Skip to comments.Gallup: R-51/O-45
Posted on 10/20/2012 10:08:03 AM PDT by tatown
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Today’s Gallup update - Romney still up 6; up 2 among registered voters; Obama’s net job approval down another point.
Probably really plus 4 or so nationwide, giving as much credence as they deserve to other pollsters.
I believe that’s four days over 50%. No static in this result. It’s the real deal. I bet Zogby’s crying!
I can breathe easy for another 21 1/2 hours.
I expected a narrowing in this poll today, so this is a surprise.
Maybe Nate Silver can hold him.
Americans have figured out that Hussein should never have been put inthea job for which is is manifestly unsuited.
Bambi bump: not optimal.
I think the collective fear in here about this being a Gallup ‘setup’ is wrong. Gallup is using the turnout model they expect to be reality on Nov 6 and using that model Romney is walking away with this thing.
If other pollsters were using models closer to 2004 rather than 2008 the RCP average would be 6+ in favor of Romney (not counting the eventual allocation of un decideds).
If Gallup is accurate this race really might be over
Haha! Doesn’t mean I’ll sleep too well though.
>> “I expected a narrowing in this poll today, so this is a surprise.” <<
The reported numbers were already ‘narrowed’ by Gallup.
The real numbers are more like 55 - 39.
>> This year it could well be Ohio,Ohio,Ohio. <<
Or “Michigan, Michigan, Michigan.”
Or Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Wisconsin : http://goo.gl/gWkyR
Obama is today 46 with registered voters; 45 with likely voters. 2 1/2 weeks before the election. Even is Gallop is undershooting Obama’s support by a couple points, these are just terrible numbers for an incumbent.
or Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Wisconsin...Wisconsin + Iowa = Ohio, or Wisconsin + NH = Ohio in terms of what we need to get Romney to 270 the way the map looks now.
Geeeze. Boogiemen enter their collective fantasizing minds. Booooo!
Dude or dudette, I hope you’re doing something besides living by the poll results.
I just did several dozen phone calls yesterday and today we knocked on doors in our precinct for the campaign.
DO SOMETHING physical. If you’re sickly, spend some time in a prayer closet. Give money.
I love your poll updates, but you can be a force FOR good instead of passively waiting for the change to happen.
God bless ya.
Gee there’s that number again..45 percent..notice how Obama is always hovering between 45 to 47 percent..HORRIBLE numbers for an incumbent..Obama is toast and he knows it..I hope he enjoys that 35 million dollar mega mansion in Hawaii
If the Gallup numbers are accurate, and Obama is at 45%, it would defy history for him to win.
Hawaii is not far enough the one should be exiled back to his home in Kenya. He should be bunking with his half bro! And take that wookie with you obozo!
I have been project 52-47 Romney since August. Guess Romney’s 47% comment was pretty accurate huh?
The boys at Gallup don’t seem too worried about being called “outlyers.”
I am strongly convinced the election is over.
They’re dreaming... of course liberals are trying to convince themselves that’s possible - the only way Obama could win is with a plurality of the vote like Clinton. And even then that’s hardly a resounding vote of confidence. In reality, they know Obama is toast but they will never admit it. Coming to grips with reality is not who they are.
I've heard it said over,and over,and over that late deciders tend to break for the challenger.If that holds true this time that doesn't bode well for Osama.
Hey as long as he can’t do any damage in the White House anymore I really don’t care where he goes
We are being set up. We are being set up. We are being set up. If I’m wrong I’ll gladly eat my hat, but hold the salt and pepper for now.
Gallup will use something (the third debate, Gloria Allred’s October surprise, Obama’s “fantastic” new agreement with Iran or his decision to launch a drone strike in Libya, or something) as an excuse to change methodology from its current heavy weighting of Republicans. Then the numbers will start to move strongly in Obama’s favor and the MSM can try to create a bandwagon effect by promoting the “Greatest Comeback in American History.”
Pollsters and the MSM have no shame.
Yep! Romney might have been off by a number or two but he pretty much hit the nail on the head
Well this year when we look at his binder, it is full of failures, incompletes and not working with people well.
His election binder says it all. No hire this year.
If Romney can hit it out of the park at the next debate, our current long national nightmare might be nearly over.
Of course, the current nightmare will have to be watched like a hawk during the lame duck weeks.
Let’s hope the moving vans are already on standby and the rumors about the current nightmare relocating to Hawaii in January are true.
I hope you both are right. . Could use some sleep myself. .
He was 'present' as far as the actual job of President but did his level best to turn our Sacred Republic into a socialist/communist hell hole. Words cannot describe. . . It will take generations to work our way out of the Clinton/Obama Fabian socialist nightmare. Wake up America!
[ I can breathe easy for another 21 1/2 hours. ]
I know exactly how you feel! ;-)
If Romney takes NH-VA-NC-FLA-PA the election will be over by about 10pm election night and how Ohio goes will be irreverent.
Gallup is irrelevant.
You guys need to trust Nate Silver’s numbers. He’s yet to be wrong.
If you don’t approach this election from the standpoint that you need to bring Obama below 270, Romney will lose.
Keep believing that Romney can win without Ohio or Iowa at your own peril. The current situation is impossible for him even if he wins CO+NV+VA+NC+FL+NH.
Then again, I’m voting for Gary Johnson since Romney is a useless idiot.
Four days running at 51 or 52 to 45. VERY GOOD TREND.
Irreverent, yes. And also irrelevant!
No one is going to win the popular vote by 6pts and lose the electoral vote.
IF and ONLY if we get out the vote, the election is over. We have to get our people out there.
Separate “accurate” in terms of percent vs. accurate as in “picking the right horse”. They’ve picked the winning candidate every time since FDR, except for Truman-Dewey and Ford-Carter.
If there was the live boy or dead girl, that would already have been news and any foreign adventure Obama decides upon will be seen by Americans as an election stunt - if they had something planned they would have done it already; throwing out rumors is part of the strategy they use to try to depress Republican turnout. This has nothing to do with the truth, its all part and parcel of psychological warfare. And since I have no stake in the outcome of this election, this kind of stuff has no hold on me. I don’t worry about it and I sleep very sound at night.