Skip to comments.Rasmussen Daily Tracking: WED: 10/10: R:48% O:47% Obama -9%
Posted on 10/10/2012 6:41:22 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Wednesday, October 10, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
Eight percent (8%) of Republicans and unaffiliated voters currently are undecided or plan to vote for some other candidate. Only two percent (2%) of Democrats are uncommitted to one of the major party candidates.
Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).
Our daily Swing State update is released at 10:00 a.m. Eastern. For the second straight day, Romney is slightly ahead in the 11 key swing states. This is a significant change. For virtually the entire campaign, Obama has done better in the swing states than in the national averages. It remains to be seen whether this is a lasting change in the race or merely a temporary aberration.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Hard to believe
Obama’s approval means nothing. It’s a mile wide and a inch deep. He was at 54% in a poll 2 weeks before the 2010 GOP landslide. And we know how well that approval worked out for him. It’s all race based, IMO.
Once Sunday and Monday (holiday) fall from Rasmussen’s poll, I think you will see Romney inch away by 2-3 points. I predict 50-47 by Saturday - especially if Ryan comes through on Thursday.
Remember Ras is still using a +3% D sample. Also more R’s and I’s being undecided as opposed to D’s who are all in for O. More room for Romney since the undecideds break 4/1 for the challenger.
My guess is that the CU economic model is very close to the final result.
Carvile was right “It’s the Economy Stupid”.
Consumer confidence has also surged since the Friday job report according to Rasmussen.
Part of the reason Obama’s numbers are looking better is his campaign and the Democrat party are pouring millions of dollars into ad’s claiming America is recovering and on the way back. They can’t sustain this forever, but it definitely gooses their numbers since it has the effect of pumping a lot of confidence into the half of the country that still wants to like Obama.
I think this is biggest numbers, history (and every political analyst says that undecideds break hard for the challenger, anywhere from 2/3 to 3/4) if you assume that this trend will hold, Romney is really ahead by 4 or 5 points.
“Eight percent (8%) of Republicans and unaffiliated voters currently are undecided or plan to vote for some other candidate.”
What PLANET do these people LIVE on????
Romney is far from the ideal candidate in our view, but Obama is the DEVIL INCARNATE.
I DON’T GET IT!!!
It’s rather uncanny that more times than not Obama’s share of the pie is 47%. As long as he hovers near this marker he hasn’t a prayer IMO.
Wow, this is a great place to be four weeks before the election.
Romney is winning the general and the swing states - and Obama has to risk his careful massaged positives to go hard negative against the GOP in the next two debates.
Look at the Obama Phone Lady, the geniuses Howard Stern interviewed, the Breitbart interviewees that think Obama should be allowed to debate using a teleprompter. These folks are getting to outnumber us, if they don't already.
He’s referring to the 8% of republicans and independents that are undecided.
Romney definitely in a good position now and Obama in terrible shape historically speaking.
Notice there are a lot more undecided R than D.
Enthusiam favors Romney.
Absentee ballots are trending R compared to 2008.
Romney is dominating with Independents in nearly every poll.
Continued oversampling in most of these polls, including Ras.
Romney leading swing states.
Suffolk pulling out of NC, VA and FL.
Romney almost even in states that Obama won by 15 points in 2008.
Would love to be a fly on the wall in DNC headquarters right now.
You’re right, sorry. I was referring to the 47% who want Obama to remain our president, AND the 8% who don’t know yet who they want to be our president. Not sure which group is dumber. I think maybe there really is no 8% that is undecided though, there is just 8% who don’t want to declare who they will vote for to a pollster, or they haven’t heard of either candidate and just don’t want to admit it.
It is probably < 2% Republicans, about what it is for the Dims. They lumped in the squishy, uncommitted Moderates who cannot make up their mind to save their life to make the number appear larger.
I believe the name of the planet is Free Republic.
It seems noteworthy that if you drop the two polls taken completely or mostly before the debate (GWU & CNN), Romney’s average lead is 2.25%. Looks about right to me.
As Morris likes to point out, in a race with an incumbent, most of the "undecideds" will go to the challenger. If you like what Obama has been doing, you're already voting for him. Putting this in historical context, Reagan won against Carter in 1980 with 50.75%. (And unemployment was 7.5% in October, 1980.)
There's a few of them right here on planet Free Republic...you can find them posting ugly anti-Mormon threads on the religion forum if you're interested.
” you can find them posting ugly anti-Mormon threads on the religion forum if you’re interested.”
I know. Seen them. Stupid. Its not about theology, its about political theory and practise and national self-preservation.
They don’t get it.
WOuld they not vote for a conservative Catholic or Jewish candidate?
The ONLY group I draw the line at is MUSLIMS for good reason. THOSE people go balistic over wiccans. I have better things to do with my time a Conservative Protestant Christian.
In the real world I see and live in, consumer confidence has not “surged”.
Everything we buy that’s important, critical to us is UP, incomes are down, more and more and more people who still have any kind of job are being put on a part time basis because employers can’t afford Obamacare. A stat I heard a couple days ago is that people who had paid down their credit cards back a year or two ago are now going into greater debt again...just to make ends-meet.
People know this. I don’t know what to think about ANY poll that claims people heard an unemployment number from the gov’t and suddenly, their confidence “surged”.
It’s D+5, not D+3. See here http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2941780/posts?page=73#73
I try to remind people that it’s D+5 now but a lot of people sincerely believe, but wrongly believe, that it’s not. And others, never heard of the change in the first place.
When it changed from D+3 to D+5, at that point pre-debate, Romney began to consistently trail Obama...not by much, but consistently trail, whereas BEFORE that change, it would either be tied or Romney with a slight lead. What was worrying everyone was the swing state polls. Then, after the change, people were worried about Ras’s national poll.
Now that the debate changed the picture, Ras has Romney either slightly up or tied. But is still using D+5 which minimizes Romney’s strength.
Roughly half the public are going to vote for Obama. These are people that WANT to have faith in Obama, WANT to believe in what he says, and WANT to believe economic reports that claim things are getting better. The "surge" in consumer confidence, assuming you believe Rasmussen's polling, is unlikely from Republicans or Independents - it is Democrats "coming home" and buying the government spin because they WANT to believe Hussein is making things better.
We have a bunch of Pro-Obama trolls even on this forum and in others who manage to hijack many, many threads trying to convince Republicans not to vote at all. The Dims were running Craigslist ads recruiting people to do this. In many cases the trolls use accounts that have been inactive to make it appear that they are old timers.
I agree. Unless we’re voting for a new pastor I don’t see wheere a candidate’s religion should ever be a consideration...except for muslims for obvious reasons.
“In many cases the trolls use accounts that have been inactive to make it appear that they are old timers. “
THAT explains why I get those dates on some of these postings. How the heck do they get those identities and passwords??
The most basic technique of disruptive organizations or individuals is to sign up for multiple accounts on political forums... many to be used at a later date. For evidence of a similar form of behaivior look at the number of fake Twitter accounts that have been set up for entertainers and left leaning politician.
It is also a little like faked positive Ebay feedback. I have run into this on numerous occasions. Ebay feedback can be gamed easily by people selling url links to “recipes” for a penney to each other. I have seen people with literally thousands of positive feedbacks all based on this type of nonsense. After a few months you can't tell anymore what was sold in their previous transactions. If there is a way to "game" a system these people figure it out.
When they make stuff up, a lot of times it can be proved false. The troll enderwiggens made the mistake of sharing seemingly insignificant information about when he was in kindergarten. In a different set of posts he claimed to be a West Point graduate along with information that made it possible to pin point which year he supposedly graduated.
When he was confronted about the discrepancy... his claims became more and more outrageous. First he claimed that he was the same age as most of his classmates. When pressed he claimed to have started school when he was 4 and entered West Point when he was 15 and graduated at 19, which would have tied the youngest ever graduate, John W. Warren who graduated in 1945.
This was all in relation to a discussion where he was claiming that Obama, despite his questionable associations and history of drug abuse could have received a Top Secret security clearance. This of course was laughable to say the least.