Skip to comments.Susquehanna Poll: Casey 46, Smith 44
Posted on 10/10/2012 10:32:11 AM PDT by Perdogg
The latest survey from Susquehanna Polling and Research shows the smallest margin yet of the race for U.S. Senate in Pa. Republican Tom Smith trails Sen. Bob Casey by just 2 points, 46 percent to 44, and the race is within the polls margin of error.
(Excerpt) Read more at politicspa.com ...
Does anyone know what Casey looks like?
He looks like his father.
In my first ring suburb in Montgomery County, I would say the signs go in order of popularity like this: Romney, Joe Rooney (Republican for Congress), Obama, Smith, and then Casey. Democrats are really unenthused this election.
What’s the saying - win MontCo, win the state? Pretty close, anyway, right?
In the article, he's the photo on the right.
In the Pittsburgh area I have I have seen exactly zero Casey signs.
I hope so. The commercials are starting to pop up. First I began seeing the Tom Smith commercials and then the anti-Tom Smith commercials (as opposed to pro-Bob Casey). The funny thing is the anti-Tom Smith commercial is really an appeal to the most left voters. All it says very ominiously is “Tom Smith is a member of the TEA PARTY” (or words to that effect) and TEA Party is flashed across the screen in big letters. To me, an ad like that says Casey is trying to shore up the union and far left whacko vote. I think he’s in bigger trouble than this poll suggests.
News for Casey: You've been the incumbent for the last six years. Tom Smith is the challenger. Your party has held an absolute majority in the U.S. Senate for all six of those years, dammit!
I'm going out on a limb and predicting that win or lose, Tom Smith is going to get more votes than Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania. So it may be Smith who drags Romney over the finish line and not the other way around.
Hoping for miracles down here in Georgia.... would really love to see PA in the red column in as many ways as possible on electon day. But I preach to the choir here.....
I'm in the Pittsburgh market and suspect the reason the TEA PARTY ads don't air so much is that they were ineffective. It was our TEA PARTY in SW Pennsylvania who supported Tom Smith over the GOP-e endorsed RINO in the April primary, the guy who finished third.
“Tom Smith is going to get more votes than Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania.” I would wager that you are wrong.
Tom Smith may win PA but, Romney will not. There is another wave of people that have been coming into PA from NY, NJ and MD. They are the retirees. They have sold their houses there and are moving here to PA. When they worked, they were Union. Now that their pensions depend on the Unions survival they will vote for who ever they are told to vote for.
I will be shocked if I am wrong on this one.
I just went to the PA Dept. of State website and downloaded voter registration data. It is up to date to this week. Yesterday was the last day to register for November election.
While the percentage of D’s and R’s have not changed significantly this year, there is an interesting piece of data. Party change applications for the past year have gone in the Republican direction: 160,769 to 120,418. I think it safe to say that people who go through the motions to change parties are likely to vote.
UH - THIS WAS NOT A PRE-PLANNED ATTACK!
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