ARG North Carolina Poll: R50 O46 (600LV; 9/28-9/30)

ARG ^ | 10/1/12 | ARG

[Ravi]

above

[Ravi]

This pretty much confirms the early voting thus far in NC. Good stuff all around. 43D 33R sample is about right for this state. The trend is your friend. BTW, PPP shows race tied so that means we're four points ahead. I say this only because in Walker recall election, PPP had walker winning by 3 points. He won by 7. Nuff said.

[wolfman23601]

How is NC even close? Is Raleigh really that liberal? Charlotte isn’t.

[Perdogg]

NC is not a D +10 please

[SoftwareEngineer]

NC is not even in play.

I am not being a partisan here. Even the democrats have conceded NC

Obama simply will not win NC this time around and the democrats already have moved on.

So, this poll means nothing, other than confirm the obvious.

This is like having a poll in CA

[Perdogg]

did you read the sample?

[wbill]

FWIW, I'm in NC. Lots of (D) and (R) ads this weekend during football.

I thought BO had pulled out, guess not. Maybe he's trying one more run at it.....dunno why.

[ken5050]

Mitt wins easily, and NC elects a GOP governor to replacde that clown Bev Perdue. The REAL key races in NC are congressional, where the GOP has a really good chance to finally get rid of several Dem so called “blue dawgs”..The GOP could pick up 4 House seats in NC, which will help to balance out the redistricting the Dems pulled off in Illinois, which may cost us 4 House seats..

[albie]

Charlotte isn’t liberal?! Are you kidding? It’s got to be 50% black.

[boomop1]

Fraud gave the clown president NC in 2008.

[nhwingut]

NC is in the Romney camp. Bank on it.

The only states that matter are VA, OH, FL and CO. Romney wins those 4 states, he wins presidency.

NH, WI, MI, PA, NV, etc do not matter.

Romney is tied in VA and FL. Up 1-2 in CO. And down 3-4 in OH.

[duckman]

“How is NC even close? Is Raleigh really that liberal? Charlotte isn’t.”

It is liberal, however a lot of people rats and repubs are upset over zeros position, {no pun intended} on Gays and the LGBT’s.

[deport]

Is Raleigh really that liberal?

---

The counties where Raleigh, Durham, Chapel Hill are voted for Obama in 08 as follows:

Wake County, Raleigh -— 57%
Durham County, Durham -— 76%
Union County, Chapel Hill -— 72%

[Perdogg]

Chaple Hill is in Orange Co.

[Ingtar]

2008 exit poll: Democrat 42%, Republican 31%, Independent 27%

I doubt that’s the same this year.

[wolfman23601]

Maybe in the city itself, but when you count the suburbs, Charlotte is very conservative.

[deport]

Chaple Hill is in Orange Co.

---

My Bad......

Chapel Hill, Orange county -— 72%

[boomop1]

Tar Head central.

[Ingtar]

Charlotte (Mecklenburg County) (if I have that correct) went 62-38 for Obama in 2008.

[redangus]

That can't possibly be right. Why Chuck Todd just told me yesterday on MTP that the race was over, that Barry led in every single battleground state, including NC, by overwhelming numbers. And of course all the early voting showed how excited people were to reelect the Bambster.

[LS]

Early/absentee voting in OH extremely strong for Rs. 180 degrees different than 08. At this rate (and it’s REAL early) GOP would win by 4%.