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Posted on 10/05/2012 7:56:57 PM PDT by profit_guy
If the 2012 Presidential Election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote?...
(Excerpt) Read more at ipsos-na.com ...
B.S.
Poll was conducted from Oct 1-5
Impossible to believe.
WOW! They’re pulling all the stops now! Notice how the disastrous Obumbler debate story is all of sudden MIA from the media outlets?? MOVE ALONG FOLKS IT NEVER HAPPENED!!
BWAHAHAHAHA!
Online, I'm 22 with a 7 digit bank account, a Maserati and rock hard pecs.
This jerk is goin' down!
44% - Democrats
38% - Republican
12% - Independent
4% - None of these
2% - DK
I think it’s good for Romney - because they over-sampled Dems by 6, and Indys favor Romney by 6, then combine all that with the fact the poll was conducted over five days with only one of those days being post debate.
“Online, I’m 22 with a 7 digit bank account, a Maserati and rock hard pecs.”
Check out my page and let me know if you’re interested.
*wink wink*
;)
How do they go from Registered Voters to likey Voters shouldn’t the stats be on one or the other? Alos they have an oversampling of Democrats too don’t they
44% - Democrats
38% - Republican
12% - Independent
4% - None of these
2% - DK
This is actually pretty good for Romney.
44% - Democrats
38% - Republican
12% - Independent
4% - None of these
2% - DK
Don’t even bother making sense of online polls, or any other polls for that matter. It’s a waste of our time. Just GOTV.
Most importantly Indy’s say Romney won the first debate 52-17.
It Ipso/Reuters. The least accurate of all the polls.
I actually heard more about the 47% video today than I did about the debate. thanks, Wolf .
Below is from a pdf file, just google `42 fallacies’.
It’s good stuff but lots of click ads, so watch out.
Fallacy: Biased Sample
Also Known as: Biased Statistics, Loaded Sample, Prejudiced Statistics, Prejudiced Sample, Loaded Statistics, Biased Induction, Biased Generalization
Description of Biased Sample
This fallacy is committed when a person draws a conclusion about a population based on a sample that is biased or prejudiced in some manner. It has the following form:
Sample S, which is biased, is taken from population P.
Conclusion C is drawn about Population P based on S.
The person committing the fallacy is misusing the following type of reasoning, which is known variously as Inductive Generalization, Generalization, and Statistical Generalization:
X% of all observed A’s are B’’s.
Therefore X% of all A’s are Bs.
My experience over the last couple weeks is that I have been called by pollsters more than once and as soon as the interviewer determines that I’m not in the bag for Obama, s/he hangs up.
These experiences and the fact that Obama makes Jimmy Carter look like Moses parting the Red Sea leads me to believe that the polls are no more biased than, say, the CBS evening news, Chris Matthews or Michelle Obama.
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