Skip to comments.Rasmussen: Monday: OCT 1: O: 50% R: 47% (leaners only): Obama -12%
Posted on 10/01/2012 6:39:02 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows President Obama attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.
These results include leaners, people who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question. Platinum Members can still see the more detailed numbers along with demographic breakdowns, and additional information from the tracking poll on a daily basis.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Obama is at 50% but this is with a "full" weekend. I think he will go down by Wednesday
Three polls out this morning...
Rasmussen: O 50 R 47
Politico/GW: ) 49 R 47
ABC/WaPo: O 49 R 47
All essentially the same - right down to Romney’s 47% (ironically). And all using a D+3 sample.
This race is a dead heat with Obama up by a hair. It is far from over. And Romney/Ryan have 4 debates and millions in ads to come.
Looking very, very bleak right now... 52% want Obamacare repealed, but they still want Obama anyway. Americans have lost their sanity.
Same pattern by midweek, barry will be around -14/-17 and the race will be tied or a point difference either way
yep. Scott seems to be pulling D+3 to err on the democratic side. It is still too high. Will close by midweek though.
“All essentially the same - right down to Romneys 47% (ironically). And all using a D+3 sample.”
Yet libs have been crowing “it’s over” for weeks now. Idiots. I have to admit I’m much more confident about Romney than I ever was about McCain at this point in the campaign.
I can’t believe people are throwing in the towel on this one. You have a challenger at 47%, and about 5-7% of Obama supporters say they are open to changing their minds about him.
Keep in mind that amongst those who are “leaners”, the president has a 16/60 something approval/disapproval rating.
These people are there to be taken, or they won’t vote at all.
Did I read somewhere that in recent times at least every president who’s been *re* elected got *more* support the second time around than the first? I absolutely refuse to believe that Osama will do *better* this time than last in a *single* state.
Is this the first time he’s reached the 50% mark? We read no President has won reelection with numbers lower than 50%. He seemed to be flailing in the high 40’s which made me a bit more confident but this poll gives me the heebie jeebies even with the margin of error.
These are the same people who go to games and leave in the 3rd qtr down by a TD. This one is tied and only the formula is keeping Obozo ahead.
Pray for America
I am very confident this morning. Not sure where the doomsdayers are coming from this morning.
We have been told for 2 weeks that race was over. Here we are 2 days before the first debate and 3 national polls come out on same day showing race essentially a dead heat.
I am more pumped than ever.
Not good to see the idiot at 50%.
We are living in a cult of personality in 2012. The media is doing verything it can to prop this cult up and sadly it seems to be working w too many uninformed dolts.
I have a story about the mentality we are dealing with in this country.
I was coming back on the light rail from the Orioles game on Saturday night and there was a group of guys talking about politics. A young African-American lady was there and said “Romney?!!? No way I’m voting for him...I don’t want my food stamps taken away”.
Unfortunately, I think this country is lost and the only thing we can do is pray.
He’s at 50% but if you look at his approval he’s at 24% strong approval. That 50% is a house of cards.
President Obama’s move toward 50% seen in all the other polls is now showing up with Rasmussen.
This is what we get when the GOP Establishment foists a “electable” candidate on us. Does anyone remember Bob Dole??? Because this is where things are going.
I wonder if Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan were running in 1988, would they have used the Willy Horton ad?
Probably not. They would have preferred to lose to Dukakis.
Just my opinion.
Indeed I’ve been praying that the mentally challenged moochers forget to vote come election day. I’m also fearful an election this close is very easy to steal.
Willie Horton was first exposed by Al Gore in the Democrat primary. Then, the ads that ran in the general election were not run by the Bush campaign. They were run by a 3rd party.
Ridiculous. Thanks for signing up, though. Hang around and find some guts.
As said many times, they are either completely wimping out, or holding back for a strong push in the last month. I have no idea which it is going to be. They seemed to have gone limp since the convention.
If they don’t fight for this, I am done with the GOP. That’s all I know. I am a party-first guy when it comes to general elections, but to essentially let Obama run two uncontested elections is absolutely criminal. I hope we see a serious fight in the next 30 days. With each passing day, I wonder.
I am feeling good about the polls today.
Mitt is in striking distance, not woefully behind as the MSM was proclaiming last week.
Praying that he kicks some major bahookey during the debates, and knocks sense into some of the mind-numbed 0bamabots out there.
I think you will see more ‘contrast’ ads in the coming weeks.
The ads that have been run thus far are meant for the squishy undecided/former/soft Obama voter - to sort of gently hold their hand and walk them over to the Romney side of the street.
The ads which will air in the net 3-4 weeks will be “Are you nuts people, this guy is a disaster” ads. IMO.
OK, for arguments sake lets ask this related question. Would Romney stand by a controversial ad as George H.W. Bush did if it were run in his behalf by a third party? Its highly doubtful would he stand by it.
That’s what worries me right there. He needs to get over this and fight to win.
You’re probably right. Just four years ago, the McCain team was totally aghast when Palin accused Obama of “palling around with terrorists” on the stump. It’s been milksop city for the GOP ever since. I’m genuinely embarrassed by how far the Party I’ve always voted for has devolved into such cowering timidity.
Course, our OH absentee spreadsheet shows an entirely different story than ANY poll out there. But, hey, those are only actual ballot requests, not "opinions."
Correction: Reagan 44 States. (I must be counting states like Obama).
All Obama has been running is contrast ads. And then positive ads. Our contrast ads are weak in comparison. What do we run? Adds with little if any text at all, ads that dont tell a compelling story. There’s no compelling graphic that would grab a viewers attention and make them mad. Ads with way too many graphs and charts.
Let me tell you this, I was in a bar the other night and I saw a Romney ad on broadcast on 4 large tvs, everybody in the bar saw it. The TV sound was turned down.
Not a single person in the bar knew what the heck that ad was talking about. Even I didnt know, and I think I have seen the same crappy ad before.
or Romney has no clue how to campaign....no reason obozo should be up at this point considering the numbers against him unless his opponent is giving it away...
Reagan was down 8 to Carter, 47-39, on October 26th.
Today is October 1st and Romney is down 2.3 (if you avg the 3 polls this morning).
Now clearly, Romney is no Reagan. But the point is, the race is a dead heat with 4 weeks to go - which is an eternity in this 24/7 news cycle.
Always has been a joke...and always will be a joke.
Plenty of people have never been polled.
Plenty of people hang up when it's a poll person.
Plenty of people lie when asked questions.
Plenty of lying, cheating and stealing going on.........
Romney is a successful business man who knows how to close the deal.
Obama has peaked. I do believe it's now Romney's turn.
“As said many times, they are either completely wimping out, or holding back for a strong push in the last month. “
According to Chris Christie, who is a debate coach for Romney, Romney is going to cut loose and “turn things upside down” during Wednesday’s debate.
It’s October first. At what point is Mitt going to start campaigning. I have a feeling we are going to be saying that on October 15. I think I will go buy 500 rounds of ammo and a bag of beans.
The article points out that McCain was down 51-45 at this same time in 2008 so no doubt Mitt is in a better position, if looking at Rasmussen’s number. The troubling thing is that McCain was running against a dem wave and a ‘rock star’ candidate that was a media darling like nothing we’ve seen before.
Mitt, on the other hand, is running against 43+ months of 8% unemployment, an economy heading back into recession, 4$ gas, etc... yet his position in comparison to McCain’s is only slightly better.... It’s really pretty shocking.
Hey, I’m not defending the Romney ads to date. They are soft and provide no context to the real struggle out there. But they spend millions on focus groups (think Frank Luntz) and are meant for a specific demo.
IMO, Obama is getting an absolute free pass on the price of gas. I think every day he wakes up and it is not a front page issue or a Romney ad, he breathes a sigh of relief. He knows this is a killer for him. It’s something he cannot point back to Bush - as it was $1.79.
This is what I think you will see from Romney in the coming weeks.
I think that the chair is in huge trouble. For re-election, he should be in the mid 50’s now. He’s not. The economy sucks and the foreign policy is falling apart in front of us. The chair will not be getting the same support ( in numbers) from blacks, Hispanics, young people, Jewish people, and urban voters. In many of the critical states, the race is essentially tied in the high forties.....all this after a full court press media attack on Mitt since the conventions.
The chair is in very big trouble, folks. Don’t let these daily tracking polls and all their fluctuations trouble you.
Only two Presidents have had less support than the first time out and been re-elected: James Madison and Andrew Jackson.
Yeah, definite concern troll.
We sure don’t seem to be hearing much about Senate and House races, do we? Threads about how many seats the GOP may be picking up in both houses seem to be few and far between...
The establishment has once again screwed up big time. This is way too close and could go either way because of the desire of the RINOs to stay in control of the subservient GOP.
It’s not your fault. You’re just a poor Foist Victim.
The media has to start to undo their skewing already?
I guess if they plan to undo it at all, they can’t wait too late and make it look like a tidal wave for Romney at the end, that’d get the opposite result they want