Posted on 10/09/2012 6:53:29 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Tuesday, October 09, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows Mitt Romney and President Obama each attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
Romney’s support is a bit more solid than the president’s at this point in time. Forty-five percent (45%) of voters are “certain” they will vote for Romney and not change their minds. Forty-one percent (41%) are certain they will vote for Obama.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
That is because he is using a D+5 sample now.
From the article:
“Post-debate polling shows that Romney and the president are within two points of each other in Virginia, Ohio, Florida, Iowa and Colorado. All remain Toss-Ups in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. New data from Nevada will be released at noon Eastern today.”
I think if I were a campaign professional on the obamugabe campaign, I’d feel sort of sick right now. Especially after only two weeks ago (not to mention three and four weeks ago...), the media had told me it was “over over over”.
To quote Rocky Balboa, “it ain’t over til it’s over.”
Republicans always have bad weekends. Just wait until Thursday or Friday to get a good sense of the polls.
The killer number....only 41% certain to vote for Obama, that makes his run to 50% virtually impossible...the incumbent underwater at 41%
We will every single one of the close ones on turnout. There is no way in hell that the other side is going to out crawl us to the polls this election. No way in hell! We will be outside the MOC (margin of cheating) too.
So how can you say this was bad polling for the GOP in one breath, then post that the new Ras poll has Romney ahead in the swing states for the first time?
I think both polls are good - Romney has firmer support 45-41.
The debate not only elevated Romney it turned people off of Obama. Perfect!
One of the nice things about having a race this close is that the communist DemocRATS are going to have to be extremely blatant with their voter fraud. Most of it will become very obvious.
Yeah I think we’ll see Romney up a point or two by Thurs or Fri.
So, what’s with the 4%? When are they going to decide and historically, for whom do most of them break to?
Further down in report, and notwithstanding the weekend polling bias against conservatives: "A president’s job approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s job approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty percent (50%) at least somewhat disapprove (see trends)."
If half of voters disapprove of the job Zero is doing, will they vote for him? I think he's in a lot more trouble than the 'rats ever expected.
This time 4 years ago 0bama had a 6 point lead on McCain.
His dynamic sampling model should begin to shift in our favor. I was told that it is a 21-day model. So if it goes down to D+3 or D+2, it will help. Romney still, in poll after poll, seems to win Independents.
The best part is that we win Ohio by 20,000 votes and Obama wins Kalifornia by 6.5 million.... Those even percentages are wasted on CA, NY, MA, etc. Fly over country will be a Romney blowout.
Obama has not been able to close the deal.
Are you sure? I thought it was D+3?
The day before the Election expect to see Obama over Romney 55% to 45%, with a 30% margin of error of course...
SWING STATE POLL RELEASED! ROMNEY +2
Tuesday, October 09, 2012
The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. If you do not already have a Rasmussen Reader account, subscribe now.
Platinum Members have access to detailed demographic information.
In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 49% support to Obama’s 47%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
This is the first time Romney has led the daily Swing State Survey since September 19. Until today, the president had led for 17 of the previous 19 days, and the candidates had been tied twice. This survey is based on findings from the previous seven days, with most of the responses now coming since Romney’s debate win last Wednesday night.
Forty-six percent (46%) of these Swing State voters are now “certain” they will vote for Romney and will not change their minds. Forty percent (40%) are certain they will vote for the president.
In 2008, Obama won these states by a combined margin of 53% to 46%, virtually identical to his national margin.
Good. I’m glad he’s using D+5. That’s the absolute best turnout the Dems can hope for and Romney’s still tired. Romney should be planning for th worst case scenario as should we.
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