that the American people would elect an inexperienced college campus Leftist, my gut feeling was that Obama would win. All the evidence was there. Tons of bumper stickers and lawn signs, huge crowds showing up to hear him speak, Republican voters convincing themselves that if Obama won, he’d be a Clinton-esque Centrist.
In 2004, my gut feeling was that Bush would win a close victory over Kerry. This was based on the fact that Bush’s approval ratings and support for the Iraq war were both over 50%.
So tell me, what, besides “people are more interested in Honey Boo Boo than the election”, and just plain paranoid pessimism is making you think Obama will win?
The old saying that “people vote with their pocketbooks” is as true to today as it ever was. So what are all the good things that people who are paying attention to their pocketbooks are saying about Obama these days? What is Obama doing to make them feel content or optimistic? What is making them say that Obama is the better choice? Because I’m not hearing it, I’m not feeling it, and I see no enthusiasm for Obama at all.
IF more people vote for Romney, Romney is going to win!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.