Skip to comments.Rasmussen: FRI: 10/5: O: 49% R: 47%: Obama -11% "Post Debate Improvement"
Posted on 10/05/2012 6:56:07 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Friday, October 05, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows President Obama attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.
These results are based upon nightly interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, only about one-third of the interviews for todays update were conducted after the presidential debate. The single night of polling conducted after the debate did show some improvement for Romney, but it remains to be seen whether that will continue or if it was merely statistical noise. Sunday mornings update will be the first national polling based entirely upon post-debate interviews.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
The single night of polling conducted after the debate did show some improvement for Romney
Rasmussen was on OReilly last night and said he expects Romney to be up a couple of points by Monday.
We’ll see with this fake unemployment rate released today. Perfect timing, no?
Very unclear how today’s job’s report will help or hurt. But the debates, I believe, can hammer the reality of the employment numbers and frame the picture as overwhelmingly bad. A lot of hard work ahead for R&R over the next 30 days.
Good to hear!
It is my personal belief that once Team RR crosses the magic 50% mark in any of the “respected” polls, even the MSM dam will break.
If a Republican challenger is over 50% with just 30 days to go, it is very hard even for the MSM to pretend anymore
It is different when the same situation exists with a Democrat challenger. There is so much manipulation FOR the Democrats that I would have to see a Democrat have atleast an average of 52% in the polls before I believe he is truly winning.
It is a three day average, so only 1/3 of that result is post-debate. We’ll see tomorrow what is really happening.
Sigh. Poll numbers still oversampling Dems as per our ACTUAL numbers in the OH early voting project updated daily on FR. ALL OH counties reporting in at 2010 levels for both Ds and Rs, meaning that all polls are likely to be +2 or +3 over reality.
Not so sure that Monday’s poll will be a correct read on whether R&R got a debate bounce or not? The weekend numbers have been historically soft for R’s. Maybe by Wednesday of next week the numbers might be more definitive?
I think the average person see 7.8 unemployemnt and thinks this is still pretty high and this wont’ have that much affect on race.. It is a marcoeconomic number and most people live in a mirco economic world, which is still bad.
It is a strange World we live in. The franchise was never intended to be given to the entire population. The poorly educated where never supposed to vote because they where not sophisticated enough to understand the real issues. The non land owners where never supposed to vote because they had ‘no skin in the game’. Women where never supposed to vote because they are creatures driven by emotions instead of logic.
Say all you want about our Founding Fathers, but they understood human nature and strives to prevent the worst aspects of that nature from destroying our Republic.
Freepers must remember that every year the number of rational voters dwindles while the number of the truly ignorant and misinformed grows larger. I still expect Romney to win this year, but the problem is the percentage of intelligent voters goes down markedly every election year. Forty years ago a prez with a rotten record like Obama’s (worse than Carter) wouldn’t have a chance of getting elected. Now we have millions more voters who after being shown the facts and watching their hero get hammered in a major debate, still believe Obama is THE ONE!!! Obama shouldn’t be getting much more than 33% in these polls. The fact that he’s ahead of Romney in a number of them is highly discouraging.
I certainly don't see how it helps us... American voters aren't going to peer into the facts behind the glowing "media" headlines.
This is one of the reasons I do not buy “science” of political polling...the idea that he can tell you on Friday what he thinks the numbers might look like on Monday...
Yes I understand fully the 3 day averaging etc, just saying
I have watched multiple pollsters on tv telling us what or what not the voters will say on a particular subject before hand...mind readers/ESP
I share your tag line btw :)
Romney should be up 10 points in some poll this week, but he will not because it`s all fixed!.
What we are going to be told is that basically.... no bounce for Romney
And now the economy under Obama is roaring...I am going to be sick
I am seeing a lot of surprise skepticism on CNN sites etc. about these unemployment numbers. I don’t believe everyone posting that is a conservative....so there may be hopefully a lot of independents that don’t buy it either.
HOw can there be so many stupid ignorant people out there.....this should be a landslide for Romney.....it’s just unbelievable to me.
Rass with his polling ability probably remembers Carter beating Reagan!
Remember when Jimmy Carter beat Ronald Reagan in 1980?
All of the pollsters suck. Rass, sucks a little less!
If a majority of voters cannot figure out that 0bama is an incompetent leader after the first debate, there really is no hope for this nation. It’s not just that 0bama is a despot, it’s that a majority of American people have become ignorant and immoral. We all could be subjected to the tyranny of an ignorant and immoral majority.
Absolutely.And I'll bet the clothes on my back that in the first couple of days of November the Labor Department will publish some kind of "projection" showing the unemployment rate at 7.5%.It goes without saying what Osama and his journalist disciples will do with *that*.
Wait until the October massaged numbers are released...
Probably be 7%, an Obama miracle!
Last night's polling by Rasmussen is one-third of the total, so the debate should have moved Romney from minus two to even just for one night, moving to a plus four eventually. Instead, there was no movement, just "statistical noise" or a rounding error, and Romney stayed at minus two.
This is not good. Seventy plus million watched Wednesday night's debate. If the electorate took in that debate and did not change its mind, then the majority of the American people are as you describe them.
You are exactly right, I am 68 and I find it amazing to see that there are people with college degrees who still support Obama and will vote to reelect him. Fifty years ago it would have been hard to find anyone stupid enough to vote to elect him the first time. People like Nancy Pelosi used to be locked up in mental hospitals to protect them from themselves and to protect others from their stupid actions. To suggest electing someone like her to congress would have produced howls of laughter and disbelief.
The events of everyday life in 2012 are so strange that had someone fifty years ago written a book portraying such happenings it would have been considered too far out to be anything but pure fantasy or science fiction.
It seems more and more that “IDIOCRACY” is merely a documentary.
I completely agree with your second paragraph.
On Greta's show tonight they went to a college campus in Wisconsin. Every student asked said that it was not fair that obama could not use his teleprompter for the debate.
agree with your posts, unfreaking real! how in the hell can 0 even be near 49 when he should be polling at approx. 30’s at the most, very sad to be among these goofy ass sheeple.
Romney must pound away that oboma’s communist/marxist/socialist form of government, AND ROMNEY MUST CALL IT BY ITS NAME, IDENTIFY IT AND SAY IT OUT LOUD, will attempt to attract the masses with “free” food/food stamps, “free” healthcare, “free” housing, “free” education, to entice people, like flies to honey. And when this form of government has full control of the masses, they will bring down their iron fist and DENY them their freedom, their liberty. CAUGHT like rats in a trap.
ROMNEY must cite other countries under this same form of government that oboma is espousing..Korea, China, Cuba, where people are scratching and clawing to escape from, and ask the people of the United States if this is the kind of country they want to live in, is it? ROMNEY MUST CALL THIS EVIL BY ITS NAME AND SHOW EXAMPLES OF HOW THIS EVIL WORKS IN KOREA, CHINA, CUBA, with pictures and commentary from immigrants who have escaped from these countries to the United States of America, land of the free and home of the brave. PICTURES OF THE ATROSITIES IN THESE COUNTRIES, WORDS OF THOSE PEOPLE WHO ESCAPED FROM THE ATROSITIES OF THESE COUNTRIES WILL STICK IN THE MINDS OF ALL PEOPLE WHO SEE AND HEAR THEM...ROMNEY MUST HIT HARD AND CALL IT BY ITS NAME...NO MORE SOFT, VAGUE WORDING OF THE TRUTH...SHOW PICTURES AND LET THE PEOPLE WHO HAVE ESCAPED THIS HELL TELL THEIR STORY..HIT HARD, ROMNEY, AND CALL IT BY ITS NAME.
Seriously... It's time for America to wipe, get up, flush, pull the airwick, and move onto something happier and more pleasant...
Unemployment’s a backward looking indicator. It’ll lose its shine by the end of next week.
The MSM will never crack. It’s their religion. Moreover, we cannot detrimentally rely on them doing anything.
I often think how John Wayne and everything he stood for would be mocked and ridiculed into oblivion today.
Do you have a link?
Lo and behold, Rasmussen now has Romney +2 versus -2 yesterday. I guess it took 48 hours for reality to sink in to those independents (who voted for O in '08).
“...this fake unemployment rate released today....”
Next debate, were I Romney, I’d make it a point - when the Dope in Chief brings it up - to say “That’s rather miraculous, isn’t it...that your Bureau of Labor suddenly declares the unemployment just happens to release those numbers RIGHT before the election. Must be a coincidence...”.
I would hammer Ohole on it for the rest of the debate - “this number has been high all four of your years as president, and suddenly, four weeks before the election, they just happen to drop.”
My answer is this:
“7.8% unemployment is still 7.8% worth of Americans with names, faces, families, mortgages, and bills piling up that are suffering - and that 7.8% is suffering because of YOUR policies, and failure as the president, and your party’s failure as a whole. This is what happens when democrats run things. You had your shot, and you messed it up. It’s time for the adults to be back in charge.”
At least, that’s what I’d hit Ohole with.
Fortunately the tyranny of an ignorant & immoral majority is also made up of vast majority of slovenly, lazy, thuggish mob rule that will run & bolt at the first sign of organized resistance. If it comes down to a tyranny of ignorant, plantation slaves, that I hope & pray that the remaining minority of "us" will have the balls & gumption to take it hard to the slovenly mob of people and forcibly remove them from power forever. And throw 0dumb0 and the ruling elitists into prison for life.
“Fortunately the tyranny of an ignorant & immoral majority is also made up of vast majority of slovenly, lazy, thuggish mob rule that will run & bolt at the first sign of organized resistance.”
The thing for conservatives to do if 0bama is re-elected is to hunker down and continue prepping. The lazy ignorant sloths will implode without any help once their food cards don’t work or inflation hits and their cards are rendered worthless. The police and military will have their hands full dealing with this bunch and most of us will be left alone in the beginning.
But we do have to worry about the white collar Leftists that will seek to use the instuments of a dictatorial state against conservatives. The white collar Leftists, teachers, union thug leaders, Lefty lawyers, bureaucrats are unprepared and they will be stunned and amazed that a crisis has occurred. They will redouble efforts to use the state as a means to confiscate property from the prepared. Hopefully, the mob will pose a sufficent threat to Leftist upper middle class and keep them off balance so that they do not join forces against us. Conservatives should consider ways of inciting conflict between the white collar Leftists and the welfare class; they do tend to live in close
proximity to each other.
The silver lining is with all of this is that this might be the golden opportunity to take out these snotty white collar Leftists.
Good points! I agree!