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Susquehanna Poll: Casey 46, Smith 44
Politics PA ^

Posted on 10/10/2012 10:32:11 AM PDT by Perdogg

The latest survey from Susquehanna Polling and Research shows the smallest margin yet of the race for U.S. Senate in Pa. Republican Tom Smith trails Sen. Bob Casey by just 2 points, 46 percent to 44, and the race is within the poll’s margin of error.

(Excerpt) Read more at politicspa.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012polls

1 posted on 10/10/2012 10:32:14 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

ping


2 posted on 10/10/2012 10:33:56 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

Does anyone know what Casey looks like?


3 posted on 10/10/2012 10:33:57 AM PDT by bmwcyle (Corollary - Electing the same person over and over and expecting a different outcome is insanity)
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To: bmwcyle

He looks like his father.


4 posted on 10/10/2012 10:35:11 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: bmwcyle

5 posted on 10/10/2012 10:37:03 AM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia (Be careful of believing something just because you want it to be true.)
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To: Perdogg
It has to be close. here in the Philly area, there are virtually no signs - and therefore I must assume no enthusiasm - for Bobby Casey this time around. I belive I have only seen one sign for him and I've seen many for Smith.

In my first ring suburb in Montgomery County, I would say the signs go in order of popularity like this: Romney, Joe Rooney (Republican for Congress), Obama, Smith, and then Casey. Democrats are really unenthused this election.

6 posted on 10/10/2012 10:40:01 AM PDT by old and tired
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To: Perdogg

Interesting.


7 posted on 10/10/2012 10:40:23 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Perdogg
This is one of a couple of recent polls showing Smith on Casey's heels. This doesn't bode well for Obama. If the coal region isn't backing Casey, then the are certainly not backing Obama.
8 posted on 10/10/2012 10:41:13 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (The truth hurts)
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To: old and tired

What’s the saying - win MontCo, win the state? Pretty close, anyway, right?


9 posted on 10/10/2012 10:42:22 AM PDT by Skulllspitter
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To: bmwcyle
Does anyone know what Casey looks like?

In the article, he's the photo on the right.

10 posted on 10/10/2012 10:45:57 AM PDT by GCC Catholic
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To: Perdogg

In the Pittsburgh area I have I have seen exactly zero Casey signs.


11 posted on 10/10/2012 10:48:28 AM PDT by Plumres
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To: Skulllspitter

I hope so. The commercials are starting to pop up. First I began seeing the Tom Smith commercials and then the anti-Tom Smith commercials (as opposed to pro-Bob Casey). The funny thing is the anti-Tom Smith commercial is really an appeal to the most left voters. All it says very ominiously is “Tom Smith is a member of the TEA PARTY” (or words to that effect) and TEA Party is flashed across the screen in big letters. To me, an ad like that says Casey is trying to shore up the union and far left whacko vote. I think he’s in bigger trouble than this poll suggests.


12 posted on 10/10/2012 10:49:52 AM PDT by old and tired
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To: Perdogg
I'm actually beginning to think that Tom Smith can suprise the pundits and win this thing. His ads have been hard hitting about Casey's absence and ineffectiveness (save as an Obama rubber stamp). Casey's ads have been the usual template crap about tax breaks for the rich, paying to ship jobs overseas, yada yada yada.

News for Casey: You've been the incumbent for the last six years. Tom Smith is the challenger. Your party has held an absolute majority in the U.S. Senate for all six of those years, dammit!

I'm going out on a limb and predicting that win or lose, Tom Smith is going to get more votes than Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania. So it may be Smith who drags Romney over the finish line and not the other way around.

13 posted on 10/10/2012 10:50:13 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: old and tired; FreedBird
FreedBird on another thread about PA yesterday was saying the rural areas are solidly for Romney I hope that translates into votes for Smith as well.....

Hoping for miracles down here in Georgia.... would really love to see PA in the red column in as many ways as possible on electon day. But I preach to the choir here.....

14 posted on 10/10/2012 10:51:22 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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To: old and tired
Thanks for reminding me. I haven't seen the Casey ads tying Tom Smith to the TEA PARTY lately. I saw a lot of them a month or so ago. Which media market are you in?

I'm in the Pittsburgh market and suspect the reason the TEA PARTY ads don't air so much is that they were ineffective. It was our TEA PARTY in SW Pennsylvania who supported Tom Smith over the GOP-e endorsed RINO in the April primary, the guy who finished third.

15 posted on 10/10/2012 10:54:35 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Vigilanteman

“Tom Smith is going to get more votes than Mitt Romney in Pennsylvania.” I would wager that you are wrong.


16 posted on 10/10/2012 10:59:33 AM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: Perdogg

Tom Smith may win PA but, Romney will not. There is another wave of people that have been coming into PA from NY, NJ and MD. They are the retirees. They have sold their houses there and are moving here to PA. When they worked, they were Union. Now that their pensions depend on the Unions survival they will vote for who ever they are told to vote for.

I will be shocked if I am wrong on this one.


17 posted on 10/10/2012 11:06:36 AM PDT by WakeUpAndVote
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To: Perdogg

I just went to the PA Dept. of State website and downloaded voter registration data. It is up to date to this week. Yesterday was the last day to register for November election.

While the percentage of D’s and R’s have not changed significantly this year, there is an interesting piece of data. Party change applications for the past year have gone in the Republican direction: 160,769 to 120,418. I think it safe to say that people who go through the motions to change parties are likely to vote.


18 posted on 10/10/2012 11:09:49 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (The truth hurts)
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To: Perdogg

Great news.

Thanks, Perdogg.


19 posted on 10/10/2012 11:10:59 AM PDT by SharpRightTurn ( White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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UH - THIS WAS NOT A PRE-PLANNED ATTACK!


. . . . . . . . . . Libya-620x387

20 posted on 10/10/2012 11:23:52 AM PDT by devolve (----- ------- -CHEESEBURGER_CHEESEBURGER_CHEESEBURGER- ----------------------------)
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To: SharpRightTurn

Be still my heart....Casey is a runner for for the dumbest man in the US senate


21 posted on 10/10/2012 11:27:36 AM PDT by ken5050 (Barack Obama: An empty suit sitting in an empty chair...)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Same in OH!


22 posted on 10/10/2012 11:52:24 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Perdogg
Now only if we can convince people Casey is pro-life as satan himself. We should get smith easily. Casey is such a lying blowhard, his followers drive me crazy.
23 posted on 10/10/2012 11:53:50 AM PDT by st.eqed
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To: Perdogg

Susquehanna huh? That wouldn’t be “The Susquehanna Hat Company’’, would it? There’s a great Abbot and Costello routine about that.


24 posted on 10/10/2012 12:39:00 PM PDT by jmacusa (Political correctness is cultural Marxism. I'm not a Marxist.)
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To: fatima; xsmommy; Nowhere Man; South Hawthorne; brityank; Physicist; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; GOPJ; ...

PA Ping!

If you want on/off the PA Ping List, please freepmail me. Thanks!


25 posted on 10/10/2012 12:51:34 PM PDT by randita
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To: Vigilanteman
Wash. Co./Greene Co. are blanketed w/ "Stop the War on Coal; Fire Obama" signs.

and I saw the first Smith sign yesterday; no Casey signs yet.

Then there's this; my Dad is a lifelong, dyed in the wool Dem. His foundest hope is to go to his reward and never ever vote for a republican, but you know what, he's not voting this year. First time ever.

And I have to believe there are many old time dems in the same boat; they will not be able to vote for Obama, but they just can't vote for Romney.

26 posted on 10/10/2012 1:31:47 PM PDT by Pietro
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To: Vigilanteman
Which media market are you in?

Philadelphia. I'm in the city a fair amount. There are less Obama signs than you'd expect - far, far less than in 2008. The sole Casey sign I've seen has been in the suburbs.

27 posted on 10/10/2012 1:56:11 PM PDT by old and tired
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To: WakeUpAndVote
Tom Smith may win PA but, Romney will not.

If Obama wins it'll be a squeaker. The level of support for 0 compared to 2008 is way, way down. Where do the retirees live? The Poconos? Anybody from up that way who can give a report on the enthusiasm?

28 posted on 10/10/2012 1:59:32 PM PDT by old and tired
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To: old and tired

All of eastern PA has been effected. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton to Philly. Now going west on the northern teir counties on NY state boarder.


29 posted on 10/11/2012 10:30:40 AM PDT by WakeUpAndVote
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