At this point in time if someone is still undecided about voting against Obama, after the 4 years we have been through with this clown and his administration then there is no hope of changing them and we are in real trouble as a nation.
From the full article:
“Part of that is interviewer error: Exit poll pioneer Warren Mitofsky found the biggest discrepancies between exit polls and actual results were in precincts where the interviewers were female graduate students.
But he also found that Democrats were simply more willing to fill out the exit poll. Which raises the question: Are we seeing the same thing in this month’s polls?”
The MSM chickens are coming home to roost. They’ve been BSing us, hating us, mischaracterizing us for decades. So we just don’t bother talking to them. Serves ‘em right.
Part of that is interviewer error: Exit poll pioneer Warren Mitofsky found the biggest discrepancies between exit polls and actual results were in precincts where the interviewers were female graduate students.
polls: jewish voters down to 65% from 78% commie, blacks down to 88% from 96% commie, etc. Anyone registered repub or Indy, why would they now vote communist?
Surfing Youtube for oldies but goodies like The Seekers, Carpenters, Jay and the Americans, Gary Lewis and the Playboys and Pet Clark is a good diversion from ObamaCRAP.
Try this heartening exercise. Go read some articles and opinions on left-wing websites (not the “media”, but the “Nation”-types). There ain’t a whole lot of confidence in the comments. The far Left is sitting this one out at the top of the ticket.
We get an average of three calls a night right now - I don’t know how many we get during the day.
Some are likely pollsters.
We don’t answer any of them.
Believe it or not, millions of voters are just now starting to pay attention. The key is for Romney to tell the American public why Obama is a disaster and why his policies will never work. Strong rather than weak. Forget the “he’s (Obama) is a nice guy, but I’m a better technocrat” garbage. Tell them “Obamas’s socialist-inspired plans have failed and they’ll never work!!” Victory through strength.
And if it's 9 %, it's past time to ask, "who is more likely to answer? could there be a political bias in who is answering?"
Dems are huge on new media and old fashioned snail mailings. GOP loves the ophone calls, which means, after 200+ phone calls this month, I immediately hang up if I get a whiff that it may be political.
I have become "un-pollable." I'll bet others have, too.
A nine percent response rate is unacceptable for social science survey work. If you don’t have at least a 30% response, you couldn’t get a paper based on the survey published in any reputable journal in the social or behavioral sciences.
The problem is that with a low response rate the likelihood that there is some systematic cause for non-response is much higher than for higher response rates, so the sample, no matter how thoroughly random the selection of people to survey was, may not be a ransom sample of the population, but only a random sample of the subpopulation that lacks the characteristic that systematically causes non-response.
The obvious test for this would be to have the exact percentages of voter registrations by party in a state, do a random survey from the population (registered voters in the state) for which the percentages are known, and do a chi-squared test on the percentages of party IDs among the respondents with the null hypothesis that the percentages are the same as in the voter registrations. If the null hypothesis is rejected, then you’d have (statistical) proof that polling in that state has a systematic cause of non-response that is skewing the party ID in polls.
IMHO the pollsters are calling the same people over and over again. Some people claim to be getting numerous calls.
I have a home phone and a cell phone. I live in an average size area. I had a steady job for 30 plus years. I am registered and vote in every election regardless of the size.I have a valid DL. I get Jury Notices every three years like clockwork. I have never received a call from any Pollster in my life. I have never heard of anyone who has heard from a pollster. My family is alive and well and has the same home phone for over 55 years. Never rec’d a call from a pollster. Every telemarketer in the known Planet finds the number but NO POLLSTERS. Do the math. They are polling off a list of known people to get the result they want.
Rush just reads Drudge on the air. I can read that myself. Sean knows less about conservatism than my 11-year old - a "Cliffs Notes" conservative who means well but isn't terribly bright.
Mark Levin is the only one of the three worth your time.
After Wed night’s debate I imagine you will see some changes in the polls. Mitt is going to look very presidential and very sharp.
Other than Ann Romney, no one is coming out to vote for Romney. They are coming out to vote against the other guy.Romney’s strength in this race is the other guy’s failure. He needs to capitalize on it. To date, he has not.The only message Romney should have 24/7 is the other guy is a failure. Eye on the ball, please.
And forget about Sean; he works for Murdoch& Co.
Well said. I couldn't agree more.
On the other hand I know several people who aren't lazy, food stamp collecting types who are going to vote for Obama. Even though some agree wholeheartedly that everything sucks right now they just can't bring themselves to vote for any republican. I swear sometimes people won't change until they hit rock bottom face first.