Whatever happens we have had a great month in October thus far. We all remember the gloating the left was doing before the debate. “It’s over”. They had a bucket of cold water thrown in their faces and it’s great!
The campaign was NEVER built on hero worship or personality like Obama or Palin in 08---that's not bad if you have it. But rather for a year I've been harping on the fundamentals of ORGANIZATION and fundraising, and so far Mitt's organization buries McCain's 2008 effort and is outdoing Obama's.
I could give you specifics of how the process works but suffice it to say almost NO voter goes untouched, and usually with MULTIPLE "touches".
So, to your comment, this has never been about feelings or euphoria, hence there is really no place for overconfidence to sink in. PS, I have posted here for months that R/R would win by about 4% with about 320 EVs. I think I have to scale back to 310 because of NM and maybe NV. Just don't think there is time to get them in.