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Election May Well Come Down to Colorado
RCP/Pittsburgh Tribune ^ | 10/14/12 | Selena Zito

Posted on 10/14/2012 7:38:18 AM PDT by NoobRep

If businessman Coors has a good night on Nov. 6, so will Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney, likely not only in Colorado but nationwide.

Colorado is looking like a state that is the national average, perhaps a tick or two rightward, according to Sean Trende, a savvy number-cruncher and Yale-trained political scientist for the website RealClearPolitics.

“So if Romney is winning Colorado, it probably means he is headed for a decent night,” Trende said of the relatively new electoral trend of a Western state signaling a presidential win.

If Romney wins here comfortably, that probably means a national win on the scale of George Bush in 2004, or even Obama in 2008, Trende said.

Right now, he said, Colorado’s numbers look pretty good for Romney: “We have him up a half-point in the RCP Average, with the president down to about 47 percent of the vote. That’s not a great position for the president to be in.”

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Colorado
KEYWORDS: 2012swingstates; co2012; colorado; obama; romney
Obama voters from 2008 are mostly disinterested-that seems to be a nationwide trend, not just in CO. If 1/3 of them vote for Romney and another 1/3 stay home this will be a beatdown.
1 posted on 10/14/2012 7:38:22 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: NoobRep

I am very nervous if our fate is left to that hot bed of liberalism.


2 posted on 10/14/2012 7:40:56 AM PDT by catfish1957 (My dream for hope and change is to see the punk POTUS in prison for treason)
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To: catfish1957

Coors seems to be well ahead of the RAT in the House race. Romney seems to have put some distance between himself and zero in CO in the last week or so.

By the way, on this day in 2008, Obama was up 8.2% in the RCP average. Romney now up by 1.4%.


3 posted on 10/14/2012 7:44:35 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: catfish1957

Colorado will elect Romney as long as we stay on the march to Get Out The Vote.
I’m not sure whether Joe Coors has been fighting hard enough to win his seat.


4 posted on 10/14/2012 7:44:46 AM PDT by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: NoobRep

These “one-state” scenarios are foolish. We either roll over this obastard with a tidal wave of disapproval, or we do not.

I don’t know about anyone else here, but in my neck of the woods, in my family, and me personally, there is a roiling, boiling, unbridled sense of seething anger that can only be assuaged by ousting his ass from that office - permanently!

He is a stain on that office, an affront to everything good and decent about this country, and a traitor that would like nothing more than to devolve this country to third or fourth-world status, so that he can play king-who-golfs and control lives he was never meant to.


5 posted on 10/14/2012 7:45:02 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: NoobRep

That’s is good news about Coors.


6 posted on 10/14/2012 7:49:21 AM PDT by svcw (Why is one cell on another planet considered life, and in the womb it is not.)
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To: G Larry

If realize this is California, however I know several people who very excited about obama - you know hope and change, black guy and all.
The will never vote for him again but don’t like or trust Romney, so they are all voting for the libertarian candidate.
I suspect, that may be the case in many states.
I can see no reason why Romney wont win Colorado, the are huge conservative/Republican enclaves in the state as well as a high mormon population, who tend to be centered south of Denver.


7 posted on 10/14/2012 7:54:32 AM PDT by svcw (Why is one cell on another planet considered life, and in the womb it is not.)
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To: svcw

The Pueblo Chieftan newspaper just endorsed Romney.


8 posted on 10/14/2012 8:07:05 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: NoobRep
Obama voters from 2008 are mostly disinterested-that seems to be a nationwide trend, not just in CO. If 1/3 of them vote for Romney and another 1/3 stay home this will be a beatdown.

Yep - lack of Dim enthusiasm, coupled with a more fired up Right, should spell doom for Zero. The Dims will probably not be able to lure as many voters with bottles of MD-20/20 this time around - they'll have to whip them onto the buses.

9 posted on 10/14/2012 8:07:44 AM PDT by trebb ("If a man will not work, he should not eat" From 2 Thes 3)
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To: Gaffer
These “one-state” scenarios are foolish.

Sometimes they're not, as in 2000, when Florida decided the election. However, barring some sort of last-minute October or November surprise, this election is beginning to look like a blowout win for Romney.

10 posted on 10/14/2012 8:08:49 AM PDT by Fiji Hill (Deo Vindice!)
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To: Fiji Hill

I understand that. They are only operative when the Democrats home in on the ones they think they can upset the contest. Publicizing the possiblility of such even before the election only makes their work easier.


11 posted on 10/14/2012 8:11:42 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: NoobRep

I did not know that, it’s positive news.

Our Santa Barbara Newspress endorsed Romney, and Republicans straight down the ticket, which surprised me.

Some family in Colorado Springs, said the support for Romney is huge.
Sisters in Aurora, and Castle Rock said they have seen no obama support.
My daughters live in Highlands Ranch and Centennial, big mormon area, so the support is very upbeat.

Wonder how the Denver Post will fall (ok I laughed when I wrote that)


12 posted on 10/14/2012 8:15:21 AM PDT by svcw (Why is one cell on another planet considered life, and in the womb it is not.)
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To: Gaffer
Amen brother. That is exactly how I feel about the One. Here in PA it appears I am not alone. Don't hold your breath, but I believe PA is going to go for Romney by a 51-49 margin. If Romney wins PA it won't be close nationwide.
13 posted on 10/14/2012 8:27:51 AM PDT by burghguy
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To: NoobRep
Election May Well Come Down to Colorado

..nonsense, except for Romney showing up drunk at the next debate, this thing is over...

14 posted on 10/14/2012 8:28:23 AM PDT by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: NoobRep
I think if Obama can't stop the pro-Romney trend this coming debate, Obama is finished. And watch everyone--including MSNBC!--bail on Obama like rats from a sinking ship.
15 posted on 10/14/2012 8:33:40 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: burghguy

Just being CLOSE in these blue states (WI, PA, MI, etc.,) tells me that something is up.


16 posted on 10/14/2012 8:34:11 AM PDT by Kolath
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To: Gaffer

Very well said.


17 posted on 10/14/2012 8:46:01 AM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Ryan and the other guy.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: catfish1957

What? Hotbed of liberalism? Colorado has been a red state up until the last 2 elections. Denver may be liberal and boulder and Fort Collins but the rest is pretty conservative. We also have a large oil and gas industry and Obama has not been kind to that industry. And Colorado springs is very conservative.


18 posted on 10/14/2012 9:00:29 AM PDT by albionin
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To: NoobRep

mitts path to 270 is opening up so many ways that it is more likely to be a blow out and zero will have difficulty breaking 200


19 posted on 10/14/2012 9:04:27 AM PDT by paul51 (11 September 2001 - Never forget)
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To: paul51

A Mitt Happens win here will depends on massive GOP turnaround in Colorado Springs - the second largest - and most conservative city in the state.

I think he and Joe Coors will have a good night here.


20 posted on 10/14/2012 12:44:09 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: NoobRep; All
Obama voters from 2008 are mostly disinterested-that seems to be a nationwide trend, not just in CO. If 1/3 of them vote for Romney and another 1/3 stay home this will be a beatdown.

I think that if just 1/16 vote for Romney and 1/16 stay home, Romney wins with a mandate. That would be a net change of 3/16 or 18.75% of the Democrat vote, or a 10% shift in the overall vote. 46.2% for Obama, 48.6% for Romney.

It does not add up to a hundred because it assumes the same turnout as 2008, in the same proportion. That is very unlikely. Turnout should be higher for Romney than it was for McCain in 2008.

21 posted on 10/14/2012 2:03:53 PM PDT by marktwain
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