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Rasmussen: Monday: OCT 1: O: 50% R: 47% (leaners only): Obama -12%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/01/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/01/2012 6:39:02 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows President Obama attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

These results include “leaners,” people who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question. Platinum Members can still see the more detailed numbers along with demographic breakdowns, and additional information from the tracking poll on a daily basis.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; obama; rasmussen; romney
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As of today, only one number that has leaners.

Obama is at 50% but this is with a "full" weekend. I think he will go down by Wednesday

1 posted on 10/01/2012 6:39:11 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Three polls out this morning...

Rasmussen: O 50 R 47
Politico/GW: ) 49 R 47
ABC/WaPo: O 49 R 47

All essentially the same - right down to Romney’s 47% (ironically). And all using a D+3 sample.

This race is a dead heat with Obama up by a hair. It is far from over. And Romney/Ryan have 4 debates and millions in ads to come.


2 posted on 10/01/2012 6:43:59 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Looking very, very bleak right now... 52% want Obamacare repealed, but they still want Obama anyway. Americans have lost their sanity.


3 posted on 10/01/2012 6:44:14 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Record high turnout is our hope for sending 0bama home. Pray hard!!!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Same pattern by midweek, barry will be around -14/-17 and the race will be tied or a point difference either way


4 posted on 10/01/2012 6:44:14 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
President Obama 50% Mitt Romney 47%. 2% other, 2% undecided.

Obamath.

5 posted on 10/01/2012 6:44:38 AM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: italianquaker

yep. Scott seems to be pulling D+3 to err on the democratic side. It is still too high. Will close by midweek though.


6 posted on 10/01/2012 6:46:13 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: nhwingut

“All essentially the same - right down to Romney’s 47% (ironically). And all using a D+3 sample.”

Yet libs have been crowing “it’s over” for weeks now. Idiots. I have to admit I’m much more confident about Romney than I ever was about McCain at this point in the campaign.


7 posted on 10/01/2012 6:48:32 AM PDT by toddausauras (FUBO x 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000)
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To: Ravi

I can’t believe people are throwing in the towel on this one. You have a challenger at 47%, and about 5-7% of Obama supporters say they are open to changing their minds about him.

Keep in mind that amongst those who are “leaners”, the president has a 16/60 something approval/disapproval rating.

These people are there to be taken, or they won’t vote at all.


8 posted on 10/01/2012 6:48:47 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Did I read somewhere that in recent times at least every president who’s been *re* elected got *more* support the second time around than the first? I absolutely refuse to believe that Osama will do *better* this time than last in a *single* state.


9 posted on 10/01/2012 6:49:07 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer; nutmeg

Is this the first time he’s reached the 50% mark? We read no President has won reelection with numbers lower than 50%. He seemed to be flailing in the high 40’s which made me a bit more confident but this poll gives me the heebie jeebies even with the margin of error.


10 posted on 10/01/2012 6:50:09 AM PDT by StarFan
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To: mrs9x

These are the same people who go to games and leave in the 3rd qtr down by a TD. This one is tied and only the formula is keeping Obozo ahead.

Pray for America


11 posted on 10/01/2012 6:50:59 AM PDT by bray (If you vote for a communist what does that make you?)
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To: toddausauras

I am very confident this morning. Not sure where the doomsdayers are coming from this morning.

We have been told for 2 weeks that race was over. Here we are 2 days before the first debate and 3 national polls come out on same day showing race essentially a dead heat.

I am more pumped than ever.


12 posted on 10/01/2012 6:51:27 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Not good to see the idiot at 50%.


13 posted on 10/01/2012 6:52:39 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

We are living in a cult of personality in 2012. The media is doing verything it can to prop this cult up and sadly it seems to be working w too many uninformed dolts.


14 posted on 10/01/2012 6:53:58 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: StarFan

I have a story about the mentality we are dealing with in this country.

I was coming back on the light rail from the Orioles game on Saturday night and there was a group of guys talking about politics. A young African-American lady was there and said “Romney?!!? No way I’m voting for him...I don’t want my food stamps taken away”.

Unfortunately, I think this country is lost and the only thing we can do is pray.


15 posted on 10/01/2012 6:53:58 AM PDT by woweeitsme
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To: tatown

He’s at 50% but if you look at his approval he’s at 24% strong approval. That 50% is a house of cards.


16 posted on 10/01/2012 6:57:25 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: nhwingut

President Obama’s move toward 50% seen in all the other polls is now showing up with Rasmussen.

This is what we get when the GOP Establishment foists a “electable” candidate on us. Does anyone remember Bob Dole??? Because this is where things are going.


17 posted on 10/01/2012 6:57:36 AM PDT by Perkalong
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To: Perkalong

I wonder if Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan were running in 1988, would they have used the Willy Horton ad?

Probably not. They would have preferred to lose to Dukakis.

Just my opinion.


18 posted on 10/01/2012 6:58:00 AM PDT by o2bfree
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To: woweeitsme

Indeed I’ve been praying that the mentally challenged moochers forget to vote come election day. I’m also fearful an election this close is very easy to steal.


19 posted on 10/01/2012 7:00:44 AM PDT by StarFan
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To: SoftwareEngineer

for later


20 posted on 10/01/2012 7:02:28 AM PDT by Doctor 2Brains (If the government were Paris Hilton, it could not score a free drink in a bar full of lonely sailors)
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To: nhwingut

We need millions in ads that cause controversy and change the dynamic of the race.



There are all sorts of heavy hitting ads that could be run. But Romney won't have it. My donations have been utterly wasted.


21 posted on 10/01/2012 7:03:11 AM PDT by o2bfree
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To: o2bfree

Willie Horton was first exposed by Al Gore in the Democrat primary. Then, the ads that ran in the general election were not run by the Bush campaign. They were run by a 3rd party.


22 posted on 10/01/2012 7:04:17 AM PDT by TJ Jackson
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To: SoftwareEngineer
At Pew Research, the response rate of a typical telephone survey was 36% in 1997 and is just 9% today.
23 posted on 10/01/2012 7:06:41 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: Perkalong
This is what we get when the GOP Establishment foists a “electable” candidate on us. Does anyone remember Bob Dole??? Because this is where things are going.

Ridiculous. Thanks for signing up, though. Hang around and find some guts.

24 posted on 10/01/2012 7:06:44 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (~ It-Is-Later-Than-You-Think ~)
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To: o2bfree

As said many times, they are either completely wimping out, or holding back for a strong push in the last month. I have no idea which it is going to be. They seemed to have gone limp since the convention.

If they don’t fight for this, I am done with the GOP. That’s all I know. I am a party-first guy when it comes to general elections, but to essentially let Obama run two uncontested elections is absolutely criminal. I hope we see a serious fight in the next 30 days. With each passing day, I wonder.


25 posted on 10/01/2012 7:06:44 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: toddausauras

I am feeling good about the polls today.
Mitt is in striking distance, not woefully behind as the MSM was proclaiming last week.
Praying that he kicks some major bahookey during the debates, and knocks sense into some of the mind-numbed 0bamabots out there.


26 posted on 10/01/2012 7:06:57 AM PDT by kimchi lover ("I can see November from Wisconsin")
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To: o2bfree

I think you will see more ‘contrast’ ads in the coming weeks.

The ads that have been run thus far are meant for the squishy undecided/former/soft Obama voter - to sort of gently hold their hand and walk them over to the Romney side of the street.

The ads which will air in the net 3-4 weeks will be “Are you nuts people, this guy is a disaster” ads. IMO.


27 posted on 10/01/2012 7:07:35 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: TJ Jackson

OK, for arguments sake lets ask this related question. Would Romney stand by a controversial ad as George H.W. Bush did if it were run in his behalf by a third party? Its highly doubtful would he stand by it.

That’s what worries me right there. He needs to get over this and fight to win.


28 posted on 10/01/2012 7:09:12 AM PDT by o2bfree
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To: o2bfree

You’re probably right. Just four years ago, the McCain team was totally aghast when Palin accused Obama of “palling around with terrorists” on the stump. It’s been milksop city for the GOP ever since. I’m genuinely embarrassed by how far the Party I’ve always voted for has devolved into such cowering timidity.


29 posted on 10/01/2012 7:11:46 AM PDT by greene66
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To: o2bfree
Ok, we get it. You've posted the same thing twice.

Course, our OH absentee spreadsheet shows an entirely different story than ANY poll out there. But, hey, those are only actual ballot requests, not "opinions."

30 posted on 10/01/2012 7:12:06 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: All
HOW MUCH WAS REAGAN BEHIND THE PEANUT MAN AT THIS POINT? I THINK IT WAS IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD OF 6-9. RESULTS: REAGAN- 49 STATES/PEANUT MAN-6 STATES.

So naysayers, enough with the negative waves already.
31 posted on 10/01/2012 7:12:07 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman

Correction: Reagan 44 States. (I must be counting states like Obama).


32 posted on 10/01/2012 7:13:09 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: nhwingut

All Obama has been running is contrast ads. And then positive ads. Our contrast ads are weak in comparison. What do we run? Adds with little if any text at all, ads that dont tell a compelling story. There’s no compelling graphic that would grab a viewers attention and make them mad. Ads with way too many graphs and charts.

Let me tell you this, I was in a bar the other night and I saw a Romney ad on broadcast on 4 large tvs, everybody in the bar saw it. The TV sound was turned down.

Not a single person in the bar knew what the heck that ad was talking about. Even I didnt know, and I think I have seen the same crappy ad before.


33 posted on 10/01/2012 7:13:34 AM PDT by o2bfree
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To: ScottinVA

or Romney has no clue how to campaign....no reason obozo should be up at this point considering the numbers against him unless his opponent is giving it away...


34 posted on 10/01/2012 7:13:53 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: Izzy Dunne
President Obama 50% Mitt Romney 47%. 2% other, 2% undecided.

Well within what Mark Steyn describes as "the Margin of Lawyer"


35 posted on 10/01/2012 7:15:46 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Signalman

Reagan was down 8 to Carter, 47-39, on October 26th.

Today is October 1st and Romney is down 2.3 (if you avg the 3 polls this morning).

Now clearly, Romney is no Reagan. But the point is, the race is a dead heat with 4 weeks to go - which is an eternity in this 24/7 news cycle.


36 posted on 10/01/2012 7:16:49 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Polls creating "News"....

Always has been a joke...and always will be a joke.

Plenty of people have never been polled.

Plenty of people hang up when it's a poll person.

Plenty of people lie when asked questions.

Plenty of lying, cheating and stealing going on.........

37 posted on 10/01/2012 7:16:59 AM PDT by Osage Orange ( Liberalism, ideas so good they have to be mandatory.)
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To: ilgipper
or holding back for a strong push in the last month

Romney is a successful business man who knows how to close the deal.

Obama has peaked. I do believe it's now Romney's turn.

38 posted on 10/01/2012 7:19:20 AM PDT by what's up
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To: ilgipper

“As said many times, they are either completely wimping out, or holding back for a strong push in the last month. “

According to Chris Christie, who is a debate coach for Romney, Romney is going to cut loose and “turn things upside down” during Wednesday’s debate.


39 posted on 10/01/2012 7:19:24 AM PDT by Siegfried X
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To: SoftwareEngineer

It’s October first. At what point is Mitt going to start campaigning. I have a feeling we are going to be saying that on October 15. I think I will go buy 500 rounds of ammo and a bag of beans.


40 posted on 10/01/2012 7:20:23 AM PDT by Vermont Lt (I am NOT from Vermont. I am from MA. And I don't support Romney. Please read before "assuming.")
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To: nhwingut

The article points out that McCain was down 51-45 at this same time in 2008 so no doubt Mitt is in a better position, if looking at Rasmussen’s number. The troubling thing is that McCain was running against a dem wave and a ‘rock star’ candidate that was a media darling like nothing we’ve seen before.

Mitt, on the other hand, is running against 43+ months of 8% unemployment, an economy heading back into recession, 4$ gas, etc... yet his position in comparison to McCain’s is only slightly better.... It’s really pretty shocking.


41 posted on 10/01/2012 7:20:51 AM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: o2bfree

Hey, I’m not defending the Romney ads to date. They are soft and provide no context to the real struggle out there. But they spend millions on focus groups (think Frank Luntz) and are meant for a specific demo.

IMO, Obama is getting an absolute free pass on the price of gas. I think every day he wakes up and it is not a front page issue or a Romney ad, he breathes a sigh of relief. He knows this is a killer for him. It’s something he cannot point back to Bush - as it was $1.79.

This is what I think you will see from Romney in the coming weeks.


42 posted on 10/01/2012 7:21:24 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

I think that the chair is in huge trouble. For re-election, he should be in the mid 50’s now. He’s not. The economy sucks and the foreign policy is falling apart in front of us. The chair will not be getting the same support ( in numbers) from blacks, Hispanics, young people, Jewish people, and urban voters. In many of the critical states, the race is essentially tied in the high forties.....all this after a full court press media attack on Mitt since the conventions.

The chair is in very big trouble, folks. Don’t let these daily tracking polls and all their fluctuations trouble you.


43 posted on 10/01/2012 7:22:23 AM PDT by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: Gay State Conservative

Only two Presidents have had less support than the first time out and been re-elected: James Madison and Andrew Jackson.


44 posted on 10/01/2012 7:25:36 AM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
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To: TonyInOhio

Yeah, definite concern troll.


45 posted on 10/01/2012 7:27:46 AM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
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To: TMA62

We sure don’t seem to be hearing much about Senate and House races, do we? Threads about how many seats the GOP may be picking up in both houses seem to be few and far between...


46 posted on 10/01/2012 7:27:55 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
Poll manipulation or nuances aside, a conservative candidate would have a 10%+ lead by now. With the massive failures, deficits, debt, scandals, lies, coverups, thuggery, unemployment, deaths overseas, spending on leftist crap, Obamacare, gas and food prices, radical friends and family, etc., etc, etc., that community organizer should be in the process of packing to move already.

The establishment has once again screwed up big time. This is way too close and could go either way because of the desire of the RINOs to stay in control of the subservient GOP.

47 posted on 10/01/2012 7:28:54 AM PDT by Proud2BeRight
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To: nhwingut
Thanks for the comment, but we need something with more power. It needs to break through the confusing dynamic of the race, stir the pot, cause some controversy and make the media mad so that they mention it.

The price of gas will not do this for us.

Presenting the truth about whats in Obamacare could do that if its done right.
48 posted on 10/01/2012 7:30:48 AM PDT by o2bfree
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To: Perkalong

It’s not your fault. You’re just a poor Foist Victim.


49 posted on 10/01/2012 7:32:09 AM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

The media has to start to undo their skewing already?

I guess if they plan to undo it at all, they can’t wait too late and make it look like a tidal wave for Romney at the end, that’d get the opposite result they want


50 posted on 10/01/2012 7:37:16 AM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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