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GALLUP DAILY -LIKELY VOTERS (Romney 51% Obama 45%)
GALLUP ^ | Oct 19, 2012 | GALLUP

Posted on 10/19/2012 10:06:22 AM PDT by jennychase

GALLUP DAILY Oct 16-18, 2012 – Updates daily at 1 p.m. ET; reflects one-day change

Obama Approval 50%- Obama Disapproval 46% +2

REGISTERED VOTERS Romney 48%- Obama 47%- 7-day rolling average

LIKELY VOTERS Romney 51%- 1 Obama 45%- 7-day rolling average

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; gallup
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1 posted on 10/19/2012 10:06:24 AM PDT by jennychase
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To: jennychase

Holding steady.


2 posted on 10/19/2012 10:09:10 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: jennychase

basically no movement, statistical noise, notice Obama did not move at all in either RV or LV.


3 posted on 10/19/2012 10:09:38 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: tatown

Yup. The Marxist is stuck at 45%. That’s all that matters.


4 posted on 10/19/2012 10:11:01 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: sunmars

“Wasn’t it 52/45 yesterday? What happened to that point?”

Probably nothing. You’re going to get statistical noise which can change how numbers are rounded off without much actual movement.

We need to avoid thinking every miniscule change in the numbers is meaningful. Some are; some aren’t.


5 posted on 10/19/2012 10:11:39 AM PDT by Kingosaurus
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To: jennychase

Good news. This means NO bump on the second debate for Obama.


6 posted on 10/19/2012 10:12:19 AM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: jennychase

Romney broke 50% and is holding there. 0bama cannot get any traction. Another disaster in the 3rd debate & the rout is on.


7 posted on 10/19/2012 10:13:24 AM PDT by henkster (If you let them do it to you, you got yourself to blame.)
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To: jennychase

Reaching for the salt shaker, but the main course, is lookin good.. :)


8 posted on 10/19/2012 10:15:01 AM PDT by carlo3b (Less Government, more Fiber..)
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To: LongWayHome

The only way Romney could lose the election now is to be caught sleeping with a dead boy or a live girl as the wags like to say.

The third debate Tuesday night is not to change the nature of the race.


9 posted on 10/19/2012 10:15:01 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: jennychase

Need every point of that to offset certain Obamanite vote fraud.


10 posted on 10/19/2012 10:15:11 AM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop the destruction in 2012 or continue the decline)
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To: Kingosaurus

Yep. It could have been 51.7 R - 44.6 O yesterday and it will have rounded to 52-45. Today it could be 51.4 R - 44.9 O and you get today’s results. Interpreted with the stated margin of error of +-2%, it could be 49-47.


11 posted on 10/19/2012 10:15:30 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: sunmars

I love that the next debate is foreign policy focused, where Romney will have plenty of opportunity to compensate for failing to score on Libya on Thursday. Obama will be dying to make up lost ground on the economy and squeeze in the abortion/war on women crap. Watch him go off topic every question.


12 posted on 10/19/2012 10:15:39 AM PDT by Callahan
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To: jennychase

So Romney’s going to win, ok, no need for me to vote on the 6th...

I already voted, mwahaha!


13 posted on 10/19/2012 10:17:40 AM PDT by GraceG
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To: Callahan

yea but he has to be strong. In the last debate when that question came up he didn’t look as confident or as in control as he looks when he’s talking about the economy. He looked afraid to offend. I hope he does one of those 1 minute list of all the problems (similar to what he did with the economy). If he does that, forcefully, he could seal it


14 posted on 10/19/2012 10:19:03 AM PDT by wiseprince
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To: Callahan

I hope Romney ties national security to the economy, debt, and energy independence.


15 posted on 10/19/2012 10:19:24 AM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Polls show Obama surging into 2nd place-
Romney next to last!

16 posted on 10/19/2012 10:19:52 AM PDT by Baynative
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To: GraceG

I worry slightly because this is the lone national poll that has Romney ahead today. The rest are either a tie or an O lead.
These damn things are just all over the place.


17 posted on 10/19/2012 10:20:09 AM PDT by JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
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To: goldstategop

As they say, it’s the economy stupid. Apparently suburban women want jobs for themselves, their husbands and their kids more than they want abortion on demand and $9 worth of birth control pills.


18 posted on 10/19/2012 10:20:27 AM PDT by Callahan
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To: Callahan

Wow who’d have thunk it lol


19 posted on 10/19/2012 10:21:56 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: goldstategop

I agree. Romney is now ahead in NH for their 4 EVS as of today & it looks like he may also get the 1 EV out of northern Maine. 5 EVs out of New England is a real bonus.


20 posted on 10/19/2012 10:22:39 AM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: goldstategop

I thought the saying was “dead girl or live boy”?


21 posted on 10/19/2012 10:23:47 AM PDT by rhinohunter
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To: goldstategop
The only way Romney could lose the election now is to be caught sleeping with a dead boy or a live girl as the wags like to say.

There are exceptions...

22 posted on 10/19/2012 10:24:02 AM PDT by TSgt ("I've been in business for twenty five years, and I have no idea what you are talking about." - Mitt)
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To: jennychase

The guy at gallup was on geraldo today and said obama had a good polling day or two that is going to get rolled into the average. its going to shrink a bit to about 3 IMHO in favor of romney in the next few days. DONT BE SURPRISED.


23 posted on 10/19/2012 10:24:22 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: Callahan

Right. I don’t know why some 3rd party group doesn’t run ads pointed at younger women and single mothers: do u want “free” birth control pills (Obama) or a job with a paycheck so you can buy whatever you please (Romney).

Make it very uncomplicated.


24 posted on 10/19/2012 10:26:30 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: goldstategop

“The only way Romney could lose the election now is to be caught sleeping with a dead boy or a live girl as the wags like to say.”

There is the Gloria Allred rumor. If the rumor is true it would be about a illegal woman who Mitt abused in some way while she worked for him according to Glori. We shall see as that is how she works.


25 posted on 10/19/2012 10:27:47 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: goldstategop

I think the expression originated with former Democratic Governor Edwin Edwards when he was running for a third term as governor:

He told reporters in 1983: “The only way I can lose this election is if I’m caught in bed with either a dead girl or a live boy.”


26 posted on 10/19/2012 10:28:50 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: BlueStateRightist
Yup. The Marxist is stuck at 45%. That’s all that matters.

Even 2% of the 47% can't stand him.

27 posted on 10/19/2012 10:28:56 AM PDT by TruthShallSetYouFree (Benghazi murders due to spontaneous riot over a video. Or terrorism. Depends on the day.)
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To: LongWayHome

Don’t get too excited yet - the guy from gallup said some good numbers are going to show fior OTHUG in the next few days.


28 posted on 10/19/2012 10:29:09 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: GlockThe Vote
DONT BE SURPRISED...

I won't... we should all be aware of the polling tools and mechanisms of their trade when considering how they [get] move[ed]...


29 posted on 10/19/2012 10:29:49 AM PDT by C210N ("ask not what the candidate can do for you, ask what you can do for the candidate" (Breitbart, 2012))
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To: goldstategop
The third debate Tuesday night is not to change the nature of the race.

I believe it will be on Monday. Whether you watch Monday or Tuesday, you will have exactly the same probability of hearing the truth from Obama.

30 posted on 10/19/2012 10:31:14 AM PDT by TruthShallSetYouFree (Benghazi murders due to spontaneous riot over a video. Or terrorism. Depends on the day.)
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To: goldstategop

It’s actually Monday night up against Monday Night Football, Lions-Bears.


31 posted on 10/19/2012 10:31:22 AM PDT by John W (Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: GlockThe Vote
The guy at gallup was on geraldo today and said obama had a good polling day or two that is going to get rolled into the average. its going to shrink a bit to about 3 IMHO in favor of romney in the next few days. DONT BE SURPRISED.

I will not be suprised but some of the usual suspects here(CatOwner,RoseofTexas ) will really amp up the Eeyore act when on election day Gallup has it tied. Its going to happen, they will show Obama winning Ohio, Pa, Mi, Wis and the MSM meme will be "Obama makes a comeback, looks to narrowly win relection". Then election night......330EVs for Romney...they claim conspriracy and Obama does not concede till late, late night if at all.

32 posted on 10/19/2012 10:31:41 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: Parley Baer
There is the Gloria Allred rumor. If the rumor is true it would be about a illegal woman who Mitt abused in some way while she worked for him according to Glori. We shall see as that is how she works.

LOL! This is a rumor of a rumor..you have any way to substantiate this rumor of a rumor?.if not please don't post Jr.

33 posted on 10/19/2012 10:35:19 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: KansasGirl

That’s what I am expecting. Romney needs to keep driving home the point that Obama had 2 years of Dem control that gave him many options and instead of focusing on strengthening our economy and our position in the world (and vice versa) he acquiesced to the Left’s feverish desire for socialized medicine. I think that is the most single most powerful indictment of Obama.

Obama will be doing his Command in Chief schtick and saying Bin Laden every 5 seconds. What else does he have?


34 posted on 10/19/2012 10:35:53 AM PDT by Callahan
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To: jennychase
The takeaway from this is that there is no second debate bounce for Obama. No bounce.

As we head into the weekend, Tuesday night's debate is now officially "old news" and the focus switched to Monday night's final debate which is in a format more favorable for Romney.

I do think Romney needs to be more aggressive Monday night and needs to correct the record with regard to Libya. Also, Romney needs to stop letting Obama present himself to the voters as a challenger. Romney should not let Obama get away with saying "When I am re-elected, I will do such-and-such..."

Romney needs to point out that Obama has the job now and has had it for nearly four years. Why isn't Obama already doing the things he is promising to do after he is re-elected? This needs to be thrown into Obama's face.

Overall, I do expect another strong performance from Romney on Monday night and Obama might get desperate, as this is his last chance to turn this around.

At this point, the race is no longer Obama's to win. It is Romney's to lose.

35 posted on 10/19/2012 10:40:44 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: Callahan

“I love that the next debate is foreign policy focused, where Romney will have plenty of opportunity to compensate for failing to score on Libya on Thursday.”

I don’t know; Obama will at least be able to pretend he has experience (even if it is disastrous), while Romney’s background doesn’t have much in this realm. Obama will play grown-up (with the usual trappings: “Let me be clear”, straw men, etc.), and probably point to Romney’s lack of background. Romney has to tie his business experience to the global scene.


36 posted on 10/19/2012 10:41:57 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: LongWayHome

Don’t get too excited yet - the guy from gallup said some good numbers are going to show fior OTHUG in the next few days.


37 posted on 10/19/2012 10:42:34 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: Parley Baer

Help me out here, I missed the whole Gloria Allred thing - what happened ?


38 posted on 10/19/2012 10:42:50 AM PDT by PMAS (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing)
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To: goldstategop
The only way Romney could lose the election now is to be caught sleeping with a dead boy or a live girl

Gloria Allred will try to fix that.

39 posted on 10/19/2012 10:43:31 AM PDT by Salvey
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To: mwl8787

What makes the whole “war on women” theme so lame is that nobody really believes Romney is a social conservative diehard—least of all us folks on FR who spend months and years trashing him as a flip flopper.


40 posted on 10/19/2012 10:44:34 AM PDT by Callahan
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To: GlockThe Vote

How then can this thread linked below be correct then?

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2947286/posts

Rasmussen: Get ready for a small Romney bump out of the second debate
Hotair ^

Posted on Friday, October 19, 2012 11:54:32 AM by Arthurio

Today’s presidential tracking poll from Rasmussen shows a two-point gain for Barack Obama, bringing him into a tie with Mitt Romney at 48/48. At first blush, that looks as though Obama may have righted the ship after the second debate, but Rasmussen warns that the most recent surveys show momentum in the opposite direction:

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...



41 posted on 10/19/2012 10:45:20 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: GraceG

“So Romney’s going to win, ok, no need for me to vote on the 6th...

I already voted, mwahaha!”

Saying ditto’s, I did too, makes me incredibly happy. Even though in my case, as I live in Illinois (ugh), my vote probably is immaterial. However, it still pleases me that Obama will probably have a much closer vote in his old home state than he thinks he will, and that I will have helped in that effort.


42 posted on 10/19/2012 10:45:53 AM PDT by flaglady47 (When the gov't fears the people, liberty; When the people fear the gov't, tyranny.)
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To: goldstategop

It’s “dead girl or live boy”... but your point is the same.

I’m guessing Justice Roberts was threatened with something like this.


43 posted on 10/19/2012 10:49:21 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: Callahan

He IS a liberal flip-flopper.

I can’t stand him and refuse to vote for him because Mitt Happens IS a liberal.

I’d happily vote for Paul Ryan or Allen West.

This is not my year!


44 posted on 10/19/2012 10:58:42 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: John W

Lions and Bears, Oh My!


45 posted on 10/19/2012 10:58:51 AM PDT by jps098
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To: GlockThe Vote

Where did he say that?


46 posted on 10/19/2012 10:59:41 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: rwfromkansas

Geraldo has a radio show in NYC. He interviewed the guy from gallup today.

He said OTHUG is going to move up a few points in the next day or two.

You heard it hear first. DONT BE SURPRISED!


47 posted on 10/19/2012 11:04:15 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: goldstategop
The only way Romney could lose the election now is to be caught sleeping with a dead boy or a live girl as the wags like to say.

Isn't the expression supposed to be a live boy or dead girl...I mean sex with girls is still less controversial than with boys for a man right?

48 posted on 10/19/2012 11:08:51 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: goldstategop

The options are Obama or Romney. If you don’t vote for Romney then you are supporting Obama. Obama is out to destroy this country and remake it in his image - please don’t help him.


49 posted on 10/19/2012 11:09:24 AM PDT by dschapin
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To: AndyTheBear
I mean sex with girls is still less controversial than with boys for a man right?

Let's go ask Ann Romney. ;)
50 posted on 10/19/2012 11:10:10 AM PDT by DaveInDallas
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