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ARG North Carolina Poll: R50 O46 (600LV; 9/28-9/30)
ARG ^ | 10/1/12 | ARG

Posted on 10/01/2012 8:30:06 AM PDT by Ravi

above

(Excerpt) Read more at americanresearchgroup.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina
KEYWORDS: 2012; obama; romney; ryan
This pretty much confirms the early voting thus far in NC. Good stuff all around. 43D 33R sample is about right for this state. The trend is your friend. BTW, PPP shows race tied so that means we're four points ahead. I say this only because in Walker recall election, PPP had walker winning by 3 points. He won by 7. Nuff said.
1 posted on 10/01/2012 8:30:15 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

How is NC even close? Is Raleigh really that liberal? Charlotte isn’t.


2 posted on 10/01/2012 8:33:35 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: Ravi

NC is not a D +10 please


3 posted on 10/01/2012 8:35:01 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: Ravi

NC is not even in play.

I am not being a partisan here. Even the democrats have conceded NC

Obama simply will not win NC this time around and the democrats already have moved on.

So, this poll means nothing, other than confirm the obvious.

This is like having a poll in CA


4 posted on 10/01/2012 8:35:44 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: wolfman23601

did you read the sample?


5 posted on 10/01/2012 8:36:09 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: Ravi
FWIW, I'm in NC. Lots of (D) and (R) ads this weekend during football.

I thought BO had pulled out, guess not. Maybe he's trying one more run at it.....dunno why.

6 posted on 10/01/2012 8:39:49 AM PDT by wbill
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To: Ravi

Mitt wins easily, and NC elects a GOP governor to replacde that clown Bev Perdue. The REAL key races in NC are congressional, where the GOP has a really good chance to finally get rid of several Dem so called “blue dawgs”..The GOP could pick up 4 House seats in NC, which will help to balance out the redistricting the Dems pulled off in Illinois, which may cost us 4 House seats..


7 posted on 10/01/2012 8:42:10 AM PDT by ken5050 (Laura Ingraham:"If the GOP can't beat Obama in this economy; shut down the party!")
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To: wolfman23601

Charlotte isn’t liberal?! Are you kidding? It’s got to be 50% black.


8 posted on 10/01/2012 8:44:06 AM PDT by albie ("Work as if you were to live a hundred years. Pray as if you were to die tomorrow." Benjamin Frankli)
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To: Ravi

Fraud gave the clown president NC in 2008.


9 posted on 10/01/2012 8:45:20 AM PDT by boomop1 (term limits will only save this country.)
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To: Ravi

NC is in the Romney camp. Bank on it.

The only states that matter are VA, OH, FL and CO. Romney wins those 4 states, he wins presidency.

NH, WI, MI, PA, NV, etc do not matter.

Romney is tied in VA and FL. Up 1-2 in CO. And down 3-4 in OH.


10 posted on 10/01/2012 8:46:54 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: wolfman23601

“How is NC even close? Is Raleigh really that liberal? Charlotte isn’t.”

It is liberal, however a lot of people rats and repubs are upset over zeros position, {no pun intended} on Gays and the LGBT’s.


11 posted on 10/01/2012 8:48:37 AM PDT by duckman (I'm part of the group pulling the wagon!)
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To: wolfman23601

Is Raleigh really that liberal?


The counties where Raleigh, Durham, Chapel Hill are voted for Obama in 08 as follows:

Wake County, Raleigh -— 57%
Durham County, Durham -— 76%
Union County, Chapel Hill -— 72%


12 posted on 10/01/2012 8:48:57 AM PDT by deport
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To: deport

Chaple Hill is in Orange Co.


13 posted on 10/01/2012 8:50:44 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: Perdogg

2008 exit poll: Democrat 42%, Republican 31%, Independent 27%

I doubt that’s the same this year.


14 posted on 10/01/2012 8:53:32 AM PDT by Ingtar (Everyone complains about the weather, but only Liberals try to legislate it.)
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To: albie

Maybe in the city itself, but when you count the suburbs, Charlotte is very conservative.


15 posted on 10/01/2012 8:56:46 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: Perdogg

Chaple Hill is in Orange Co.


My Bad......

Chapel Hill, Orange county -— 72%


16 posted on 10/01/2012 8:57:05 AM PDT by deport
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To: deport

Tar Head central.


17 posted on 10/01/2012 8:59:27 AM PDT by boomop1 (term limits will only save this country.)
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To: wolfman23601

Charlotte (Mecklenburg County) (if I have that correct) went 62-38 for Obama in 2008.


18 posted on 10/01/2012 9:01:32 AM PDT by Ingtar (Everyone complains about the weather, but only Liberals try to legislate it.)
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To: Ravi
That can't possibly be right. Why Chuck Todd just told me yesterday on MTP that the race was over, that Barry led in every single battleground state, including NC, by overwhelming numbers. And of course all the early voting showed how excited people were to reelect the Bambster.
19 posted on 10/01/2012 9:03:21 AM PDT by redangus
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To: nhwingut

Early/absentee voting in OH extremely strong for Rs. 180 degrees different than 08. At this rate (and it’s REAL early) GOP would win by 4%.


20 posted on 10/01/2012 9:12:18 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Ravi

I’m not buying polls that go my way, either.


21 posted on 10/01/2012 9:13:50 AM PDT by Lazamataz (The American news media, the 'Pravda Press', is fully Soviet-ized.)
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To: redangus

Except early voting in OH showing more Rs than Ds turning out, sometimes in massive numbers. In Franklin (Obama won the county by 21) Rs are ahead by 6000 votes and the margin keeps (slightly) increasing, making it a 25-26 point turnaround.


22 posted on 10/01/2012 9:13:50 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Ingtar

And in 2004 Kerry only took Mecklenburg 51-48 while Bush took Union 70-29 and Gaston 68-32. Throw the 2008 numbers out when trying to decipher liberal vs conservative.


23 posted on 10/01/2012 9:14:46 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: deport

Union county is changing. Lots of D coming from New York for banking. Its still 60% R 40% D


24 posted on 10/01/2012 9:48:09 AM PDT by Baseballguy (If we knew what we know now in Oct would we do anything different?)
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To: albie

yes, but Charlotte is not mostly Ghetto like Detroit. There are a lot of very high paying jobs down there.


25 posted on 10/01/2012 9:56:25 AM PDT by ClayinVA ("Those who don't remember history are doomed to repeat it")
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To: Ingtar

NC Voter Registration as of 10/01/2012

Democratic: 2,785,698 - 43.04%
Republican: 2,012,123 - 31.09%
Libertarian: 16,819 - 0.26%
Unaffiliated: 1,657,700 - 25.61%
Total: 6,472,340

Source: http://www.ncsbe.gov/


26 posted on 10/01/2012 10:22:04 AM PDT by SuperSonic (When news breaks, we fix it! - FreeRepublic.com)
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To: Ravi

In the last 10 elections, NC has gone to Republicans 8 times (80%). In 2008, McCain only lost NC by 14,000 votes.

There surely are a lot of Dems registered here but, based on the absentee votes percentages and polls like this, I believe NC is going to go Republican 9 times out of 11.

Just think of all the probably wasted millions of dollars poured into this state by the Dems and the DNC held here!


27 posted on 10/01/2012 11:42:05 AM PDT by plushaye (Election 2012 Prayer Force)
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To: LS

But, but, but the media has already told me it’s over, how can this be:).


28 posted on 10/01/2012 8:14:49 PM PDT by redangus
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To: Ravi; SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; ...

Poll ping.


29 posted on 10/01/2012 8:18:14 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: ken5050

The IL advantage is redistricting is caused by the insidious Voting Rights Act which Bush and Co. got renewed. Rove you magnificent imbecile, read a book!


30 posted on 10/01/2012 8:29:57 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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