Skip to comments.Nate Silver: Romney now a 60/40 favorite in Florida after addition of Mason-Dixon poll.
Posted on 10/11/2012 9:03:20 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin
Florida now in Romney column per Nate Silver (60.1% chance of winning) -- as is Colorado.
Romney is surging hard.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com ...
Romney needs to be going after Pennsylvania and Ohio even harder.
If Nate Silver were back peddling any faster, he would need a damned back up beeper....
When you’ve lost Nate Silver, you should pull out of Florida. It’s gone.
Nate Silver is wrong about VA and OH. I predict Romney will pick up both as well carry FL. And he’ll carry CO which has gone with the winning candidate in every election since 2000. Its the new MO.
and yet the clueless dolt Bob “F” Beckel said tonight on O’Reilly that the Suffolk Polling guy was an idiot for pulling out of Florida because Obama had no chance to win there.
One more good shellacking of the empty chair and real panic will set in.
The Democrats have offset the loss of the South with the megastates of NY, CA, IL and PA. Demographics ensure Democrats will win them outright for a generation. They are not swing states in presidential elections. No GOP presidential candidate visits them because they have zero chance of ever carrying them.
“Romney needs to be going after Pennsylvania and Ohio even harder.”
OK, so if he has Florida, then he only needs one more big mid west state, right?
You can’t just eat one
There was a poll today on Politico which had Obama only leading by 4 points in MAINE, and Romney leading by 4 points in the one congressional district that could give him one electoral vote from Maine.
Light blue states are going purple, and the VP debate tonight won’t change the momentum that Romney-Ryan have right now.
The old adage holds true: no Republican has ever been elected President since the 19th Century without carrying OH. Its a true swing state.
You can be sure if Romney is up in FL, he’s ahead in OH. Obama will win PA next door - too much liberal deadwood in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh for a Republican to carry the Alabama rural counties in between - they don’t have the votes to take a GOP presidential candidate over the top there.
You are correct. And CA, IL, Ny have the worst budget problems. CA has horrible jobs & housing situation with the other three well below national averages. But the 47% could’nt care less so long as they keep getting free money in the mail.
Those are the states that are going to be hit the hardest when the RATs cause the big SHTF die off.
If Mitt Romney has Ohio, he probably has Iowa, Wisconsin and maybe even Minnesota.
I think IA and WI are winnable - but MN is just too deep a Blue State for a GOP presidential candidate to win there. MI is going to go to Obama because Detroit votes early and often. And the auto industry workers are grateful to the One for saving their jobs.
Uggh, good lord. I bet the Democrats were hearing those same kinds of comments about North Carolina, Virginia and Indiana before they actually tried for them in 2008.
Who is Nate Silver ?
Libs are going to hate this. They idolize Nate Silver.
Nate Silver is a guy who is getting run over by a train called voter dynamics.
Used to blog for the Daily Kos.